Earnings Labs

SAP SE (SAP)

Q2 2019 Earnings Call· Thu, Jul 18, 2019

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and welcome to the SAP Q2 2019 Half Year Earnings Conference Call. Today's conference is being recorded. And at this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Mr. Stefan Gruber, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir.

Stefan Gruber

Head of Investor Relations

Thank you. Good morning or good afternoon. This is Stefan Gruber, Head of Investor Relations SAP. Thank you for joining us to discuss our results for the second quarter 2019. I’m joined by our CEO, Bill McDermott; and Luka Mucic, our CFO who will both make opening remarks on the call today. Also joining us for Q&A are board members Adaire Fox-Martin, President of our Global Customer Operations; Jennifer Morgan, President of our Cloud Business Group; and Christian Klein, our COO who leads Intelligent Enterprise Group. Before we get started, I would like to say a few words about forward-looking statements and our use of non-IFRS financial measures. Any statements made during this call that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements as defined in the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Words such as anticipate, believe, estimate, expect, forecast, intend, may, plan, project, predict, should, outlook and will and similar expressions as they relate to SAP are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. SAP undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements. All forward-looking statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from expectations. The factors that could affect SAP's future financial results are discussed more fully in our filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, the SEC, including SAP's Annual Report on form 20-F for 2018 filed with the SEC on February 28, 2019. Participants of this call are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of their dates. On our Investor Relations Web site you can find our quarterly statement, our half year report and a financial summary slide deck, which are intended to supplement our prepared remarks on this call today and include a reconciliation from our non-IFRS numbers to IFRS numbers. Unless otherwise noted, all financial numbers referred to on this conference call are non-IFRS and growth rates and percentage point changes are non-IFRS as reported year-over-year. The non-IFRS financial measures we provide should not be considered as a substitute for or superior to the measures of financial performance prepared in accordance with IFRS. Now looking forward to the end of the year, on November 12, we will hold a special Capital Markets Day in New York City. Here our senior executives will lay out the details of several new initiatives to create and accelerate operational excellence and value creation. We are looking forward to seeing you there. And with that, I'd like to turn things over to our CEO, Bill McDermott.

Bill McDermott

CEO

Thank you, Stefan. Good morning and thanks to everyone for joining today's call. SAP’s strong first half puts the company in position to deliver on our targets for the full year. Thanks to the continued trust of our customers, we are a profitable growth company. The key growth drivers performed as we expected they would in the first half, giving us enormous confidence in our top line for years to come. We’re also a disciplined, value creation company since we issued our revised margin aspirations in April, we’ve already made progress. SAP will deliver significant shareholder value as we target approximately 500 basis points of margin improvement by 2023. So let’s a look at some of the details before Luka gives you the overall financials. In Q2, we delivered a solid double-digit growth quarter across the board. Cloud revenue was up 40% growing faster than key competitors. Both cloud and software revenue and total revenue also grew in double digits, as software license overall was good even with the minor headwinds in Asia due to trade uncertainties which did postpone some deals and specifically we didn’t get everything we wanted in Asia. I’m going to expand on that in a minute, but don’t worry about it. Let me start off with that. The clear headline for Q2 is that SAP continued to grow fast in the cloud and it was driven by experienced management as the real, real catalyst. IDC and other analysts have said XM is the new frontier and we actually agree with that. XM is also the new frontend to every segment in the enterprise application software industry, including HCM, CRM, ERP and beyond. The concept of category creation is actually worth discussing here. Since 2000, there were 4,500 companies in the IT industry that were founded…

Luka Mucic

CFO

Yes. Thank you very much, Bill. Let me start by echoing Bill’s comments that the fundamentals of SAP are very strong. Just look at our cloud momentum. We have now grown our cloud revenue at 40% or higher in the last four quarters. That’s impressive for a company at our scale. I’m also pleased that our operational excellence measures have allowed us to achieve double digit non-IFRS operating profit growth. This is also remarkable considering our second quarter revenue in software was impacted by the recent short-term trade-related uncertainty in Asia. Let me now provide you with some background on the key drivers behind this quarter. First, both cloud and software revenue as well as total revenue grew 11% this quarter. Cloud revenue was obviously again a big driver of this. Our cloud revenue surged 40% and as Bill said we saw an amazing performance of our Qualtrics Experience Management solutions. New cloud bookings were up 17% to €494 million and up 27% excluding our infrastructure-as-a-service business. Our customers are doing more infrastructure-as-a-service business directly with our hyperscaler partners. This is a good trend for SAP as it is positive for the margin profile of our cloud business. And you can already see that immediate positive effect on our cloud gross margin this quarter, which I’ll talk about in a few minutes. In addition, as Bill mentioned, our SuccessFactors offerings had strong double digit bookings growth driven by rapid early adoption of Qualtrics employee experience. Software license and support revenue continues to grow at a solid 2% in the second quarter even with the well publicized global trade effect. If you look through the half year numbers, we had a great 4% growth performance in our rock solid cloud business. Our business is also becoming increasingly resilient as Bill said…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. We will take our first question from Walter Pritchard with Citi. Please go ahead.

Walter Pritchard

Analyst · Citi. Please go ahead

Hi. Thanks. I think everybody understands the impact from the hyperscalers qualitatively. Could you help us understand as we look forward in the year how much on the IR side we expect to see the hyperscaler – shift to hyperscalers impact to cloud business and does that impact at all your longer-term goals around cloud?

Bill McDermott

CEO

Yes, just to kind of net it out. The hyperscalers will be a growth opportunity for SAP. The SAP cloud platform is at a mature phase now where it can grow into the hyperscaler environment that will lead the customer to many more of the cloud-based solutions that SAP offers and that is the factor that probably no one out there is counting on, but it’s coming. And secondly, the HANA Enterprise Cloud now is being run by some real pros. So instead of a low margin business that was uninteresting financially, it’s now improving steadily and you’re already over 22% with the margin performance of HEC and it will get into the mid-30s. And it’s actually performing at a quality standard commensurate with the hyperscalers now. It wasn’t always. It is now. We have turned back on the valve. Many of our customers want the white-glove treatment that comes along with their complete portfolio of SAP solutions and they want the HEC, and they are going to get it. The HEC is the HANA Enterprise Cloud. Similarly, many of our customers have migrated and will migrate to the hyperscalers and we’re very well positioned. And I think what you’re not counting on is just how much cloud revenue will come SAP’s way by leaning in to those strategic partnerships. So to be very clear, the bookings scenario in the company is ever strong, the pipelines are entirely commensurate with what you would expect and what we guided for and count on the cloud to come through in the bookings and the revenue in the backend of the year, command performance in the cloud on its way.

Stefan Gruber

Head of Investor Relations

Thank you. Let’s take the next question please.

Operator

Operator

We will take our next question from Charles Brennan with Credit Suisse.

Charles Brennan

Analyst · Credit Suisse

Great. Thanks very much for taking the question. Can we just drill into what feels like it’s been a bit of revenue weakness during the quarter? I know you called out the trade wars in Asia, but can you just remind us are the Asian customers primarily on-premise or does that also impact the cloud? And if it’s not the Asian customers who are impacting the cloud bookings, what’s the bottleneck that’s holding the cloud bookings back to high teens on an organic basis? Thank you.

Bill McDermott

CEO

Yes, a couple of things. First of all, the Asian market is fine. China in this particular quarter wasn’t as strong as we’re used to seeing China. China usually grows steeply in both the on-premise and the cloud and there was postponed decisions in China, so we did see that. What you’re seeing in this environment is there are a lot of companies that were manufacturing things in China that are actually moving supply chains and manufacturing facilities to alternative locations. Those locations include places like Malaysia, Vietnam and even Mexico. So while that dislocation takes place, it does impact Asia to some extent, China specifically. So that’s the scenario. And then what you do is you go in and look at, okay, well, what did the pipeline do post quarter? Because don’t forget we ended the quarter on a Sunday, on June 30, and the G20 discussion was happening at the end of that week in Japan. So there was a lot of people hovering for the outcome of G20 in terms of some of their strategic goals. Most of those deals that were hanging out there have either closed or the Bill of Materials has expanded because when you change the supply chain, you open up a new manufacturing facility, you start operations in a new geography even if it’s in the similar region, you have governance, you have compliance, you have many things to consider and I think that’s one of the reasons why our digital supply chain cloud business grew in triple digits, because many of the customers are now counting on SAP to help them. So that’s the big picture. And as I look at Q3 on a pipeline and a forecasted level in that region, right now I have Adaire sitting next to me if she’d like to make some color commentary, she’s more than welcome. Everything looks very strong. The coverage that we have in the pipeline is as good if not better than it’s been all year long. Adaire?

Adaire Fox-Martin

Analyst · Credit Suisse

Thanks, Bill. Certainly as we enter Q3, we’re entering it with a multiple of coverage but also more importantly with a conversion history in this quarter and that will ensure a good outcome for us in terms of our business in Asia. And I think when I look at SAP’s position there, of course the supply chain impact was significant on our China business but we’ve got to remember we’ve been in Asia-Pacific Japan for 30 years now. We have very strong teams and very strong businesses across the region which allows us to support our customers as they move these manufacturing capabilities into other regions. And we are now working with those customers to delay some of those decisions to provide both commercial flexibility and certainty, and from an SAP perspective in the place of what is political and economic uncertainty. So we’re very comfortable as we move into Q3 that we will be able to manage those transactions that did not happen in Q2 but also deliver a very strong Q3 from Asia for the company.

Charles Brennan

Analyst · Credit Suisse

Are you able to give us a quantification of the revenue slippage from Q2 into Q3?

Bill McDermott

CEO

You can basically look at the – the only thing you can point out, right, is the license. You were negative 5 or negative 6 depending on what currency you want to look at it instead of flat or up or down 2. And you can attribute it to that region primarily. So that’s why we’re talking about Asia today. But you got to remember, these are a few percentage points. If you look at Q2 last year, put the global trade thing on the shelf for a second, our license in Q2 last year was down 5%. It’s a very similar thing to this year. So you got a lot of things going on in SAP’s Q2. You got SAPPHIRE. You got a Sunday quarter close on June 30. You got the G20. You got the Asia supply chain and manufacturing dislocation. So I wouldn’t react to this because we are reiterating the guidance. The pipeline in Asia is the highest coverage in terms of the pipe to the conversion of the license in the company. So whatever didn’t happen will happen and it will happen at a largest scale Bill of Materials. We’re also very well positioned politically and I think it’s very important in these trying times that companies and their brands and their leadership is highly regarded at the top government offices around the world. And SAP is positioned positively whether it’s Europe, the United States or Asia and specifically China very, very well. Our brand is very highly thought of there and we’ll be in good shape.

Stefan Gruber

Head of Investor Relations

Okay. Thank you. Let’s take the next question please.

Operator

Operator

We will take our next question from Phil Winslow with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

Phil Winslow

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead

Hi. Thanks guys for taking my question. Obviously we spend a lot of time on Asia on the call this quarter, but I want to focus on Europe and Germany in particular and sort of the trends that you’re seeing there. Obviously, industrial production data points have not been great for Germany for several quarters, but SAP keeps delivering this high single digit 10% growth rates. Bill and Adaire too for that matter, when you’re talking to CEOs and customers, what continues to drive that performance in Europe and also particularly Germany?

Bill McDermott

CEO

Phil, thank you for the question. I think it’s pretty well known that the SAP brand is so highly regarded in Europe. Digital transformation SAP is at the epicenter of changing business processes whether it’s the S/4HANA flagship platform or it’s the line of business network and now XM cloud solutions. If you look at Germany, we grew double digits in Germany in our business. And I don’t know too many companies in tech that are growing double digits in Germany. And our core business is rock solid in Germany and our cloud business is doing extremely well. Again, I’m on the European roundtable. I think I might be the only American on the European roundtable running a substantially sized company. I also enjoy that in the business roundtable in the United States and I can tell you that SAP is revered in Europe. And one of the examples I gave on the Experience Management side was Merck. You can’t talk to a CEO in Germany, France, the UK or anywhere else that isn’t talking about SAP HANA, S/4HANA, the cloud connections and now especially Experience Management. Don’t forget we’re in a big omni-channel e-commerce world. It’s mass personalization at scale. Europe is very concerned with privacy of consumers. We’re the British standard institute platinum example of a company that protects the data of the customer and the consumer. And in Europe, especially Germany since you mentioned it, that’s a really big deal. So, again, SAP pristine reputation and we’ll continue to do very well and double digit is absolutely where we need to be in Europe and we’ll stay there.

Adaire Fox-Martin

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead

I feel very comfortable and very positive about our business in Europe and in Germany in particular. We have a very strong installed base in the German market. And a number of our larger transactions this quarter were transactions that were transformation in nature, transactions that were moving our customers to the next generation of SAP software and transactions that were taking into consideration how Experience Management could add to the business outcomes of those consumers. We have a strong team right across Europe with tenure and we have deep relationships with many of our customers. So we’re looking forward to the on-growing migration of our customers in Europe to next-generation technology and next-generation experiences for their customers in the market.

Stefan Gruber

Head of Investor Relations

Okay. Thank you. Let’s take our next question please.

Phil Winslow

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead

Thanks for the color, guys.

Bill McDermott

CEO

Thank you, Phil.

Operator

Operator

We will take our next question from Stacy Pollard with JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Stacy Pollard

Analyst · JPMorgan. Please go ahead

Hi. Thank you very much. Just looking at networks slowed to 17% constant currency growth in Q2. Can you give some product trends there, maybe say where the weakness is coming from or relative weakness and then is teen a sustainable range or do you think it could get back up to above 20?

Jennifer Morgan

Analyst · JPMorgan. Please go ahead

This is Jennifer. So in our business I feel really good about the intelligence spend. I don’t think that there’s anything to be concerned about. A couple of the Ariba deals slipped into the first, second week of July. But we feel really good about where we’re going with the network business. We’ve got some great innovation underway and we’ll be talking about that a little bit more at our Capital Markets Day. So we feel very good about the direction of that and the growth.

Bill McDermott

CEO

And Stacy, one thing – one thing that’s very important, Stacy, Fieldglass is doing great and Concur is the bellwether of all cloud assets in the network and it’s doing very, very well. So there is no reason to think that this thing is slowing down. It’s going to be ever steady. And I think you’re going to actually see the growth rate tick up in the Q3 and Q4 timeframe as well.

Jennifer Morgan

Analyst · JPMorgan. Please go ahead

Yes, especially over here in Asia. Concur really blew it out in Q2 over here in Japan. I’m in Singapore right now and we’re doing some pretty interesting partnerships with some of the banks that we’re working with. So we’re excited to share more of that at the Capital Markets Day with what we’re doing with the network.

Stefan Gruber

Head of Investor Relations

Thank you very much.

Stacy Pollard

Analyst · JPMorgan. Please go ahead

Very useful. Thank you.

Stefan Gruber

Head of Investor Relations

Thank you. Let’s take the next question please.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Adam Wood with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

Adam Wood

Analyst · Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead

Hi, Bill. Hi, Luka. Thanks for taking the question. I’ve got two if I could. Just first of all on margins, margins are flat on a constant currency basis in the first half. I think if I look at the implied guidance, we’re looking for maybe a 60 basis point improvement for the year. Luka, could you just maybe talk a little bit of how you feel about that and maybe help us with the phasing of how restructuring benefits start to flow through to P&L? Did we see most of that already in the second quarter? Do we see more of that through the full year? And maybe the same on the cloud side, do we have most of the benefits already in the P&L or is there more to come? So just help us on the linearity and how you feel about where you are this year versus the full year guide on margins, that would be great? And kind of linked to that, Bill, obviously you’ve got some fantastic opportunities around cloud and particularly bringing Qualtrics into the business and broadening that out. Could you just talk a little bit as a CEO how you balance driving the efficiency in the business and driving margins higher while making sure you’re not cutting things that are important to take advantage of the opportunities, things like Qualtrics bring? Thank you.

Bill McDermott

CEO

Why don’t I go first and then we’ll finish up on the important financial questions with Luka because I think it’s a really important question that you asked. Very clearly SAP is a growth company, okay, and we are going to remain a growth company. And the way I look at growth, I look at HANA as the biggest best kept secret of all time. We’re going after the database market with all we have. I look at S/4HANA as the flagship platform. We’ve got lots more growth coming with S/4HANA especially as more and more of it comes in the cloud. We have a new release in Q4. We’ll start marketing it in Q3. We’re going after the upper market and the large enterprise and that hasn’t even taken off yet. And meanwhile we get 50% of our customers as net new. When I think about the line of business, the network Experience Management, we’ve only scratched the surface. With Qualtrics as the frontend to employee, to customer, to this whole idea of brand and ERP, it’s going to set the world on fire. It’s a sensational breakthrough in the way companies can now think of the world from the outside in instead of the inside out and we have the fundamental tools to enable business model innovation at mass scale for companies and individual consumers alike. Huge growth story. Now, blending that with efficiency we will not be hiring people that do not develop software in SAP. They have to develop software. They do not necessarily have to be domicile in Germany or the United States for that matter. We can develop software with the greatest minds in the world and we can do that where the work needs to be done where the best people are, and…

Adam Wood

Analyst · Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead

Yes, that’s great. Thank you, Bill.

Bill McDermott

CEO

My pleasure.

Luka Mucic

CFO

Then let me complete the answer with the margin progression and let’s be clear. First of all, we have very confidently reiterated our guidance for the full year, so you can absolutely take it for granted that we will see the implied margin increases that are implied in this guidance. We are getting started right now. And in the first half year we still had to fight a couple of headwinds from the acquisition front while at the same time the benefits from our restructuring program are really only now starting to trickle in. Actually, the lion’s share of the improvement will come towards the far end of the year and then going into 2020. We always believed that the margin uptick in 2019 would be more pronounced in the second half year; first of all, because of the operational excellence initiatives needing sometime to kick in, but equally importantly because the bar is getting lower in the second half year as well. If you remember in the second half of 2018, we didn’t necessarily have the best progress and best growth rates from the profit and margin perspective. Now we have set up our cost base. In particular, in the cloud, we have focused hiring on those areas where we can really add value, we have been extremely disciplined and therefore entering the second half year with a much better opportunity coupled also with the relatively lower comparisons on the software license figure in particular in Q3 to really outperform and therefore grow the margin. Similarly on the cloud, no, of course we are not seeing the end of the journey in terms of our efficiency improvement potential. Actually, it’s the beginning as well. We have been extremely successful through centralizing cloud delivery and our infrastructure portfolio management including…

Adam Wood

Analyst · Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead

Brilliant. Thank you very much for the detail, Luka. I appreciate it.

Luka Mucic

CFO

Thank you, Adam.

Stefan Gruber

Head of Investor Relations

Thank you. Let’s move to the next question please.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Mohammed Moawalla with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

Mohammed Moawalla

Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead

Great. Thank you very much. Firstly, Bill, can you just give us an update on sort of the cross-selling of Qualtrics, where you are in terms of pipelines and sort of how quickly should we start to see this sort of getting unlocked and where you see the sort of biggest opportunities in the near term? Second point was just to clarify what you said regarding the infrastructure revenue in the cloud that was sort of go-away [ph]. Just to clarify, you will be able to fully offset with incremental revenue from sort of the HANA cloud platform sales, could you clarify that? And then thirdly for Luka, are we still on track in terms of the migration of Ariba off of Oracle? And I assume the bulk of that benefit is still ahead of us in terms of gross margin in 2020, but when do you expect that migration to happen and the first quarterly benefit of that to come through? Thank you.

Bill McDermott

CEO

Thank you very much for the question, Mohammed. What I’ll try to do is kind of give you the big picture on Qualtrics. Jennifer Morgan can build on that. I will also start off answering your question on the infrastructure side by saying very clearly, the bookings and the cloud growth trajectory of SAP will continue at the robust cliff you are accustomed to. You can say in certain cases the lure of large numbers, but I can also say there’s very large geographies that are still unconquered with solutions already in our portfolio. And don’t forget, S/4HANA we’re driving an organic growth strategy in this company and we will take the S/4HANA road show in the cloud all over the world and that is going to be big. Don’t forget also HANA as a service will be hitting hyperscaler clouds near you and it’s a whole new vector of growth along with analytics. And on the SAP cloud platform there will be a tremendous opportunity with the SAP cloud platform between that and the upselling opportunity of Experience Management, yes. Any dilutive effect to moving the infrastructure-as-a-service and the Embrace program will be compensated for. And I also want to be clear. I think Q2 is a little of an anomaly on the HEC business in general because we had new management in there who was doing a great job making sure the operational excellence of the performance is at the standard of the hyperscalers at least and also to make sure that the business we put into the HANA Enterprise Cloud was at a margin rate commensurate with our commitment to the mid-70s gross margin that Luka just talked about in the cloud gross margin. So we’re just being a little bit more thoughtful. When you get a little bit more thoughtful, what happens? People say what does this mean and it does slow things down in the HEC business a little bit. But that we’re going to reinforce with the all-hands of the company. The white glove business is wide open for business. The Embrace is wide open for business. The SEP component of that and then also turning on the hyperscalers to illuminate the various solutions in the enterprise of SAP is open for business. And I gave you some color on our flagship products and how we intend to take them to the cloud and rotate them around the global economy to drive the growth machine. So don’t be nervous about SAP’s cloud ambition. It could not possibly be more resilient, perseverant and committed on the part of this management team. I think Jen might want to add some color on Qualtrics and then I think Luka’s got a couple of financial points.

Jennifer Morgan

Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead

Thanks, Bill. So we’re really pleased with the talent and the momentum. There’s kind of three areas where we really see the focus. Number one is Qualtrics has done a fantastic job just continuing on their own pipeline building sales execution and conversion of their pipeline. So that’s been a great source of continued growth. Second is we put a real strong focus of enablement and execution with our SuccessFactors sales team and they have exceeded all expectations we had of that business in Q2. We had great growth in SuccessFactors and I really think much of that was driven by the broader conversation from simply talking about HR systems to really employee experience. So that was fantastic. And then obviously with our CX sales team. So those two sales motions through those special teams have been really great and we exceeded our expectations quite significantly with the synergies of those teams. And then finally just the overall curiosity and excitement from our entire customer base with our global sales teams. And really talking about what Experience Management means how O is the what, X is the why. This past week, Ryan Smith and I were in both Korea and Japan at our SAP select events and those are CEO events. We had several hundred CEOs in both countries and this was the focus. And I can tell you this plays very, very well in Asia when you think about just the foot [ph] Asian brands have already on understanding experience. We had a great week. The pipeline’s off the charts now. We closed our first deals in Korea last week and I think we’re off to a really great start. The state department closed; as Bill said, Merck closed. We closed Chalhoub Group in UAE. So feel really good that we’re continuing to execute individually with Qualtrics as they continue their growth and get great synergies working together with our team and we’ll continue that focus.

Luka Mucic

CFO

And then finally, Mo, just a very quick update on Ariba. So on Ariba all of the applications both on the sourcing and on the procurement side have been migrated successfully by now to HANA, the same for all of the Ariba analytics. We are in process of finalizing the migration for the network element of Ariba. This will also be done this year and this will set us up then for the significant gross margin increase that we also expect through the migration of Ariba off Oracle similar to what you’re seeing now from SuccessFactors. As you know, our target for the intelligent spend group cloud gross margins is to exceed 80% by 2020. Currently, we are at around 78% and that full year benefit from being off Oracle and on HANA in Ariba will be a big component of achieving this gain.

Mohammed Moawalla

Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead

Great. Thank you very much.

Stefan Gruber

Head of Investor Relations

Thank you. We have time for two more questions please.

Operator

Operator

Our next question will come from Michael Briest with UBS. Please go ahead.

Michael Briest

Analyst · UBS. Please go ahead

Thank you. Good afternoon. And I’ll start by congratulating you on the cloud margin performance. Luka, I think at the 2017 CMD you said that SAP would not engage in debt finance buybacks and then SAPPHIRE this year you said that capital returns will be paid for from the higher profitability in the business. Are you ruling out using debt to do further buybacks from here?

Luka Mucic

CFO

As you know, we will update the Capital Markets on our capital allocation policy thoughts and I will give also a clear picture on how we see the cash flow progression for the company for the next few years. So I don’t really want to spend at this point of time any thoughts on taking the fun away from this special Capital Markets Day on November. So you will get a full update there and we are preparing for this properly at this point in time. We’re still under consideration.

Michael Briest

Analyst · UBS. Please go ahead

Okay. Well, maybe I could ask on the maintenance. It grew 2% which is the low end of the historical range. Are you seeing more of a shift now for maintenance customers into the cloud and specifically on S/4 public cloud? Maybe Jennifer could talk about the adoption there either from net new or from installed based customers. Thank you.

Luka Mucic

CFO

Yes. Let me handle the first part with the maintenance profits and then I will actually handover to Christian who is running the S/4 business for some color commentary on the pickup of S/4HANA cloud. So on the maintenance side there is absolutely no change in paradigms, our maintenance at risk rates including the extensions towards cloud or other on-premise solutions are actually below the level that we’re internally planning for. So we are still seeing very high stickiness in the maintenance offering. Why is the growth rate smaller in Q2? Well, you need to look back one year to Q2 in 2018 where we had an exceptional 7% growth in support revenues. That came from the fact that back then we had very, very steep drop in sales allowances due again to a very healthy development of our customer relationships and adoption of our solutions. This level of sales allowances have kept at this low level, but of course therefore the growth that we are seeing sequentially as well as year-over-year is smaller. So our support fundamentals are in great shape and we continue to be right where we wanted to be. And you can see also for the half year with 3% growth, this is very robust. And you absolutely should expect a similar performance for the full year. So nothing more to add on that except for handing over to Christian.

Christian Klein

Analyst · UBS. Please go ahead

Thank you, Luka. Michael, so first of all let me outline. Q2 was definitely one of the best quarters ever for S/4HANA business. And on-premise side we have seen double digit growth. We already surpassed after half year €1 billion license number and this also of course will have a very positive impact on the correlating support revenue. But this also clearly shows that the hybrid strategy we are following is clearly the right one because also we see a very decent business together with [indiscernible] also in the upcoming quarters. So S/4Hanna cloud means this is not any more a small business. When we look at the bookings number, clearly this solution contributed the most new cloud bookings after Concur in Q2. The cloud revenue number already doubled year-over-year and for 2020 we will generate a significant revenue runway for SAP’s cloud subscription revenue stream. There’s a high share of new customers coming and also just to outline to give you an example how broad the solution in the meantime is, we are serving in the meantime over 17 industries, 17 industries and the installed base is growing and growing. On the product side, we will deliver this year over 2,000 new features across 21 end-to-end processes. So this will be clearly the most comprehensive ERP cloud suite by the end of the year. On the AI side, this was always our target to also deliver an innovative cloud suite. We are more than confident that we also can increase the productivity of our S/4 cloud customers in their corporations by at least 20%. And then in Q4, the analytics cloud integration comes, so the real-time integration and then with the real-time steering across the company and Qualtrics will be natively integrated to our S/4 core as well also by Q4. So net-net, we are very confident also for the half year outlook.

Luka Mucic

CFO

And perhaps just to conclude what Christian essentially said now is that by now, the combination of digital supply chain management and S/4 is actually already representing more than 60% of our on-premise license revenues and that is actually very good news because it is stabilizing – this part of the portfolio still grows on on-premise and it will continue to grow while the rest has already to a large extent migrated to the cloud and that will also stabilize our on-premise performance in the quarters and years to come quite nicely. So our midterm projections in terms of negative growth are certainly still prudent.

Michael Briest

Analyst · UBS. Please go ahead

Great. Thank you very much.

Luka Mucic

CFO

Thank you.

Stefan Gruber

Head of Investor Relations

Now we move to the last question please.

Operator

Operator

Our final question will come from Stefan Slowinski with Exane BNP. Please go ahead.

Stefan Slowinski

Analyst · Exane BNP. Please go ahead

Yes, hi. Thanks for taking my questions. Just two kind of related ones; one on growth, one on hiring. So on cloud sales growth, you mentioned the efficiencies in terms of headcount going forward that could create headwinds in terms of your ability to drive growth. So I’m just wondering what kind of organizational or other sales adjustments you’re making that on their own can help you to continue cloud growth? And associated to that outside of the hiring discipline that you’ve outlined, can you give us other examples of steps that are already being taken or already in place as part of the operational excellence program? Thank you.

Bill McDermott

CEO

I’ll comment on the overall cloud sales growth and then I’ll let Luka comment on the efficiency piece of your question, Stefan. A couple of things. We are hiring sales people all over the world. Every day I get a new string of emails on welcoming the next 50 great associates into the company with their pictures and their LinkedIn accounts and just how happy they are to be here. So don’t take anything away from the impression of growth in sales headcount. We will continue to grow S. What we will cut back on is G&A because we have HANA and we have S/4HANA and I think Christian gave you a good account of how great that product is. So it does the work of like thousands of people, okay. So G&A down, S up and that’s kind of where we’re going as a growth company. I also want to make it clear. The members of the executive board are accountable for organic growth. So we have Jennifer Morgan now running the Cloud Business Group. We built some things and we bought some things and the things that we bought she’s accountable for making them even better and growing them around the world, and she has a very specific sales force and pre-sales force that works in conjunction with Adaire Fox-Martin on the global customer operation and this way we can be best of breed and best of suite in the manner in which we manage the customer relationship, so the customer gets the best of both worlds from SAP and the coordination between Jen and Adaire has been longstanding as they both managed global customer operations together and have been friends for a long time. So the other piece is Christian Klein is accountable for the organic development of the S/4HANA flagship and obviously he’s giving you great feedback that it’s going extremely well. And Juergen Mueller has HANA, this whole movement of database as a service and the cloud as well as analytics and Leonardo. And all of these solutions will be front ended by Experience Management as we compose the intelligent enterprise for our customers. So what’s different? I’ll tell you. What’s difference is lots of focus on S, lots of focus on organic innovation, a very disciplined capital allocation strategy, a very brisk pace and our pursuit of 1 point of margin improvement on a per annum basis and holding people accountable for doing a great job and I do mean accountable. So that’s kind of the environment we’re working in. And what I want to do is start talking about revenue per employee and how that metric is going to start growing. So that gives you an indication of how the place is being steered. Luka?

Luka Mucic

CFO

Yes, thanks. And just to complement this, of course just hiring discipline is not a holistic strategy, so we have multiple pillars of operational excellence initiatives that we’re currently working on. Again, I don’t want to go into too much detail here, but just to give you a couple of examples. We’re just currently going through the portfolio round and as I have also talked about at SAPPHIRE, we have various areas of portfolio overlap that we’re currently in the process of rationalizing which will benefit the R&D efficiency, will allow us to continue to invest into developers, but invest that not in a duplicative sense. The cloud efficiency is very, very important and they’re next to the Oracle initiatives we have, be it cloud infrastructure centralization, the benefits and gains that we get from there. We have an excellent perspective example with Qualtrics at the moment. They are running their cloud margins at around 90%, so we are looking deep into architecturally from an operations perspective, from an elasticity perspective what can we learn and adopt and bring over to the rest of the portfolio which is a great opportunity for us as only we can really now deeply inspect this. And then also we have great opportunities on the G&A side that we’re starting to tap into. Obviously G&A at the beginning of the year go a headwind because of the acquisition of Qualtrics and there is plenty of opportunity to bring that down over time. But we are taking, for example, also steps such as lifting and shifting one complete shared service center in the finance area into Manila in the Philippines in a very low cost location. Therefore, you see in G&A a little bit more hiring than you would expect at the moment, but this low cost hiring that once the work is handed over will reside in reductions elsewhere and will benefit us on the G&A side. And again, there are many more examples that are already underway but even more importantly new ones that we’re just in the process of starting that we will be able to talk more about on November 12.

Stefan Slowinski

Analyst · Exane BNP. Please go ahead

Great. Thank you very much for the information and the color, guys.

Bill McDermott

CEO

Thank you for the question.

Stefan Gruber

Head of Investor Relations

Thank you very much. This concludes the second quarter 2019 earnings call of SAP. Thank you all for participating and goodbye.

Bill McDermott

CEO

Thank you, everybody.

Luka Mucic

CFO

Thank you. Goodbye.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today’s conference. Thank you for your participation and you may now disconnect.