Greetings. Welcome to the SiriusXM Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce Hooper Stevens, Senior Vice President, Investor Relations and Finance. Thank you, Hooper. You may now begin.

Thank you, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to SiriusXM's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. Today, we will have prepared remarks from Jennifer Witz, our Chief Executive Officer; and Tom Barry, our Chief Financial Officer. Scott Greenstein, our President and Chief Content Officer; and Wayne Thorsen, our Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, will join Jennifer and Tom to take your questions during the Q&A portion of this call. I would like to remind everyone that certain statements made during the call might be forward-looking statements as the term is defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These and all forward-looking statements are based upon management's current beliefs and expectations and necessarily depend upon assumptions, data or methods that may be incorrect or imprecise. Such forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially. For more information about these risks and uncertainties, please view SiriusXM's SEC filings and today's earnings release. We advise listeners to not rely unduly on forward-looking statements and disclaim any intent or obligation to update them. As we begin, I'd like to remind our listeners that today's call will include discussions about both actual results and adjusted results. All discussions of adjusted operating results exclude the effects of stock-based compensation. Additionally, we have posted a supplementary presentation on our IR website for your convenience. With that, I'll hand the call over to Jennifer.

Thank you, Hooper. Good morning, everyone. The second quarter was a period of great progress as we continued to deliver meaningful value to our subscribers, listeners and advertising partners and optimize our organization through the lens of our renewed strategic focus. From deeper engagement with our loyal listeners to early momentum associated with our operational improvements and continued strong results across key performance indicators, we are confident we are on the right path for the long-term success of the business. Beginning with content, it's been an exciting few months as we announced new talent and programming, produced one-of-a-kind subscriber events and tapped into the full power of our platform with major moments in news and culture. One of the highlights of the quarter included our new agreement with Stephen A. Smith, who will be joining us this fall. SiriusXM offers multifaceted personalities and creators a place to connect deeply with their fans on many topics. This deal, for example, has Stephen A helming both a live daily sports show on Mad Dog Sports Radio and a political and culture program expected to air on the POTUS channel and then run as a broadly distributed podcast. The collaboration with Stephen A leans into many of our strengths, including our leadership in sports audio, live coverage, real-time fan interaction and effective monetization of listeners across both subscription and advertising supported audio. These are the types of thoughtful content investments we will continue to make moving forward. Within our SiriusXM subscription business, we're pleased to deliver year-over-year improvement in self-pay net adds for the fifth quarter in a row, which in Q2 improved by 32,000 over the same quarter last year. This quarter's results were primarily driven by the expansion and positive impact of new acquisition initiatives, combined with continued low churn. These…

Thank you, Jennifer, and good morning, everyone. In the second quarter, we executed a strong financial discipline, delivering results that highlight the strength of our model and the consistency of our strategy. We maintained healthy margins, accelerated our cost savings program and generated substantial free cash flow, all while continuing to invest in what matters for long-term success. With that, let's jump into the results. Revenue for the quarter totaled $2.14 billion, down 2% compared to the second quarter last year with similar results across our subscription and advertising revenue streams. Adjusted EBITDA in the quarter was $668 million, down 5% on a year-over-year basis, reflecting a healthy margin of 31%. Free cash flow rose 27% to $402 million, driven by timing of payments, lower capital expenditures and the elimination of Liberty level overhead in prior year. On the topic of costs, we had previously articulated a $200 million run rate cost savings goal across OpEx and CapEx exiting this year. Thanks to early action, we now expect to achieve approximately $200 million of gross savings in period this year. While the majority of this is in OpEx, we also now expect to land near the lower end of our previously articulated non-satellite CapEx range of $450 million to $500 million this year. We expect non-satellite CapEx to decline to approximately $400 million next year in addition to the significant decline we will see in satellite CapEx. The success of our cost program reflects continued strong discipline and execution across our business. In the quarter, sales and marketing expense declined 20% year-over-year benefiting from a more efficient campaign mix and the timing of planned brand and in-car initiatives. That said, we do expect some reinvestment in the second half as we reaccelerate select campaigns and of course, we begin to…

[Operator Instructions] And the first question today comes from the line of Jessica Reif Ehrlich with Bank of America.

Quickly a question on maybe what Tom just -- two questions, about what Tom just mentioned, on the guidance for free cash flow, you said you may -- you'll revisit maybe because of tax and CapEx, but it was a huge beat in the second quarter. I'm just wondering why not the flow through for the full year? And then a question for Scott. You've been consistently introducing new content. How are you thinking now about like trying to skew younger? And particularly when that's maybe more challenged from a subscription level, it seemed like it would be more like advertising supported. So any commentary on that would be great.

So Jessica, it's Tom. So to address the first one as it relates to free cash flow. Yes, we did have a sizable beat on free cash flow year- over-year in the quarter. Some of it was timing. And as you look at the first quarter, we are a little bit behind as far as where we are looking number-wise year-over-year. So year-to-date, we think we're in pretty good shape when we look at the timing of the payments going into the full year. We do have two things that have been going on. The team has been working on the cost structure and continuing to focus on CapEx and the optimization of CapEx. And honestly, the new Tax Act, we're just looking through the final strokes of it just to make sure that we got the spread of it between multiple years because you can actually spread it over '25 and '26, the benefit. And so we're just working through that. We should have an update on that in this fall time frame.

Great. And on the question about getting younger, a couple of things. One, obviously, the podcast market has been ripe for us to look at that and still monetize heavily in that. When you look at Alex Cooper's SmartLess, Even Mel Robbins and Rotten Mango, those are younger than our core. And even Stephen A. Smith, which is in radio and podcasting is a little younger than our core. So with that, we have the ability to see how that works. Now Alex Cooper's music channel on Sirius is doing really well, and that's obviously geared to a younger audience. So we're going to look at where that calibration is and start to see where something might be younger, but yet ripe for subscription. And while we're weighting that out, we're going to continue to monetize heavily younger content in the podcast market.

Yes, I'd just add on to that, Jessica. We just heard this week that with Edison's new Q2 report, we're going to be the #1 podcast network in monthly listener reach for audiences 18 and up. So as you highlighted, we've got a much broader audience with our podcast content, and that does give us the opportunity that Scott outlined to perhaps bring more of those younger listeners into SiriusXM. But as you know, we're being very disciplined in focusing on our core audience there.

Our next questions come from the line of Barton Crockett with Rosenblat Securities.

I wanted to maybe lean in a little bit more on what you're doing with podcasting in the digital side of advertising. And I guess a couple of things. One is, if you could give us just some type of sense of how to think about podcast in the mix. It was up 50%, just to get -- trying to get a sense of when that's going to be large enough to really move the needle on the overall kind of ad line? And then secondarily, I know that there's some development, some efforts on your side and also some others in the sector on more fulsomely developing the digital kind of programmatic ad tech capabilities. And I was just wondering if you could update us on where you guys are with that. And how you think that could contribute over time to that ad revenue line for you?

Yes. Thanks, Barton. We are really pleased with our broadcast offering. It's -- we were up nearly 50% in the quarter. We continue to see strong growth going forward there. In terms of the mix, so I think we've said in the past that Pandora represents about 55% to 60% of our total advertising revenue. So that gives you some indication. The rest is obviously, SiriusXM, Pandora or SiriusXM podcasting and other off platform. But we do think there's room for this to continue to grow as a portion of our total ad revenue. We have a lot of opportunities, not only just given the talent. And as Scott mentioned, sort of creators coming to us because of our industry-leading monetization and how we've approached sort of cross-platform distribution more broadly. We've worked really well in terms of distribution with YouTube and others to take advantage of the massive growth in video podcasting as well as monetizing through social. So I think on the programmatic side or maybe just speak a little bit more broadly about the advertising revenue outside of podcasting on music streaming and other digital audio. Our biggest opportunity there, so Pandora RPM was down in the quarter. And we continue to see challenges with really the macroeconomic backdrop and the flood of inventory from CTV. And what we need to better do is to make sure audio isn't competing with CTV, but is increasingly seen as a way to extend reach. And we've talked about this before, audio is significantly undermonetized relative to other media. One of the ways to unlock that is through things like better targeting and measurement. We did announce a deal with Innovid to improve our integration with MMM models. We'll have more of those to come, but we are seeing some nice take-up by advertisers there and it really does help extend the value of audio and prove the ROI, where in this environment, obviously, advertisers are really focused on making sure that they're seeing those specific returns.

Our next question comes from the line of Steven Cahall with Wells Fargo.

So Jennifer, I think you all have done a lot of simplifying of the in-car plans. I think the most notable one is your all-music plan. I think prior to this, music has always had a bit of a tiering structure to it. So can you just update us a little bit on that strategy and like what kind of customer benefits or churn benefits you're seeing as you step into these new simplified plans. And what does it mean for ARPU over the medium term? Should we still expect growth in the second half of the year? And then just on net adds, historically, Q4, I think, has been your best quarter for net adds. This is kind of an abnormal year given all the tariff impacts on the auto market. So how do we think about net add trends as we get through the year. And should we still expect that year-on-year improvement in net adds, excluding the impact from streaming?

Sure. Thanks, Steven. So first, on pricing and packaging, I'm really pleased with the progress we've made here. We continue to focus on three primary efforts. One is enhancing value of our full-price subscription plans. As you know, we did a rate increase in March and we were really well positioned, I think, to manage through that because of the content we provided to more subscribers last fall. And that is going to be sort of an operating model for the future. In our in-car modular pricing and packaging with the $9.99 price point you mentioned, we're rolling this out slowly to new customers only in trial first with alongside shorter-term promos, which means they roll to the full price packages more quickly. So we have a number of different price points there, as you alluded to, with $9.99 being kind of the entry-level price point all the way up to $25. The vast majority of customers coming through those marketing campaigns are choosing the $25 package. And the real benefit of this is that we see stronger retention ultimately on these full priced packages. So we not only get off of these longer-term discounts we've been using in acquisitions more quickly, but we also retain customers on these full-price packages. We think that has a lot to do with the enhanced transparency there. And I'll turn to Wayne in a minute to talk a little bit about the introduction of Play, which is part of the good, better, best packaging structure we've put in place. But I really feel good about the balance of demand and retention in terms of this full packaging structure. And I think we've said in the past and we still believe that ARPU trends will continue to improve as we go out through this year generally because of the roll through of the rate increase we did in March. And then I'll come back to net adds after Wayne comments on Play.

Yes. And thanks. As Jennifer said, I mean, this is priced play, which we just launched about 2 weeks ago is in the U.S. and Canada. It's priced below our lowest music-only offering, which you're noting. And it does extend our good, better, best pricing strategy, which we're getting much more disciplined with. And the goal here is to reach these new price-sensitive audiences but still preserving the ARPU that we have through a balanced mix of subscription and, of course, advertising revenue and very similar to what we've seen become quite standard with SVODs. So we're still testing price points as we're moving through, but we expect it to stay under $7 for the MSRP to the user, of course, with the advertising revenue on top of that. And as noted in the last call and as noted elsewhere, a big part of this is being thoughtfully -- as we thoughtfully roll this out and being guided by some of the investments that we've made in our Martech stack to be able to target to people who we found in the past or we have targeted and modeled as much more price sensitive or in the past have been guided towards other plans or deep discounts from the beginning.

Yes. So back to net adds and the trend line. I do expect to see some change in seasonality this year relative to years past. And some of that has to do with the year-over-year comps and the fact that we had a relatively strong quarter in the fourth quarter last year on streaming. So just maybe to give you a bit more color on that. Obviously, with the suspension of the federal regulation on click to cancel, we should see a slightly better outcome as a result of not having that in place, although it is rolling out in several states. So we continue to watch that. But on the streaming side, we would expect about a reduction of 300,000 net adds this year on streaming subs. So that gives you some sense as to when we talk a bit about that we would be better year-over-year, absent some of these onetime items or pull-forward impacts it gives you a better sense as to how that looks. On the in-car side of the business, I feel really good about what we've been delivering. We are really focused on executing against the strategy reset we did in December, focusing on our in-car business. We have a number of acquisition programs that are delivering better demand ultimately. And we continue to see a very impressively low churn and that has a lot to do with increased engagement, and I think we have more to come there.

The next question is from the line of David Joyce with Seaport Research Partners.

A couple of things. I was wondering about the expenses in G&A and what was driving the legal expenses? And was any of that kind of non-recurring? And then secondly, a little bit more detail, please, on the strength in podcasting ad revenue. Are you seeing greater marketer adoption? Like are there more marketers coming to the platform? Or are they allocating more or is the -- or is it a volume -- the trend of adding more content or monetizing more of that content, just pricing and volume kind of concept. If you could provide some more color there.

David, it's Tom. To answer the first part of your question as it relates to expenses, in G&A, we have a legal settlement for about $28 million in this year. So that skewed the expense on the G&A side. And also, just as background, last year, we had an insurance recovery of legal expenses, which was $10 million benefit last year. So that closes the broader differential as it relates to G&A. And overall, SG&A is slightly down because of the reduction we've done in sales and marketing in the quarter.

Yes. And on podcasting, it's really all of the above. We continue to attract more creators to our sales and tech platforms. We are distributing broadly, of course, their podcasts and including video distribution in many cases. We're helping monetize across audio, video and social with our Creator Connect products. And we've seen both improvements in pricing. We're taking advantage of the strong demand by including more inventory units in the podcast in certain cases, and I think advertisers generally want to be associated with this great talent. So there's a real opportunity to continue to expand on that demand and add to their buying, their media plans, a broader set of our inventory across satellite broadcast and streaming especially as we bring more measurement capabilities. And this includes on the satellite broadcast side, bringing more visibility into 360L with ad replacement capabilities that we think will be coming online towards the end of the year.

Our next question is from the line of Kutgun Maral with Evercore ISI.

Maybe following up on Steve question on net adds. You mentioned that the full year subscriber outlook hasn't changed despite the encouraging strength in the quarter, given the expected headwinds you've previously called out dragging the back half. So I was hoping you could unpack the Q2 trends a bit more and talk about the forward outlook. Thinking about Q2, I'm not sure how much you can share, but how should we think about the mix of the upside in terms of core trends being better than expected from the benefits from the new acquisition initiatives. And continued execution on churn as opposed to maybe some of the timing shifts on the one-off headwinds. And longer term, maybe thinking about the new acquisition initiatives, can you maybe expand on the uptick you're seeing from what you have in place today? And what the pipeline of initiatives looks like longer term, whether that's in the back half of this year or even 2026, just in terms of giving us better confidence on the trajectory of sustainability of improvement in core net adds?

Sure. So I'd say on net adds for the quarter, we saw year-over-year improvements on both the acquisition side and the retention side. So very low churn, strong performance across cancel demand, nonpay, vehicle related and came in sort of slightly better, absent the rounding on the churn rate. So we feel really good about that, especially again, with the rate increase having gone in place in March. And then on the acquisition side, it had a lot to do with the new programs we've been putting in place over the last, say, 12 to 15 months. And these include the 3-year OEM programs where dealers are ordering 3 years of SiriusXM with their vehicle orders, and we continue to roll that out to more and more OEMs. We announced that we added Ford, and that will be launching later this year. So I think we'll continue to see strong performance there. And then we have things like enhancement of data in our used car funnel, which is just adding volume to our opportunities of subscribers coming through on the used car side of the business. We have our podcast plus, and we have, of course, the EV launches that we've put in place. So I would expect some of those to continue to contribute and perhaps on a larger level. And of course, we've got a number of initiatives in place as Wayne discussed, with Play and the rollout of our broader pricing and packaging structure, we're selectively adding content like Stephen A. We are continuing our 360L rollouts and adding features there. We're improving our marketing capabilities. And all of these things are going to take time. But I'm pleased with the execution we have on these various initiatives. We've kind of talked about these acquisition programs as helping improve the business while we get some of these bigger capabilities online. And I think those are the ones that are ultimately going to help move us to a place where we are stabilizing subscribers and revenue and setting ourselves up for future growth.

And Kutgun, I'd only add that this is the fifth quarter that we've beaten year-over-year self-pay net adds, which we've got a good trend. And we -- as Jennifer outlined, a lot of these initiatives are starting to click.

The next question comes from the line of Cameron Perrone with Morgan Stanley.

A couple if I can. First, for Jennifer, maybe Wayne can weigh in. You called out leveraging AI to generate approved voice creation in the release in your comments. I was wondering if you could speak a little more on how you envision leveraging AI, GenAI, whatever you want -- however you want to term it by going forward, both in advertising, but also more broadly across the business going forward. And then one for Tom on capital allocation. You were a little bit more active this quarter in terms of share repurchase activity. Could you talk a little bit about how your thinking is evolving and how you weigh balancing moving towards your target leverage range, but also buying back stock?

Yes. Thanks, Cameron. So on AI, we've talked a lot about how we've used conversational AI with Sierra to help on the customer service side at SiriusXM, and we're really pleased with the results we're seeing there. We continue to see strong business metrics, good and solid customer response and lower cost, of course. And we are containing a significant amount of our chat messages through Sierra, and we're starting to ramp up the capabilities in voice as well, and there's a lot more to come in terms of better building out an engine to offer the right packages to the right customers based on listening data and other data. So we're just getting started there. On the agreement with narrative. So this is really about using synthetic voices, so -- but their actual sorry, it's actually using real talent voices and approved by the talent to be able to create versioning, and we'll be working closely with our ad maker tool with Studio Resonate to be able to deliver this. And it just provides an opportunity for advertisers to scale their campaigns much more significantly and allows us to work with a broader set of advertisers. And then, Wayne, do you want to touch on some other areas for AI opportunities?

Yes, for sure. I mean outside of Sierra, which we've had so much success, there's other places where we've been using it. It's maybe a little bit less visible, such as in search and adding to our capabilities in Symantec and relational search as an example, where we're seeing much, much better results than we had before for users, but at the same time, our costs have been taken down to a fraction of where they were before. We have a lot of our new marketing initiatives that are, of course, being driven by what we're able to do with AI, everything from being able to use some of these capabilities of Salesforce to some of the targeting capabilities that are making our rollout of play so carefully targeted to avoid trade downs. We have other things that we hope to announce soon in things like tagging and improving our search abilities for our broader corpus across all of our content.

And Cameron, just to close down, I mean I would step back for a second and say, we're very happy as we outlined in the release of where we are on our cost savings initiatives. We're focused on, obviously, optimizing the cost structure, optimizing our CapEx. We've made a lot of progress. I think there's a lot of initiatives we have going on. We're very happy with that. So looking broadly at generating our our free cash flow. We continue to be focused in that area. As far as the capital allocation, we continually hold to our previous format or premises. We're reinvesting in the business, which we've done in the instances of Stephen A. Smith, and some of the other things that we've invested more deeply, and we're maintaining our dividend at the current level right now at 4.5% yield approximately. We're delevering in the quarter, we did delever and pay down some of the term loan A, so that is our third priority. And then buybacks, which came in at $45 million for the quarter, was a little higher, but obviously, it's dependent on the stock price. But we're staying to the same structure that we've had on capital allocation. We're happy with the way it's structured, and we're going to continue to work on free cash flow and continue to work on paying down our debt and leaning towards the back half of next year more focused on buyback.

Our next and final question is from the line of Stephen Laszczyk with Goldman Sachs.

Maybe 1 on the ad-supported subscription plan. Jennifer, Wayne. I'm curious, you called out the $100 million customer opportunity over the long term. Just curious if you can talk a little bit more about the pace of that rollout? And what's kind of governing the pace of that product rollout over the next couple of years? How much of it is supply demand driven on the ad market side with creating a marketplace for advertising versus maybe something on the technological or the way you plan to fit this product in amongst the different tiers? And then second, on conversion trends, Jennifer, just to be curious, if you could update us on the conversion trends you're seeing across the base, new versus used, high-end versus low end? Any certain demos that are standing out to you or that have changed meaningfully over the last couple of quarters for better or for worse?

I appreciate the question. And so the way I would think about the rollout for -- first, as we're moving through this is we're following the plan we had talked a little bit about last quarter where we're selecting in the very beginning cohorts across new and used in a very targeted way. Their focus on people where in the past, we have had -- not had the same success from a conversion perspective. So we've selected an initial group and launched that in about 2 weeks ago. And so right now, what we're going to do is we're going to continue to build the number of cohorts we're targeting with this. And then also, as we select those cohorts, as you know, every day, those volumes fill then in those cohorts. So we're going to continue to build the number of people who this is available to. And then as we're going forward, in addition to that, inside the actual package itself, we're adding more ad-supported channels. So that as we're doing that, then we also add ad replacement and then that improves overall in addition to the things that Jennifer said in the prepared remarks, the advertising and monetization opportunities. So as we get more subscribers, we also get more ad slots and then those ad slots, of course, are -- we're able to monetize that more effectively with new tools. So -- and then between now and the end of the year, we are ramping the number of cars where this is available. So it is -- the target is to get to about 100 million cars by the end of the year and more as we move forward. So -- and then as we're moving through in Canada, we're -- here, we're using this for initial trials in Canada, we're trying -- we're launching it with saves, and we're going to thoughtfully extend where we're testing and launching through saves, winbacks, not just trialers.

Yes. So I think we'll get a lot more information over the next -- through the rest of the year, and we would expect this to contribute more in 2026 to results. Just on conversion rates. So we are seeing the rate of decline, at least on the new car side, slowing a bit, and I think it has a lot to do with 360L penetration and our improved results there. Of course, the new car side, we're at about 50% of new car sales that have 360L, and that will continue to grow with the launch of some bigger programs in the early part of next year. So the conversion rates on new, again, the rate of decline is slowing a bit. We're seeing a little less of that on used as we continue to expand. I think penetration now is at about 60% on the used car side. But what I would just note is that we've brought a lot of these other acquisition programs to market, adjusting how -- adjusting our availability and distribution really based on our 2 core strengths, our in-car availability and our content offering. So you see that come through in the 3-year programs with OEMs, the enhanced data that we have with Lexis Nexus, our EV launches. And this all takes advantage of what we have in terms of unmatched distribution in the car. But then on the content side, we've taken advantage of the great podcast portfolio we have. We've launched Podcast Plus, a subscription available through Apple and everywhere else through supporting cast. And these are just unique opportunities that we have given the strength that we have on the in-car side and our content offering. And -- those are not necessarily going to show up in conversion rates. So while we watch conversion rates very closely as a mechanism to assess demand, it really goes beyond that in terms of looking at demand through these other programs.

Thank you very much, everybody, for your participation in today's call.