Earnings Labs

Sylvamo Corporation (SLVM)

Q3 2025 Earnings Call· Fri, Nov 7, 2025

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning. Thank you for standing by. Welcome to Sylvamo's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, your conference is being recorded. I'd now like to turn the call over to Hans Bjorkman, Vice President, Investor Relations. Sir, the floor is yours.

Hans Bjorkman

Analyst

Thanks, Tina. Good morning, and thank you for joining our third quarter 2025 earnings call. Our speakers this morning are Jean-Michel Ribiéras, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; John Sims, Senior Vice President and Chief Operating Officer; and Don Devlin, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Slides 2 and 3 contain important information, including certain legal disclaimers. For example, during this call, we will make forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. We will also present certain non-U.S. GAAP financial information. Reconciliations of those figures to U.S. GAAP financial measures are available in the appendix. Our website also contains copies of the earnings release as well as today's presentation. With that, I'd like to turn the call over to Jean-Michel. Jean-Michel Ribiéras: Thanks, Hans. Good morning, and thank you for joining our call. I'll start on Slide 4 with our third quarter highlights. Our uncoated freesheet sales volume increased quarter-over-quarter by 7%. Our teams also executed well, resulting in improved operational performance. We returned $60 million in cash to shareowners by distributing $18 million in third quarter dividend and repurchasing $42 million in shares. Our Board also approved a new $150 million share repurchase authorization in the quarter. Let's move to the next slide. Slide 5 shows the third quarter key financial metrics. We earned adjusted EBITDA of $151 million with a margin of 18%. Free cash flow was $33 million and we generated adjusted operating earnings of $1.44 per share. Now I will turn it over to Don to review our performance in more detail.

Donald Devlin

Analyst · Matthew McKellar with RBC Capital Markets

Thank you, Jean-Michel, and good morning, everyone. Slide 6 contains our third quarter earnings bridge versus the second quarter. The $151 million of adjusted EBITDA was in line with our outlook of $145 million to $165 million. Price and mix was unfavorable by $14 million, primarily driven by paper and pulp prices in Europe. Volume increased by $14 million, mainly driven by stronger seasonality in Latin America and North America. Operations and other costs were favorable by $5 million, driven by improved operational performance. Planned maintenance outage costs improved by $66 million as we had no planned outages at our mills. Input and transportation costs were unfavorable by $2 million. Let's move to Slide 7. North America and Brazil industry conditions are solid while Europe and other Latin America are challenged. In Europe, market conditions continue to be very challenging. Pulp and uncoated freesheet prices remained under pressure. However, some pulp grades started to show signs of recovery at the end of the third quarter. Uncoated freesheet demand is down 5% year-over-year through September, while supply is down 7%. Wood costs in Southern Sweden are starting to ease, recently decreasing by a reported 8%. In Latin America, demand remains mixed. Brazil is up 3% year-over-year through September and prices are stable. However, demand in Latin -- other Latin American countries are down 5%. Pricing is under pressure in some countries. Even though the majority of this demand decline is due to Argentina and Mexico, some countries across other Latin America are having economic challenges as well. This demand decline in addition to shifts in global trade flows is resulting in continued pricing pressure across other Latin America. North America demand is stable year-over-year through September. Imports were up 46% year-over-year through August in anticipation of the tariffs are expected to…

John Sims

Analyst · Sidoti

Thank you, Don, and good morning, everyone. I'll pick up on Slide 11. As we navigate through cyclical industry conditions and headwinds, we are focused on the things we can control. We are continuously working to improve our business. We are driving operational excellence and strategic initiatives across all our regions. These efforts should improve margins, reduce costs and strengthen our competitive position. In Europe, we're improving our product mix, winning new customers at our Saillat mill. We're actively working to reduce wood cost at Nymolla, a key lever of cost efficiency. Additionally, we're focused on reducing fixed costs and improving operational efficiency and reliability across the European region. In Latin America, we've secured new strategic Brazilian customers and further develop key partnerships in other Latin American countries, expanding our market presence. We're investing to improve wood sales efficiency to reduce costs by decreasing the need of higher cost third-party wood. Our team is also executing a pipeline of more than 100 initiatives across the entire business designed to strengthen EBITDA and cash flow. In North America, we're focused on strategic commercial initiatives to improve volume and margin by reducing supply chain costs and optimizing inventory. Finally, we're investing in our flagship mill in Eastover, South Carolina to improve our competitive advantages by lowering costs, enhancing efficiency and increasing capacity by 60,000 tons. Across all regions, these initiatives reflect our commitment to customers' operational efficiency and strategic investments to deliver sustainable value. So let's move to Slide 12. Our long-term capital allocation strategy drives shareholder value. We are focused on maintaining a strong financial position, reinvesting in our business and returning cash to shareowners. Our healthy financial position allows us to stay focused on our customers with a long-term perspective in mind, especially during times of challenging industry conditions like…

Hans Bjorkman

Analyst

Thanks, Jean-Michel. John and Don. Okay, Tina, we're ready to take questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Daniel Harriman with Sidoti.

Daniel Harriman

Analyst · Sidoti

Jean-Michel, congratulations on the retirement, and we certainly appreciate all your help since we've had you under coverage. I just have -- I'll start off with 1 today, and then I'll get back in the queue. But regarding North America, you highlighted stable demand even with imports running higher earlier than the year. And as those inventories continue to be worked down, I'm wondering if you think we can expect that normalization to translate into potentially a more stable or improved pricing environment as we move into 2026.

John Sims

Analyst · Sidoti

Daniel, it's John Sims. Thanks for your question. Yes, we're expecting and we are already seeing and we heard from our customers that the inventory is being working down -- worked down from the import surge that occurred earlier in the year as a result of the threat of tariffs, if you will. And that is working through the system and also the fact that imports have actually started to decrease coming in as a result of the tariff. And then also, you have the closure of the Chillicothe mill that we talked about, so that the operating rate should improve and strengthen going into next year.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Matthew McKellar with RBC Capital Markets.

Matthew McKellar

Analyst · Matthew McKellar with RBC Capital Markets

Just a follow-up on the last one there. How far along are we in that process of inventories being consumed? Are they approaching normal levels today? Is that something you'd expect by year-end? Or will that process continue into '26?

John Sims

Analyst · Matthew McKellar with RBC Capital Markets

No, I would say that we're approaching normal levels right now. That's how we're seeing it currently.

Matthew McKellar

Analyst · Matthew McKellar with RBC Capital Markets

Okay. Very helpful. And then a couple of quick ones on Riverdale, and how you're preparing for the end of that supply agreement. Can you give us a sense of how much inventory you're intending to build to bridge you to that incremental capacity at Eastover? And then maybe what kind of working capital investment you'd expect? And then at the time that the cancellation of that supply agreement was announced, I think you said the impact to 2026 EBITDA would be about $30 million at current margins. Is that still a good estimate of what you expect the impact to be based on how margins may have evolved and any changes to your plans since that time?

Donald Devlin

Analyst · Matthew McKellar with RBC Capital Markets

Matthew, this is Don. Thanks for the question. So for the first part of your question, we plan to build about 60,000 tons of inventory through the year. Most of it will happen in the first half leading up to the Eastover outage for the conversion speed up of Eastover. And then we plan to consume that inventory in the balance of the year. So from beginning to end, it would even out and relative to the $30 million, I think in the previous call, we estimated the impact to Riverdale to be about $30 million. And that's the same. That hasn't changed for 2026.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And with no further questions in queue, I will now hand the call back to Hans Bjorkman for closing remarks.

Hans Bjorkman

Analyst

Thanks, Tina. We appreciate it, and thank you all for joining our call today. We appreciate your interest in Sylvamo, and we look forward to our continued conversations over the coming weeks. Thank you. Jean-Michel Ribiéras: Thank you. Bye.

Operator

Operator

Once again, we would like to thank you for participating in Sylvamo's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. You may disconnect.