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Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (SBLK)

Q4 2023 Earnings Call· Tue, Feb 13, 2024

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Thank you for standing by ladies and gentlemen. And welcome to the Star Bulk Carriers Conference Call on the Fourth Quarter 2023 Financial Results. We have with us Mr. Petros Pappas, Chief Executive Officer; Mr. Hamish Norton, President; Mr. Simos Spyrou; and Mr. Christos Begleris, Co-Chief Financial Officers; Mr. Nicos Rescos, Chief Operating Officer; and Mrs. Charis Plakantonaki, Chief Strategy Officer of the company. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. There will be a presentation followed by a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] I must advise you that this conference is being recorded today. We will now pass the floor over to your speakers today. Mr. Spyrou, please go ahead, Sir.

Simos Spyrou

Analyst

Thank you, operator. I am Simos Spyrou, Co-Chief Financial Officer of Star Bulk Carriers, and I would like to welcome you to our conference call regarding our financial results for the fourth quarter of 2023. Before we begin, I kindly ask you to take a moment to read the Safe Harbor statement on Slide number 2 of our presentation. In today's presentation, we will go through our Q4 results, financings and share buybacks, a short update on the ED [ph] bulk transaction, fleet development and operations, the latest on the ESG front, and our views on industry fundamentals before opening up for questions. Let us now turn to Slide number 3 of the presentation for a summary of our fourth quarter 2023 highlights. Net income for the fourth quarter amounted to approximately $40 million and adjusted net income of approximately $64 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $114 million for the quarter. For the fourth quarter as per our existing dividend policy, we declared a dividend per share of $0.45, with record date as of March 12, 2024. Since June 2021, we have returned to shareholders $1.1 billion in dividend distributions, and over $400 million in share buybacks. Our total cash today stands at $312 million pro forma for the delivery of our four remaining sold vessels and a payment of the respective debt, as well as the bridge facility. Meanwhile, our pro forma total debt stands at approximately $1.121 billion, translating in a pro forma net debt of approximately $800 million. On the top right of the page, you will see our daily figures per vessel for the quarter. Our time charter equivalent rate was $18,296 per vessel per day. Our combined daily OpEx and net cash G&A expenses per vessel per day amounted to $6,081. Therefore, our TCE less OpEx…

Nicos Rescos

Analyst

Thank you, Simos. Let's turn to Slide 6 where we provide an operational update. Operating expenses excluding non-recurring expenses were up $4,977 for Q4 2023. Net cash G&A expenses were $1,104 per vessel per day for the same period. In addition, we continue to rate at the top amongst our listed peers in terms of Rightship safety score. Please turn to slide 7 for an update on our fleet sales and our recent newbuilding orders. In December, we entered into a contract for additional three firms shipbuilding contracts with Qingdao Shipyard with the construction of 82,000 Kamsarmax newbuilding vessels at competitive price levels having increased the size of our order from two to five vessels. The vessels are being built in China to high specification using the latest fuel efficient engine coming into production in 2024. Our shaft generator reducing the energy requirements while vessel is at sea, and now turned to marine power provisions. The above measures ensure best-in-class fuel consumptions and emissions. On the vessel sales front, we continue disposing of vessels opportunistically at historically attractive levels, having agreed during Q4 to sell 7 vessels for total gross proceeds of $122 million, reducing our average fleet age and improving overall fleet efficiency. During Q1, we agreed to sell another two Capesize vessels, the Big Bang and the Pantagruel for total gross proceeds of $36.3 million. Furthermore, we took delivery of 2 out of the 6 long-term chartering Eco vessels that will be delivered to us throughout 2024. And specifically, a tenacious [indiscernible] Kamsarmax and a tenacious Star Bulk Ultramax. Considering the aforementioned changes in our fleet mix, we operate one of the largest dry bulk fleets amongst U.S. and European listed peers with 122 vessels on a fully delivered basis with an average age of 10.5 years. Slide…

Charis Plakantonaki

Analyst

Thank you, Nicos. Please turn to slide 8, where we highlight our continued leadership on the ESG front. Star Bulk along with four other leading ship owners in Greece have joined the Loads Register Foundation in establishing the maritime Emissions Reduction Center in Athens based non-profit organization. The center, we support the development and adoption of new and existing solutions to reduce greenhouse gas emissions of the global fleet, while fostering the collaboration among maritime value chain stakeholders to safely navigate to net zero. For a third year in a row, Starbuck has participated in the carbon disclosure project, maintaining its score of fleet, which indicates a maturity of management level or taking coordination action on climate issues. This call placed Star Bulk above the industry average of mining [ph], and also above the global average of sea which indicates awareness level. On the regulatory front, Star Bulk has taken all necessary measures to prepare for and ensure compliance with the inclusion of shipping in the EU Emissions Trading Scheme, which came into force on January 1, 2024. We have also prepared to timely align our ESG reporting with the EUs Corporate Sustainability reporting directive, which will apply for the first time in the 2024 financial years for reports published in 2025. Due to fall 2023, we continued enhancing our employee engagement and wellbeing programs, increasing the retention rates of our [indiscernible]. With regard to regulations, Star Bulk is continuing to invest in new systems, technologies, policies and training to strengthen its communications in cybersecurity, including the deployment of high bandwidth internet and next-generation firewalls on board in live phase [ph]. In December 2023, Star Bulk was granted the Sustainability Award at the Annualized Greek Seating [ph] Awards. I will now pass it over to our CEO, Petros Pappas for a market update and his closing remarks.

Petros Pappas

Analyst

Thank you, Charis. Please turn to slide 10 for a brief update of supply. During 2023, a total of 35.3 million deadweight was delivered and 5.4 million deadweight was sent to demolition for a net fleet growth of 29.9 million deadweight or 3.1% year-over-year. Furthermore, 42.8 million deadweight were placed during the year when newbuilding order books presently standing at the still low level of 8.5% of the fleet. Limited shipyard capacity until late-2026. high shipbuilding costs and future green propulsion uncertainty are keeping new orders under relative control. Furthermore, vessels above 20 years and 15 years of age, stand at 8.5% and 20.6% of the fleet, respectively. While scrap prices have stabilized at elevated levels and to make demolition above weight and energy in efficient tonnage and more attractive option during seasonal downturns over the next years. During the second half of the year, the average steaming speed of the dry dock fleet decreased to a new low of 10.95 knots due to downward pressures from inflated bunker costs and new environmental regulations. We expect the EEXI CII regulations to increasingly incentivize slow steaming retrofits and to help moderate supply over the next several years. Global port congestion adjusted lower over the last two years, and we expect that it will follow seasonal patterns from now on. In the short term, the combination of draught in Panama and Red Sea tensions has led to a major decrease of canal transits and is causing inefficiencies that organically [ph] mitigated by the seasonal market weakness. As a result of the above trends, nominal fleet growth is unlikely to exceed 2.5% per annum over the next few years. Let's now turn to slide 11 for a brief update of demand. According to Clarkson's total dry bulk trade during 2023 is estimated to…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our first question is from Amit Mehrotra with Deutsche Bank. Please proceed.

Amit Mehrotra

Analyst

Hi, everybody. Good to talk to you all. I want to maybe start with the dividend expectations. For the first quarter there's obviously a lot of moving parts in terms of year-to-date bookings and asset sales, asset acquisitions. You've been helpful in the past and kind of helping us calibrate, you know, directionally at least. Wondering if you can kind of help us synthesize all those moving parts and what our expectations to be of dividend for the first quarter?

Charis Plakantonaki

Analyst

I was actually thinking that might be a CFO question but -- you know, obviously we don't give guidance on dividends. The first quarter is not looking at that.

Simos Spyrou

Analyst

And we have provided a figure of performer cost as of today, including the remaining deliveries for the 4 vessel sales; so it's $112 million pro forma as of today. Amit, you should be only keeping us meaning liquidity, the $2.1 million per vessel that we have on the water right now; so it's now pro forma for the last four deliveries, it's 110 vessels, then you should add a figure of approximately $38 million, which is the dividend that we have just declared to be paid during the following days for Q4. So roughly you can see, you know, how -- what is the remaining excess cash as of today and make your projection for the remaining of the quarter.

Amit Mehrotra

Analyst

Okay.

Charis Plakantonaki

Analyst

And working capital -- you know…

Amit Mehrotra

Analyst

Do we expect working capital to be a source or a thing?

Simos Spyrou

Analyst

Well, more or less it should be slightly negative.

Amit Mehrotra

Analyst

Okay. That's helpful. And if you follow-up on maybe more precise numbers later on. I guess the second question for me; obviously, there is a lot of disruption in the Red Sea. I think there was some reports that maybe a few of your vessels have been kind of under threat in that region. I mean, Hamish or Petros, what do you guys think is going to happen now? Obviously, we've seen containership rates move higher, we've seen tanker rates move higher; is there a synthetic reduction in capacity is occurring as you -- dry bulk vessels go around the Cape of Good Hope [ph]? What are you seeing in terms of the latest for the dry bulk market in terms of what's happening in the Red Sea?

Petros Pappas

Analyst

Hi, Amit. Okay. First of all, let me explain the situation about our company. We had two cases of various charters where we asked our charters not to go through then Suez Canal but legally, we could not do that because until that time we did not know about the attacks to the Eagle Bulk and Jenko [ph] vessels. And therefore, we got advised that we had to follow the charter party and send the vessels through Suez; so the first vessel passed and it was attacked three times. Fortunately, it was not hurt; nobody on board nor the vessel. But while that was happening, the second vessel was already passing Suez, so we couldn't divert it. And that has continued and it was attacked again. Going forward, we will not be passing Suez Canal anymore because we are obviously a target of the Houthis having -- being a public company registered in the U.S. So that's -- that was -- I wanted to clarify this so that people know. Now, let me give you a few examples. If you had a vessel in the U.S. Gulf, and you wanted to go to Qingdao [ph] in China, it would be a distance of like that 10,000 miles. But if Panama Canal doesn't work for bulk carriers as it doesn't right now, you would have to go through Suez Canal, and that would be 14,100 miles; therefore 41% longer distance. And when -- and if you cannot do Suez Canal, then you have to go through the Cape which is 15,400 miles, and therefore it's 54% higher -- longer than it would be through the Panama Canal. And then, again, if you are in Rotterdam, you want to go to Qingdao [ph] -- if you go through Suez Canal, it would…

Amit Mehrotra

Analyst

Okay. That's very helpful. Thank you, Petros. I guess my last question, and then I'll hand it over. I wanted to ask this to Hamish because obviously, Hamish, you have a very deep corporate finance background. I guess I've just been amazed, you know, if I look at over the last five years, the way you guys have grown -- I think you've added 55, 60 vessels through ship per share deals that were actually struck below the public equity value of the company which is remarkable. And obviously, now you're adding this Eagle transaction; so the promise of this Star Bulk becoming a platform through this low debt structure is coming to fruition. And I guess the only question I had, is there a certain amount of size where you guys just become too big to manage? Or can this thing continue depending on the opportunity to present themselves? So Hamish, I was wondering if you could answer that question. And then, also kind of -- are you seeing greater interest because it becomes a little bit of the snowball effect where more and more of these come -- more and more of these deals get done, maybe more and more come to you as well to -- if you could talk about that?

Hamish Norton

Analyst

Well, I mean first of all, from your lips to God's ears; I -- this is how we would love to have everything work out. First of all, let's get the Eagle deal done first before worrying about what to do next. You know, there is a little bit of not wanting to bite off more than we can chew. And we do need to integrate Eagle properly and make sure we keep the best of both companies before we start looking for follow-on deals. But -- you know, look, I don't think there is a specific level at which the company is too big to manage. We are a pretty small company compared to say, a large airline or a large container line. And those companies are quite well managed. And I think Nicos Rescos may have something to say about our ability to manage a fleet of two or four times the size but -- you know, if a container line or an airline can do it, I think we can do it. And we haven't seen an increase in interest yet but I think it's reasonable to think we might once the Eagle deal is closed.

Amit Mehrotra

Analyst

Okay, all right. Thank you. Congrats on all your success, everybody. Appreciate it.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Omar Nokta with Jefferies. Please proceed.

Omar Nokta

Analyst

Thank you. Hey, guys good morning -- or sorry, good afternoon. I just wanted to touch on a couple of mixed questions in the back and forth you had. And then also Petros, on some of your opening comments just discussing the market. Clearly, 4Q was a bit stronger than a lot of us were thinking going into the quarter, and then so far 1Q is averaging quite a bit better; definitely than last year but also your bookings to-date are higher here in 1Q versus 4Q. So just wanted to ask, you mentioned that the disruptions that are going on in the Red Sea and the Panama Canal have -- maybe smoothed out a bit of the one/two decline that we normally would see. Obviously, that that seems like the main or it's a big piece of what's happening; but is there also something else happening? Is there demand story that's driving this as well? Or do you attribute what we're seeing in the market here really just due to the disruption?

Petros Pappas

Analyst

Hi, Omar. First of all, I should also add the effect that the Ukraine war is having in the market, because there are second not -- does not export any more to closer destinations in Europe but they have to export towards China and India, and therefore, that also has an effect. So all these along with the Panama Canal and the Red Sea, these three inefficiencies are creating a major positive for shipping, and they're affecting the market during a quarter that would otherwise be slow -- be slower. But overall, I would say that -- first of all, I think that these inefficiencies will continue to exist; I don't see them going away very soon. It will have to be several months or even years before we go back to normality. So I think they will continue to support the market for a while. Apart from that, we see a strong U.S. economy, a strong Indian economy. We believe that China will support its economy going forward, and this is very important because during 2023, it was China single handedly that supported the trade. I think that they increased their imports by about 280 million tons, where the Rest of the World was actually negative. So we think China will continue because they have not yet accomplished their goals, along with U.S. and Indian economies, we think that the Rest of the World starts to recover as well. And don't forget the environmental regulations. These are going to affect supply. There's no question about that. And on top of that, we have a relatively low order book at 8.5%. You will be seeing influx of vessels of about 3% to 3.5% every year. We think up to now, there hasn't been much scrapping because the markets are decent. But in the future, they will have to scrap more. So we represent 3%, 3.5% influx and scrapping about 1%, 1.5%. It's -- we may be seeing 2% to 2.5% need for demand. And already, just inefficiencies cover that and go even further than that. So personally, I see for these reasons, I see a strong market during '24 and most probably '25 as well.

Omar Nokta

Analyst

Great. Thank you Petros for that detail. And then maybe just wanted to switch gears just on the other topic or one of the topics being the dividend and there's -- and I think Amit was mentioning and clearly that's been happening, which is that you become a bit more dynamic in terms of managing the fleet. It was much easier for me or for us when you had those 128 ships, and it was fairly static and so it was very easy for us to model the dividend. Given the buybacks, I guess, just in general, with you being a bit more active on the fleet front, you're seemingly perhaps more transaction oriented. Any sort of thoughts on squeaking the dividend policy to a percentage of earnings payout or do you like, say, the strategic honesty or clarity of just the ending cash balance approach?

Nicos Rescos

Analyst

Yes. I think we value the fact that you can't get it wrong if it ends up depending on cash on your balance sheet that you have. A percentage of any other quantity could somehow due to some unanticipated events, not match up with cash that you actually have. So I think you do like this formulation. I feel your pain as far as forecasting it.

Simos Spyrou

Analyst

But Omar, this is Simos. Just to reiterate again what I said before to Amit, we gave a figure of our cash balance pro forma today as of the delivery of the last four vessels to be delivered within the following months. This is $312 million. On purpose, we said that we are releasing the $2.1 million for minimum cash threshold for the 18 vessels that have been sold. So you may assume that after the delivery of the last vessel, all the proceeds of the sales are used for the financing of the two blocks that we have acquired during the fourth quarter and the repayment of the bridge facility. So the $312 million cash pro forma that we have as of today is the net cash, net of any sale proceeds, and it includes only the $2.1 million threshold for the remaining 110 vessels, the $38 million of cash that we will distribute as a dividend for the fourth quarter and any cash above this is potentially the dividend free cash for the first quarter. So you may start modeling out of this balance the dividend for the first quarter.

Omar Nokta

Analyst

Okay, got it. Yeah. Thanks, Rescos, for that color. We'll do that and also thank you, Hamish as well -- and Petros. That's it for me.

Operator

Operator

Our final question is from Nathan Ho with Bank of America.

Nathan Ho

Analyst

I think I'd like to just maybe follow up a little bit more on the fleet strategy, especially post acquisition, how we should be thinking about your fleet size over 2024 and 2025? Obviously, a pretty significant expansion, but still like I think nearly 30% of your current fleet, approximately 15 years and older. How much of a focus is it to source additional vessel sale opportunities from here?

Nicos Rescos

Analyst

Well, I think we are going to be focused on growth as well as fleet renewal. So I think that the fleet is probably going to be quite dynamic for a while -- basically because we do need to make sure that we sell older vessels at the appropriate time and that we buy newer vessels at the appropriate time and that we enter into business combinations that are attractive to our shareholders. So I don't see us sort of sitting back and relaxing. We do, as I said, have to make sure we do a good job integrating Eagle. But hopefully, that will not take all of 2024.

Nathan Ho

Analyst

Got it. Got it. Okay. That's helpful. And maybe just a follow up on both Omar and Amit's questions regarding the Red Sea. How has your conversations with some of the [indiscernible] and insurers been threading ensuring charters through the Suez Canal now. Has that been -- do you see that as like a significant capacity restraint moving forward for, say, other carriers from an economic standpoint to transit across?

Petros Pappas

Analyst

Up to a couple of weeks ago, the cost had not gone up that much. Right now, it's gone up a little bit. We are very well-covered at relatively low rates. But as I said, we won't be going through Red Sea so doesn't apply anymore. For whoever it does, I suppose that the more vessels that have shipped to hire the insurance rates that will be asked by the insurers. But overall, the cargo has to go to its destination, and it's a matter of calculation. So let's say, a guy starts from the continent with a charter which has chartered the vessel. He will have to calculate whether it pays off to go through the Cape or through the Suez Canal. As far as -- and with the Suez Canal, he will also have to take into account the potential risks. But just looking at the cost, it's going to be, let's say, 11 days longer through the Cape. So he will have to pay higher and bankers [ph] for 11 days. But through Suez Canal, he will have to pay for the cost of the canal plus the insurance. So as the insurance increases, it's possible that won't make much difference whether it goes through the Cape or through Suez.

Operator

Operator

We have reached the end of our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to management for closing remarks.

Petros Pappas

Analyst

No remarks, operator. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. This will conclude today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time and thank you for your participation.