Greg Ebel
Analyst · RBC Capital Markets
As you can see from our earnings release this morning Spectra Energy delivered solid ongoing second quarter results of $141 million or $0.22 per share, very much in line with our expectations. While earnings saw the impact of lower commodity prices and a weaker Canadian dollar this quarter, our fee-based businesses, storage, transmission, distribution, and Canadian gathering and processing performed very well serving customers, markets and shareholders. In fact, after removing from ongoing earnings, the effect of commodity price and exchange rate changes, we saw a quarter-over-quarter and year-to-date EPS growth of about 8%. That's solid growth from expansion projects at our fee-based businesses. As you know, the overwhelming majority of this year's EBIT will come from these fee-based businesses with less than 20% sensitive to commodity prices. Oil prices appear to have rebounded from their first quarter lows, and as the economy recovers I expect we'll start to see some improvement in NGL prices as the year advances. The Canadian dollar is currently less than $1.10 to the U.S. dollar compared with $1.20 we assumed in our forecast. This quarter we continued to execute well on the capital expansion plans and so far this year we brought four projects into service, on time and on budget, totaling over $300 million in CapEx. As we mentioned last quarter, we brought the West Doe II project into service in March which provides access to the developing Montney play in Western Canada. The third phase of West Doe is scheduled to come into service later this year. In April, we completed the Steckman Ridge storage facility in Pennsylvania, which brings 12 billion cubic feet of new storage into service and Steckman is strategically situated between new natural gas supplies from the East, Mid-Continent and Rocky Mountain areas and is really close to existing interstate pipelines serving the Mid-Atlantic and New England states. In late June, we also brought the Sarnia project in Ontario into service. This storage project will add over 5 Bcf of storage capacity to our portfolio. Finally, in July we completed the first phase of an additional cavern at Egan storage, adding a further 5.5 billion cubic feet of storage capacity at the Louisiana facility. These projects are in service, providing earnings and cash flow now and our remaining 2009 projects are on track for successful completion. We'll talk about those projects later, but first let's take a look at our track record of successful project execution. From 2007 through 2009, we will have placed into service expansion projects totaling more than $3 billion with the majority of these already completed. These projects will contribute annual EBIT of $380 million for a combined return on capital greater than 12%, higher than our 10% to 12% commitment. Let's take a look at our entire slate of 2009 projects and which I think is a pretty impressive array of organic growth opportunities. By year-end, we expect to place into service 10 major projects totaling approximately 650 million in capital. These fee-based projects will deliver total annual EBIT contribution of about $80 million, $35 million that we'll realize this year and an incremental $45 million next. Again, we expect returns on capital employed for these projects to be slightly above the high-end of our 10% to 12% range. Looking at our expansion opportunities for 2010 and beyond, this next slide is one we like to use regularly with you to keep you apprised of the progress we're making on long-term growth plans. You will notice that we have now placed into execution several more 2010 and 2011 projects, and I think it shows we're vectoring in on a 2010 capital expansion plan in the billion dollar range. These opportunities reflect the strong demand for infrastructure projects, both in Western Canada and the Northeast US. We continue to make good progress on additional projects, which leads us to believe that we could also see opportunities to spend up to a billion dollars in 2011. We'll have to wait and see if all of these development projects proceed as expected, but the outlook is promising at this point in time. There are two major projects I do want to call out in particular. Our TEMAX, TIME III project, the $700 million expansion which will start adding EBIT during the second half of 2010 and a series of projects in Northeast British Columbia in the Fort Nelson region, which will represent a total investment of up to a billion dollars. A portion of these Fort Nelson projects will be brought into service each year between 2010 and 2012 incrementally adding earnings and significant cash flow. Let's take a closer look at these two areas of activity. We will start with Texas Eastern. This map details our project to move Rockies gas into Northeast markets and the tremendous opportunities we're taking advantage of in that region. As you can see, Rockies gas is moving to Ohio on the [rex] pipeline with approximately a B-and-a-half to expected to arrive this year. Spectra has a direct connection to this supply and through our Texas eastern pipeline, we're connected to large East Coast markets that are looking for Rocky supply for their portfolio. The key for us is to figure out who wants this gas, where they want it and when they wanted it. We've done that through the following projects. We placed TIME II into service in November 2008, delivering 150 million cubic feet a day of new capacity from Lebanon, Ohio, to New Jersey. Northern Bridge is currently under construction and will come into service later this year with another 150 million cubic feet per day from Clarington, Ohio, to Oakford Pennsylvania storage. The TEMAX project which serves a number of good customers including ConocoPhillips and will provide capacity of 395 million cubic feet per day to move gas from Clarington to connect with both Texas Eastern and Transco Station 195. Finally, TIME III which will provide a further 60 million cubic feet per day of service from Oakford Storage to Texas Eastern and again Transco 195. Both TEMAX and TIME III are scheduled to be in service in late 2010. Collectively these projects will move about half the Rockies supply that's expected to arrive in Ohio. Other regional pipelines are been proposed and are likely to construct about 400 million cubic feet per day of take away in this same timeframe. This group of projects provides the right solution for customers by utilizing existing infrastructure to meet the market needs and virtually eliminates the need for an expensive bullet line to the East. Another area of great opportunity for us is in Fort Nelson, British Columbia. Our Western Canadian assets are strategically concentrated in the high growth conventional and tight sale resource play in the region. We have a multi-phase expansion program currently under way to increase gathering and processing capacity in Fort Nelson to accommodate the increased volumes coming from the Horn River. Our assets are located squarely in the middle of this prolific region of British Columbia which recent estimates suggest could hold as much as 500 trillion cubic feet of gas. Responding to strong producer interest and activity, we held an open season for incremental service which has resulted in firm contract commitments of 790 million cubic feet per day of service for ten producers. These firm, fee-based gathering and processing contracts will provide revenue from demand charges. So we have no commodity exposure. Our Fort Nelson expansion represents not one single project, but a series of projects that will come into service between 2010 and 2012. Typically, earnings aren't generated until completion of an entire project, but this multi-phased expansion will deliver incremental earnings and cash flow each year as the individual projects are brought into service. While still in the early stages, between now and 2012, we are committed to investing up to a billion dollars on these projects and returns on these projects will be at least as attractive, if not more so than those we have seen on our investments over the last three years. While we had a good quarter and the earnings results were in line with expectations, what I am really pleased with is the continued progress and execution of our fee-based expansion project projects in both the US and Canada. Finally, we were also able to use our financial flexibility and our continuing good access to capital markets to close and finance the acquisition of the Ozark assets through Spectra Energy Partners. Ozark is an excellent addition to our suite of pipeline assets and really does expand our reach into the important supply region of Fayetteville Shale and the Arkoma Basin. You will hear more about this on Spectra Energy Partners call tomorrow. Now let me turn the call over to Pat who will review the quarter results in greater detail. Pat?