Necip Sayiner
Analyst · William Blair
Thanks, Paul. 2011 represented an important transition for Silicon Labs. While admitted the lacking in terms of revenue growth, we did achieve a number of key milestones. We put the secular decline in our handset FM and set up our modem products behind us, marking the final chapter of our multiyear transformation into a well-diversified growth business. We are no longer a company driven by any one product, technology or end market. We have established market share at gross communications, consumer and industrial markets. We are investing to expand these market share positions, increase our content in the systems we are designed into and gain a foothold in new markets. So despite industry uncertainty, we have a lot to look forward to in 2012. We had both the diversity to weather macro weakness and a product cycle to get us back into a mode of outperforming our peers. Normally, at this time in the year, I like to give annual growth targets for our product line, but visibility remains limited. Customer sentiment is still very cautious, and lead times are relatively short. So while I'm confident that we can do significantly better than the 2% to 3% forecasted for our industry in 2012, the uncertainty around the magnitude and direction of the economic slowdown makes it difficult to provide absolute ranges. I'll focus our forward-looking comments on Q1, and where I can, I will offer color on full-year trends. Business continued to improve throughout Q4, with upside driven by new product ramps in video and touch controllers as well as better-than-anticipated demand for our SLIC and many of our Broad-based products. The Access business ended the year at 23% of revenue. Modem revenue from set-top boxes was about 6% of total revenue as we exited the year and is likely to decline at a measured pace through 2012. ProSLICs, on the other hand, provided modest upside in Q4 due to increased investments in China in passive optical networks. As a result, the Access business was about flat for the fourth quarter, better than expected. We think the robustness in ProSLIC will continue into Q1, potentially offsetting typical seasonality. Similar to what we've seen in 2011, I expect the Access business to remain steady at the current levels throughout 2012, with SLIC growth compensating for modem decline. Broadcast products represented 34% of revenue in 2011 and posted a mid-single digit growth rate for the year despite headwinds from FM tuners sold into handsets. Growth in AM/FM tuners and dominance in silicon TV tuners were behind the solid yearend results. AM/FM products were up nearly 20% in 2011, achieving another record in terms of revenue. Audio represented about 20% of our total revenue, and non-handset radio revenue now makes up about 75% of the audio total. We've continue to diversify our portfolio to address more applications while effectively managing increased competition in Asia through licensing agreements. Most exciting is the success we've had penetrating Tier 1 automotive accounts. We have a full portfolio of low- to high-end automotive radio offerings, including the new high-performance HD-capable radio we launched last quarter. Led by our radio design wins, we are expecting automotive to finally become a meaningful piece of the company revenue starting mid 2012 as production of 2013 car models begins to ramp. This higher-margin, long-life-cycle business is a strategic addition to our portfolio and will help us continue to grow the audio business nicely over the long term. Turning to video, we had a $60 million target for 2011, and I'm pleased to report that with the upside in Q4, video revenue totaled 13% of revenue for the year, exceeding our goal. We're expecting video to remain steady in Q1 as new customer programs offset seasonal softness in TVs. We expect to resume growth in Q2 as those models fully ramp into production. As you know, we're not relying on TV market growth to drive this business. We're expecting penetration of silicon tuners into TVs to rise to about 50% in 2012. And based on the design wins we've already secured, we think we can increase our video share from about 20% of all TVs in 2011 to at least 30% in 2012. Competitively, we're enjoying a solid lead and move forward from a position of strength. Our third generation of devices featuring the industry's broadest selection of tuners, covering every flavor from hybrid to digital-only devices, gained the lion's share of 2012 design wins. Customers with low penetration of silicon tuners in 2011 are coming on strong this year. We are also sampling our fourth-generation tuners now for 2013 designs. These new products offer further optimization in cost and performance. And we are focusing our energy on cementing our position at Tier 1 customers. From an R&D standpoint, while our competitors play catch-up, we're further segmenting our video product portfolio to enable us to penetrate the second-tier TV makers and begin our attack on non-TV applications. So while video remains a very competitive market, we benefit from experience, track record and continue the investments to maintain our leadership position, and we'll do so profitably. In total, we're expecting Broadcast will be down in Q1, due mostly to seasonal declines in audio. Our Broad-based business was up nearly 20% in 2011 and represented 42% of revenue. To my earlier point about the diversification of the business, our Broad-based products include mixed-signal MCUs, timing devices, human interface controllers and sensors, wireless receivers and isolation products. This group was only 20% of revenue back in 2007 and 35% of revenue in 2010. I view the strong growth as a direct corollary to our success in diversification. In the fourth quarter, Broad-based revenue was up more than 10% sequentially to a new record, with upside driven by the aggressive ramp of our touch controller at Samsung. Handsets with our touch sensors are now shipping into the EU, China, India and Australia. Human interface products exceeded 5% of our revenue in Q4, making it meaningful but still very small relative to our incumbent peers. We were successful in securing additional design wins at Samsung during the quarter. In 2012, we expect Samsung will dominate our touch revenue, and we are focused on winning new models in the coming months to expand our business there while working to penetrate additional handset makers. Our MCU business held about flat in the fourth quarter, a good result given continued end market weakness. New product development activity remain strong. We introduced our latest generation of 8-bit devices, a family of very-low-power MCUs with integrated wireless capability. The new MCUs extend our lead in the low-power segment, offering 40% less system current draw and 65% longer battery life than the competition. Designing low-power wireless MCUs is challenging for our non-mixed-signal MCU competitors, and we have seen major design win traction and applications as a result. Isolation and wireless products were also behind the strong sequential growth of the Broad-based business in Q4. Program ramps at large customers were contributors to the strength in isolation, while green energy remains the driver behind the wireless products. As the "Internet of Things" moves from concept to reality, our embedded products, both current and on the roadmap, uniquely position us to offer a solution that often encompasses the most critical functions of customer systems. Lifestyle electronics in particular, like the Nest Labs' Thermostat that created so much buzz at CES, are a major target of our sales and marketing efforts as we leverage low-power MCUs, wireless transceivers, isolators and sensors to win sockets. The final leg of the Broad-based product group is timing. Timing represented about 14% of revenue in 2011 and was up more than 30% versus 2010, a terrific result. The business slowed in the fourth quarter and was down sequentially as telecom customers continue to revise down their forecasts. Our oscillator products, which are slightly less levered to telecom than our clocks, achieved record revenue in Q4, but the pressure on telecom equipment impacted the overall rate of growth in this product line. However, we see this as a short-term issue. The most recent report suggests telecom operators are moving aggressively to 100G deployment, which feeds right into the strength of our high-end timing devices. Operators are planning to deploy higher-speed optical transport equipment to lower the cost per bit while improving performance and expanding capacity. We expect the combination of a telecom snapback and continued penetration into non-telecom customers to result in another solid growth year for timing in 2012. In total, we're expecting the Broad-based products to be up in Q1. For the year, we expect this business to improve sequentially each quarter. This expectation is driven by the 40% year-over-year growth in design wins in 2011 as well as the inventory replenishment cycle we're expecting later in the year. Looking ahead to Q1, we're currently expecting revenue to be in the range of $120 million to $125 million. As I mentioned, we're anticipating that Broadcast will be down seasonally, Access will be about flat and Broad-based will be up. We expect gross margin to sustain the current range. We anticipate operating expenses will be up seasonally by about 4%. On a GAAP basis, we are projecting earnings of $0.20 to $0.24. On a non-GAAP basis, excluding stock compensation expense, we expect $0.38 to $0.42. We'd now like to take your questions. Ms. Vice President?