Sumant Sinha
Analyst · Bernstein.
Yes, so Nikhil, so far we haven't seen a significant change in behavior, but especially the second event is likely to have an impact. Because if in fact, let's say if I win a project today that is going to be commissioned three, four years from now after the full transmission charge has been empty-leveed, and therefore as a buyer of that power I have to pay, let's say, a INR50 for the transmission charge. Then I have to add that to the pure generation charge or the bidding tariff. Now, in a number of cases, that number may end up being more than if I were to produce that power in my own state. And therefore, there will be different views that different states will emerge with. One set of states will say, you know what, it does makes me no sense for me to buy from some other state. I'll do it within my own state, right? And a second set of states, even despite the transmission charge, will still not be competitive. Or the land cost may be too high, or there may be some other costs that I may set that don't compensate them. So for them, the cost will just go up of purchasing renewable energy and there's nothing that can be done about that. But as a result of this, in some of the states which have reasonably good renewable energy resource, but which is not the best, there they may be the development of an STU-based market or an intrastate connectivity-based approach. Now some of those states like Gujarat for example, may have a relatively good enough off-taker credit quality that they will be able to do intrastate bids. But there may be others that may not have a good enough credit quality. And therefore, they may have to get the bidding agency to do state specific bids where the bids are set up for the STU within those state governments. And we've seen things like that in the past when Rajasthan for example had done a second big [Technical Difficulty] in Rajasthan for the local market. So we could have that kind of thing. So what will happen is that there will be a shift in some of the non- [Indiscernible] RE rich states where they start doing own procurement from within their own state. And therefore, we are now looking at how we need to shift our own connectivity strategy to make sure that we block reasonable amount of good sites in state government, even though on an absolute basis they may be more expensive than putting a project let’s say in Rajasthan, no indicator solar. But with the transmission charges it may not be viable. So those are the kinds of things that we are now working on to figure out exactly how this whole dynamic is going to change the spread of renewable energy projects across the country. And basically working to fix our development strategy along with that.