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Saratoga Investment Corp. (SAR)

Q4 2022 Earnings Call· Thu, May 5, 2022

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Saratoga Investment Corps Fiscal Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2022 Financial Results Conference Call. Please note that today's call is being recorded. During today's presentation, all parties will be in a listen-only mode. Following management's prepared remarks, we will open the line for questions. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Saratoga Investment Corporation's Chief Financial Officer and Compliance Officer, Mr. Henri Steenkamp. Please go ahead.

Henri Steenkamp

Management

Thank you. I would like to welcome everyone to Saratoga Investment Corp.'s fiscal fourth quarter and fiscal year 2022 earnings conference call. Today's conference call includes forward-looking statements and projections. We ask you to refer to our most recent filings with the SEC for important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements and projections. We do not undertake to update our forward-looking statements unless required to do so by law. Today, we will be referencing a presentation during our call. You can find our fiscal year end and fourth quarter 2022 shareholder presentation in the Events & Presentation section of our Investor Relations website. A link to our IR page is in the earnings press release distributed last night. A replay of this conference call will also be available from 4 PM today through May 12. Please refer to our earnings press release for details. I would now like to turn the call over to our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Christian Oberbeck, who will be making a few introductory remarks.

Christian Oberbeck

Management

Thank you, Henri and welcome everyone. Our fiscal year 2022 and fourth quarter performance continues to reflect the strength and resilience of our financial position and portfolio companies. Despite the current global market volatility and continuation of COVID-19 impacts, we feel very fortunate to have navigated through these challenges thus far and to be in a position to benefit from the upside of the ongoing recovery and substantial increase in market activity. We believe Saratoga continues to be well positioned for potential future economic opportunities as well as challenges. Our existing portfolio companies are performing well, and our current business development pipeline remains robust with positive metrics and term sheets issued and deals executed. Our AUM grew significantly this quarter to $818 million as we originated $164 million and new platforms or follow on investments, offset by $11 million of repayments. Year-to-date saw significant achievement across all growth and credit metrics with record originations of $458 million, net realized gains of $13 million and net unrealized appreciation of $17 million, all contributing to our fiscal 2022 net AUM growth of $263 million and latest 12 months return on equity of 13.9%. Investment gains also demonstrate how our strategy of taking equity positions in our portfolio companies when available and when it makes sense to us has been rewarded. We continue to bring new platform investments onto the portfolio with three added of this fiscal quarter and all originations were made while maintaining the extremely high credit bar we set for all investments. The performance of our existing portfolio also drove our NAV per share growth by 0.5% this quarter to $29.33, again a historical record for the BDC. Notably, this quarter's increase is the 17th increase in the past 19 quarters. To briefly recap the past quarter on Slide 2,…

Henri Steenkamp

Management

Thank you, Chris. Slide 4 highlights our key performance metrics for the fourth quarter ended February 28, 2022. When adjusting for the incentive fee accrual related to net capital gains and the second incentive fee calculation, adjusted NII of $6.4 million dollars was up 4.3% from $6.1 million last quarter, and up 9.9% from $5.8 million, as compared to last year's as Q4. Adjusted NII per share was $0.53, up $0.01 from $0.52 per share last year, and unchanged from last quarter. Across the three quarters weighted average common shares outstanding were $12.0 million for this quarter, $11.4 5 million for last quarter, and $11.2 million for last year's Q4. The equity issuances above NAV we did in Q3 and Q4 under our ATM program resulted in a $0.02 dilution to NII per share this quarter, and reflects the impact to earnings while this capital is still undeployed. The increase in adjusted NII from last year primarily reflects the higher level of investments and resultant high interest and other income, with AUM up 24% since last quarter, offset by lower absolute interest rates with a weighted average current coupon on non-CLO BDC investments decreasing from 9.6% to 8.5% year-over-year. Adjusted NII yield was 7.3%. This yield is down 40 basis points from 7.7% last year and unchanged from 7.3% last quarter. For this fourth quarter, we experienced a net gain on investments of $2.7 million or $0.23 per weighted average share and a $0.1 million realized loss on the repayment of SBIC I debentures or $0.01 per weighted average share, resulting in a total increase in net assets from operations of $8.4 million or $0.70 per share. The $2.7 million dollars net gain on investments was comprised of $0.1 million in net realized gains and $2.9 million in net unrealized…

Michael Grisius

Management

Thank you, Henri. I'll take a couple of minutes to describe our perspective on the current state of the market, and then comment on our current portfolio performance and investment strategy. Since our last update in January, we see market conditions continuing to be very aggressive, exceeding where they were pre-COVID-19 and very much a borrowers market. Liquidity remains abundant. In the first calendar quarter of 2022, we saw high transaction volumes in M&A activity, albeit slightly lower than Q4, but continuing to be extremely robust. We currently have an actionable deal pipeline. Credit yields continue to be tight, with high multiples and low absolute yields. Broadly syndicated loan markets are experiencing much lower volumes year-over-year and rising spreads, but we are not seeing a movement yet in the lower middle market. High demand for quality deals is keeping spreads tight. Pricing and leverage metrics are among the most competitive levels that we've ever seen. Investors continue to differentiate themselves in other ways, such as accelerated timing to close and looser covenant restrictions. Now that said, lenders in our market are still wary of thinly capitalized deals, and for the most part are staying disciplined in terms of minimum aggregate base level of equity and requiring reasonable covenants. We're keeping a watchful eye on how continued inflationary pressures exacerbated by Russia-Ukraine conflict, combined with expected interest rate hikes could affect the credit markets and the economy. Despite this, we have confidence in our strong position entering a possibly different credit and rate environment. Our underwriting bar remains high as usual, yet we continue to find opportunities to deploy capital, as we will discuss shortly. Calendar year 2021 has been an incredibly strong deployment environment for us with a record origination pace. Follow-on investments in existing borrowers with a strong business…

Christian Oberbeck

Management

Thank you, Mike. As outlined on Slide 20, our latest dividend for the quarter ended February 28, 2022 was paid on March 28, 2022. The Board of Directors continue to evaluate the dividend level on at least a quarterly basis considering both company and general economic factors. Moving on to Slide 21, our total return for the last 12 months which includes both capital appreciation and dividends, has generated total returns of 14% in line with the BDC index of 14%. Our longer term performance is outlined on our next slide. Our three and five-year returns place us in the top half of all BDCs for both time horizons. Over the past three years, our 40% return exceeded the 36% return of the index over in the past five years are 91% return greatly exceeded the index's 53% return. On Slide 23 you can further see our outperformance placed in the context of the broader industry and specific to certain key performance metrics. We continue to focus on our long-term metrics such as return on equity, net asset value per share performance, NII yield and dividend growth, which are both consistent and at the top of the industry and reflects the growing value our shareholders are receiving. Not only are we one of the few BDCs to have grown NAV, we have done it accretively by also growing NAV per share 17 of the last 19 quarters. Moving on to Slide 24, all of our initiatives discussed in this call are designed to make Saratoga Investment, a highly competitive BDC that is attractive to the capital markets community. We believe that our differentiated performance characteristics outlined on this slide will help drive the size and quality of our investor base, including adding more institutions. Our differentiating characteristics include maintaining one of the highest levels of management in our industry at 14%. Access to low cost and long-term liquidity with which to support our portfolio and make accretive investments recently increased with our new baby bond issued last week. A triple B+ investment grade rating and active public and private bond issuances, solid historic earnings per share and NII yield, leading historic long-term return on equity, helped with a growing NAV and equity per share, putting us at the top of the industry for growth. High quality return, attractive risk profile. In addition, our historical high credit quality portfolio contains minimal exposure to conventionally cyclical industries, including the oil and gas industry. We remain confident that our experienced management team, historically strong underwriting standards, and time and market tested investment strategy, service well in battling through the challenges in the current and future environment and that our balance sheet, capital structure and liquidity will benefit Saratoga's shareholders in the near and long-term. In closing, I would like to again thank all of our shareholders for their ongoing support and I would like to now open the call for questions.

Operator

Operator

Our first question will come from the line of Mickey Schleien from Ladenburg. Your line is open.

Mickey Schleien

Analyst

Yes, good afternoon, everyone. Hope you're well. Couple of questions. The portfolio looks pretty defensive, but there are some investments, not particularly large, but they are in restaurants, retail and hospitality, which depending on the companies could be more cyclical. So I'm curious whether you're seeing any signs of things slowing down at these companies? And how do you feel about their ability to withstand a potential recession down the road?

Michael Grisius

Management

That's a good question, Mickey, this is Mike. The way we underwrite our portfolio and all of the investments that we make is with a mindset toward thinking about and modeling scenarios where you might go into an environment where there's less demand or there's a correction in consumer demand, for instance, in the industries that that you just referenced. And so we're giving thought to that as we structure the balance sheet, and we structure where we sit on the balance sheet. And the cases that you reference, we feel very strongly, for instance, we've got a couple of restaurant deals that we feel very comfortable with their performance to date, as well as where we sit in the balance sheet relative to the enterprise value. We do have a hospitality deal that is one that we've been focused on and following for some time, one that participates in the hospitality space. But the experience that they're having there is really a reflection of COVID. And I think, as I referenced in the prepared remarks, that is by far and away the industry leader, and so we have a lot of confidence in the prospects of that business over time and feel like when we get through the other end of COVID, it's performance should look more like it was historically. So overall, I think I will say, I say this though, again I want to reiterate every deal that we do, we're looking at the fundamentals of the business, not thinking about where we are in the economy at the time, but always thinking about the fact that it could be during our investment period, that we go through potentially a downturn and so we're very thoughtful in terms of how we construct our debt instruments and where we position ourselves in the balance sheet. As a result, we very much gravitate to businesses that just have very strong fundamentals. They' are the ones where they offer a very compelling value proposition to their customers that we think is sustainable in a variety of markets. They've got a proven track record with really good management teams and strong ownerships, typically very strong margins, and those margins lead to healthy cash flow with which to service and pay down their debt. And generally, they're recession resistant businesses as well. You're not going to see us go into businesses that have lots of volatility associated with them. All businesses can get some impact as a result of recession. But generally, as we look at our portfolio, we feel very good about how it's constructed as you referenced at the beginning.

Mickey Schleien

Analyst

Thanks for that Mike. That's really helpful. My next question is pick maybe a little more high level with, I'm curious about the new senior loan fund. Those are obviously quite popular amongst BDCs to potentially operate these vehicles in a different segment of the credit markets with some more leverage in the BDC itself can usually take on. But you're unique in the sense that you own and manage a CLO, which is effectively a larger form of a senior low fund. So why add the senior loan fund instead of just expanding the CLO business?

Christian Oberbeck

Management

Mickey, maybe I'll answer that. I think there's an element of diversification that occurs there and so that's something that is important, but we also have co-investors. It's another source of diversification in capital. And it's also another source of diversification in time. The cycle for our existing CLO is driven by certain dynamics and call periods and that type of thing. And so this allows us to have more diversification over time.

Mickey Schleien

Analyst

That's helpful, Chris. I understand. And just following up on the CLO, I see that the estimated yield was down to 9.3 on the equity from 11.3 in the previous quarter. And you know, other vehicles in that space are seeing estimated yields in the teens and cash flows north of 20. I know that Henri said in the prepared remarks that the CLO is performing, but are there some credit problems percolating or what's depressing the estimated yield there?

Henri Steenkamp

Management

Yes, hi Mickey, it's Henri. So as you know that yield is sort of an output of the valuation. And it's a weighted average interest rate that gets calculated as an output of sort of how the valuation is doing. And if you look at this past quarter as of February, and a reminder, our measurement period is as of the end of February, what you saw when we did our valuation was that, firstly we made no changes actually to the valuation assumptions. So they were unchanged for last quarter. And when it came to one of the things you assess as part of the valuation assumptions is any assets trading under 80 or 75 or a certain level, the number of assets that we defaulted in the valuation, because they were trading under that level actually remained the same. So it definitely wasn't a reflection of credit. Really the main driver of the unrealized appreciation that you saw in the valuation and when there's unrealized appreciation, the interest rate, which is the output decreases as well, was really all driven by a little bit of a temporary impact of the rising rate environment, because if you recall, what happens is in a CLO the liabilities reprice a lot quicker than the assets firstly, so often assets are either one month or three months repricing, whereas the liabilities reprice immediately. And then secondly, also some of the assets have flows in place and that initial rise in rates through February, if you recall, three-month LIBOR at the end of February was only 50 basis points. So that rise that you saw sort of through the end of February, was not yet through the asset floors. And so the net impact of sort of the timing, and the flows resulted in a reduction in the projected cash flows as of 228. And once those projected cash flows go down in the valuation, that drives the interest rate down as well. So, it's based on what existed at the end of February, it's more of a temporary phenomenon than anything else.

Mickey Schleien

Analyst

Yes, I was just going to ask it sounds like that could reverse itself as interest rates go up? Henri can you just remind us, where are you in the reinvestment period in the CLO?

Henri Steenkamp

Management

We refi-ed it just over a year ago and it is for three years, so the next refi period is in -- I think at the beginning of 2024.

Christian Oberbeck

Management

Oh it is the end of the where you would consider refi-fying it again.

Mickey Schleien

Analyst

I understand. That's it from me this afternoon. Thank you for your time.

Christian Oberbeck

Management

Thanks, Mickey.

Henri Steenkamp

Management

Thanks, Mickey.

Michael Grisius

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question will come from the line of Bryce Row from Hovde Group. You may begin.

Bryce Row

Analyst

Thanks, good afternoon. Let's see, I wanted to just maybe ask about the activity here post quarter end and how you're thinking about the balance sheet, and leverage on the balance sheet, as well as usage of the SBA, the available SBA, I see that you haven't drawn down new SBA debentures with some of this here recent activity and just curious if some of the deals you've done post quarter end would fit the SBIC.

Henri Steenkamp

Management

Yes, I'll go first, Bryce. Hi, there. So yes, we've had quite healthy activity post quarter end and yes, some of that activity related to SBIC qualified investments. So there was some draw downs of our SBA debentures to partially fund that. In addition, we have cash on hand. And then as you probably saw last week, and as you know, last week, we did a we did a baby bond as well, which afforded us the opportunity to lock in a rate for long-term. And in a structure, maybe one structure that from a structuring perspective unsecured long-term we've always liked. So, we're sort of if you think of post quarter end we're using a combination of some of the remaining SBIC debentures as well as cash. And obviously, the new issuance that we did is partially also a reflection of the healthy pipeline that you saw since quarter end and that we still see in the horizon,

Michael Grisius

Management

Well it is post, this is Mike. The post quarter end is really continuation of what you have, the trend that you saw in Q4 where we had a healthy mix of new portfolio companies and since quarter end we've invested in two new portfolio companies and then we've done a number of follow-ons and that's the sort of indicative of what we did in Q4 as well.

Bryce Row

Analyst

Okay, that's helpful and we've added in terms of what you're seeing from kind of a repayment perspective, we saw relatively light repayment activity here in the February quarter. And it looks like so far quarter-to-date relatively light. Is that something you kind of expect to continue here as we look out to the balance of the year?

Michael Grisius

Management

Well, I'll say, go ahead.

Christian Oberbeck

Management

Before you go Mike, I'll just say we certainly hope that would continue, because that's one of the things at least in our control.

Matt Tjaden

Analyst

Exactly. That's, that's, that's the one thing that is, we have no way of really determining precisely. I'd say this though, Bryce. The way we think about it in general, is that 25% to 30% of our portfolio on a normalized basis, is what's likely to turn over in a given year. But having said that, especially someone that's been through so many cycles, I would say that often gets tempered in a rising rate environment, because in a rate environment where spreads are compressing and rates are declining, you have more repayments that may not be as a result of a change of control, but somebody just recapitalizing their balance sheet to take advantage of more aggressive capital markets. I would expect that in this environment, we would see less of that, all else equal and so it's possible that the repayment speeds could be less than that, but very undeterminable. I think that kind of general way we think about. It is 25% to 30% of our portfolio that's likely to turn over is kind of a base case that seems reasonable to us.

Bryce Row

Analyst

Okay. Okay, thanks a lot. I'll jump back in the queue. I appreciate it.

Operator

Operator

Our next question will come from the line of Matt Tjaden from Raymond James.

Matt Tjaden

Analyst

Hey guys, afternoon, and I appreciate you taking my questions. I wanted to follow up on the senior loan fund JV, was wondering if you could give us a sense of targeted size and ROE for the vehicle, as well as kind of timing as to when we could see a dividend from the membership interest piece.

Henri Steenkamp

Management

Sure, hi, Matt. Hope you guys are doing well. Yes so we haven't disclosed all of the sort of the components yet, because it's still early days. This past quarter was the first time that we did investments. And it's around, just from the disclosure that we included in our case, I believe we've made an investment as of about 20, it was like $25 million or so, in total and it's a form of debt and equity. And we're busy ramping up that joint venture. So at the moment, it's still very much sort of in a putting the money to work phase. From an ROE perspective, I mean, obviously for us to do something like a joint venture, and it's our first one that we did. We're thinking that it's more similar to sort of…If you think of the diversity of the different business lines we have, it's most similar to our existing CLO or our existing HVAC investments from an ROE perspective. And that's the reason that we sort of went into this first joint venture for Saratoga.

Matt Tjaden

Analyst

Got it? That's helpful. Maybe to pivot a bit to the origination front, was wondering, given the uncertainty in the economic outlook, what's the appetite for kind of more junior capital, say second lien and unsecured debt?

Michael Grisius

Management

That's a good question. I mean, I think the approach that we've always taken is that we underwrite the strength of a business model, and then decide where is it that we can get the best risk adjusted returns for our shareholders. And with that approach in mind, we've been careful to stay more often at the top of the capital stack than to get the middle spot in the capital stack, just because we found better risk adjusted return opportunities in this market with potentially a lot of reasons that you could look at the market and be concerned about where the economy may be down the road. You know, the bar is probably even a bit higher for a junior capital position than it would be in normal times, let's say. So I think we're going to continue to stick with our playbook which is to lean heavily on first lien senior debt positions and that's what served us very well. We like being dollar one in a capital structure and we can do that in a way that's very accretive for our shareholders. So stretching for yield, especially in uncertain times are uncertain capital markets, we've seen over the years, often doesn't pay. Now, having said that, you know, we're always open-minded to opportunities that may present themselves. So if we found something that was a super great opportunity to deploy capital in a very accretive fashion, and we felt like it was a safe investment for our shareholders that would be something we'd consider. But by and large, we're looking to do what we've done historically focused primarily on first lien debt securities.

Matt Tjaden

Analyst

Got it. That's it from me. I appreciate the time.

Michael Grisius

Management

Thanks, Matt.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And I'm not showing any further questions in the queue. I'd like to turn the call back over to Chris Oberbeck for any closing remarks.

Christian Oberbeck

Management

Okay, well, again, we appreciate all of your support, interest and time and listening to our yearend report, and we look forward to speaking with you next quarter. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

And this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect. Everyone have a great day.