Earnings Labs

Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM)

Q1 2017 Earnings Call· Mon, May 1, 2017

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning. My name is Carol, and I’ll be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the New Residential First Quarter 2017 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Mandy Cheuk, Investor Relations.

Mandy Cheuk

Analyst

Thank you, Carol, and good morning, everyone. I would like to welcome you today to New Residential’s first quarter 2017 earnings call. Joining me here today are Michael Nierenberg, our CEO; Nick Santoro our CFO; Jonathan Brown, our CAO; and Cameron MacDougall, our General Counsel. Throughout the call, we’re going to reference the earnings supplement that was posted to the New Residential website this morning. If you have not already done so, I would suggest that you download it now. Before I turn the call over to Michael, I would like to point out that certain statements made today will be forward-looking statements. These statements by their nature are uncertain and may differ materially from actual results. I encourage you to review the disclaimers in our press release and earnings supplement regarding forward-looking statements and to review the risk factors contained in our annual and quarterly reports filed with the SEC. In addition, we’ll be discussing some non-GAAP financial measures during today’s call. A reconciliation of these measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures can be found in the earnings supplement. And now I would like to turn the call over to Michael.

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

Thanks, Mandy. Good morning, everybody, and thanks for joining our Q1 earnings call. In the quarter, we had a very busy quarter. We deployed $1.6 billion of capital across all of our core business lines. We raised our dividend by $0.02 from $0.46 to $0.48. All segments of our business continued to perform as expected, and quite frankly, yes, pretty terrific. We have positioned the company today to do well in all interest rate environments. While saying that, we do believe that the Fed will raise rates at least two to three more times this year. We’ve positioned our servicer advance business to protect us from rising rates by converting our financings to fixed-rate and locking in longer maturities. We continue to add to our bond portfolio as we have accelerated our call strategy. In our bond portfolio, we have an unrealized gain of $162 million, and for the quarter, we are higher by $35 million versus last quarter. We will and continue to work with all of our servicing counterparties, trustees and rating agencies to figure out a way to accelerate our call right strategy with our eventual goal of calling each and every mortgage deal where we own the call rights. In the quarter, we called 45 Non-Agency deals. This represents the busiest and largest quarter so far from a call rights strategy to date. This represents a collateral pool of approximately $1.2 billion. In our MSR business, we closed the Citi purchase of just under $100 billion of MSRs and raised capital around that acquisition. We also acquired another two portfolios of MSRs totaling approximately $15 billion. I’m also thrilled to announce, we have agreed in principle on a strategic business deal with Ocwen, which will be beneficial to both parties. We’re very excited about this and…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And our first question this morning comes from Jessica Levi-Ribner from FBR. Please go ahead.

Jessica Levi-Ribner

Analyst

Hey, good morning. Thanks so much for taking my questions.

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

Good morning, Jess.

Jessica Levi-Ribner

Analyst

On the Ocwen deal that you were just talking about, would you bear the viability, the regulatory viability if the regulators didn’t like how Ocwen was servicing the loans. How are you going to manage kind of that regulatory exposure?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

Like we do with every other servicing counterparty. Ocwen is the servicer that will face the consumer. There will be no change in how that works. We’ll have standard rights in our servicing agreements with them that protect us from anything that, quite frankly, would go – could go potentially wrong with the regulators. But I will also say, when we look at Ocwen’s servicing performance today versus where it has been, we don’t see any deterioration at all as it relates to Ocwen’s servicing practices in dealing with us on our Excess MSRs that we own.

Jessica Levi-Ribner

Analyst

Okay. And so since you’re going to be buying the full MSR – on the MSRs with the Excess that you own the $117 billion, will your economics increase? How do we think about that?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

The economics will increase. I don’t want to give anybody a number today. I think over the course of the couple of days, because as I pointed out, everybody has been working through the night on this, the economics will increase. There will be a boost to core. But again, I don’t want to short the market a number today, we’ll come out with more details hopefully over the course of the next couple of days as we finalize agreements with Ocwen. But it will be an increase in our core earnings.

Jessica Levi-Ribner

Analyst

Okay. And then with an increase in our core earnings, how do you think about your dividend policy here?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

Once we finalize our numbers, I’ll let you know.

Jessica Levi-Ribner

Analyst

Okay. And then one last one from me. The economics on the call rights. Are they still around 2 points?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

Yes.

Jessica Levi-Ribner

Analyst

Is that how we should thinking about it?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

On the call rights that we have on our own portfolio, the deals have averaged in most cases minimum of 2 points. In April, for example, we did a large kind of seasoned prime deal where we acquired call rights from a couple of banks. The economics on that are a tad less, but in general, I would assume it’s steady as she goes.

Jessica Levi-Ribner

Analyst

Okay. So around 2 points. All right. Great thanks so much.

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question this morning comes from Michael Kaye from Citi Group. Please go ahead.

Michael Kaye

Analyst

Just one quick question on the Ocwen announcement. Is there any implications to any of your debt, any sort of agreements you need to get with the banks to make this transaction happen?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

No. I mean, its – the way that we anticipated $425 million, it will be funded in stages. So as you think about equity, we intend to fund this out of our existing business today. As we go forward, there is really nothing related to the debt with our lenders. So the answer is, no, Michael.

Michael Kaye

Analyst

Okay. And just moving away from this Ocwen deal just strategically, your MSR portfolio is up to almost $600 billion, bond portfolio is growing bigger and bigger, the call rights strategy is really starting to work. Is there any thought or interest in potentially spinning out the MSRs into a separate vehicle and leave the other plus the portfolio more of like bond call right company?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

Not at this time.

Michael Kaye

Analyst

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Bose George from KBW. Please go ahead.

Bose George

Analyst

Hey, good morning. Actually, just on the Ocwen deal, again. Do you need approval from the bond trustees for that transfer to happen?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

We do, and that work is beginning today, tomorrow, this week, but we do.

Bose George

Analyst

And then you noted that you’ll have control over the downstream revenue, is that a source of sort of incremental return for you guys as well?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

It could be. Again, the deal has been coming together over the course of the past 24 hours or so, but it could be.

Bose George

Analyst

Okay. And then just – I know it’s too early for you just to sort of put a number out there, but we know how much capital you’re investing and we know what your hurdle rates are and is that kind of way to think about what you would like to get on that capital?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

Yes.

Bose George

Analyst

Okay, great. And then just switching to the quarter. Actually what was the contribution from the clean-up calls to earnings this quarter?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

It was about $27 million in our core income.

Bose George

Analyst

Okay, great. And then just in terms of the book value increase, you mentioned, I guess, $30-ish million from the credit tightening of credit spread. Was the rest of the increase just from the increase of capital raise or is there anything else in the numbers?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

Yes, it was more from the unrealized gain on our bond portfolio. Most of the other stuff was pretty steady in the quarter. And then we had some accretion from the equity raise.

Bose George

Analyst

Okay, great. Thanks.

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

Thanks, Bose.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Kevin Barker from Piper Jaffray. Please go ahead.

Kevin Barker

Analyst

Thank you. In regards to the $117 billion portfolio that you mentioned, I believe you have roughly 113 financed as of the fourth quarter. Are there additional MSRs that you’re purchasing from Ocwen beyond, what is already financed by NRZ?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

No, it’s that portfolio.

Kevin Barker

Analyst

Okay. And then are there any discussions around switching these tax systems used by Ocwen in regards to that portfolio given the issues that have been raised by regulators over the past few weeks?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

Yes, I mean, the one thing I would tell is, we’ll evaluate all aspects of this deal to make sure it works for – quite frankly, it works for us and works for everybody. And more importantly, that it works for the consumers and everybody else. So I think it’s important to note that we have this agreement now, we’ve got a lot of work to do to continue to finalize this. And while saying that, if you think about this system itself, great for Ocwen, great for us, great for the consumer. And then, we got to figure out the rest of it and make sure it works for everybody.

Kevin Barker

Analyst

Right. And then in regards to the servicing that you would be purchasing beyond the cash flows or the servicing fees that you’re going to retain, will you have full economics over the direction of those assets beyond just the servicing fees?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

Meaning, I’m sorry I didn’t understand the question.

Kevin Barker

Analyst

Meaning, call rights or other services provided around the servicing portfolio.

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

Yes.

Kevin Barker

Analyst

And then in regards to the call right strategy, you took $27 million as you stated with Bose’s question earlier in the first quarter, and it seems like you completed another mortgage-backed security in April. Do you expect similar economics going into the second quarter, given the timing of the call right strategy as it exists now?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

Yes, I pointed out the deal we recently did is probably a tad lower from an economic standpoint as it was more prime in nature. But going forward, we have a number of notices in on additional call rights for the quarter. So I think that we should have, hopefully, a similar result this quarter. But again, I can’t promise that, but it’s our expectations that based on the call rights that we – or call right notices we’ve submitted for this quarter, we hope to have a similar result.

Kevin Barker

Analyst

Okay. And then in Ocwen’s presentation, you mentioned the sub-servicing contract with NRZ, it’s worth roughly $900 million in fair value. Do you view that portfolio having a similar value over the long run?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

We view that portfolio – I mean this is the way to think about this transaction. We owned the Excess before. Now we’re buying Ocwen’s piece of that MSR, then we’re going to sub-service it back to Ocwen. As far as the overall economics, again, we try to target mid-teens type returns on our investments. And I think that’s probably the best way to guide you on that.

Kevin Barker

Analyst

Okay. Thank you for taking my questions.

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Trevor Cranston from JMP Securities. Please go ahead.

Trevor Cranston

Analyst

Hi, good morning. Thanks.

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

Good morning.

Trevor Cranston

Analyst

One more question on Ocwen. They announced that they are going to challenge the seasoned assist orders that they got from, I think, Massachusetts and Illinois. Can you say, how much exposure you have through Ocwen in those two states and what those orders might mean for your investments in the near term? Thanks.

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

Yes. We don’t – today, obviously, we don’t have a signed deal yet, but we don’t have any – to the best of my knowledge, we don’t have any exposure in those states because we own the Excess. While saying that, I think Ocwen is – they’re going to go down their path, do what they think is right for their company. To the extent that there was some adverse effect somehow in a particular state, what I would envision on a go-forward basis, we’d work with Ocwen on a remedy for the MSRs that we owned. And I think that’s the way I would think about it.

Trevor Cranston

Analyst

Got it. Okay. And then on the purchase agreement you guys announced with Prosper. Can you maybe give us a little bit of color on how you got comfortable with the credit performance of the loans that have been originating? And then maybe, also more broadly comment on if you think there may be other opportunities out there for acquiring consumer loans, or maybe, even other loan products like non-core MR or something like that? Thanks.

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

Sure. So the way that we’d be – talking about the loans for a second, there are 3-year and 5-year loans typically. The weighted average coupon for the consortium is 17%. The FICOs are 710. So they are reasonably high FICO borrowers. We think, based on our loss assumptions and based on where we could finance them on bank lines as well as finance them in the public markets, we think the leverage returns after losses are probably going to the north of – my guess is quite frankly, they could be north of 20%. We have the ability to buy these loans if we want to buy these loans. If we don’t want to buy these loans, we don’t have to buy these loans. And I think that’s kind of the way to think about it. So we will continue to monitor performance of the underlying assets. I think I pointed out on an earlier call last year that we had purchased some consumer loans from Prosper, and I would tell the results on those loans so far has been terrific. So I think our experience in having a portfolio prior to agreeing on this deal with a broader group has been very good. The results have been very good. And we hopefully on a go-forward basis, we expect the results to be very good. While saying that if they’re not we just won’t buy the loans.

Trevor Cranston

Analyst

Okay. Appreciate the comments, thank you.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Fred Small, Compass Point. Your line is open.

Fred Small

Analyst

Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking my questions.

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

Hey, Fred.

Fred Small

Analyst

Couple more on the Ocwen stuff. Quickly, on the equity statement, you said you plan to purchase, was that 4.7%?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

It’s 4.9%. It’s about 8.1 million shares, and the total investment amount is approximately $13.9 million.

Fred Small

Analyst

Okay. And are you buying that from a specific holder or is that an investment you’ve already made?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

No. This is in conjunction with a broader deal with Ocwen.

Fred Small

Analyst

Okay. Got it. But it’s not new Ocwen equity?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

Quite frankly, I don’t know how they’re going to deal with it, but it could be. I’m just not sure.

Fred Small

Analyst

Okay. Next one, just in terms of the subservicing agreement with them, I think you said, 5 years is where you think it will be the term of the contract? Is that – will that have additional servicer rating triggers from the rating’s agencies? And is Ocwen currently in compliance with the triggers in the subservicing deal in terms of how you’re thinking about it?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

Yes, we don’t – this is some language that we’re going to continue to work on over the course of the next couple of days. We would expect them to be pretty much industry standard. Quite frankly, we will continue to work with Ocwen, any which way we can but being mindful that we need to protect our shareholders. So there is a bunch of drafting that’s not done that still needs to be done. And that will occur over the course of the next number of days.

Fred Small

Analyst

Got it. And just on the payment for the – so you are buying the rest of the MSR that you didn’t own or essentially what Ocwen had not initially sold to, it’s our assess, is that the right way to think about it?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

Yes.

Fred Small

Analyst

Okay. And just under the churn – as things were currently set, could you already have moved the – you could have already moved the ownership of the MSR or the PSA over to NRZ on a portion of that, the portion that you owned without paying Ocwen anything. Is that correct?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

Well, it’s – I mean Fred, I know where you’re kind of going with this. We believe this is the best for us, the best for Ocwen and the best for the entire system. And I think that’s the way – rather than sitting in and having any kind of dispute in any way, if you think about it, there is a number of winners in this transaction. First and foremost, the mortgage loans do not get moved from one servicer to another. So we think from a consumer perspective that’s a great thing. That’s one. Two is, from a liquidity perspective, this gets Ocwen on the right track. And the sinister view of us versus Ocwen no longer exists as a result of this deal. They are a counter-party to us. They are a partner to us. And going forward, we want to see Ocwen succeed and do really, really well just like we want to do well. So that’s the way that we’re viewing this transaction.

Fred Small

Analyst

Okay. Great. Of course, that’s helpful. Very good clarification. Then last one, I don’t know if it came out explicitly as on and off, but in terms of downstream services, I know that there was a carve-out in the PHH subservicing agreements, specifically for REO. That’s included in the downstream services with Ocwen, meaning Ocwen directs their, I think, REO sales to ASPS and Hubzu, you’ll have control over whether or not those go to ASPS and Hubzu going forward, if the agreement works out as you described?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

That is correct

Fred Small

Analyst

Okay. And would you look to diversify away from ASPS and Hubzu?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

I think we are going – I pointed out earlier in the call, we’re going to view this, the deal has been worked on for a while and well into the night on both sides. This is truly for us an economic transaction as well as something that shores up the system. So if it’s something that works where quite frankly the economics work for us and it works for other parties, we’ll consider anything. But we need to make sure, number one, that everybody – everything is compliant with the appropriate regulatory authorities. And then from an economic standpoint, we’re going to do what we believe works for our shareholders.

Fred Small

Analyst

Okay, got it. Thanks. Got it. Last one just on the Prosper equity investment about the investment in the loans targeted 15% leverage yields. Does that include the warrants for Prosper equity?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

No. That’s a total separate – that’s totally separate.

Fred Small

Analyst

Okay, great. Well, thanks a lot, congrats.

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Ken Bruce from Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Your line is open.

Ken Bruce

Analyst

Thanks, good morning.

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

Hi, Ken.

Ken Bruce

Analyst

Got a busy weekend. Let’s start with Ocwen. I guess, in terms of the equity stake, are there going to be or do you envision any restrictions on your ownership of that equity stake?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

I’m sure there’ll be something. It’s not like we’re investing $13 million or $14 million or 4.9% into Ocwen today, and we intend on selling it if and when their stock goes to $3 or $4. I think the messaging behind this is it’s something that hopefully is a longer-term thing where we ensure mutual success. I’m sure there’ll be some restrictions, but again, all these details have been worked on through the night. So I don’t – we don’t have final details at this point. But again, it’s meant to kind of giving the market a good message that they are our partner and we’re their partner and mutual success is a wonderful thing for both of us.

Ken Bruce

Analyst

Okay. And are there – just kind of a leading question. Is there any consideration for getting a board seat in – as part of that ownership stake?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

Not as of now. We haven’t – not as of now.

Ken Bruce

Analyst

Ok. The reason I ask and obviously this Ocwen situation has been pretty controversial, I guess, from the market’s perspective. Given kind of the nature of some of the regulatory challenges that they have got, it would appear from an outsider’s point of view that they’re a bit of a liability. So I’m trying to figure out in terms of your getting closer to them in certain in every respect, when ever respect – if in fact there if you got protections in place in order to prevent any potential downside from future mishandling and how you’re looking at protecting NRZ shareholders from that standpoint?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

Yes. I think I pointed out before a couple of things. One is the portfolio that Ocwen currently services where we own the Excess, we’ve seen no deterioration at all on our portfolio, quite frankly. I know they’re – Ocwen is in the middle of a little bit of storm. But in conversations with Ron and his team, they are doing everything they can to make sure they ride their ship. As it relates to our protections, we’ll have the appropriate protection that we have with our existing servicers and subservicers that will protect us. There will be bifurcation. And then there will be your standard reps and warrants. So again, all these details are being worked out as we speak, but we’ll have the appropriate protections for us as we go forward.

Ken Bruce

Analyst

Right. We can take some of this off-line. I guess, when you look at some of the issues are not performance-related, they’re basically – regulators have obviously a different mandate, and so they’re just approaching it differently than, I think, other market participants. So I just find that there is other issues that probably need to be considered. I guess, on Prosper on those transactions, who is handling the servicing for the consumer loans? Does that stay with Prosper or does that transfer?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

It stays with Prosper.

Ken Bruce

Analyst

And then I guess, just pulling back, just given some of the nature of your investments are going to be equity-related, any thoughts as to how we should be viewing that. Obviously, the portfolio is kind of mix of an eclectic mix of assets to start with. Now you’re going to include equity in that at some point. Is there any broader view as to how you’re thinking about the overall portfolio, or are these really just frankly equity positions that are smart given kind of the nature of the investments that you’re making into each of these related asset classes?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

I mean, listen, the Ocwen one obviously is strategic. I think it shows a good alliance between us and Ocwen. The other one, if you think about Prosper, there is no equity. We haven’t given a dime or penny of equity to Prosper. The only thing we have done is purchased loans, where we’ll do securitizations and/or financings around those loans, where we think, quite frankly, the levered returns are going to be north of 20%. I think the way to view the Prosper warrants is something that is a free option for us effectively that could be extremely valuable, and to the extent that they’re worth – they’re not really worth anything, then there is no skin off our back, quite frankly. It’s like in other counterparties, we’re rooting for them. There have been lofty valuations thrown around in this sector over the course of the past couple of years. We think our entry point on this is absolutely fantastic. And the deal that – between us and the consortium, we think is a very good one for all of us. While saying that, we can’t give forward-looking statements what we think that equity is worth, but we think it could be very meaningful. And getting that in light of along with buying $5 billion of loans is a very good thing. As far as the core business, you’re going to see the core business remain the same. We own Excess MSRs, we own MSRs, we have $600 billion-ish of MSRs, we’re going to execute on our call rights strategy, we’re going to accelerate that. The consumers’ space, we did the SpringCastle deal going back in 2013, the IRR in that is north of 90%. That’s been a grand slam. The Prosper one remains to be seen, but hopeful that will be good over time. I do think the consumer space is a little interesting in light of some of the recent announcements by some of the kind of consumer companies. It could create opportunities. So I think going forward the portfolio will be the same. MSRs call rights with mortgage bonds will have a consumer portfolio. I think you’ll see the servicer advance business shrink over business as advance balances continue to get reduced. And then we’ll have a loan business as a result of our call strategy, where we keep our delinquent loans. So nothing is really going to change. The equity investment here is more strategic and in alliance with what we think is a good transaction for both companies.

Ken Bruce

Analyst

Great. Thank you for that color. I appreciate it.

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Bose George from KBW. Please go ahead.

Bose George

Analyst

Thanks. Just had a follow-up on Ocwen. What happens to the extent that Ocwen gets downgraded? And do you think this transaction reduces the likelihood of that happening or is it totally dependent?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

I think this is – again, we still need to sign docs, but I think this is great for both companies. I really do. I think it helps Ocwen a ton. It takes the noise out of the system. It takes all the sinister views out, who is trying to do what to which party. So I’m hopeful, if you think about it, Ocwen getting another $425 million of cash is a great thing for that company. And working together on mutual success should be great, truthfully.

Bose George

Analyst

Okay. So just – but to be clear, I guess, with this increased relationship, I guess, there is less of a need to move anything if there is a downgrade at Ocwen, is that fair?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

Yes, that’s correct.

Bose George

Analyst

Okay, great. And then in terms of closing, when do you expect this to close?

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

Again, we’re working through the night. So I would – we’ll get our legal teams together and begin drafting. But hopefully, over the course of the next number of weeks. Keep in mind, we are working – we’ll begin working together to move the MSRs into our name and that’s happening now or will happen this week. So it’s going to occur. We’re hopeful that we get this wrapped up in Q – what are we in Q2 now, in Q2 to early Q3.

Bose George

Analyst

Okay, great. Thanks.

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

Thanks, Bose.

Operator

Operator

I’ll now turn the call back to Michael Nierenberg, CEO, for closing remarks.

Michael Nierenberg

Analyst

Well, thanks for joining our call. Obviously, a lot of news and a lot of excitement. We will hopefully give more clarity around the Ocwen deal over the next number of days. And I look forward to or we look forward to continuing to do what we can to create shareholder value and success for the company. Have a great day. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today’s conference. You may now disconnect.