Fred R. Donner - Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Analyst · UBS
Thanks Bill and good morning everyone. After the market closed last evening, we reported operating income for the quarter of $148 million or $2.21 per share. We achieved the 21% annualized operating return on common equity and grew our book value per share by almost 3%, including the impact of our share repurchases. Overall, our top-line declined by 17% for the quarter, driven primarily by our disciplined underwriting approach in this softening market. However, our underwriting profits remained strong and we generated a 51% combined ratio benefiting from another quarter of low level of insured events. Let me move on to the segment operating results, starting with the catastrophe unit of our reinsurance segment. Our catastrophe unit generated gross written premiums of $364 million, as compared to $399 billion [ph] for the same period last year. On a managed basis, our premiums were down about 7%, which is in line with our full year forecast of down approximately 10%. Underwriting income during the quarter for our cat unit amounted to $123 million, up from $74 million for the same period last year. This period’s results were favorably impacted by a lower level of current year losses, compared with last year's results that, as you may recall, included the impact of windstorm Kyrill. Our expense ratio is 11% versus 18% last year, driven by a decrease in acquisition expenses resulting from higher profit commissions on ceded business. Overall, we generated a combined ratio of 29% versus 63% for the same period last year. In our specialty unit, gross premiums written was $80 million versus $117 million last year. The decrease results from continuing softening and our decision not to renew certain contracts given the present market conditions, in addition to certain clients electing to retain more risk. But, we still believe our full year gross premiums written in this unit would be down approximately 25%, there is some uncertainty, given the fact that specialties impacted by a relatively small number of large transactions. For the quarter, underwriting income was $23 million versus $42 million last year. This year's results reflect a higher level of current year losses and a lower level of favorable loss development. Our individual risk business unit produced gross written premiums of $81 million, compared to $123 million for the first quarter of '07. The decline is a reflection of our decision to reduce participation on certain commercial property and personnel property reinsurance treaties last year, combined with overall softening market conditions. The individual risk segment top-line is somewhat lumpy and with the additional of two new programs late last year and the anticipated growth in our multi-peril crop business, at this time, we continue to feel comfortable with our top-line forecast of down 5% for the full year. Favorable development amounted to $22 million this quarter, of which $16 million relates to the 2007 crop year. We closed at our 2007 crop year this quarter, and it came a little better than expected, earning about $3 million to underwriting income. Our results reflect this on a gross basis as favorable development of $16 million, offset by about $12 million of ceded earned premium. Turning to investment results. It was a fairly choppy quarter in general for the fixed income and equity markets. Recognizing the volatility in our underwriting business, we try to keep things less volatile in our core investment portfolio. For us, managing our overall risk portfolio means taking into account the risk on both sides of the balance sheet. As Neil mentioned, overall, given the market conditions, we are fairly happy with the way the portfolio held up, returning just under 1% for the quarter. We have added to our financial supplement a more detailed breakout of our investment returns. As you can see, our hedge fund and private equity investments were down slightly for the quarter, which is quite a contrast to last year's exceptional first quarter. While this quarter's results were disappointing, we believe these allocations will deliver strong risk adjusted returns over the long term. You may have also noticed the negative returns in the other category of other investments. These are predominantly high-yield investments where we hold shares in a fund structure. So, we classify them as other investments and net investment income includes both realized and unrealized market value changes on them. A large portion of these are in bank loan funds, which had a tough first quarter, but which we believe will offer good risk reward profile going forward. Lastly, we have added some additional disclosure to our earnings release on our securitized asset holdings as of the end of March. We have disclosed in the past our holdings by rating, but recognizing that there is a broad spectrum of securitized assets rated AAA, we've provided some additional detail this quarter. As you can see, we have selectively added to our holdings of highly rated securitized assets over the last 12 months. Taking our allocation to MBS and ABS from 13% to 28%. But, we have been deliberate in terms of where have invested. We only own AAA rated tranches, and our investment portfolio is not positioned to have direct subprime exposures, and we do not directly hold CDOs or CLOs. We have not directly invested in any home equity loan sector and we have not purchased securities wrapped by financial guarantee companies. Roughly, 70% of our MBS exposure is to agency mortgages, and we have a balanced distribution across vintages. In CMBS and non-agency mortgages, 60% of what we own is 2005 vintage or prior. In terms of the overall portfolio, we remain conservatively positioned with over 90% of the portfolio rated AA or higher. We are also continuing to maintain a shorter duration of just under two years and we are comfortable with the expected risk reward construction of the portfolio. In these volatile markets, we believe we are well positioned to expect adequate returns with an appropriate risk adjusted basis. Let me turn now to income tax expense. As you all know, we have incurred $8 million of tax expense this quarter. During the first quarter last year, we maintained a valuation allowance relating to our net deferred tax asset. As a result, tax expense was reduced last year by a reduction in our allowance. At year-end 2007, we substantially reduced the valuation allowance, as we are profitable in the United States and our financial statements are now reflecting the income tax expense incurred by our profitable US operations. And lastly, during the quarter, we purchased approximately 4.3 million common shares at an aggregate cost of approximately $240 million. Since we began our program in the first quarter of 2007, we have repurchased approximately 8.3 million shares representing about 12% of our outstanding shares. Our philosophy around capital management has not changed. We will continue to manage capital properly across the market cycle and we will continue to buyback our stock when we believe the prices are attractive. Thank you, and with that I'll turn the call back over to Neill.