Paul W. Freddo
Analyst · Christy McElroy with UBS
Thank you, Dan. Today I want to call attention to one aspect of our re-leasing results that speaks volumes about the operational performance of our platform, and that is the positive trends we are experiencing within our lease renewal results. It's easy for these results to be overshadowed by the variety of good news being generated by our portfolio, but renewals make the strongest and most economically meaningful statement about existing sales, productivity, profitability and asset quality. In Q1, we had a record volume of renewals with 367 deals, representing 2.3 million square feet of space. This number is approximately 20% higher than the quarterly square foot average we achieved in 2011, which in and of itself was a record year. This success is directly attributable to the quality of our portfolio combined with the landlord-friendly supply/demand dynamic. Our results also highlight the fact that retailers are increasingly unwilling to lose an irreplaceable store at a prime asset. Economically, we executed these renewals at a 5.4% rental increase on a cash basis and more importantly, on a pro rata basis to spread gross to 5.9%. Similarly, first quarter new deals were executed at a 6% rental increase. And on a pro rata basis, this spread is 300 basis points higher at 9%. These spreads are bolstered by our continued efforts to dispose of non-prime assets to enhance our overall portfolio quality. Clearly, this strategy has been a great success and we continue to enjoy the addition of positive metrics through the substraction of lesser quality assets. Importantly, this quarter's renewal metrics represent a continuation of positive renewal spread that dates back to the second quarter of 2010. Moreover, as our overall occupancy number continues to increase and the supply/demand metric continues to favor the landlord community, I fully expect renewal rates to stabilize in the mid- to high single digits going forward. As also disclosed in our supplement, renewals are achieved with little to no CapEx and require no downtime, so the economic impact of these transactions is even more meaningful as we are enhancing overall portfolio rental growth without buying the gain. As a result of strong overall first quarter activity, our lease rate as of March 31, was 93.7%. This represents a 10 basis point increase sequentially and a 110 basis point increase annually. This increase is particularly impactful as historically, we have seen an average decline in occupancy in the first quarter due to the seasonal nature of tenant fallout, lease expirations and limited commencements. It's also important to note that the first quarter stability is highly indicative of a vastly improved credit quality of cash flow and the strong credit profile of our key tenants. Going forward, we expect continued stability as our tenant watch list continues to be slim and dispositions, when coupled with recent acquisitions, additionally fortify that segment of our income stream. From a leasing perspective, we remain confident in our ability to maintain momentum throughout 2012 and we'll keep you posted on future occupancy guidance as the year progresses. In that regard, we will be attending RECon in Las Vegas in a few weeks where we will get additional color on the leasing environment for the remainder of 2012 and beyond. Since we meet with our tenants on a regular basis, we are rarely surprised by any news that comes out of RECon, but we are always inquisitive as we determine our role in the delivery of space for future retailer open-to-buys that are often discussed in detail at this show. As I'm sure many of you saw on our press release after the Best Buy store closing announcement, the impact to us was negligible. You may ask yourself why that was, and the answer is very simple: the stores that populate our centers make money, and that is the quintessential factor for a viable retailer making such a real estate decision. In that regard, you can also assume that the stores slated to close do not make money and the company would be more profitable without them. Interestingly, the decision to close had nothing to do with door size or how close to one of the coast the store was. Also not shocking to us, it had nothing to do with how many people reside in the 3-mile radius. In fact, the store closings announced included coveted markets such as New York City, Boston, Chicago, Los Angeles, San Francisco and D.C. Markets that many have paid and will continue to pay a premium to enter. Using a 7-mile range, those actual store closings had average populations of about 1.5 million people, with over $100,000 in average household income. While these numbers are staggeringly impressive, to Dan's earlier point, they do not guarantee success. That's 5 closed just 50 of their least profitable stores, and economics drove the decision, not demographics and not proximity to an ocean. Smart investment decisions are based on operating results and profitability driven by merchandising. And once again, great ammos and great real estate cannot bail out poor performance. Going forward, we are encouraged that Best Buy is pursuing a management change and hopefully, a revised merchandising strategy will not be far behind. But once again, this closure list proves that retail is a local business driven by local results and regardless of who occupies the space at any given time, the results can and will be dramatically different. This is why we stay close to our tenants, evaluate our real estate accordingly and do not become intoxicated with numbers that often have no bearing on future success. And finally, as Dan mentioned, there are winners and losers in the retail game of market share. If you haven't already read the note published on Monday by Adrianne Shapira, Managing Director and Retail Equity Analyst at Goldman Sachs, you should. Adrianne's note estimates the significant market share loss of J. C. Penney and points out who the obvious winners are in picking up that business, most of whom are value-oriented retailers and key tenants in our portfolio. This shift in market share goes well beyond this specific example. Over the past decade, we have seen a secular shift in the business, away from department stores to value-oriented retailers such as Ross; TJX, with its various concepts; Target; Bed Bath & Beyond; and others. As we all know, retail is a game of taking market share, and it's very reassuring to see our primary tenants capture the market share loss of a struggling competitor. And with that, I will now turn the call over to David.