Seth Ravin
Analyst · Alliance Global Partners. Your line is now open.
Well, I think, you have to look to the risks too Brian. Again, the positive side of our business is when people need help, when they want to extend the life, when they're looking to cut costs, we are a top level player for that purpose in IT. But we also have to manage downside risk. You know this and I'm sure every single company you talk to, whether it's IT or otherwise, is getting banged on by their customers for discounts, payment terms, right? It's all about cash flow. And so, what we have to always manage here is the careful understanding that we have upside opportunities, but we have to manage the downside risk. Our strong cash position that gives us the flexibility to, for all purposes, finance some customers, right? We can finance them with quarterly payments for this year, where they normally prepay upfront, because we have the cash to do that. So our cash position plays a very strong point in how we navigate this year, because we can offer some flexibility that, again, smaller players don't have the cash position to do. And I think we're going to have to manage through bankruptcies for some of the clients, which is not unusual. We're going to see them, right? You're already seeing them in retail; you're seeing them in travel and leisure. We're going to see more of that. And what we focus in is, bankruptcies that are restructurings, because we're a mission-critical provider, we'll get paid by those customers, because they have to keep payroll systems and other systems running. Those who are going to liquidate, present some downside risk to reserves. But, overall, that's why we're going to play a conservative position, because none of us know how this is going to play out, how bad this virus is going to be, how long the disruption will last. So, again, I look at this and I say we have all this upside potential. We have to manage the downside risk in the economic world today. And we believe the upside outweighs the downside, from our perspective. But we're going to play conservative, that's why we reaffirmed guidance. I know a lot of companies have eliminated guidance completely. We're reaffirming guidance and we're providing quarterly guidance, because we have confidence in understanding our number. We're confident in the size of our recurring revenue base and we talked about the fact that 70% plus of our recurring revenue stream is committed for 12 months or longer. So those provide the stability and basis for us to have the clarity to move forward with a guidance position, but we're not going to step out there with things we just don't know at this point.