Colin V. Reed
Analyst · Raymond James
Thank you, Scott. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. Let me start by saying that this quarter was, no doubt, one of the most complex quarters that we have ever dealt with, and Mark and I will do our best to describe the series of events that both positively and negatively affected the quarter, as well as several post quarter events that influence how we think about the year. Now the way we're going to deal with the many events is by discussing them one by one, and the order that we will do this is as follows: first, the top line and the events that affected it; second, cost synergies and their implications to the first quarter and the rest of the year; third, forward bookings and how the Marriott system is starting to contribute to the future; fourth, we'll talk about tax and the implications of converting to a REIT, as well as the implications of a recently concluded IRS audit; fifth, guidance and how we see the rest of the year; and sixth, our balance sheet, our share buyback program and then growth. So let me start with the top line of our Hospitality business that was negatively impacted by several unusual events. Clearly, the most material was and is the consequence of the political stalemate in Washington and the subsequent sequestration. Against this backdrop, Gaylord Hotels' occupancy in the first quarter of 2013 declined 1.2 percentage points to 67.5% when compared to Q1 of 2012. The decline was primarily driven by an increase in short-term cancellations in the quarter for the quarter and the impact of government-related business in the Washington, D.C. market. Cancellations in the quarter for the quarter were 16,592 group room nights compared to 1,202 -- 1,212 in the first quarter of 2012. In the quarter for the quarter cancellations in the first quarter of '13 were only 745 room nights less than the first quarter of 2009 at the height of the recession. Now a significant number of these cancellations materialized at Gaylord National as several large government-related groups canceled on short notice as sequestration took hold. Now to go deeper, we saw a 9-percentage-point decrease in occupancy in the quarter at Gaylord National, with nearly 5 percentage points of this attributable to government cancellations in the quarter for the quarter. Now this was considerably higher than the rest of the market mainly because of one short-term piece of business of 6,000 room nights that canceled in Washington. And for your information, we had a 1,600 room nights short-term cancellation also at the Gaylord Texan. So the natural question is, what does this mean for the rest of the year and 2014? And in answer, I'm going to share some very important data that we've not historically shared with you before. First and foremost, government business has been historically a relatively small part of Gaylord Hotels brand. In fact, in 2011 and 2012, our total government business represented about 6.9% of our group business. For our Washington hotel, that number was a little higher for these years at about 8.8%. But as the congressional budget battles loomed last year, as well as negative publicity surrounding previously held GSA conventions, the amount of business we booked in this segment declined materially. Now to put this in perspective, as of the end of April of this year, we only had 22,000 total government room nights left on the books for all of Gaylord Hotels for the rest of '13 compared to approximately 54,000 room nights at the same time last year for '12. As regards 2014, we only have about 6,500 government room nights booked for all of next year. So we have very little government business left on our books, so we do not anticipate the first quarter's issues to be replicated. Now as we've discussed many times before, attrition and cancellation fee collection does offer us a degree of profitability protection against just this type of occurrence. But to be clear, we recognize these revenues in the quarter in which they are collected, so there is a delay before we see the benefit to our bottom line. Now several other events also had an impact, namely, a business mix shift year-over-year from premium corporate and association group business to less lucrative SMERF and transient business. This mix shift is held primarily in the outside-of-the-room spending as evidenced in our financials. You will notice that while room revenue decreased a little over $2 million, all other non-room revenue decreased by over $14 million. Now this mix shift was anticipated in our 2013 plan but does make for a difficult comparison when looking at quarter-over-quarter results. Now as regards to the mix shift for the remainder of '13, the negatives of the first quarter flip, and we see a much stronger book of corporate business for the remainder of '13 compared to the prior year. Also for us, a group-dominant business, east of falling in the first quarter, impacted group rooms sold in the quarter. Okay. Now that's the end of the negatives. Now there were some -- there were many good things that occurred in the first quarter that will drive the future, and let's first talk about leisure. Now the clear benefits from the Marriott transient delivery system are starting to emerge. To remind you, Gaylord Opryland's property management system was not fully integrated until late January. It was unable to participate in the Marriott Rewards program in an automated way until this transition was complete, but despite this, our hotels generated approximately 18,600 more leisure room nights than in the same period last year. And the leisure room nights generated were the best ever in the first quarter. Furthermore, transient ADR jumped $17.05. This is obviously very encouraging. Now let's talk about cost synergies. When we met in mid-February, we gave you clear guidance as to what we thought would happen at our corporate level. Now as you will see from our financials, our run rate for the first quarter is at the savings we predicted. In fact, once our corporate accounting systems have fully integrated that we hope will occur in the third quarter -- actually, we're pretty confident will occur in the third quarter, I am hopeful that our costs will reduce a little further. Now let me talk about the hotel-level synergies. We also told you at Investor Day, a large part of this cost reductions come about when all of the systems that Marriott are bringing to the table are installed and people are fully trained against them. Q1 marked the completion of the system's integration, and property-level efforts are now focused on training and process compliance. As we sit here today, it's fair to say, we continue to expect to harvest the $13 million to $16 million of synergies this year, and Marriott has articulated to us a clear plan to accomplish just that. Now bookings. Now we wanted to -- we pointed out to you at many times in the past, the most important metrics to our model are advanced room nights booked in the period for all future years, together with group room nights we have on the books in contract form. It's these 2 metrics that give me a lot of confidence in the future, and I'll explain. In the first quarter of 2011, we booked approximately 360,000 group room nights. Then in '12, we booked 372,000 group room nights. But in '13, we booked 588,000 room nights. Yes, I said 588,000 room nights, and this is a record for our hotels. Now let me give you the Washington hotel numbers: 78,000 in '11; 135,000 in '12; and 149,000 in '13. And out of the 149,000, only 1,000 of those were government-related. Also, Marriott has modified -- has informed us that it's modified its sales deployment to focus on premium, corporate and association business. So we will be further mitigating the rapidly evaporating risk associated with government bookings. And by the way, out of the 588,000 room nights booked in the first quarter, 152,000 of those were for 2013, which is a really good number. We've also analyzed the source of the room nights, i.e., did they originate from the Gaylord database and the relationships that we had prior to the Marriott relationship? Or were they sourced through Marriott? And what we found was that approximately 17%, 1-7 percent, of our record-setting first quarter production was new business to our hotels and originated from the Marriott system. This is very encouraging. Now one further detail I want to give you is regarding Gaylord Opryland. And some of you have asked -- some of you asked at our Investor Day in mid-February, what, if any, impact the new convention center and convention center hotel here in Nashville would have on Gaylord Opryland? And we said at the time very little. Now let's put some facts to that opinion. Gaylord Opryland group production in the first quarter of '13 was a whopping 251,000 room nights. I repeat, 251,000 room nights, up from 143,000 in '11 and 113,000 in '12. Also at the end of March, we had roughly 1.9 million group room nights on the books for the property for all future years. Now by contrast, from recent comments from the General Manager of the soon-to-be-opened convention center, it would seem that it has approximately 840,000 room nights booked and dispersed throughout the city. Furthermore, from recent press release from our friends at Omni, its yet-to-open new convention hotel has approximately 250,000 room nights on the books, some of which, I'm sure, are included in the convention center numbers. So clearly, Gaylord Opryland is in a league of its own in this city, and it's booking at a very exciting pace. And this bodes well for our company and the city of Nashville. I've got one more data point as regards forward room bookings that I think is critical to your analysis of our company. As we look forward to 2014, we had informed you at Investor Day that group bookings were pacing ahead of our 4-year historical average. To be more specific, as of the end of the first quarter of '13, we have approximately 87,000 more group room nights signed up at this same point last year for 2013. This is very encouraging given the fact that we have almost no government business at all booked in 2014. Now moving away from bookings, moving onto the tax implications to our financials. So in the first quarter, we made 2 adjustments to our financials. The first as a consequence of us converting to a REIT pertaining to deferred tax. And Mark will give you more color on this. And second, we reversed previously accrued liabilities for uncertain tax positions that were settled with the IRS to add benefit late in this first quarter. As regards guidance, Mark will give you more information. But notwithstanding the government cancellations we experienced in the first quarter, we believe given the emerging strength of our group business, the more favorable mix shift as the year progresses, our ongoing corporate cost savings, our confidence in Marriott's commitment to harvesting property-level cost synergies, we're reiterating our 2013 guidance, save for one modification as regards conversion costs, which Mark will explain. Moving to the balance sheet. We've also made a number of moves to enhance our capital structure and after our quarter closed. First of all, we refinanced that bank debt that allowed us to increase our total bank line to $1 billion. Not only did we give ourselves more flexibility, but we did so at a lower cost. We also completed a senior notes offering. We repurchased approximately $56 million of stock or 1.3 million shares during the short period of time our window was open against the 100 million repurchase plan we have in place. We also announced a strong 2013 dividend payout of approximately $2 per share or $0.50 per quarter, which gives us one of the best dividend yields in the Hospitality REIT sector. Last but not least, growth. During the first quarter, we had several potential acquisitions that came our way, but frankly, nothing of real interest. As we explained to you at our Investor Day, given how we're thinking about our company for this and the next year, we prefer to invest our capital into our own stock to give us -- particularly given our current valuation and our belief about the future. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Mark so he can handle the discussions and further details on other bits and pieces. Mark?