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Sera Prognostics, Inc. (SERA)

Q1 2024 Earnings Call· Wed, May 8, 2024

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good afternoon, and welcome to the Sera Prognostic Conference Call to review first quarter fiscal year 2024 results. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this call is being recorded for replay purposes. I would now like to turn the call over to Peter DeNardo of CapComm Partners for a few introductory comments.

Peter DeNardo

Analyst

Thank you, operator. Good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to Sera Prognostics First Quarter Fiscal Year 2024 Earnings Conference Call. At the close of the market today, Sera Prognostics released its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2024. Presenting for the company today will be Zhenya Lindgardt, President and CEO; and Austin Aerts, our CFO. During the call, we will review the financial results we released today, after which we will host a question-and-answer session. If you've not had a chance to review our quarterly earnings release, it can be found on our website at seraprognostics.com. This call can be heard live via webcast at serapagnostics.com, and a recording will be archived in the Investors section of our website. Please note that some of the information presented today may contain projections or other forward-looking statements about events and circumstances that have not yet occurred, including plans and projections for our business, future financial results and market trends and opportunities. These statements are based on management's current expectations, and the actual events or results may differ materially and adversely from these expectations for a variety of reasons. We refer you to the documents the company files from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission, specifically the company's annual report on Form 10-K, its quarterly reports on Form 10-Q and its current reports on Form 8-K. These documents identify important risk factors that could cause the actual results to differ materially from those contained in our projections and other forward-looking statements. As a reminder, a webcast replay of this call will be available on the Investors section of our website. I will now turn the call over to Zhenya, Sera Prognostics President and CEO. Zhenya?

Evguenia Lindgardt

Analyst

Thank you, Peter, and good afternoon, everyone. We continue to make progress in putting keeper requisites in place for inflection in test volumes and revenue growth, coupled with improved margins. As Austin will detail, we believe 2024 is a foundational year of development for Sera, with strategic goals we are pursuing to position the company for increased test adoption in the quarters ahead, while diligently preserving our strong balance sheet and cash position as we manage the business for future growth. These strategic goals include publication of our important AVERT and PRIME clinical study results to showcase the health and economic benefits of the preterm test, building awareness of our capabilities to help improve patient care and outcomes, continuing our strong focus on R&D to bring new products in our pipeline and new collection methods to market, all the while improving access to our products to afford better health equity, scalability for our lab once demand inflection occurs, as well as increased product margins and profitability. Since the beginning of the year, we've made progress across these strategic priorities, including submission of PRIME study interim findings for publication, shipped first whole blood collection kits to our customers, shifted to a more cost-effective laboratory test analysis process, resulting in an estimated 60% COGS savings at scale, prepared 2 television programs which will air on public and network stations later this year to increase awareness surrounding preterm birth. Deliveries of PRIME study participants, the remaining 2,200 who were enrolled before the enrollment stopped for DSMB recommendation in December 2023 are also now complete, and we're now planning analysis and data for the final PRIME study publication. We're pleased to report that we have validated ambient whole blood collection and have begun shipping our new kits to customers. We expect to see whole…

Austin Aerts

Analyst

Thanks, Zhenya, and good afternoon, everyone. Let me review our financial results for the quarter and then briefly review our thinking on commercial investments. Net revenue for the first quarter of 2024 was nailed due to revenue adjustments made as part of our normal revenue recognition process, updating our expected collection amounts through periodic refinement of revenue estimates as described in detail in our 10-K. Gross revenues before adjustments were approximately $39,000 compared to $100,000 for the first quarter of 2023. This reduction in our revenue is an expected outcome of optimizing our investment in commercial activities and preserving capital to deploy for future commercial investments once we have built our evidence portfolio and executed on other prerequisites for success. Our decision to rightsize our cost structure last year has materially improved our cash runway. As we previously noted, it was highly uncertain that we would achieve all of the key requirements that could foster an immediate revenue ramp such as publications validating our preterm test, insurance coverage, and consumer and physician awareness and adoption during the first half of 2024. As Zhenya mentioned in this call, we are working diligently to execute each of these prerequisites in the first half of this year and hope to share exciting news with you in the coming quarters. Total operating expenses for the first quarter of $9.1 million were down 20% from $11.4 million for the same period a year ago due to steps we took to streamline commercial operations, better focused our commercial strategy and reduce overall operating expenses. Net loss for the first quarter of 2024 was $8.1 million, down 24% from $10.6 million for the first quarter of 2023. Research and development expenses were $3.7 million and down 10% from $4.1 million for the first quarter of 2023 due…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question and answer session. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Andrew Brackmann from William Blair.

Dustin Scaringe

Analyst

This is Dustin on the line for Andrew. First question I have, just on the latest updates you're having with conversations with KOL since the publication -- or positive update on PRIME with DSMB. And then similarly, what kind of conversations are you having with guideline bodies as well? And do you think they'll give sort of any statement that very shortly after PRIME gets published in the interim analysis?

Evguenia Lindgardt

Analyst

This is Zhenya. Thank you so much for your question. You're absolutely right. We are engaging far and wide with KOLs and regulators. In our last touch point with the guideline setting bodies, professional society members, was -- as soon as we are closer to the publication, we will reconvene with them to share all of the details of the results. It's certainly something that guideline setting bodies do issue commentary on breakthrough results. I can't foresee or guarantee that they will do that, but their level of interest and engagement so far certainly points to some signal from their side. And we will absolutely update all of the investors to any developments on that front.

Dustin Scaringe

Analyst

Understood. A question on the pipeline. Just wondering where the time to birth assay is in development now, and then what can we expect in terms of data generation? I think you previously said some data maybe this year or next year for time to birth.

Evguenia Lindgardt

Analyst

That's right, Dustin. The time to birth product is getting enhanced as we speak. As I mentioned, we decided to put it on ELISA platform to really ensure that there are strong economics for this product. Certainly, data -- making data available on the product will be on our mind as the first step in the sequence of launch. So absolutely counting on that happening in the coming months. I don't have a precise time line on that. But as you suggested in your question, certainly, before the end of the year or early next year is what I would expect as the timing for that for that -- shortly before launch.

Dustin Scaringe

Analyst

Okay. That's helpful. And then just one more from us. I know previously, you talked about an additional $5 million investment option in the context of expenses that you baked in the guidance. Is the marketing that you announced today, those 2 campaigns, is that part of that $5 million? Or would that $5 million be on top of that?

Evguenia Lindgardt

Analyst

Austin, do you want to take that one?

Austin Aerts

Analyst

Sure. Yes. These -- the marketing campaigns, as Zhenya mentioned, are actually incredibly cost-effective and don't really have a material impact on our current budget or current operating expenses. As Zhenya mentioned, these opportunities came to us and are very beneficial for us in terms of the low cost and the reach. As far as the $5 million that we've talked about previously, we sort of -- we've talked about how we budgeted the $5 million of additional investments beyond our current run rate to invest behind the achievement of our milestones and into commercial opportunities. The majority of that will be in sort of commercial deployments. But we're going to remain vigilant. We're not going out and spending that quite yet. We're going to evaluate each opportunity in terms of ROI and creating near- and long-term value for the company before we start to really dig into that sort of $5 million pot that we talked about last time.

Evguenia Lindgardt

Analyst

Yes. Spot on. And Dustin, so basically, the 2 campaigns are already paid for and baked into our costs.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] As there seems to be no further questions at this time, I'd now like to turn the call back over to Ms. Zhenya Lindgardt for final closing comments.

Evguenia Lindgardt

Analyst

Thank you so much, operator, and thank you all for attending our call today. We have a lot of work to do through the remainder of the year launching self-pay and employer paid channels in parallel to pursuing fair reimbursement, as well as education and awareness campaigns for preterm. We are invigorated by growing interest in our technology portfolio, and our expectation of publications of AVERT and PRIME studies. We believe these studies when published, will fuel even greater interest in preterm and pave the way for adoption that can solve the crisis of premature births -- help solve the crisis of premature birth, while helping accelerate our growth. I'll now turn it back over to the operator to conclude the call. Operator?

Operator

Operator

Thank you, ma'am. Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes your conference call for today. We thank you for participating and ask that you please disconnect your lines. Have a lovely day.