Stephen Cootey
Analyst · Goldman Sachs
Thank you, operator, and good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining us today for Red Rock Resorts Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. Joining me on the call today are Frank and Lorenzo Fertitta, Scott Kreeger and our executive management team. I'd like to remind everyone that our call today will include forward-looking statements under the safe harbor provisions of the United States federal securities laws. Developments and results may differ from those projected. During this call, we will also discuss non-GAAP financial measures. For definitions and complete reconciliation of these figures to GAAP, please refer to the financial tables in our earnings press release, Form 8-K and investor deck, which were filed this afternoon prior to the call. Also, please note that this call is being recorded. Let me begin by highlighting another strong quarter for the company across our key financial and operating metrics. Our Las Vegas operations delivered the highest third quarter net revenue and second highest third quarter adjusted EBITDA in our history while maintaining a near record adjusted EBITDA margin. These results reflect the strength and resilience of our business we have built over the past 5 decades, the consistency of our operating model and our continued focus on operational excellence and disciplined capital allocation. Turning to our third quarter financial results. Our Las Vegas operations generated net revenue of $479.1 million, up 2.3% year-over-year. While adjusted EBITDA was $204.6 million, down 2.3%. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 42.7%, a decrease of 199 basis points from the prior year. On a consolidated basis, net revenue, which includes $6.2 million from North Fork was $488.7 million, up 2.8% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA, which includes $5.1 million from North Fork as well as a onetime $5.8 million expense associated with our 50th anniversary was $182.6 million, down 4.3%. Consolidated adjusted EBITDA margin was 37.4%, a decrease of 277 basis points from the prior year. As part of our 50th anniversary celebration, we were especially proud to make every full-time and part-time team member an owner of our company through the grant of more than $72 million in Class A common stock. This milestone reflects our appreciation for the people who help build Station Casinos for the past 5 decades and reinforces our belief that our team members should share directly in the company's future success. The stock grant will result in approximately $79 million in compensation expense, including noncash stock-based compensation and associated payroll taxes. These costs will be allocated to the respective departments in which our team members work, including approximately $26 million in casino operations, $26 million in food and beverage, $6 million in rooms, $1 million in other operations and $20 million in SG&A. These expenses will be reflected in our GAAP operating results, but excluded from adjusted EBITDA. During the quarter, we converted 45% of adjusted EBITDA into operating free cash flow, generating $81.7 million or $0.77 per share. Year-to-date, we have generated $288.4 million of operating free cash flow or $2.75 per share. This consistent cash generation provides us with the flexibility to reinvest in our properties and development pipeline while returning meaningful capital to our shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. Turning to Durango. The property continues to deliver exceptional operating performance despite ongoing construction activity in and around the resort, reinforcing our confidence in the property and validating our broader development strategy. The resort continues to expand the Las Vegas locals gaming market, driving incremental play from existing customers while attracting new guests to the Station Casinos brand. To date, the property has added more than 168,000 new customers to our database while generating increased spend per visit and higher net theoretical win among carded customers in the surrounding market during the quarter. The property's continued performance supported by strong residential growth in Southwest Las Vegas, only reinforces our confidence in the long-term opportunity at Durango. Building on this success, construction of the Durango North expansion continues to advance with an anticipated opening in the third quarter of 2027. The project will add more than 275,000 square feet on the north side of the property, including nearly 400 additional slot machines and other gaming offerings, including a state-of-the-art bingo room and dedicated Keno lounge. The expanded podium will also add an exciting collection of new dining and beverage and entertainment venues, highlighted by a local Chinese favorite, an internationally acclaimed Italian restaurant and our partnership with Moonshine Flats, which will bring its signature Country Western bar and live music concept to Las Vegas for the first time. The expansion will also feature a first-to-market entertainment center, combining premium recreational amenities designed to drive repeat visitation and create a vibrant social destination on the north side of the property. Highlights include a 36-lane bowling facility and diner, luxury movie theaters, a 3-course miniature golf destination and a collection of interactive entertainment experiences, including golf simulators, karaoke, arcade games and other social gaming offerings complemented by multiple food and beverage offerings. As a result of these enhancements to the project scope, we revised our total estimated investment to approximately $430 million. While the estimated cost has increased, we remain confident in the project's underlying economics and our ability to achieve our targeted 20% return on investment over time. Turning to our broader operating performance. We continue to see healthy underlying trends across our gaming business during the quarter. Our core properties performed well, supported by increased carded spend per visit and higher net theoretical win across our local, regional and national customer segments. These trends contributed to the highest third quarter gaming revenue and second highest third quarter profitability in our company's history. Our hotel, food and beverage divisions delivered solid results, reflecting healthy underlying demand across both businesses. Our hotel division generated revenue growth despite a reduction of more than 4,500 available room nights at Green Valley Ranch. This performance was supported by higher portfolio-wide average daily rates and guest demand for the newly renovated rooms at Green Valley. Not to be outdone, our Food and Beverage division delivered its highest third quarter revenue in the company's history, benefiting from increased guest volumes and higher average check sizes. Looking ahead to the fourth quarter, we continue to see stable trends in our core slot and table business and within our carded database. While ongoing construction at Durango and Sunset Station, along with the continued road work along the 215 Beltway creates some near-term disruption, we remain focused on minimizing these impacts as we complete investments designed to enhance the guest experience, strengthen our competitive position and generate attractive long-term returns. Now let's cover a few balance sheet and capital items. The company's cash and cash equivalents at the end of the third quarter was $128.3 million, and the total principal amount of debt outstanding was $3.7 billion, resulting in net debt of $3.6 billion. As of the end of the quarter, the company's net debt-to-EBITDA ratio was 4.4x. During the quarter, we made a total distribution of approximately $29.2 million to the LLC unitholders of Station Holdco, including a distribution of approximately $17.3 million to Red Rock Resorts. The company used its portion of the distribution to fund its previously declared quarterly dividend of $0.26 per Class A common share and to fund a portion of the repurchase of approximately 470,000 Class A common shares at an average price of $56.94 per share under its previously announced $900 million share repurchase program. When combined the dividends and the share repurchases made during the year, we have returned approximately $252.5 million to our shareholders. Last month, we also completed a $500 million add-on to the company's existing Term Loan B credit facility on the same terms as our original facility. The proceeds were used to repay the outstanding borrowings under our revolving credit facility, reducing its balance to 0, pay related fees and expenses and for general corporate purposes. This transaction further strengthens our liquidity position and enhances our financial flexibility. Turning to capital expenditures. During the quarter, we invested $199.1 million, consisting of $164.5 million in investment capital and $34 million in maintenance capital. This brings our year-to-date capital expenditures to $456.1 million, including $346.1 million in investment capital and $110 million in maintenance capital. For the full year 2026, we now expect capital expenditures of approximately $550 million to $570 million, including $425 million to $435 million in investment capital and $125 million to $135 million in maintenance capital. This increase from our previous guidance primarily reflects construction delays and cost overruns with the recently completed hotel and convention renovation at Green Valley Ranch, enhancements to the scope of the Durango North expansion and accelerated pace of construction activity and associated payments across all of our development projects. Despite these increases, we remain confident in the underlying economics of our investments and our ability to generate attractive long-term returns. In addition to our continued investment in Durango, we are making significant investments in our Sunset Station and Green Valley Ranch properties. At Sunset Station, we continue to make excellent progress on our comprehensive redevelopment program. Both the newly renovated Gaudi Bar and Stoney's Rockin' Country are now open and have been met with positive customer feedback, reinforcing our confidence in the investment and the underlying demand at the property. Looking ahead, we expect to open Leticia's Cocina & Cantina Sunset Bar and our new state-of-the-art bingo room later this quarter, further enhancing the property's dining and gaming offerings. We are also preparing to begin construction on the centerpiece of the Sunset redevelopment, a new premium steakhouse and high limit slot and table game areas. This final phase of the project leverages a proven strategy that has consistently generated strong returns across our portfolio. The project remains on budget at approximately $87 million with remaining amenities expected to be completed by mid-2027. At Green Valley Ranch, we have completed the comprehensive renovation of our hotel guest room suites and convention spaces. While still early, customer feedback has been overwhelmingly positive and initial results have been encouraging, reinforcing our confidence in the investment. With the completion of this project, Green Valley Ranch now offers one of the finest hotel products in Las Vegas Valley, complementing our recently renovated high-limit slot and table game areas and further strengthening its position as one of Southern Nevada's premier integrated resorts. Turning to North Fork. We are extremely pleased to announce that the property is officially opened for business on October 27, marking a significant milestone for the Tribe and our company. The approximate $700 million development was completed on budget and features more than 2,400 slot machines, 40 table games and a comprehensive food and beverage offering, establishing a significant new gaming and entertainment destination in California Central Valley. Initial customer feedback has been overwhelmingly positive and demand has been strong as the property continues to ramp operations. Importantly, with the property now open, we are beginning to realize the financial benefits of this investment. Under our 7-year management agreement with the Tribe, we expect to receive our first management fee later this month. We have also received $26 million, representing the first installment of the development fee owed to us under the development agreement with the Tribe. In addition, our outstanding development note, which has a balance of approximately $86 million, has transitioned to cash pay principal and interest, providing another source of recurring cash flow. As we look ahead, we remain confident in the strength and resilience of our business model and the long opportunities across our portfolio. Our recent capital investments continue to perform well, reinforcing our disciplined approach to reinvesting in our existing assets while advancing our development pipeline. The continued success at Durango validates our long-term growth strategy and highlights the embedded value of more than 450 acres of owned development land in some of the most attractive submarkets across the Las Vegas Valley. Together, our portfolio of best-in-class assets and unmatched development pipeline position us to capitalize on the very favorable demographic trends and high barriers to entry that define the Las Vegas locals gaming market, creating substantial opportunities for long-term growth and shareholder value. Before we wrap up, I'd like to sincerely thank all of our team members for their continued hard work, dedication and commitment to delivering exceptional guest experiences every day. They are the foundation of the company's success and the driving force behind the results we continue to achieve. Finally, we want to extend our heartfelt gratitude to our loyal guests and the communities we proudly serve. Their continued trust and support are fundamental to our success. As we look ahead, we remain committed to investing in our team members, our properties and our communities while delivering exceptional experiences for our guests and creating lasting value to our shareholders. And with that, operator, we would be happy to turn the line over to questions.