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Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional (SID)

Q3 2025 Earnings Call· Wed, Nov 5, 2025

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

"

Antonio Marco Rabello

Management

"

Helena Guerra

Management

"

Benjamin Steinbruch

Management

"

Luis Martinez

Management

"

Gabriel Coelho Barra

Management

" Citigroup Inc., Research Division

Rafael Barcellos

Management

" Banco Bradesco BBI S.A., Research Division

Daniel Sasson

Management

" Itaú Corretora de Valores S.A., Research Division

Guilherme Nippes

Management

" XP Investimentos Corretora de Câmbio, Títulos e Valores Mobiliários S.A., Research Division

Operator

Operator

[Interpreted] Good morning, and thank you for waiting. Welcome to CSN's conference call to present the results for the third quarter of 2025. Today with us are the company's executive officers. We would like to inform you that this event is being recorded. [Operator Instructions] Today's event is also available on CSN's Investor Relations website at ri.csn.com.br, where the presentation can be found. A replay of this call will be available shortly after its conclusion. Before moving on, we would like to clarify that any forward-looking statements made during this conference call are based on the beliefs and assumptions of CSN's management and on information currently available to the company. Such statements involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions as they relate to future events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur. Actual events may differ due to factors such as general economic conditions in Brazil and other countries, interest and exchange rate levels, future renegotiations or prepayment of obligations of foreign currency-denominated credits, tariffs in the U.S., Brazil and other countries, changes in laws and regulations and general competitive factors on a global, regional or national level. Now we'll turn the floor to Mr. Marco Rabello, Chief Financial Officer and Investor Relations Officer, who will present CSN's operational and financial highlights for the period. Mr. Rabello, you may go on.

Antonio Marco Rabello

Management

[Interpreted] Good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us at another conference call of CSN. Today, we are here to talk about the performance of the third quarter '25, a very special quarter, where we can see a better performance of the company in the whole of the year with historical operational records being hit, showing the CSN's continued strong in terms of efficiency, operational efficiency, but as committed to operational financial strictness and reaching results. In a movement that had credit as the main topic, the company continued with a diversified operation able to extract results from different sectors of the economy, ensuring resilience and showing the strength of the group. As we see in the highlights of Slide #2, CSN was able to expand sales volume in all its segments of operation, and it had an accurate strategy commercially in the period and strong cost controls that drove results in this quarter. Therefore, CSN reached growth of 26% in EBITDA with BRL 3.3 billion and EBITDA margin of 27%, a quarter-on-quarter growth of 330 bps points. That was also the third consecutive quarter where the company showed a drop in its leverage ratio, reaching 3.1x in the period compared to the 3.5x in the end of last year. That shows the financial discipline and the group's strong capital structure. Going to mining, another period of historical record, showing that the company is extracting more efficiency in logistics and its production capacity. That was the first time in history that CSN was able to ship more than 12 million tons with sales volume 5% above that of the previous quarter. In a quarter, we had growth showing the improvements in efficiency. In terms of costs and expenses, performance was equally positive with dilution of fixed costs and a better freight…

Helena Guerra

Management

[Interpreted] Hello, everyone. Before going to details this quarter, I would like to highlight the performance of our ESG agenda connected to sustainable value to our company. In this quarter, we advanced consistently in 3 pillars that are part of our strategy and that are connected to financial performance and risk reduction, governance, social and [indiscernible]. In safety, we continue our stability in terms of number of accidents, very close to '24, 30% below '21, 33% decrease in the number of high-potential severe incidents that has been our focus for '25, reaching the best results in our historical spirit. Safety advances were our strategy, focusing on our greatest value and reduction to risks, operational, legal, it avoids costs related to interruptions and et cetera. So the result shows an important advancement in the company and how we are best in terms of leadership. In environmental, we had the report that talks about our agenda targets and et cetera. At CSN, we had the plan of climate adaptation to improve the resilience of our assets, decrease physical risks related to climate and reduce emissions of greenhouse gases in the main segments of operation, driven by projects related to operational efficiency, energy efficiency, clean energy and better processes. And that has direct impact on mitigating climate transition risks, reduces our future exposure to regulatory costs, and also strengthens our competitiveness and extends access to capital connected to ESG, and shows that decarbonization is a strategy for the company and for the future. And in diversity and inclusion, we continue to have a more inclusive environment with more representativity with an 80% increase of female representation at the group. Diversity is a clear mechanism to reduce risks. We know that diverse teams have better results and strengthen the company in terms of productivity and long-term results. As a result of all these KPIs and others, we once again, we were recognized as a benchmark by important ESG agencies in the world with better credibility, transparency, and consistency in our trajectory. We were considered one of the best companies in terms of the score in ESG and a silver medal in EcoVadis. That shows to the market that we are building a robust company with real impact and reducing risks. And that is not separate from the business. It is part of our strategy, part of risk management. So what we are bringing shows that we are having less operational risks, less financial risk, and it generates value to our -- all our stakeholders, including our shareholders. Thank you very much. Now we are going to hear our CEO, Benjamin Steinbruch.

Benjamin Steinbruch

Management

[Interpreted] Good afternoon, everyone. Thanks for joining our conference call. As it was mentioned by Marcos before and by Elena, we had a quarter that we can call exceptional in terms of operational activity. We were able in all our sectors to record improvements and best production levels ever, also cost reductions. I think that we are working the right way. We are working hard to try and maximize our production with good results. That is seeking the optimal production level for each one of our sectors so that we can, regardless of better productivity and costs, also have the right price for each one of our activities. Starting with mining, we had excellent news in terms of production, shipment with record in 3 corridors price stabilities in iron ore, which gave us the EBITDA margin of 1.9%, which we consider excellent comparing to past forecast. In sales, we were able to lower costs, working at an optimal level in terms of results. And we continue to work very hard to reduce costs, which is something that is in our control using what is best and also using our working capital as well as possible, always having an eye on prices. In terms of production, had a higher percentage and, as a consequence, a drop in prices due to the mix, but still margins were kept at very good levels. And as you all know, we have this very aggressive uncontrolled competition of product -- imported products, which makes it very difficult for us to mirror what is going on in the world in terms of protective measures against imported goods and incentives to domestic production. In Brazil, we are a bit behind all this despite the efforts of the government, the Ministry of Commerce, and others, but we have…

Antonio Marco Rabello

Management

[Interpreted] Thanks, Benjamin. We are going to start the Q&A session. We have all the company officers, our CEO, and we are here to take your questions.

Operator

Operator

[Interpreted] [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Gabriel Barra from Citi.

Gabriel Coelho Barra

Management

[Interpreted] Perhaps the first point specifically when talking about leverage. Gjamin did mention some of this with regards to costs and how we can make this leverage go down. I think this is an important point for the company. But I would like to perhaps take a new perspective. This is something that I mentioned in the last call, which is divestment. Perhaps you could talk a bit about that. You have a very rich portfolio today, and you can deleverage very fast with your assets. What would be the priorities of the company today? What would be the steps in this strategy of perhaps shuffling portfolio? I would like to understand your mindset on that, considering the different businesses of the company, mining, cement, logistics. So if you could share your view on that, it would really help us on that. Another thing is that we've seen the gains in volume, but margins were not as good this quarter. So I would like to hear from you the idea of value over volume, the commercial strategy of the company, particularly in steel, and also an outlook of your strategy for the fourth quarter that seems to be tougher in terms of margins. So what should we expect for the fourth quarter and next year? These are my points.

Antonio Marco Rabello

Management

[Interpreted] Gabriel, thanks for your question, for attending the call. I'm going to answer the first part of your question, and then I'm going to turn to Martinez. Leverage. I think it's important to remind you that we are into a deleveraging process along the year. We went from 3.5x to 3.1x. Our guidance was 3 until the end of the year. So we are following this target of the company's guidance. Nothing extraordinary on the company's EBITDA or cash helped us come here, just organic operational results of the company. So that alone show how the company is focused on deleveraging the company. For -- from now on, and we did mention that before and even in the presentation today, -- in addition to the continuous improvement of our operational results that we really believe we're going to continue improving in all segments. Cement and still are going to continue operational results. Mining is going to continue at a very high level of performance. And we also have strategic projects, the most important of which being the CSN infrastructure project. The group today has 7 assets in infrastructure and logistics that will migrate to this new company. We are very much advanced in this operation. And this operation alone will bring in terms of additional liquidity to the group. The company is listed, we cannot give you the hard numbers, but we are going to have some important BRL billion to deleverage the company is still in '26. And talking about that, the project is well advanced. In the next few weeks, we are going to give new announcements of the process, formal announcements for you to have a better knowledge of where we are at, and also the timeline that we have for the CSN infrastructure for the…

Luis Martinez

Management

[Interpreted] Thanks for your question. Going back to strategy in the second quarter, we are very much focused on value. We had a portfolio that was more adjusted. We still had the possibility of exporting to the U.S. in coated materials. And because of an operational issue, we could maximize results. Obviously, in the third quarter, and that is a curiosity. We generally read in analyst reports that import penetration is between 15% to 30%, which is out of the ordinary anywhere in the world. It's a very high number. But when you stop and observe CSN's portfolio, and this is very important. You see in metal sheets, 45% of the market today is imported. In zinc, 40%valum, 55% prepainted 63%. So you see the situation that we had in the third quarter, a huge volume of imports. CSN is known as the coated materials, and we had to compete. It could not just feed the market to imported materials. So what we did was to have a more of a fighting strategy to recover markets that we needed in coated materials, and that was the strategy adopted. In terms of results, I think that this is a winning strategy because in the first quarter, we had 8% margin. In the second quarter, we were the only company that increased price in the Brazilian market, getting to 11%. And in the third quarter, we grew sales, which was our objective. We could no longer export. We had to direct 25,000 tons of coated material to the domestic market, which was good. I think it was the right move with the possibility of correcting our portfolio for the coming months. Another important matter, Rafael, Gabriel, sorry, is the matter of demand in Brazil. This is very important. This year, Brazil should…

Operator

Operator

[Interpreted] Our next question comes from Rafael Barcellos from Bradesco BBI.

Rafael Barcellos

Management

My first question is the company has showing cash burn in recent quarters. Can you talk a bit about what would be the normalized number for the company? And what initiatives can be taken to reverse the scenario? You talked about interest rates, financial expenses a bit higher. What kind of initiative can you have to reverse this position in the short term? And second question, I would like to go back to what Martinez mentioned. Talking a bit more about cement and other markets. So a follow-up. You mentioned that on November 27, you're going to have the G7 meeting, and we can have a favorable decision for galvanized. So is that correct? And if you have any information of cold and hot laminates, when the date would be? And Martinez, if you could talk about the markets. We are seeing the market some attempt of improving prices in plain sheets. Could you talk about the market appetite in terms of prices?

Benjamin Steinbruch

Management

[Interpreted] Rafael, thanks for your question. I think that first, when you talk about cash burn, -- the company was able to show in recent quarters a reduction in cash burn, as you mentioned, from BRL 4 billion to 800 million in this last quarter. There is a series of initiatives in line for us to have a positive cash, which is what is expected. The new is better operational results as we are showing quarter after quarter, improving our operational results is the most sustainable way of turning negative cash to positive cash. This quarter, we delivered a better cash position and the pillars to improve results for the coming quarters in all segments are given. We talked about the cost control in mining, cement, and now in steel, where we reached the lowest cost of steel production of the last 4 years, and that remains for the future in our main core segments. We talked about price recoveries in cement and also signs of better prices in steel as well. And in mining, we continue going well in terms of profitability, generation of EBITDA, and we are going to carry on like this. So the part of operational results that will contribute to cash burn is happening and will continue for future periods, obviously, considering the seasonality issues that we have in some parts of the year. financial expenses, I did mention that, and you mentioned that too. We already saw this quarter a reduction of financial expenses compared to previous quarters. Here, you have a focus of the company in managing debt that are a bit more burdensome in our indebtedness profile. We are making investments -- a part of the investments that we have in our cash burn, have efficient credit lines. And we are also…

Luis Martinez

Management

[Interpreted] Another data they would talk about antidumping measures, very interesting. Only 45% of the volume exported in China has positive margin, 7% to 8%. So imagine the problem that we have with the closing of Europe. We became the yard of the road for Chinese material to come in. So just for you to have an idea, Asian markets that were relatively control, you get enough China is sending 4 million; Korea, 3 million, and Brazil, 2 million. So the a of products continue. So we do have to take some measures. Another important point that is very positive is that the industry as a whole woke up to understand that still import is just one problem. You get machinery, equipment, cars, consumer goods. What's happening is not steel that is coming at 30%. You have an import of machinery getting to 30% to 35%. So dumping starts to be a more structural problem as it has always been. But now with the reinforcement of value chains, we are probably going to have a better condition for the government to be a bit faster in the process. As for process, I'm absolutely convinced that we will certainly have repainted and Galvalum approved because we have all data, the technical is approved. Everything is working, all the verifications. And along the pipeline, hot laminates is going to be the last one because the process started in June '25 and the forecast is more to the middle of the year. In the other products, up to January '25, we can have this implemented. It's important to highlight that the government can optimize time, shorten time. In metal sheets, we had a very bad experience. We started in March '24, and we only had the process approved in August '25. I believe…

Rafael Barcellos

Management

[Interpreted] Just a follow-up, Marco. Thank you for the breakdown in terms of cash generation. Just a small follow-up. In terms of working capital, could you say something in the short term? And Martinez, in your case, you talked about some products and what you expect in terms of antidumping. How about galvanized and cold limited products?

Antonio Marco Rabello

Management

[Interpreted] Well, working capital I don't think we are not going to have major fluctuations. We had an impact because of accounts receivable this quarter because of a higher volume of commercial activity. If you keep the volume of activity in the coming quarters in accounts receivable, you're not going to have another impact. So you're going to keep the same pace. And a good part of the good EBITDA that we had this quarter will turn into cash keeping this same level of operation, accounts receivable, you will not have fluctuation. So there is a line the company is focusing a lot, which is inventories. And here, you might have some benefit in terms of working capital for the future. But we have an important work team to focusing on that. We see some impact in the third quarter, and that's why we have a larger volume of steel sold in this period, but we are doing that with all inventories of the company. Now metal sheet, we have the definitive right to antidumping. And fortunately, in this case, the government took 18 months too much. Prepainted is going to be approved in CMC meeting on November 27, coated end of December or the first meeting of CME in January, cold laminate the same, metal sheets for Japan, Netherlands, and others, April 26, and hot laminate March 26. These are the times we are working with. The government always has a cushion to expand. I am in Brazil today in meetings with and to talk about Brazil antidumping and also sanctions of the United States on Brazil, the tariffs. So I'm very optimistic because I see a new position of the government that can accelerate decisions.

Operator

Operator

[Interpreted] Our next question comes from Daniel Sasson from Itaú BBA.

Daniel Sasson

Management

[Interpreted] My first question is to Marco. Marco, could you talk about the level of flexibility that you can see in your CapEx for next year, important projects in expansion in mining. What has been already contracted? And where do you have room to postpone if that's the case, if you are considering that? And along the same line, if you get maturities of bank debt between the end of this year, '26, '27, you have about BRL 14 billion, BRL 15 billion. And have you already started renegotiating or rolling out these debts with banks as usual? And my second question goes back to deleveraging alternatives. Could you be a bit more specific in terms of the CE generation. You have been talking about having a strategic partner to this business, particularly, and also the monetization of infrastructure logistics assets, the pool of operational assets already, but also projects at what stage we are today. That's it.

Antonio Marco Rabello

Management

[Interpreted] Daniel, thanks for your questions. Well, first, CapEx. As we mentioned, the company is managing its CapEx very efficiently. We compare '25 to '25, same level of CapEx, but all levels of segments, bringing more volume, better operations, and reducing costs. So this clearly shows how CapEx is important for the company. As for '26, which is our short-term Obviously, we do have some flexibility on CapEx. This is always true. The priority is P15. We are going to deliver on time as agreed. So that is our top priority in terms of CapEx. And the room that we have in terms of cash generation and others is going to be managed as ideally as possible. We do have the flexibility. It should be anything extremely material because our main focus is to continue improving the company's operational higher cash generation, more EBITDA, I'm sorry, as we are doing, and we delivered the best EBITDA ever of the year this quarter. So we have to take care in CapEx management because sometimes you remove it from somewhere and you have a drop in EBITDA. So to answer your question, we do have the flexibility, but it's not super material and our priority is P15. In terms of maturities, basically, the maturities for '26 and '27 are bank credits with more of bilateral credits as we did this year. We are already renegotiating some maturities of the first half of '26. So far, negotiations have been very smooth. We are able to roll out maturities for the beginning of '26. We haven't started working with '27 yet. But in '26, we are very comfortable that we are going to be able to roll out the debt of '26. Some of for instance, we have a bond of '26. A small…

Operator

Operator

[Interpreted] Our next question comes from Guilherme Nippes from XP.

Guilherme Nippes

Management

[Interpreted] My question has to do with the antidumping measures in steel. We are getting lots of questions. The market seems to be a bit more optimistic because many problems in terms of antidumping are being settled. And we are getting lots of questions about potential effect on prices. So I'd like to ask you this question, if you can help us out a rationale for potential impact because we see antidumping discussions in prevented about 300 laminates about 500. But we understand that because antidumping is against China, we can have part of this product changing routes. We saw that limits to South Korea and a part is going to be absorbed by the local industry. So my question is specifically about this point, and this discussion is how much do you think we could consider in terms of better prices and profitability of the products in the domestic industry? And when should we expect the antidumping on better prices? And with regards to the increases of 5%, what has to do with a better domestic environment, a better domestic market, or if it is related to antidumping.

Benjamin Steinbruch

Management

Martinez, I think the question is yours.

Luis Martinez

Management

Yes. Guilherme. Okay. In terms of antidumping, first, I'm going to say what I always mentioned, which is the issue of premiums. So if you're thinking of BQ, $470, and you think of our product in the domestic market, which is $3,600, $3,700 the premium considering you have the quotas, right? So if it's outside the quota, the premium is already about 2%. And inside the quotas, it is about 10% to 12% that for B. when we go to antidumping measures for coated materials, and those that are affected in the market is, well, we have 50% of the coated market in Brazil. And our products are connected to civil construction with a small percentage to automotive. So whatever happens in antidumping measures, if it's going to take another 2, 3 days is very positive because certainly, it gives us a cushion to adjust prices. The best adjustment, obviously, is to sell even if I sold at the same price, more volume in terms of coated material. This is what we want because today, we have capacities that came from other competitors. So restricting imports is very positive in terms of competition, and it is still healthy for the Brazilian market. Just for you to have an idea, I don't have the number by heart. But I would say that in the first quarter, imports were close to 1 million tons. In the second, 1.3 million. And in the third quarter, it went down to 970. So this is a clear sign that those that are importing have realized that the market can change. And the government is giving signs of that, the last one to the metal sheet with a definite decision. In terms of models, which I think is what you want, I believe that we could…

Operator

Operator

[Interpreted] Our next question is in writing by Nicolas from Bal, U.K. He says congratulations on the results. What is the marginal cost of debt for rollovers and on new money in 3Q '25?

Benjamin Steinbruch

Management

[Interpreted] Nicolas, thanks for your question. The cost of the debt for rollovers this quarter was the same as the historical levels in the company. It has not changed our average leverage, which is at 10% of CDI and close or the same as the first and second quarters this year. What we saw and that may raise the curiosity of some investors is a fluctuation of some of our papers in debentures and others, but that is not related to rollovers that we have been executing this period. So the effect on the papers is related to effects related to Brazil, large Brazilian companies, as we have seen in the news, and that brings some loss of confidence on stock of several Brazilian companies, but the cost of rollover has not changed compared to previous quarters.

Operator

Operator

[Interpreted] Our next question also in writing comes from Santander. Could you talk about the drivers for 4Q '25, and that leads you to reach the consolidated net leverage target of 3x by the end of the year? Secondly, market concerns continue about the imbalance in the steel business. Leverage indicators are high, and the mining business where most cash is located, consider that a problem for the management of liabilities for the future? And if so, what are the plans to address it? I believe that crystallizing value in the logistics business is a possibility, I suppose. Can you update us on this and other capital structure strategies that are seriously being considered now?

Benjamin Steinbruch

Management

[Interpreted] Thanks for your question. As for the fourth quarter of the year, the main drivers of the good results that we expect for the end of the year are the operational basis that we considered during this call. Mining, steel, and cement are operating at a very efficient level with a high production volume and a strictly controlled cost, which already brings a high expectation for the fourth quarter. And also, Martinez very clearly put it, the prices in the steel segment, we are finally seeing a positive trend in terms of steel prices. and also cement that is recovering now as of the third quarter this year. So all these operational assumptions make us believe that despite the seasonality we have in the fourth quarter this year, that the fourth quarter will continue to be a quarter of excellent performance for the company as we had in the fourth quarter '24. If you remember, 4Q '24 was very good in terms of results, and it didn't have the same foundations that we have today for the year of '25. As for leverage and mining, as you mentioned, continue very good. Leverage is not a problem to mining. It continues with more cash than debt. And in still, which is the holding that in a way, consolidates the company's debt and cash -- the way to rebalance or adjust the capital structure, that perhaps what you're asking is focusing on deleveraging, which is what we have been doing in the last 2 years and most notably in 2025. And in '26, in addition to operational results, some operational results will be geared to deleveraging, but we have some nonorganic operations with CS Infra that will help us to bring the capital structure in still to a better point of balance. And remember, in addition to all these initiatives in the year of '25, for the first time in many, many years, CSN did not pay dividends in May as usual, and it is not going to pay dividends in November. It's also usual. So this is a show of the commitment of the company and the company's shareholders to deleverage the company. And when you talk about logistics, it is what I mentioned in the previous question. So I think I already detailed what is to come and when the operation is going to happen, which will certainly be a good lever for '26.

Operator

Operator

[Interpreted] Our next question in writing comes from Alvaro Rodrigue, he says, you extended amortizations to 2030. What is the weighted average cost of this new debt compared to the previous one? How much incremental interest burden should investors expect and refinancing? What portion of '26, '27 maturities has been already refinanced or prefunded? How much remains exposed to market conditions?

Benjamin Steinbruch

Management

[Interpreted] Alvaro, thanks for your question. Cost of refinancing. I just answered that 1 or 2 questions ago. No changes, the same costs that we had in previous quarters. '27 maturities. In '26, we have an important portion of the first quarter already refinanced. I don't have the numbers, but it's a relevant portion, almost the whole first half of '26 already addressed. '27, not yet. When you talk about how much that remains exposed to market condition in the short term, no exposure because in '26, we have already addressed in different ways, even with the CSN Infra operations that can pay out debt. So the next operation that we still have a discussion in terms of market conditions is the bond for '28 that we are going to need to refinance. And I understand this is very important for you. This is something that we want to start addressing, although maturity is only in 2 years' time, but we want to start addressing as fast as possible to have a window of efficiency until the end of this year or the beginning of next year to start addressing this bond of '28.

Operator

Operator

[Interpreted] Our next question comes from Charles Waters from Sunglass Capital. What is the cost of debt rate of the new debt incurred in '25 to refinance maturing debt?

Benjamin Steinbruch

Management

[Interpreted] Charles, thanks for your question. I already answered, I think, that question. But if you have any more questions, just let me know.

Operator

Operator

[Interpreted] Next question, Constanta from. This says you mentioned you've been actively refinancing debt and that in the next 2 years, the majority of the refinancing are bank loans. Could you give us some color on what this refinancing has been like so far, covenants, if they are unsecured, do they have the same seniority as the bonds?

Benjamin Steinbruch

Management

[Interpreted] Constanta, thanks for your question. I think that refinancing is something that we already covered. I would just add that the market, in addition to the usual banks that we are still refinancing operations and continuing to lower the company -- lending to the company, we are having other banks that are interested in working with banks we haven't worked with before. So this is not a problem for '25, and it's not a problem for '26. As for the rollover, that is being rolled over with the same conditions before and with the same bond guarantees. So we don't have anything that was rolled for '26 that is senior to company bonds, all have the same level of guarantee.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] There are no further questions. I want to turn the call back to Antonio Marco, CFO and IR Officer, for his final remarks.

Antonio Marco Rabello

Management

Well, thanks, everyone. Thanks of all the members of CSN that contributed to a very special quarter, record results. And also thank you for attending this conference call. We are closing our conference call for the results of the 3Q '25, and we wish you all a very good week.

Operator

Operator

[Interpreted] CSN's conference call is now closed. Have a very good day.