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comScore, Inc. (SCOR)

Q2 2020 Earnings Call· Mon, Aug 10, 2020

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Welcome to the Comscore’s Second Quarter 2020 Financial Results Conference Call. All participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers’ presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this call is being recorded for replay purposes. It is now my pleasure to turn the call over to your host for today, Mr. Christopher Ferris, Director of Investor Relations at Comscore. Sir, you may begin.

Christopher Ferris

Analyst

Thank you, operator. Before we begin our prepared remarks, I’d like to remind all of you that the following discussion contains forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements include comments about our plans, expectations and prospects and are based on our view as of today, August 10, 2020. We disclaim any duty or obligation to update our forward-looking statements to reflect new information after today’s call. We will be discussing non-GAAP measures during this call, for which we have provided reconciliations in today’s press release and on our website. Our actual results in future periods may differ materially from those currently expected, because of the number of risks and uncertainties, including those related to the COVID-19 pandemic and its economic impact. These risks and uncertainties include those outlined in our 10-K, 10-Q and other filings with the SEC, which you can find on our website or at www.sec.gov. I’ll now turn the call over to Comscore’s Chief Executive Officer, Bill Livek. Bill?

Bill Livek

Analyst

Thank you, Chris and thank you everyone for joining us today. I’d like to start by providing you with a brief update on our strategic review, which has progressed despite some delays from the pandemic and related closures. We have conducted a fulsome process with our financial advisors and are inactive discussions regarding strategic alternatives to maximize long-term shareholder value. We expect to conclude these discussions and announced by our third quarter earnings release, either our entry into a definitive agreement or our decision to continue our efforts to execute on our strategic plan as an independent company. Since March, we made every effort to ensure the health and the safety of our employees while providing great service to our customers. Our global workforce has successfully transitioned to working from home. Our team has done an outstanding job of maintaining our IT systems and our infrastructure. Our employees have risen to the challenge, remained focused on our business plan, and most importantly, our customers. I’m truly proud of everyone’s efforts and I’d like again, to thank every employee and their hard work and dedication. Considering the presented by the global pandemic, we had a solid quarter. With revenue in some areas of our business impacted by COVID, other areas experienced year-over-year and sequential growth. I’m also pleased to say that the second quarter, we generated $9.2 million in adjusted EBITDA, the highest quarterly figure since 2016 and a $12.5 million positive swing versus prior year. For the first half of 2020, we have recognized $21.3 million in a positive swing in adjusted EBITDA compared to 2019. This is a testament to a great team effort by everyone at Comscore. Greg will dig into more detail on our financials later in the call. Our financial success demonstrates that our plan is…

Greg Fink

Analyst

Thank you, bill. Today, we reported second quarter revenue of $88.6 million, compared to $96.9 million in the second quarter of last year. while we expected revenue to be lower in our movies business, revenue also continues to be impacted due in part to the timing of closing contracts. revenue from ratings and planning in the second quarter was $63.8 million compared to $68.9 million reported in the second quarter of last year. The decrease was primarily from our syndicated digital products. while the enterprise customer renewals continue to be strong, syndicated digital revenue declined year-over-year representing 48% of our readings and planning revenue in the quarter, compared to 50% in the second quarter of 2019. As I discussed earlier this year, we expected syndicated digital revenue to decline early in the year while the decline is higher than our original expectations due in part to the timing of closing contracts as I mentioned earlier. we remain optimistic it will stabilize and begin to flatten on a sequential basis in the coming quarters. based on our expectation that we will benefit from new business from the exit of some competitors. We have already signed some of those customers, which we expect to be additive to revenue starting in the third quarter. National TV was flat compared to the prior year, but we began to realize revenue from our new LiveRamp relationship. local TV revenue continued to grow from new customers and expansion with existing customers. Revenue from analytics and optimization in the second quarter was $16.9 million, compared to $17.3 million in the second quarter of last year. the decrease was due to lower activation revenue from reduced ad spend in the second quarter. our custom digital marketing solutions revenue was flat compared to the second quarter of 2019, but…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Surinder Thind of Jefferies. Your line is open.

Surinder Thind

Analyst

Good afternoon and thank you for taking my questions. I’d like to start with a question about the TV segment. Over the last quarter or two, you guys have been providing some increasing color. We’re seeing growth in local. You talked about growth in addressable. Any additional color you can provide in terms of maybe the size of the segments or maybe where things are heading? How we should be thinking about maybe the magnitude of those rates? Just trying to get a little bit more quantitative view of maybe what’s going on underneath.

Bill Livek

Analyst

Greg, would you like to take that one, please?

Greg Fink

Analyst

Sure. So, when you think about Ratings and Planning, we provide the percentage that is syndicated digital in that metric that I just had in my prepared remarks. While there are a few other smaller products that fit within that area, Ratings and Planning, the bulk of that comes from our TV business. And as we think about that portion of revenue within Ratings and Planning, as I mentioned, we are seeing growth in local. And year-over-year, we saw some incremental benefit starting in the second quarter from our LiveRamp relationship. As we move forward, we expect those to improve and be better than they were here in the second quarter, as I had mentioned before. But I think mathematically, Surinder, the easiest thing to do is, for the most part, provide the digital percentage, which we’ve done now for a few years to try and break out the TV aspect.

Surinder Thind

Analyst

Perhaps, I think that’s fair. I guess my question was more about within the TV subsegment itself in terms of as one grows and maybe the other as the digital – syndicated digital has gotten smaller, is there maybe the thought of trying to provide additional quantitative color? I guess that was my question beyond what the percentages that you guys provide.

Bill Livek

Analyst

Well, we’re always looking at providing greater transparency so that’s always on the docket. But when you think about the pie, in digital, Greg had mentioned in the prepared comments that privacy really matters now. Two of our competitors went out the business in the beginning of the year. And the Omnicom omni deal is a testament to the durability of the product and the need in this privacy-compliant world. Now, when you look at the total addressable market in TV, it’s a multibillion-dollar market and about a half a billion of that comes in local. As you can see from our numbers, we’ve got a long way to go on growing that business. And we believe a big growth driver will be the inclusion of the Comcast data sets. We knew for a long time that, that was an important piece. And if one tracks our revenue growth in TV, the revenue growth follows the expansion of the data sets. So if you go back over a decade and you look at that, every time we add an important new operator, revenue does grow. Now that’s not a prediction for the future, but that what has, of course, happened in the past. So we’re excited about all those business verticals.

Surinder Thind

Analyst

Okay, that’s actually very helpful. And then related, the comment about the data privacy, and you guys specifically called out the patent on your earnings call as well as in the press release prior. Can you talk a little bit about the importance of that? Is that maybe a little bit more important than maybe some of the other patents at this point, given the concerns around privacy and data collection at this point? Is there an advantage that, that achieves that maybe – I’m trying to phrase this the right way, that your competitors can’t follow you down that path?

Bill Livek

Analyst

Well, we’re always taken the road of privacy on our TV business. We’ve been, from the beginning, governed by the Cable Act. And also when we add other data sets, legislation around privacy, Gramm-Leach-Bliley. And now you have the California Privacy Act added on top of that. So we’ve always been hypersensitive, and we always believe that was a big business advantage. Now, it actually is happening where there’s penalties for companies if they license and use information that is not dealing in the world of privacy. So now, it’s become a strategic advantage for us. And we believe that those patents will create, along with the other patents that we have. And as you know, all of these are related to one another in some way. It helps promote this deep and wide competitive moat that takes years to build. And it does create a way that we believe that our customers will continue to spend with us. And it’s going to be difficult to enter this market more and more. And we have a large number of patents pending that also is along these lines. So these are things that I hope that long term, our investors will see the fruits of those labors.

Surinder Thind

Analyst

That’s helpful. And then maybe, turning to the movie business. Can you maybe provide or talk a little bit about the color of maybe some of the long-term implications of the changes that may be going on there, in the sense that there was a recent agreement between AMC and Universal about theatrical release exclusivity? I think that was shortened to as little as maybe 17 days. And so it seems like the fundamental business model might be changing there. And how does that potentially change? You guys alluded to it earlier in terms of some of your product offerings, but does that also change the revenue or growth dynamics? How should we think about that?

Bill Livek

Analyst

We – I don’t think it impairs our growth payment. It actually opens them up. So if you look at most movies, the majority of the revenue actually happens in the first few weeks, 17 days. And then AMC to cut their business deal, and I’m not going to comment on that. But what the companies, the content creators need is a real-time system, which is what we have for box office that it refreshes every minute and they can see ticket sales. If you think about a line of numbers that go with a new release that happens in the theater, and then a line of numbers right next to it that shows the buy rates on on-demand and then with the total, that gives the owners of the content a way to manage it. And then when you further dive into the geographic location – so Greg and I, because of the pandemic, are in different locations right now. You can look at our local market areas of how the ticket sale is different in the on-demand platform and in the theatrical platform. And then the movie company can make a decision how they want to promote that content. So, when I say the best days are ahead of us, the movie business is now getting as complicated as the TV business. And that’s good for us. Fractionalization and fragmentation is very good for an information business, as long as you can innovate. And we’re innovating like the devil here. And we started it in the fall when I joined. And with the pandemic, we’ve doubled down on our efforts. So I think this is actually a good trend for us.

Surinder Thind

Analyst

That’s helpful. And then one final question here, I apologize. One of the things that you mentioned was that there was a number of renewals within the movie segment. Can you comment on that number in the sense of, was there something that you entered into these multiyear contracts? Was there something that was driven by COVID-19 in terms of that it makes sense to have it? Or was it just coincidence that there are so many renewals that occurred during the quarter?

Bill Livek

Analyst

It was just one of those serendipitous events that as COVID hit America, we had a number of contracts that are up for renewal. And as you can expect, in the month of March and April and May, we were all trying to get comfortable with what the world looks like. So it took longer to negotiate for obvious reasons. And then those contracts get signed. There was nothing unusual other than the pandemic, which created that piece. But thank you for your questions. We appreciate it.

Surinder Thind

Analyst

Yes. Thank you so much.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Laura Martin of Needham. Your line is open.

Laura Martin

Analyst

I will do all three of mine at once. So great cost control in the quarter. Can you remind us of the lag between when you integrate these Comcast costs compared to when you start raising prices? So how it affects the P&L? How long that lag is? It sounds like you’re not going to get them integrated till a year-end. So do I start seeing the positive aspects of Comcast only next year, but I’m getting cost into this P&L over the next couple of quarters? That’s my first question. The second is, I’ve always published that 75% of your movie revenue is under long-term contracts. We did have movies down 26% year-over-year. So my question is, maybe I’m hoping my number was right, and that means that this is going to be the bottom for movies, even though it might go on for a couple of more quarters. And if – and I’m specifically interested is, if they aren’t successful opening in August and this goes through year-end, is by movie downside just where it is now, which is like this kind of $8 million level, because everything else is under long-term contracts? And then third is great renewals off new business. My question is, did we capture all that revenue upside in the quarter? Or a bunch of these partnerships that you’ve announced that you signed in the second quarter going to be – actually, we’ll see them rolling in, in the second half of this year and those will be buoying revenue coming from this point forward? Thanks, guys.

Bill Livek

Analyst

Thank you very much, Laura for those questions. The new business and renewals that we signed, there’s very little revenue in the quarter that just passed that will roll out in subsequent quarters. And on the movie business, although my crystal ball definitely broke with the pandemic, I believe that what we’re seeing is the bottoming out effect. And I’ll let Greg comment on that further. But we are not anticipating any new blockbuster movies coming in the theater. But what I have been personally surprised at, Laura, are the resiliency in Spain. As we all know, Spain was one of the first countries in the pandemic, and they got locked down pretty badly. And then actually, the theaters, they were going back and forth on when to open them. And using the analytics that Comscore provided, they actually decided to open this movie, loosely translated, it’s called “Father There’s Only One 2.” And sequels rarely do better than the original. This family-focused movie actually beat the original, and it shows that week-over-week, attendance and ticket sales are growing. So it feels like this is the bottom as theaters start to open up. And then we’ll see – and I think your numbers have been right on here. And we’re going to see the effect of an accounting treatment. I’m going to let Greg address. And on the Comcast piece, before I turn it over to Greg. Yes, we’re recognizing costs now. And we will not see revenue until next year. Greg, would you like to comment on any of those?

Greg Fink

Analyst

I think you hit all the salient points there, Bill. I think, Laura, on the movie side, I think we were – when you think about it, we’re trying to be clear about pausing of service. And as theaters open, those small customers and those on long-term contracts should come back. And so as you see, that data improved around number of the year openings, we think that, that will benefit us going forward. So I would reiterate what Bill said on that. And on Comcast, yes, we are building that out and recognizing cost today, and we should see the benefit moving forward when that’s fully done.

Laura Martin

Analyst

Really, excellent work on the quarter, guys. Thanks very much for taking the questions.

Bill Livek

Analyst

Thank you, Laura.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Matthew Brom of Truist Securities. Your line is open.

Matthew Brom

Analyst

Hey, Bill. Hey, Greg. Thanks for taking the questions. Maybe, a couple of quick ones, if I could. On the first one, maybe for Greg. As we think about revenue linearity for the year, is there any reason we wouldn’t see some sequential improvement 3Q and in 4Q, just given, obviously, 2Q was kind of like a – it felt like maximum pain. Is there anything unusual that would prevent sequential growth as we think about 3Q versus 2Q and 4Q versus 3Q? That was the first question. Second question, can you just remind us what political has meant for you guys in prior cycles, as we just kind of think about what a lift versus kind of normal run rate looks like in a political year? And then just finally, on the strategic review. And I apologize if this was covered, I jumped on late, but I seem to remember there was a date around the Starboard agreement that was sometime in August, maybe early August. I’m just curious, with the extension of the strategic review, how that date kind of comes into play, whether that agreement has been extended or what the implications of that are? Any update there would be really helpful. Thanks guys.

Bill Livek

Analyst

Greg, would you like to take this first?

Greg Fink

Analyst

Sure. Let me start with the first question, Matt, around sequential growth. As you know, we removed guidance back in May. So we haven’t given specific guidance as it relates to 2020. What I’ll say is that some of the items that we talked about today and talked about last quarter around timing of contracts, movies, customers pausing service, lower ad spend in the second quarter, and as I mentioned, as certain things change over the course of Q3 and Q4, those could be positives for the company. And I think in my closing remarks, I used the term optimistic and we are optimistic about that. But giving specific guidance as to how that will turn out is difficult, given the environment, as you can imagine. And yes, Q4 tends to usually be a better quarter for the company if you look back historically, given a fair amount of custom business that’s done in the fourth quarter of the year as well as areas like Activation. So, I think there’s some room for optimism here. But as far as specific sequential growth, I think we have to wait to see how that plays out. On the political side, we’ve never specifically given an amount that we typically generate. If you go back in time, presidential elections have been better than mid- year elections. And we thought coming into the year that 2020 would be pretty strong, more like 2016. We haven’t seen that develop to date. But we do have a fair amount of contracts that are what we call minimum commitments, and we do expect to see some of that here as we enter the back half of the year and as the election approaches in the fall. So I think we’ve never given a specific number, but we do expect to see some benefit from that as we move through Q3. And then as it relates to your last question around the agreement that we had with Starboard, you’re correct. It did expire on the – on August 5, and we’re currently working to resolve and bring to conclusion the strategic review as quickly as we can. And as Bill said in his remarks, we’re looking to do that before the end of the third quarter earnings call.

Matthew Brom

Analyst

Great. Thanks guys. Appreciate it.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Richard – our next question comes from Richard Krame from Arete. Richard, your line is open.

Richard Krame

Analyst

Thanks very much. It’s Richard Kramer from Arete. My first question is about the MPVD-centric national addressable solutions you mentioned. And I’m just trying to square your – the size of your revenue base and the opportunity and engagement with some of these large MPVDs with how you can break into these accounts that historically worked with some of your competitors who currently claim to be getting a regular stream of renewals. And can you just give us a little bit more sense of your market entry strategy, your go-to-market strategy, whereby you can – you will take share? Because that’s something, I guess, we’re not seeing yet in your numbers. A second question I have, and maybe this is a longer-term one. You see quite a few tools providers, the Mediaoceans of the world, making acquisitions. You see new companies springing up, trying to bridge digital and video like HudsonMX. How do you see yourself fitting into what seems to be a consolidating space? And is that something you think you’ll need to address at the end of the strategic review? And maybe a very quick third one. Can you just be a little clear on the economics of the Ramp deal, the LiveRamp deal you mentioned? And also I don’t know if you can break it out, but the customer that made prepayments, I don’t know if you can identify them or it’s material to your sales or not, but that would also be interesting. Thank you.

Bill Livek

Analyst

All right. I’ll share this, Richard, with Greg. I’ll take the Mediaocean, HudsonMX to start with. We are not in a system, we are not in the business of providing software like they are. They are our partners. And Mediaocean and HudsonMX are super valuable partners, and we believe that they will be for a long, long time. On the addressable piece of the puzzle, we were the first company to measure in that space. So we had first-mover advantage with people like DISH and with AT&T. And that was with the local addressability piece. And then as national – and that was with inventory that was largely on the cable networks. We see what’s happening now. The networks, the broadcast networks like Viacom, CBS, as an example, and others, are working with OpenAP to take a network piece of inventory and then segment it, like I gave in the example before. An auto manufacturer buys one spot in a particular program. And then because of our tool, they can decide that Greg is a great customer for an upscale SUV and I may want to – I’m a great customer for an old man for a four-door sedan. And that commercial will be shot down that cable infrastructure. So we believe that we have the best solution out there. Time will tell, of course. And our customers are excited by it. But the ramp has also taken more time here, in part – when you listen to the television networks, it’s been before infrastructure. Now infrastructure is out and the pandemic has pushed back what was supposed to be a bumper year in 2020 as advertisers were pulling back. But I think we’re in a super good place. And on the LiveRamp piece, I’m going to pass that one over to Greg. I think that was a financial question.

Greg Fink

Analyst

Thanks, Bill. As it relates to LiveRamp, we don’t really provide any specific details around specific customer contracts or the economics around. And as we stated in our prepared remarks, we began to recognize license revenue in the quarter. And obviously, we will have that revenue moving forward given the structure of that deal.

Richard Krame

Analyst

Okay. And just maybe one quick follow-up. Just to understand, when I’m thinking about someone like Comcast, they’re involved in NCC, which is, I guess, renamed Ampersand, they’ve got the block graph. How do you compete for attention or to become their preferred solution, given that they seem to have so many irons in the fire and many of the MPVDs seem to have so many irons in the fire in this addressable market?

Bill Livek

Analyst

Well, if you look at the world as it’s going to be when Comcast is integrated – I’m calling from the Miami-Fort Lauderdale market, which is a Comcast market. AT&T is your DISH and DirecTV, if you would. In the – we’ve been measuring for a dozen years now, the market. First, it was driven with DISH in AT&T Universe, and then it was augmented with DirecTV and soon with Comcast. Once Comcast is fully integrated, I cannot overstate the importance of that because ad agencies understand that. When you have a census approach like we do, you can look at demographics beyond age and gender into very granular information. And then you can look at outcome-based ad schedules, did in fact an ad schedule result in product movement. So I believe the operators, once we’re fully integrated, will embrace our solutions because it’s complete census for them. So I think we’re best positioned in this new world.

Richard Krame

Analyst

Okay. Thanks.

Bill Livek

Analyst

Thank you, Richard.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Alan Gould of Loop Capital. Your line is open.

Alan Gould

Analyst

Thanks for taking the questions. I’ve got a few please. First, Bill, how much – is there any change in the demand for third-party measurement by the large digital platforms? I mean, to date, a lot of them have said, we can do it ourselves, but it sounds like they’re starting to realize they can get better rates, et cetera, that there’s a little more transparency?

Bill Livek

Analyst

Yes. On that question, I’ve seen the demand increase over time. I think part of that is privacy driven. Part of it also, some companies are talking about working with the walled gardens. That’s been our approach to work with these folks because they do want third-party measurement. And I think part of that also relates to the political environment that we’re now in, that a company doing its own measurement is not necessarily optimal. So yes, I do believe that we’re well positioned there. And we’re also well positioned because in digital, with our panel, where a few years ago, one could make a case to say panel measurement will be less relevant in a census world. But when you add hypersensitivity to privacy, a panel is an important piece in that also. So I feel good where we are in digital.

Alan Gould

Analyst

Okay. And my next question, how big an opportunity is measuring PVOD for you, both measuring PVOD on open networks and also if it’s just inside of one network?

Bill Livek

Analyst

I think it’s significant opportunity, Alan, because it’s just too darn complex. The owners of the content certainly has access to information, but they don’t have access to what happens on with the other folk’s content. So, Comscore has always meant transparency across all the different operators. And that’s why our demand, I believe, will be there for a long, long time, at least in my investment horizon because the need to see what’s going on, on everyone’s content. Because the success of a piece of content is relevant, right? It’s relative to how the competitors’ content does. So it’s just not about counting dollars on PVOD, it’s – how does it relate to the other platforms? And are they doing great or are they doing good or not so good? I hope that answers that question.

Alan Gould

Analyst

Okay. And then my last question is regarding your strategic review, is there any reason you chose the terms of maximizing long-term shareholder value that long-term is in there?

Bill Livek

Analyst

All right. Now we’re dealing with an English class. So I’m going to hand this over to Greg to address that one. Greg?

Greg Fink

Analyst

Yes. I would just say that we thought about the best way to characterize kind of where we’re at. We’re going to bring this to conclusion. I think Bill was clear, Alan, in his remarks about we’re going to make a decision here by the end of the third quarter. And as we’ve said previously, we continue to be focused on all potential outcomes to maximize long-term shareholder value.

Alan Gould

Analyst

Okay. Thanks, Greg. Thanks, Bill.

Bill Livek

Analyst

You’re welcome, Alan. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. I’m showing no further questions at this time. I’d like to turn the call back over to Bill Livek, Chief Executive Officer for any closing remarks.

Bill Livek

Analyst

Thank you, operator. And I’d just like to say in summary, we remain super excited about the future as we manage through this unprecedented period. I’m pleased with the progress that we’ve made in the company in 2020 despite the environment that we’re in. On behalf of myself and our entire team at Comscore, I’d like to send our heartfelt best wishes to all of our fellow citizens on the front lines in this pandemic, first responders, health care workers and all essential employees. Comscore will continue to do our part, helping our customers and our communities preserve and ultimately recover from the environment that we’re in. Thank you operator, and we look forward to sharing our progress and results with you in the upcoming quarters. Thank you for joining on us today. And we hope to talk to you soon. Take care.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude today’s conference. Thank you for participating. You may all disconnect. Have a great day.