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Southland Holdings, Inc. (SLND)

Q3 2024 Earnings Call· Wed, Nov 13, 2024

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning ladies and gentlemen and welcome to the Southland Holdings Inc. Third Quarter 2024 Conference Call. At this time, all lines are in a listen-only mode. Following the presentation, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] This call is being recorded on Wednesday November 13, 2024. I would now like to turn the conference over to Alex Murray. Please go ahead.

Alex Murray

Analyst

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the Southland third quarter 2024 conference call. This is Alex Murray, Director of Corporate Development and Investor Relations. Joining me today are Frank Renda, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Cody Gallarda, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, I'd like to remind everyone that this conference call may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933; Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934; and the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements are neither historical facts nor assurances of future performance. Forward-looking statements are uncertain and outside of Southland's control. Southland's actual results and financial condition may differ materially from those projected forward-looking statements. Therefore, you should not rely on any of these forward-looking statements and we do not undertake any duty to update these statements. For a discussion of some of the risks that could affect results, please see the Risk Factors section of our Form 10-K for the year ended December 31st, 2023, that was filed with the SEC on March 4th, 2024, and discussion on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30th, 2024, that was filed with the SEC last night. We will also refer to non-GAAP financial measures and you will find reconciliations in the press release relating to this conference call, which can be found on the Investor Relations' page of our website. With that, I will now turn the call over to Frank.

Frank Renda

Analyst

Thank you, Alex. Good morning and thank you for joining Southland's third quarter 2024 conference call. Third quarter revenue was $173 million with a gross loss of $51 million. It is important to bifurcate our third quarter income statement between the M&P business certain legacy projects and our new core business. Excluding unfavorable adjustments from the M&P business and certain legacy projects, our gross profit in the quarter was $20 million. The unfavorable adjustments which were largely non-cash in the quarter negatively impacted our results by $71 million. The unfavorable adjustments were driven by recent dispute resolutions, scheduled delays that increased completion costs on certain projects, and reduced expected recoveries on legacy projects. At the end of the quarter, we had approximately $180 million of remaining M&P backlog and approximately $105 million of non-M&P legacy backlog. We expect the remaining M&P backlog to be substantially complete by the end of 2025. Despite the significant impact of non-cash charges on this quarter's results, we are encouraged by the strong performance of our new core projects, which delivered double-digit margins. This result underscores the strength of our strategic initiatives and gives us confidence in our direction. The solid performance of our new core projects aligns well with our long-term strategy as these initiatives are not only delivering strong margins now, but also positioning us for sustained success. I'm very excited about the new core work which makes up approximately $2.5 billion of backlog. Our new core work is the best backlog we've ever had. This work provides us with great visibility heading into 2025 as our new core projects continue to ramp up and our legacy projects continue to burn off. Given the strength in our new core backlog and strategic improvements to internal processes, I expect we will return to profitability…

Cody Gallarda

Analyst

Thank you, Frank and good morning, everyone. I’ll provide an overview of our financial performance during the third quarter of 2024. You can find additional details and information in the financial statements, footnotes and management's discussion and analysis that were filed on Form 10-Q last night. Revenue for the quarter was $173 million, down from $312 million in the same period in 2023. Legacy headwinds and impacts from hurricanes negatively impacted production during the quarter. Additionally, the timing of project closeouts and new project starts also contributed to the decrease in revenue year-over-year. We substantially completed a large marine project in the Bahamas during the second quarter of this year. This project contributed $54 million more to revenue in the third quarter last year, compared to this year and delayed starts resulted in us not replacing as much revenue as anticipated in the quarter. Gross loss for the third quarter was $51 million, compared to a gross profit of $30 million from the same period in 2023. Gross profit margin in the quarter was negative 30%, compared to 10% in the same period of the prior year. Unfavorable charges of $72 million from legacy projects impacted results. This was the result of certain dispute resolutions schedule delays that increased completion costs on certain projects and reduced expected recoveries on legacy projects. These charges had significant non-cash impacts in the quarter. Selling, general and administrative costs in the third quarter were $17.5 million, an increase of $2.2 million compared to the same period in 2023. Interest expense for the quarter was $7.5 million, an increase of $1.3 million, compared to the same period in 2023. The difference was attributable to increased borrowing costs and higher debt balances. We expect interest expense to be approximately $9.5 million per quarter on a go-forward…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] And your first question comes from the line of Adam Thalhimer with Thompson Davis. Please go ahead.

Adam Thalhimer

Analyst

Hey, good morning, guys. Tough quarter.

Frank Renda

Analyst

Hey, good morning, Adam.

Adam Thalhimer

Analyst

The $105 million of non-M&P legacy backlog what's the time frame on that burning off?

Cody Gallarda

Analyst

So that we expect to be substantially complete by the end of 2025, with one project that will have a tail into 2026, but we believe it will be immaterial at that point.

Adam Thalhimer

Analyst

Okay. What was the revenue impact from the unfavorable -- from the non-cash unfavorable adjustments in the quarter?

Cody Gallarda

Analyst

So when you look at what we've disclosed there's approximately $71 million that were a decrease in recognized revenue based on the cumulative catch-up impacts of percentage completion accounting that contributed to the lower top line volume. The remaining contribution to the top line decrease and forgive the backward speak there but had to do with projects being pushed out to the right on the time line. The work hasn't gone away. We still have the $2.5 billion of great new core backlog, we're excited about. But that was the contribution -- that was the decrease in contribution that led to the volume dip in Q3 in addition to -- that included the project in the Bahamas we specified in our opening remarks.

Adam Thalhimer

Analyst

Okay. And Frank, what how do you think about -- you talked about focusing on smaller quick turn work $30 million to $150 million, but then you also gave a list of mega projects that you're going. How do you think about how you're going to allocate resources going forward between those two buckets?

Frank Renda

Analyst

Yeah. So it's a balance, Adam, and we want to make sure that, we have the staple project in areas and then also can maximize our resources by taking some of those $30 million to $140 million projects. And so when I talk about balance you want to balance the cash coming in kind of maximizing resources right now to put ourselves in the best position to make sure we get the highest returns possible. And the reason I talk about all the projects is because every program right now really is hot, whether it's transportation, whether it's water, wastewater, disappointing tough quarter but the pipeline is incredible out there and you kind of hit on it. The key to maximizing that return is to maximize what you can get from your resources. And that's why we're looking at a mix of projects right now.

Adam Thalhimer

Analyst

Got it. Last one for me. What do you guys think the timing of additional claims settlements will be?

Cody Gallarda

Analyst

So we're at the table on a number of them. We've disclosed in the past that we've got half of our contract assets balance here are in claims on fully completed projects. We expect significant cash flows coming off from those settlements as owners are running out of abilities to delay, owing us money and we believe we're due and think that will be a large part of our 2025 story and cash generation.

Adam Thalhimer

Analyst

Thanks. Thanks guys.

Cody Gallarda

Analyst

Thanks, Adam.

Operator

Operator

And your next question comes from the line of Brent Thielman with D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead.

Brent Thielman

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead.

Thanks. Good morning, guys. I just had a question on the non-M&P legacy business. Maybe you could talk through when those projects were picked up, or is this new to the business something you came across? Just a little more history around that piece of the portfolio would be helpful.

Frank Renda

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead.

Yeah. Thanks, Brent. Touching on those non-M&P projects that I think you're referring to. We remain really confident in the Civil segment. The majority of the work performed really well this quarter in Civil. It was overshadowed by those couple of legacy projects that you touched on. We had charges that had cumulative catch-up effect, which drove the current period profit margin negative. Our legacy backlog is down to $105 million and is expected to be substantially complete over the next few quarters. Absent the legacy impacts, our Civil produced mid-teen margins. And as far as when those projects were picked up Brent they were picked up in that 2018-2019 time frame and we expect those to be wrapping up in 2025.

Brent Thielman

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead.

Okay. Excellent. And then, I guess, look the bidding climate is very healthy. With the changes you've made to the capital structure and I guess as you look at your bonding capacity available today, Frank, I mean you did talk around some other project pursuits that are out there. But I'm trying to understand your capacity to add more business at this stage to what you already have. I guess what's the threshold backlog can go to relative to what you're able to do right now?

Frank Renda

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead.

Yeah. So we're sitting with a near backlog of $2.5 billion in our new core backlog. That's the best in our company's history. Our surety partners are an integral part to our long-term success and we meet with them regularly to talk about all the opportunities that we are tracking. We look at our resources in regards to equipment personnel where we're at in different locations having that $2.5 billion in core backlog, total $2.754 billion in total backlog. That $2.5 billion gives us visibility into exactly what we can do over the next few years. And as far as what we can add, Brent, we're just going to be extremely selective. The jobs that we're targeting have to be absolutely perfect to maximize the return that we're going to get on our resources. We think we have the best backlog, $2.5 billion in our core market, but we see the pipeline as even a greater opportunity than we have right now. So extremely tough quarter, but we have completely reset. We're laser focused on our core market and exactly what we do and we expect to return to profitability quickly in 2025.

Cody Gallarda

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead.

Yes. I think Brent maybe just to add a little color from the balance sheet side, we're sitting with the strongest cash position that we've had since going public, which is a big part of kind of where we are in this turnaround section for Southland. Not optimal, as Frank mentioned before, we echo very disappointed in the quarter, but I can't be more optimistic about where we're going.

Brent Thielman

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead.

Yes. Maybe just a follow-up to that. I mean it sounds like maybe the timing of ramping up on some of this work pushed to the right a little bit. Obviously, there's a lot of activity in Southeast here recently maybe that had some influence. But as you ramp up on these projects and setting anything else aside with the legacy sort of backlog or collections efforts, I mean should you expect to see an acceleration in cash flow with that, Cody, I'm just trying to get a sense of how we can think about cash flow ex, some of the here are in the business right now?

Cody Gallarda

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead.

Yes. Great question. We think there's a high probability and opportunity for that, particularly as you look at kind of the leading indicators on cash flow with the increase in VIE that we've had as well as some of the decreases in CIEs we've had some settlements and work complete with the legacy portfolio. So I think when you look at the cadence of what we've announced over the last, I'd say, 24-month horizon on projects earlier on in that time period we had some significant larger projects that are starting off slower than we had initially hoped for. They did provide great mode payments, which contributed to that increase in VIE and the health of our cash position. But it's also why you've seen the more recent announcements focused on that smaller side and getting, as Frank mentioned, some of that quicker turn work to focus on cash generation to help us bridge the gap to these larger projects really kicking off and making a meaningful impact.

Brent Thielman

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead.

Got it. Okay. Thanks guys. I’ll pass it on.

Cody Gallarda

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead.

Thanks, Brent.

Frank Renda

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead.

Thanks, Brent.

Operator

Operator

And your next question comes from the line of Christian Schwab with Craig-Hallum. Please go ahead.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · Craig-Hallum. Please go ahead.

Hey, guys. This is Tyler on behalf of Christian. Thanks [indiscernible]. A few questions here. Maybe first could you quantify what the revenue impact was from the push on the quarter due to hurricanes and other project start times?

Frank Renda

Analyst · Craig-Hallum. Please go ahead.

Yes. I think Tyler good to hear from you. Thanks for joining. When you look at the overall volume decrease in cost of goods and we're at that call it, $60 million mark, which makes up about half of kind of the overall shortfall, that's going to be representative of that time line shift that we talked about where the work is still coming and just moved to the right on the time spectrum. The rest of it being some of the projects we mentioned earlier that contributed to the decrease in revenue. So it's still coming. The third quarter dip is an anomaly from our perspective and what we expect going forward and think we'll have a good recovery volume-wise in Q4 and that will extend on into 2025 as that large great backlog for us makes more of a contribution.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · Craig-Hallum. Please go ahead.

All right. That's great. And then, of the $180 million left in the M&P work and then I think it was $105 million of other kind of bucketed legacy work. Is there a way to think about what those gross profit impacts of the rest of that business might look like over the next several quarters or through next year? Or is it really kind of hard to tell just based on individual projects and resolutions?

Frank Renda

Analyst · Craig-Hallum. Please go ahead.

Yes, I appreciate you giving me the easy out there. I'll try and go a little bit beyond that. We book projects as we do every quarter. That number continuing to dwindle. We feel very good about the new work making enough of a larger contribution to overshadow what's left of that zero margin and lower margin work in the $180 million. So, hope to see that make less of an impact moving forward and really speak to the health that we see in the business mid and long-term.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · Craig-Hallum. Please go ahead.

Okay. And then last one here I think. The Civil and Transport both segments down sequentially kind of similar percentages in the quarter. You guys sound excited about some opportunities you have on the Civil side. Just as we see a recovery in growth next year any way to bracket how we think about those two segments comparatively? Would you expect Civil to grow faster from these levels next year transport to recover? Any view on those two comparatively? Thanks.

Frank Renda

Analyst · Craig-Hallum. Please go ahead.

Yes. We're excited about both markets. Civil are typically quicker burn projects. So, if we pick up five or six civil jobs, we would expect those to burn a little bit quicker. As far as transportation, there's just so many opportunities out there. But specifically to next year those might be a little bit longer burn. But the $2.5 billion of backlog that we already have in Transportation and Civil, I think we'll start to see those really show themselves in the first quarter of next year and running off in the next couple of years. So, excited about both and expect to return to profitability in 2025.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · Craig-Hallum. Please go ahead.

Got it. That sounds great. That’s all for us. Thanks guys.

Frank Renda

Analyst · Craig-Hallum. Please go ahead.

Thanks Tyler. Appreciate it.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And your next question comes from the line of Julio Romero with Sidoti & Company. Please go ahead.

Julio Romero

Analyst · Sidoti & Company. Please go ahead.

Thanks. Hey good morning Frank, Cody, Alex.

Frank Renda

Analyst · Sidoti & Company. Please go ahead.

Good morning Julio.

Julio Romero

Analyst · Sidoti & Company. Please go ahead.

Maybe -- hey, could we -- how should we be thinking about backlog conversion in the fourth quarter? Maybe to start there.

Cody Gallarda

Analyst · Sidoti & Company. Please go ahead.

Yes. So, we think backlog conversion in the fourth quarter, we expect to see some of that the time line shift that I referred earlier coming to fruition in Q4. There still are uncertainties around project starts as we've always discussed. So, we do see a recovery volume-wise from the dip that we had in Q3, but we expect to fight through that and then getting into 2025 to echo Frank's opening remarks is where we really see that return to profitability for both of our segments.

Julio Romero

Analyst · Sidoti & Company. Please go ahead.

Got you. I guess another way of asking is just do you think volume rebound sequentially in fourth quarter relative to the third quarter?

Cody Gallarda

Analyst · Sidoti & Company. Please go ahead.

Yes, we do see volume rebounding just given the level of charges and also their impact on derecognition of revenue from prior periods kind of being that non-cash element we discussed. So, yes, we do expect a sequential recovery in top line numbers.

Julio Romero

Analyst · Sidoti & Company. Please go ahead.

Got it. No, that's very helpful, Cody. Thank you. And on M&P how should we kind of think about the cadence of this $180 million or so of M&P revenue to burn off in the next five quarters? Should we kind of just model like a straight line $35 million or do you expect some lumpiness earlier in that timeline or later? Any help there.

Cody Gallarda

Analyst · Sidoti & Company. Please go ahead.

Yeah. No. Its great question, Julio, I would not recommend a straight line. There is going to be kind of work that finishes off earlier and then tapers down. There is a decent chunk of work out there that we're negotiating with the owner on what finishing that remaining backlog looks like And we'll have more information on that when appropriate. But we still fully expect to be substantially complete over the next few quarters. And then, hopefully plan on M&P being down to an immaterial point where we won't be discussing it after 2025.

Julio Romero

Analyst · Sidoti & Company. Please go ahead.

Okay. That's helpful. I think last quarter when you guys spoke about dispute settlements you gave us a cash inflow number that was expected for the third quarter. Just wondering if you could give us the same kind of cash flow expectation from dispute settlements for the fourth quarter?

Cody Gallarda

Analyst · Sidoti & Company. Please go ahead.

Yeah. No, that was specific to the events that happened on the Arkansas, Paving Job which we had announced. So no, announcements or expectations on cash conversion from claims in the M&P segment or otherwise in Q4 and beyond. Suffice it to say though, as mentioned earlier we expect significant cash inflows from claim settlements as we're near the finish line on several large claims throughout 2025 depending how those negotiations finalize out.

Julio Romero

Analyst · Sidoti & Company. Please go ahead.

Got it. Very helpful there, maybe last one for me would just be talking a little bit more about the shift to some of these shorter duration projects. Can you maybe speak to some of the processes you're taking on the risk mitigation front that might be different and help stem some of the issues you've seen on some longer duration work? I think Frank, you mentioned being extremely selective with projects. Just any other detail you could provide in terms of kind of what you're doing differently that can kind of help minimize the risk of losses.

Frank Renda

Analyst · Sidoti & Company. Please go ahead.

Yeah. Sure. So I think the shift started a couple of years back. It just takes a while on some of these projects to get started and to kind of start paying off. But we are targeting projects in our core market. And of the $2.7 billion that we talked about $2.5 billion are in the core markets. Of that, we're looking at more-and-more short-term quick hitting projects, because we have a lot of the staple projects that we need in areas. So you're looking for bolt-ons with higher margins. And I guess the shift that I would say was getting out of the M&P business was the main decision that we made. And so you're going to naturally have more quick hitting Civil projects. But we are focused on picking up the right projects and there's hundreds to choose from in that $30 million to $150 million range in the Civil segment, so really excited about that market.

Cody Gallarda

Analyst · Sidoti & Company. Please go ahead.

Yeah. I think also I might just add on just some details behind Frank's emphasis on changes we made several years ago. I really want to commend our entire procurement team starting with Jon Dorma and Ken Chaffin and the rest of their staff on really overhauling our entire procurement process and focusing on a qualitative and quantitative assessment process to make sure that we're covering all of our risk points to the best that we can. So we're set up for that long-term risk mitigation. So as Frank mentioned it takes a while for that to flow through and demonstrate it in our financial results but we're confident that we'll be able to discuss that in upcoming calls.

Julio Romero

Analyst · Sidoti & Company. Please go ahead.

Great. I appreciate the color. Thanks very much.

Cody Gallarda

Analyst · Sidoti & Company. Please go ahead.

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And I'm showing no further questions at this time. I would like to turn it back to Frank Renda, for closing remarks.

Frank Renda

Analyst

Thank you all for your interest in Southland. And look forward to speaking next quarter.

Operator

Operator

Thank you, presenters. And ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you all for participating. You may now disconnect.