Jeff Ventura
Analyst · Stifel. Your line is open.
Yes. Well, I think in terms of on the macro side we saw it even in Europe last summer. With the hard push with Europeans towards the wind and solar and the issues I had last summer and basically needing more gas, and even if you roll back over the last decade countries like Germany shutting that post Fukushima shutting down nuclear and moving away from coal and pushing in the wind and solar and realizing, yes, they had a big need for natural gas. And then of course, with the tragedy in Ukraine now having the source of your supply, an ethical source and shortage of supply and all those types of things are critical. So that, I think really increases the call on gas from the U.S. for LNG. Fortunately, the U.S. as I'm mentioned in the call notes, U.S. with the discovery of the Marcellus Utica/Point Pleasant is now has the largest producing gas field in the world and whereby far the largest producer of gas globally. It's not even close, so I think there would be a bigger call on U.S. gas which will increase demand. The other thing I'd – you've seen is again going back to the crisis in Europe and increased call on U.S. coal, and then in the U.S. less coal to gas or switching away from gas to coal coupled with higher pricing. So, all that I think says more supply, more demand for U.S. gas. Fortunately, we're in the basin that has the largest gas bill. We have the largest core inventory. So, I think we're in a good position and of course you've seen the strip now increase price, not just the front month but really for the next decade gas prices move up. So, we're in a good position. As far as Range for this year clearly, we're at maintenance capital we've said that and we'll stick with that. And Mark talked about the waterfall of capital one, maintenance capital; two, debt reduction; three, shareholder returns, and then but the ability to grow. So, when that's called for, and that'll, then you get into the whole discussion of infrastructure and the timing and all those things which we'll consider in infrastructure by the way, not just in the Marcellus but you're seeing constraints potentially pop up, within a year in the Haynesville and even widening of basins in the Permian on gas takeaway. So, we think we're in a good position call on U.S. demand higher, we have largest core inventory, good relationships with international customers we have contracts, we’ve been in discussion. So, I think we're in a good spot.