David R. Lumley
Analyst · Deutsche Bank
Thanks, Dave, and thank you, all, for joining us this morning. We've got quite a bit to cover, a lot of exciting news this morning. So before reviewing our third quarter results and our fourth quarter and full year outlook, let me highlight other important news we issued this morning in separate press releases. First, we've announced plans to refinance our $950 million of 9.5% senior secured notes due 2018. We expect to complete the process in early September. This refinancing is expected to lower our cost to capital and reduce our cash interest expense. Second, we announced that our Board of Directors has approved a new $200 million common stock repurchase program effective for 24 months. The board's action reflects its confidence in our future earnings power and strong free cash flow generation. We will use this plan in conjunction with our debt reduction goals. Given our outlook for significant projected free cash flow growth in the coming year and beyond, we believe this repurchase authorization is now an excellent use of our future excess free cash flow and another way to return capital to our shareholders. Lastly, we announced this morning $100 million of term debt reduction to date and reiterated our plan to pay down a total of at least $200 million of term debt in fiscal 2013 ending September 30. Let's now turn to Slide 7. Our third quarter net sales increased 32% and adjusted EBITDA improved 42% on a reported basis. Including HHI, our Hardware & Home Improvement Group, in the last year on a pro forma basis, our net sales in the quarter increased 1% and adjusted EBITDA grew 2%, but 3% on a constant currency basis versus pro forma results last year with a solid 17.3% margin. We are pleased to also report our 11th consecutive quarter of year-over-year adjusted EBITDA growth for legacy Spectrum Brands, a record that dates to the first quarter of fiscal 2011. Well, focus spending, strong control of variable costs, increased savings from continuous improvement programs across all divisions on a global basis and growth in Europe helped us offset negative foreign currency impacts from a number of currencies in a difficult macroeconomic conditions to still post a 2.3% increase in adjusted EBITDA for the quarter or almost 4%, exactly 3.9%, on a constant currency basis. Legacy Spectrum Brands adjusted EBITDA margin for the third quarter grew to an all-time record quarterly level of 16.8%. HHI posted impressive third quarter results with an adjusted EBITDA margin of nearly 19% even with increased investment spending, which I'll talk about later, and another quarter of double-digit net sales growth of 13%. We're especially pleased that this record quarterly EBITDA performance with higher margins was achieved even as we are also making important and major investments in our Remington personal care business. This includes our i-LIGHT hair removal on a global basis, our women's haircare accessories and moving away from Remington, we have put significant investments in our battery performance and production, our launch of global e-commerce and a new product development and marketing for key new HHI products. All of which will help drive future growth but did temper profits in this quarter. Let's turn to Slide 8. Our Q3 results were negatively impacted by macro factors. They include FX, not just euro, but other currencies like the yen, British pound and Brazilian reals. There are other factors, such as slower store traffic, cautious consumer spending, in part impacted by cold and wet weather in April and early May in the U.S. and Europe, heightened and aggressive competitor discounting in several businesses, and a continued tightening of retail reorder rates and tight inventory control. Despite these headwinds, we still posted relatively flat net sales in the quarter for legacy Spectrum Brands, save our planned and continuing exit of $10 million more of low and no margin sales in North American small appliances, which continue though to boost margins, and a $10 million Home and Garden sales shortfall merely from timing as the cold and wet weather shifted the spring season into July. Despite that, Home and Garden actually improved its adjusted EBITDA in the quarter. Now many other Spectrum divisions turned in sales growth, especially in Europe and Latin America. In fact, the Q3 highlight we are proud of is our overall strong sales and adjusted EBITDA performance in Europe with or without negative FX for all our divisions. Spectrum Brands continues to perform well in a region marked by economic challenges and recessionary pressures. All in all, Q3 was a good quarter because we were able to increase adjusted EBITDA and margins to record quarterly levels even as we invested heavily in consumables, batteries, e-commerce and HHI new product development and marketing for future growth. Q3 adjusted EPS of $0.90 did decline from $1.12 last year, which now includes HHI in the prior year, but primarily due to an increase in our noncash stock compensation expense, driven by our commitment to increasing employee stock-based reward programs. And in the Q&A, we'll talk a little bit more about that. Let's turn to Slide 9. Let's look at Q4. We see a record finish, and we see momentum carrying into higher results for fiscal 2014. We expect higher sales and adjusted EBITDA from both legacy Spectrum Brands and the total company, including HHI, in Q4 versus the comparable period year before. Legacy Spectrum Brands net sales should grow as much as 2% with adjusted EBITDA improving up to 3%, giving us our 12th consecutive quarter of year-over-year adjusted EBITDA growth. HHI sales growth could reach 10%, along with adjusted EBITDA growth. Almost every division is expected to have Q4 top line growth versus last year. This stepped-up performance should be driven by our end retailer optimism about value-branded sales in the back-to-school season timeframe. We expect higher store traffic following a lackluster June quarter, coupled with earlier retail promotions and holiday sets. We have new product launches, expanded retail distribution and continued geographic growth. And, stressing what I said about the third quarter, this growth is coming even as we invest heavily in new products. Many of these new products are launching now. They include our 2-hour and 7-Hour Power for Rayovac and Varta globally, U.S.-made chicken jerky and pet, the Kwikset Kevo Bluetooth lock in HHI, new dynamic George Foreman Grills, new Black & Decker toaster ovens, new Remington men shavers, and so on and so forth, which we'll talk about it when we get to the division section. Now this is all happening in addition to commodity costs that are relatively flat and strong expense and variable cost controls, along with increased global operation savings across divisions. This should all help offset current negative FX impacts that we are encountering. Let's turn to Slide 10. We expect 2013 to be a fourth consecutive record year of results for legacy Spectrum Brands. This includes adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA margin. We project total company fiscal 2013 adjusted EBITDA with HHI and at current FX rates of $640 million to $650 million. This growth will be even higher -- would be even higher except for our major strategic growth investments in Remington consumables, which I've talked about; e-commerce; batteries; and HHI. We do project total company net sales to be between $4.060 billion and $4.1 billion, an increase of more than 1% versus the comparable prior year despite FX challenges. The Spectrum Brands model is working. It's even more relevant now as retailers need more store traffic and POS with value-branded products. Now, we continue to expect free cash flow, including HHI, to reach at least $240 million for the year. We reiterate our plan to reduce total leverage and pay down at least $200 million of term debt this fiscal year with an even higher level of debt reduction next year from increasing free cash flow. We announced $100 million term debt pay-down this morning, so we're already halfway towards our $200 million target. Long term, our objective is to maintain a total leverage ratio of 2.5x to 3.5x. Now, we manage Spectrum Brands to maximize sustainable free cash flow. This is our strategy and has been. In 2012, we delivered free cash flow of about $4 per share. In fiscal 2013 with HHI, we have higher free cash flow target of about $240 million or nearly $5 per share. When you consider our planned refinancing of our $950 million of 9.5% senior secured notes, a significant decrease in our acquisition integration restructuring costs of approximately $45 million over 2 years, and include the free cash flow impact of HHI in fiscal 2014, there's an opportunity for Spectrum Brands to drive free cash flow per share on an annualized run rate basis to at least $7 and perhaps more. Again, compared to $4 per share in fiscal 2012. Now let's turn to our individual businesses. Beginning with Global Pet Supplies, which is Slide 11. Pet is sprinting towards a record year for net sales, adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA margin. Adjusted EBITDA will have grown every quarter this year. Through the 9 months, adjusted EBITDA is up 9%. Driving Global Pet's strong performance are continuing growth in the high margin FURminator product line globally; geographic growth in companion animals in Europe and North America, such as our Dingo and Nature's Miracle brands; resumption of growth in North American aquatics, which we have seen for a number of quarters now; and e-commerce sales improvement. We're excited about the many new products launching across the world, which will provide momentum in the next year. For example, Pet is currently entering the large U.S. chicken jerky market, which we believe approaches $200 million annually at the retail level with a U.S. manufactured product, also helping our shelf space increases at some retailers and new retailer customers here and abroad. Finally, we are especially pleased by the fact that Pet's continuous improvement savings this year will be more than twice the level achieved in fiscal 2012. Now let's talk about our newest acquisition, Hardware & Home Improvement, your Slide 12. HHI delivered strong third quarter results following a solid second quarter. Sales were up 13% on the strength of residential security and Pfister faucet growth with a solid adjusted EBITDA margin approaching 19%. HHI is on track for an even stronger second half for the calendar year, primarily the December-end quarter. HHI is winning in the marketplace, driving solid organic growth, gaining market share, especially in residential locks, is benefiting from the U.S. housing recovery but is launching innovative products, such as the unique Kwikset Kevo Bluetooth door lock. Investments in new products, such as that Kwikset Kevo lock, and increased spending on hero products like SmartKey are modestly tempering short-term adjusted EBITDA results even as sales continue to grow. These investments will provide profit and sales growth into fiscal 2014 and beyond. Improvements in the U.S. housing starts are also helping HHI as new construction channel sales correlate to U.S. new housing starts with a 3-month lag, and HHI retail sales correlate to existing home sales with a 6- to 12-month lag. The HHI integration continues to progress smoothly and ahead of schedule. We expect to have exited predominantly all of our TSA agreements with Stanley Black & Decker by calendar year end. We are confident of achieving the projected $10 million of synergies in the first 2 calendar years and maybe more. In summary, we're very pleased with HHI's performance today, excited about its many future growth prospects and pleased with the pace of its integration to Spectrum Brands. We think it was the right acquisition at the right time. Now let's move to Remington, our personal care business, which is your Slide 13. Remington's third quarter global net sales were essentially unchanged. We're pleased with significantly higher revenues in Europe, which nearly offset lower net sales in Latin America and North America, where we have been impacted in North America by the shaving and grooming category shelf space reduction at a major retailer, which began in the first quarter. Without this retailer move, our sales would have increased. We did, however achieve gains in personal care at another major retailer. It's important to note that in North America, we are gaining market share in 4 of the 6 categories in which we compete with Remington. New shipments from women's and men's shelf space gains at several key North American retailers should help drive new Remington volume higher in this quarter and higher than last year, especially if the month of July was an indicator. Even with the impact of the major retailer shelf space reduction all year, which may in part be reversed next year, Remington global net sales in fiscal 2013 still may be up slightly. Let's stay with Remington, talk a little bit about i-LIGHT, our unique and patented hair removal product. It has just enjoyed a very strong Brazilian launch in the third quarter. In fact, we believe Brazil may become the largest market for us in this product category. We also just received clearance for i-LIGHT in Mexico and expect approval in Columbia soon. For many quarters, we've said to you that Remington is the key platform for our planned increased spending this year in global e-commerce and consumables, which we see as future growth categories. This has not come without expected cost to our EBITDA performance this year, but this strategic spend has yielded valuable insights for fine-tuning our products development and marketplace strategy to drive growth in e-commerce. We also are driving consumables growth for next year and beyond. We have strong confirmation that the Remington brand is highly recognized, innovative global brand that consumers trust. The Remington name also has been working well in wet shave at retail in our tests. So we have strengthened that strategy for entering this large and growing market with a global licensing agreement and partner. In the small appliance categories of Global Appliances, which is Slide 14, we're pleased with continuing growth in Europe and Latin America, which we've seen all year. We overcame a major unfavorable foreign currency impact from several currencies. Half of legacy Spectrum Brands sales decline in the quarter was simply due to the planned exit of another $10 million of low or no margin North American sales. This is on top of the $30 million sales exit in the first half of the year. We began this program last year. It's clear this strategy is improving our gross margin percentages for the segment and total company. Consider that North America small appliance gross margin as a percentage improved nearly 350 basis points in the quarter. This is following increases of 300 basis points and 450 basis points in the first 2 quarters. Since North America is the largest geographic segment of the Remington business -- I'm sorry, of the kitchen appliance business, this turnaround has particularly significant impact. We expect this sales exit process to continue this quarter. New product launches, however, with select pricing incentives and retailer shelf expansions should contribute to higher fourth quarter sales for appliances. We have the most new products launching this year since we acquired the business in 2010. These include new George Foreman Grills, new Black & Decker toaster ovens and irons. We also have major new products introductions coming in fiscal 2014. Global cost improvement is also a major success for small appliances. Savings this year are tracking twice the rate of fiscal 2012 as the business moves more fully into Spectrum Brands' continuous improvement in the new product development process. With higher cost savings, new products, select pricing, distribution gains and strong expense control, this business is more than offsetting, continuing but moderating Asian supply cost increases this year and is well-positioned for fiscal 2014. Now let's move to the Home and Garden division, which is your Slide 15. Weather across the U.S. was very challenging for our product categories in April and early May. It was the coldest spring in U.S. weather history after the second warmest on record last year. Despite net sales gains and share gains against competition and continued gains for our new Black Flag line, sales were down $10 million or 6%, but that is compared to a near record third quarter level of sales in 2012. Now, aggressive expense management and strong cost improvements, however, drove better-than-expected profitability despite the weather. Third quarter adjusted EBITDA declined only slightly compared to a record $47.5 million last year. Even more impressive is that adjusted EBITDA margin for the quarter increased to 29.4% versus 28.5% last year. Home and Garden is finishing strong in the fourth quarter. July sales, largely higher margin repellents, were up double digit versus last year. A strong bug and mosquito season with many reports of West Nile virus and Lyme disease are favorable for repellent sales. Retailers are responding to our Spectrum value model. They continue to support the season and are pushing repellent products. Remember, the bulk of our goods sales come now, not earlier in the season. So we still are very optimistic about the year. Home and Garden has also delivered excellent continuous improvement programs and operating expense management this year. Despite the tough hand dealt by Mother Nature, we believe Home and Garden will still deliver another record year of adjusted EBITDA, a remarkable performance given the weather and timing. And we are optimistic about distribution gains and increasing promotional support for fiscal 2014 at our highest margin division. Finally, to our Global Battery business, your Slide 16. Batteries is delivering adjusted EBITDA growth in a highly aggressive environment. It's a strong EBITDA producing cash flow generator with steady performance over many years. We have good momentum with new smartphone power products and distribution expansion with more opportunities ahead for new retailer business and shelf space gains. Our brands, Rayovac and Varta, are winning in hypercompetitive categories. In fact, over the last 12 months, market shares have increased. For example, continuing growth in our European Varta Battery business in the third quarter following first half gains was driven by new customer listings and expansion into new channels. Our Latin American business, the alkaline and zinc carbon unit market leader in that category, was impacted primarily only by decreased exports into Venezuela. But we did see growth in alkaline batteries and lights in the quarter. In North America, Rayovac market share increased versus prior year overall with double-digit unit growth in a large and important non-Nielsen scan channel. North American sales results were impacted almost totally by just 1 large private label retailer. Key retailers further tightened inventory levels and trimmed reorders and competitor activities were focused on significant discounting. Still, we are convinced, and shares and POS confirm, that our long-term strategy of same or better performance for less price works. Our presence with prominent retailers worldwide has considerably grown in recent years. The data over many quarters show that value is winning for retail customers and consumers. New Rayovac and Varta products are creating global excitement and will help drive sales in Q4 and into fiscal 2014 important holiday season especially our new 2-hour and 7-Hour Power for smartphones, emergency lighting products, rechargeable lights, the world's longest lasting hearing aid batteries and others to just name a few. Our business is succeeding by focusing capital on battery performance enhancements, thus same performance, less price as premium brand. We also focus capital on cost improvement to offset cost increases and inflation to maintain a flat cost of goods sold. We work hard at securing new distribution and expanded shelf space at existing customers. And we work very hard at minimizing and continuing to reduce our expenses. Our goal remains, which has been for 7 years, help the retailer grow the category, increase market share, specially shelf space, and provide the best value to consumers. In closing, we delivered a record EBITDA on the third quarter with higher margins and made important long-term investments in Remington consumables, e-commerce and our new division, HHI, which is a wonderful platform for growth long term, to fuel additional growth in fiscal 2014 and beyond. We are on track for higher sales and adjusted EBITDA on the fourth quarter for legacy Spectrum Brands and total company, including HHI, and we see a record year of fiscal 2013 for adjusted EBITDA as well. Our free cash flow will be growing, and we see significant free cash flow per share improvement over the next 14 months and beyond. I want to thank you for staying with us on that long introduction, but we have Tony Genito, our CFO, now to add some additional comments.