G. Tyson Tuttle
Analyst · UBS
Thanks, Paul. Despite macroeconomic weakness, our third quarter results -- I'm sorry, our third quarter revenue grew sequentially in the communications, consumer and industrial markets. Company wide, we set a new record for design wins, crushing the previous record and nearly doubling the total from the same period last year. Our Broad-based business was up 15% sequentially and 47% year-over-year and represented about 48% of total revenue. The strong growth this quarter was driven primarily by revenue highs in our MCU and power products. We've worked hard to diversify our business to avoid reliance on commodity markets like handsets and PCs and gain critical mass in our Broad-based business, particularly in our MCU and timing products. We have positioned the company to benefit from growth trends in energy efficiency, the Internet of Everything and the explosion in demand for bandwidth, all of which drive an increasing need for mixed signal ICs. It has taken some time to refine the business, but our discipline and focus is producing the promised market share gain. The Broad-based products are on track to total greater than 50% of our revenue in Q4. Our MCU products, which include wireless, represented 26% of total revenue and were up 29% sequentially in Q3. The addition of the Ember 32-bit MCU family for ZigBee low-power wireless networking was a large part of this increase, but record revenue in our organic MCU products also contributed. The MCU product line is gaining momentum even in the face of end-market headwinds. Our 8-bit MCUs had another record revenue and design win quarter. The design win activity further improved the 2013 revenue pipeline as these products gain share due to their optimization for space-constrained, analog-intensive and low-energy embedded systems. Both our Broad-based and low-power MCUs drove the sequential growth, bolstered by applications ranging from communications infrastructure to portable devices. During Q3, we introduced another MCU breakthrough. Our latest products offer a very high accuracy and cost-effective integrated temperature sensor in a small footprint. This provides an excellent solution for a wide variety of application, including optical modules, sensor interfaces and motor control. In addition to the continued momentum in our 8-bit MCUs, we jump-started our 32-bit story with the addition of the ZigBee product. As I've mentioned before, the combination of wireless capability with an MCU core and embedded software allowed us to offer a very differentiated solution to our customers. One of the hot spots is in home automation and security. Deployments of quadruple play services by cable operators and the availability of do-it-yourself security products and home improvement stores are both positively impacting our MCU revenue. So while some are still debating whether the Internet of Everything is here, we are already shipping products into these applications. In Q3, we also introduced the industry's lowest power 32-bit MCU based on an ARM Cortex-M3 core. This innovative device is supported by tools that enable our customers to not only benefit from the low-energy consumption of our device, but to take advantage of the unique features in our product to reduce their overall system power consumption. We've been steadily investing in the MCU business, in R&D, in software tools, in reference design and other support resources and in our sales network. The channel partners we've added over the last 2 years are driving meaningful revenue now. The steady introduction of new products and a scalable support model is enabling consistent market share gains against large competitors. As a result, we're increasing penetration and communications in consumer and layering on new business in industrial and green energy. We're forecasting the MCU business will remain flat at this higher revenue level in Q4, reflecting the strength of our market share gain. Based on the current ramps and design wins in the pipeline, we believe the share gain story will continue into 2013. This is one of our most differentiated product areas targeting a clear set of customer needs, and I'm expecting MCUs to be a major long-term growth driver for us. Our timing products represented 13% of revenue in Q3. Timing continued to be impacted by the weak demand for communications infrastructure equipment, but delivered a solid quarter, about flat sequentially off the record revenue in Q2. Demand from the communications equipment makers was spotty with several customers showing some recovery and others remaining weak. That said, we continue to see strong demand from our non-communications customer base. Last quarter, I mentioned industrial customers now make up a meaningful percentage of the design wins in an increasing portion of the revenue. We're seeing a similar phenomenon in computing infrastructure which is now our second largest category in terms of new design win activity. In Q4, we are expecting timing to grow sequentially. We expect some modest improvements from the communications infrastructure players, but the major driver will be our consumer and embedded timing devices which are expected to reach almost 20% of the total timing revenue in Q4. Our power business had a great quarter in Q3 driven by our digital isolator products. As a key component in a broad range of applications, including motors and power supplies, our isolation products are enabling major energy and cost savings in these systems, and they are complementary to our portfolio, allowing us to expand our content with customers currently using our MCU, broadcast, wireless and wireline technology. Moving to Broadcast. The business was about 1/3 of total revenue in Q3 and up 18% year-over-year. 8% sequential growth was better than expected and was driven equally by the audio and video products. While the typical consumer seasonal ramp has not materialized this year, our consumer audio revenue was up by more than $1 million. The automotive segment also contributed to the growth during the quarter with wins ramping at several Tier 1 customers. We are expecting audio revenue to be flat or to decline slightly into Q4, reflecting soft consumer demand. Video delivered a record quarter and was about half the Broadcast revenue. We were expecting demand to slow as the model year ramps up, but our Korean and Japanese customers again surprised to the upside. We also began our first shipments to new customers in China, resulting in record revenue for video in Q3. We're seeing continued strength but expect demand will modulate as we exit the year and customers work off any post-holiday inventory and prepare for the new model year. We expect to end the year well within our objective of 30% or better market share, and 2013 design win activity has given us a clear path to expanding share further next year. The Access business surprised us with another solid quarter. Representing 18% of revenue, it was up sequentially by 3%. Voice over IP and Power over Ethernet revenues were up again slightly, while modems held relatively steady. A new PBX program ramping into production and stronger-than-expected demand in Voice over Cable were behind this Q3 upside. We also gained share at our primary PoE customer. We expect Access will be down in Q4 as customers sell-through their inventory. Setup modems resume the anticipated steady decline. Now for Q4 guidance. We're currently expecting revenue in the range of $145 million to $150 million. This encompasses macro weakness across our end markets offset by continued strong product cycles. We're anticipating that Broad-based will be up again, and Broadcast flat to down slightly and Access will be down. As Paul mentioned, we expect gross margin to be about 61%. We anticipate operating expenses will be flat to up $1 million. On a GAAP basis, we are projecting earnings of $0.38 to $0.43 per share. And on a non-GAAP basis, we expect earnings to be $0.55 to $0.60 per share. That's all we have for prepared comments. I'd now like to take your questions. Shannon?