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Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. (SPB)

Q3 2024 Earnings Call· Thu, Aug 8, 2024

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Spectrum Brands Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. At this time all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker’s presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, today's program is being recorded. And now I'd like to introduce your host for today's program, Joanne Chomiak, Senior Vice President of Tax and Treasury. Please go ahead.

Joanne Chomiak

Analyst

Welcome to Spectrum Brands Holdings Q3 2024 Earnings Conference Call and Webcast. I'm Joanne Chomiak, Senior Vice President of Tax and Treasury, and I will moderate today's call. To help you follow our comments, we have placed a slide presentation on the Event Calendar page in the Investor Relations section of our website. at www.spectrumbrands.com. This document will remain there following our call. Starting with slide 2 of the presentation. Our call will be led by David Maura, our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; and Jeremy Smeltser, our Chief Financial Officer. After opening remarks, we will conduct the Q&A. Turning to slides 3 and 4. Our comments today include forward-looking statements, which are based upon management's current expectations, projections and assumptions and are, by nature, uncertain. Actual results may differ materially. Due to that risk, Spectrum Brands encourages you to review the risk factors and cautionary statements outlined in our press release dated August 8, 2024, our most recent SEC filings, and Spectrum Brands Holdings' most recent annual report on Form 10-K and quarterly reports on Form 10-Q. We assume no obligation to update any forward-looking statements. Also, please note that we will discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures in this call. Reconciliations on a GAAP basis for these measures are included in today's press release and 8-K filing, which are both available on our website in the Investor Relations section. Now I'll turn the call over to David Maura. David?

David Maura

Analyst

Thanks, Joanne. Good morning, everybody, and welcome to our third quarter earnings update. We appreciate everybody joining us today. Like usual, I'm going to start this call with an update on our operating performance and our strategic initiatives. Jeremy will then provide a more detailed financial and operational update, including a discussion on specific business unit results. During our first quarter and second quarter calls, we talked about how the actions we've taken in fiscal 2023 put us in a position to start on our journey back to winning this year. Our teams have worked extremely hard over the past years to put us in a position of competitive strength. Through years of asset sales, we have deleveraged our company, returned capital to our shareholders and turned our operations around. We are now focused on driving top-line growth through our commercial investments. In fact, over the past five or six years, we have reduced our gross debt by approximately $5 billion. We are now the lowest levered company in our peer group. During that time, we also returned $2 billion to our equity shareholders through share repurchases, while also maintaining our quarterly dividend. Our balance sheet is the fuel that has been providing us the financial flexibility to make meaningful improvements in our operations. And we have now developed a strong S&OP process, reduced our inventory levels and meaningfully increased our fill rates. With our operational house now in order, we have the confidence to pivot toward making meaningful investments in our brand-focused advertising, marketing and innovation. Our flywheel starting with our strong balance sheet, the strongest in the history of our company is now in motion. We now have the right leadership and talent in our operations team to deliver improving performance from supply chain to working capital management,…

Jeremy Smeltser

Analyst

Thanks, David. Good morning, everybody. Let's turn to Slide 11 for a review of Q3 results from continuing operations. I'll start with net sales, which increased 6%. Excluding the impact of $8.5 million of unfavorable foreign exchange, organic net sales increased 7.1%, primarily due to favorable weather conditions and improved retailer inventory health in our Home & Garden business, along with continued growth in e-commerce across all segments. Gross profit increased $39.3 million and gross margins of 38.9%, increased 310 basis points, largely driven by increased volume lower freight costs and inventory-related expenses and impacts from cost improvement actions. Operating expenses of $255.1 million, decreased 34.3% due to the absence of goodwill and intangible asset impairments compared to last year, partially offset by increased investment spend in advertising and marketing as we reinvest in our brands. Operating income of $47.7 million improved by $172.4 million, driven by the gross margin improvement and lower operating expenses I mentioned. GAAP net income and diluted earnings per share both increased primarily driven by the higher operating income, higher investment income, lower interest expense and a lower share count. Adjusted EBITDA was $106.3 million, an increase of 7.9% or $7.8 million over last year, driven by improved gross margins and investment income of $13 million, offset by almost $23 million in increased brand-focused investments. Adjusted EBITDA, excluding investment income was $93.6 million. Adjusted diluted EPS increased by $0.17 to $1.10, driven by higher adjusted EBITDA and the reduction in shares outstanding. During the third quarter, we returned $142 million to shareholders through our share repurchase program and reduced our outstanding shares by approximately 5% or 1.6 million shares. Our current share count is approximately 32% lower than it was prior to the closure of the HHI transaction. Turning to Slide 12. Q3 interest expense…

David Maura

Analyst

Okay. Thank you, Jeremy, and thanks, everybody, for joining us on today's call. Look, let's take a couple of minutes here to recap just a few of our key takeaways. And I think you can find these on Slide 19. Look, to sum it up, we had a good quarter. Our strategy of leaning into our strengths to fuel growth is working. We started the year planning to increase brand and innovation-focused investments by an incremental $40 million to $50 million. And the team started the year slowly, being judicious in their spend, making sure they were focused on getting the right strategies, making sure that the investments were going to get a return on them and be able to drive profitable top line growth. This quarter, the teams really jumped in, activating almost $23 million more in investments than last year. And our results are just the evidence the strategy is working. For us to spend $23 million more in advertising and innovation and still grow EBITDA this quarter, speaks to the quality of the earnings power of our company. We delivered top line growth driven by volume increases in each one of our businesses, and we fueled our sales momentum in e-commerce, where our teams have been focused a significant portion of the investments we've been making. While Home & Garden results were certainly helped by more favorable weather condition, healthier retail inventory levels and our investments were critical in helping us win it shelf and win with the consumer. And we took category share for our key brands and our products. Our Global Pet Care business continues its strong companion animal sales and our Home & Personal Care business had a record Prime Day in both North America and EMEA. These results could not be achieved without…

Joanne Chomiak

Analyst

Thank you, David. Operator, we can go to the question queue now.

Operator

Operator

Certainly. And our first question comes from the line of Bob Labick from CJS Securities. Your question please?

Pete Lucas

Analyst

Hi. Good morning. It's Pete Lucas for Bob. I guess, just talking about HPC, once that's separated, what's the heavy lifting that's left? Is there further portfolio optimization to be made in Pet or Home & Garden? And you had talked very briefly about some extensions to categories or adjacent categories. Is that a factor? And if so, where so?

David Maura

Analyst

Look, I think our bankers and our investors believe as I do, sale merger separation of the appliance unit will cause a, multiple uplift on our remaining company. And as I said in my opening remarks, we spent about five years here doing asset sales, but we paid off over $5 billion of debt. And we're the lowest levered credit in the space now. And we -- after getting the balance sheet fixed, we really turned our attention to get our operations right. We brought in a whole new team, built a new S&OP process got our fill rates up. And so we really feel like we're getting some operating momentum. Look, strategically, there was a transaction yesterday in the pet space that traded for 13x on a business that has a lot less scale than ours and half our EBITDA margin structure. So we continue to be perplexed as to why our shares trade where they do. We continue to believe they're materially undervalued, and that's why we continue to shrink the flow. But no, after we separate the HPC business through either a sale, merger or spin, we will look to grow organically and inorganically and build back scale. But we want to put some more wins on the board first.

Jeremy Smeltser

Analyst

Yeah. On the adjacency side, I think where you've seen us go over the last 18 months is really trying to expand on our strength in companion animal chose over to the trait side where we've been smaller. So we focused first on a cat treat launch. We've now recently launched some dog treats. In EMEA, we are in the food space with our IAMS and new Canova brand. We think there's opportunity in North America as well. That's a particularly for fresh wet food, that's a strong growth category really globally. We think there's opportunities for our brands to play in those spaces, too. So those are the areas we're focused on for the future.

Pete Lucas

Analyst

And last one for me, just in terms of the increased marketing spend that you talked about. You talked about $23 million with the focus on Home & Garden. Can you kind of give us a little more detail in terms of the breakdown between Home & Garden and Pet, and the categories that it was focused on there and where you're looking to put it to work going forward?

David Maura

Analyst

I'll maybe let Jeremy take that. I'm not I'm not all super thrilled about breaking out every penny of spend and where it goes. But I can tell you what I'm proud of is to increase our advertising spend $23 million in a single quarter, and then be able to grow EBITDA $10 million on top of that, $10 million plus. I think that's something that investors should pay attention to. I think that shows real quality and strength of the earnings power of this company that we're putting back on the map here.

Jeremy Smeltser

Analyst

Yeah, I agree, David. Again, we won't -- we're not going to get into specific details because it's going to change quarter-to-quarter, H&G is a seasonal business. HPC has some seasonality. Also, it will be higher in quarters where we have significant new product launches. What I'll say for this quarter is that for H&G, it was probably getting close to half of the $23 million, followed by GPC Second. HPC, it was a little bit behind that. But I actually think you'll see that shift in the second half of the calendar year, where HPC heads into its stronger holiday season, will ramp up a little bit. And as H&G is in its lower seasonal selling season and we'll ramp that down a little bit. It will be fluid.

Pete Lucas

Analyst

Great. Helpful. I'll jump back in queue.

David Maura

Analyst

Thank you. Thanks for your questions.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Ian Zaffino from Oppenheimer. Your question, please.

Ian Zaffino

Analyst

Hi. I wanted to just touch on Pet a little bit here. It sounds like hardware is going back. Can you maybe tell us how hardware compared to consumables or vice versa, vis-a-vis. How they both did convert to each other? And maybe also when you talk about the online sales, kind of what categories and what's doing best online? Thanks.

David Maura

Analyst

I'll let Jeremy take the specifics. But I mean, listen, the durable side is still tough, but we had a good pond season in Europe and fish food and growing the filtration media. It's good business, replacement high-turn, consumables doing well. So that business was negative for a long time. And it's just nice to see aquatic stabilize despite continued pressure on the higher priced durable tanks, et cetera. And we continue to get kind of mid single-digit growth in our sweet spot, which is our cheese business. And so we're just going to continue to invest there. We're going to continue to drive growth. Definitely see the business migrating more towards e-commerce, and we've got a great team there that is investing heavily in digital advertising and content creation, and there's a lot more upside there. We want to get after it. But we see big time adjacencies. We believe we have the right to win. We have some big powerful brands like Good 'n' Fun. We believe good and tasty can get into Cat Treats and Dog Toppers and a lot of other adjacencies that are very big categories where we think we can be a player. So if we can move the needle on some of those things going into 2025-2026. I think we can have a pretty exciting pet story here. So that's the focus I'll turn it to Jeremy if I miss something or he wants to give more specifics.

Jeremy Smeltser

Analyst

Yes, I mean, not a lot to add. I mean, it's exciting to see the -- both this business and HPC at over 25% e-commerce year-to-date. I mean, that's obviously a trend that it's not going to reverse. The good news is we have really good capabilities -- globally commercially as well as operationally to fill from an e-commerce perspective. And our margins are relatively consistent across brick-and-mortar and e-commerce, which is another strength for us. I think naturally, the strength in e-commerce has really followed our normal category sizes. So think -- choose and now with up and coming treats as being the biggest category where you see consumers move to an online purchase, even a recurring purchase, a monthly delivery across our e-commerce retail partners, and that's business that we collectively love to see, and it's a great convenience for our consumers, and we hope to see it continue to grow.

Ian Zaffino

Analyst

Okay. Thank you. And then also just...

David Maura

Analyst

Did we get your question? Did we answer it?

Ian Zaffino

Analyst

Yes. No, perfect. And I just can ask one more on the M&A kind of adjacency front, is what are you thinking as far as adjacencies, just given kind of where we are on the macro side. How are you thinking about multiples in that space? And then how are you thinking about maybe integration risk as you guys are kind of humming along really nicely here now. Operations seem to be doing very well. Obviously, any type of M&A would maybe disturb that or maybe not to start that? How do you kind of think about all of those factors? Thanks.

David Maura

Analyst

I think the first thing to do is unlock a lot of value with appliances, right? And so that's the hot launch. And I think going forward, if you look at the amount of revenue we've sold off to pay down $5 billion of debt, we need to regain some scale. And we like the pet space and we like the home and garden space. And so we'll be active there. But you're 100% right. Our next deal has to be a slam dunk. It's got to be something in our wheelhouse. It's got to have hard synergies, and it's got to have growth, and we can't overpay for it. So we're just going to take our time. It's an election year. We see a lot of geopolitical risk. We see a lot of economic uncertainty. We don't feel like we need to run out and do anything right now. But there are a lot of assets being marketed. We are being targeted because everyone knows our balance sheet helps delever them. And so we're seeing tons and tons of acquisition opportunities, and we're going through them. But I don't have anything to report right now other than we are focused on maximizing the value outcome of appliances.

Ian Zaffino

Analyst

Okay. Thank you very much.

David Maura

Analyst

Thanks, Ian.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Peter Grom from UBS. Your question, please.

Peter Grom

Analyst

Thanks operator. Good morning everyone. Two quick ones for me. Hey, Jeremy, how are you doing? So David, just on the HPC separation, it's more of a housekeeping. You mentioned an update at 4Q or before then. Are we to interpret that as we're going to have the final decision between now and say, mid-November as to how the separation occurs? Or is that just a broad-based comment? And then just second, I was hoping to just get some color on the implied 4Q guidance from the sales and EBITDA perspective, a little bit of a step down in terms of top line growth and margin progression maybe versus what we've seen. Can you maybe just unpack the drivers of that? Are you simply just being conservative just given the uncertainties out there? Or is there something that you're seeing quarter-to-date that's really driving that view? Thanks

David Maura

Analyst

Yes. Look, I'll take the first and I'll give Jeremy the second. Look, we've got multiple bids from financial players, strategic players on this appliance asset. And we've got a spin path. And so we just got to work through all those options and see where we come out. And I just can't comment on it any further than that. But let's see where we are. And you're right. I put in a press release that we'll update you on it by the fourth quarter, but it might be sooner, but that's where we are. There's a lot of interest in the asset.

Jeremy Smeltser

Analyst

Yes. And on the second question, Peter. So a couple of things. One, as I said earlier, what happens to us sequentially in our fiscal Q4 is that seasonally, HPC starts to ramp up and seasonally, Home & Garden starts to ramp down a bit. And that has a natural reduction in our sequential EBITDA margin on a blended basis because, as you know, Home & Garden is quite a bit higher from an EBITDA margin perspective in HPC. Nothing else really happening beer than that. And then what I would say on the top line, we held the top line flat for the year. We do still expect growth in the fourth quarter on the top line. However, we do expect it to moderate, which shouldn't surprise you because if you look at what happened last year from Q3 to Q4, we saw growth, particularly in Global Pet Care. So we're really not seeing much of a change sequentially. It's really about the comps to last year. And we feel it's the right number to put out there as we start the early part of the holiday season for HPC. And for Home & Garden, I think we're off to a good start in the fourth quarter. July was good, but weather will drive how long that season lasts at retail POS, which will impact how long we see retailer replenishment orders, and that's still something that has to develop over the next seven, eight weeks.

Peter Grom

Analyst

Awesome. Thank you both. I'll pass it on.

David Maura

Analyst

Thank you.

Jeremy Smeltser

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Chris Carey from Wells Fargo Securities. Your question, please.

Chris Carey

Analyst

Hey, good morning guys. I wanted to ask about free cash flow. Can you just characterize how you see about conversion so far this year? Perhaps some expectations in the near term. David, you mentioned building some inventory into Q4? And maybe just medium-term thoughts on kind of how cash conversion should be trending going forward? And then I have a follow-up.

David Maura

Analyst

I'll let Jeremy comment on it. I will tell you, look, we've had so much strategic activity, right? I mean if you go back to selling batteries and Auto Care and HHI, debt paydown. And then I wanted the balance sheet to be squeaky, squeaky clean as we fixed operations and so we got off all factoring programs, everything. I mean we're -- I'm just telling you, I mean, our earnings quality starting to get amazingly good. And our balance sheet is phenomenal. And I'm not just talking about our leverage ratios. I'm talking about how we manage payables, receivables, et cetera. We're really starting to run a best-in-class organization here, but that consumed a lot of cash paying back what in the past was, and every company does it. They factor receivables to get cash sooner, and I got off all that and we put a lot of money in that, put a lot of money into CapEx. But obviously, with materially paying down debt, I can tell you, as I look into '25, you're going to see a big drop in interest expense, we're going to do our best to manage taxes. We're going to continue to work tight on working cap. We're continually going to want to fund a dividend, but we keep shrinking the float and so that amount of money goes down. CapEx is CapEx, and then all the money I put into getting rid of factoring programs goes away. So I'll let Jeremy talk big picture, but you should see free cash flow get a lot better at this company as we get into fiscal '25.

Jeremy Smeltser

Analyst

Yes. I agree with everything that David said. I've been super pleased. I mean net cash from operating activity -- from continuing ops year-to-date is at $178 million before CapEx. And that is quite a bit higher than I expected as we started the year, really driven by working capital and EBITDA, frankly. In the first 3 quarters of the year, we unwound factoring to the 2 in circa, I think about $80 million, give or take. And in Q4, we have another $35 million to $40 million that will unwind. But despite that, the cash flow has been positive and good. So I feel really good heading into '25, certainly less really no unusual items that I can think of as I head into it. So I think it's going to be strong. I usually model free cash conversion for the business in the 40% to 50% range of EBITDA. I think that's a fair place to model, and we'll be more specific as we get to November.

Chris Carey

Analyst

Okay. On this step-up in inventory, just as you're preparing to execute on your sales initiatives, is that expected to have a noticeable impact on your margin profile as well? I think there was a comment about seeing some capability on inventory carrying costs in the quarter? And perhaps this is just flagging a dynamic as opposed to something that's overly material one way or the other?

Jeremy Smeltser

Analyst

Yeah. Good question. No, it's not going to have an impact on margins negatively. We are rightsized from a DC perspective. We're in a really good place, and we can certainly handle the incremental inventory that we mentioned in the prepared remarks. That's really about two things; it's about having the right and enough inventory for HPC to deliver on holiday sale needs into retail, which are, as I said earlier, sequentially, those demands go up; and then the other is the strength in e-commerce, it does have an impact on our need for a little bit more inventory, because, as you know, the consumer can have a much wider choice from a SKU perspective on e-commerce than they do in brick-and-mortar. And so over time, we're going to carry a little bit more inventory to service that, not noticeable to our DCs or operations. It's just really what we call out on working capital. And that's because as we've seen the blended fill rates in the mid 90s or even moving a little bit in the high 90s, especially at Home & Garden, what's underlying that is high, high 90% margins in brick -- or fill rates in brick-and-mortar and usually low 90s in e-com, because it's such a balance of filling that wider variety that consumers choose. And so this is really just about turning the dials to get even better from an S&OP perspective to get those fill rates to help drive growth higher as we move into 2025.

David Maura

Analyst

Yeah. Let me jump in. I mean, look, a couple of years ago, we had fill rates in the 60s, and our inventory was bloated. I mean, so all the big levers we've moved. I told you earlier, I mean we took almost $400 million out of inventory in this company. And so we've really cleaned that up. What we're talking about in Q4 is very marginal to -- just let me know we're going to add a little bit of inventory because we're trying to grow the business again, and top line growth requires a little bit of inventory. There's nothing to really read into that. But in other words, the magnitude, we have been still a ton of discipline, and we've done that, and that's behind us.

Chris Carey

Analyst

Okay. Thanks guys.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Steve Powers from Deutsche Bank. Your question please. Q – Steve Powers: A couple of technical ones for me. One is a follow-up on Chris' cash flow. I may have missed it in your answer, but it looks like there was a pretty big outflow from discontinued ops this quarter. I guess just any color on what that might have been and if we should view it as kind of a onetime thing? Or is there any prospects of something similar repeating?

Jeremy Smeltser

Analyst

No, definitely a onetime thing. There's always trailing things in divestitures. They can be final tax judgments and settlements. They could be final purchase price allocation adjustments. But I think given that we're now over a year out, that settled down quite a bit. Q – Steve Powers: Okay. Great. And then the -- if I did the math right, bridging from GAAP to adjusted EPS and take it to cut your EBITDA disclosure, it looks like there's a pretty big tax headwind this quarter on adjusted earnings. Just curious as to, again, what that was and any implications for the future in terms of…

Jeremy Smeltser

Analyst

Yes. it’s a great quarter Steve. So in this quarter, the implied tax rate and the adjusted EPS is about 43%. And those of you who follow us closely on EPS, you know we've used 25% as a standard normalized effective tax rate for adjusted EPS purposes for the last few years. Recently, we received from some SEC commentary that indicated we should change that practice and we should let unusual items flow through the tax rate. And so -- in particular, in this quarter, you've got things like return to provision and a couple of tax rate changes globally that impacted it. And when you get our share count as low as ours is now, that moves the needle pretty quickly. So just in other words, if you did the math the old way, we probably would have had another $0.40 or so in earnings per share on an adjusted basis, which is probably what's reflected in most of the sell-side models. So Joanne is ready to talk everybody through that today and tomorrow and the calls that she has set up, but that is a change. And so -- unfortunately, while the reality is our true underlying normalized rate is 25% on a global basis. There are always things when you run a global business like this with many countries and legal entities as we have that pop up as the year progresses, and we're probably going to see more surprises like this and the adjusted earnings per share due to taxes. And so we'll build an approach as we get into Q4 and next year that that we'll be able to communicate more clearly on that. This was an adjustment that happened relatively late in the quarter. I appreciate you asking the question. I was getting a couple of e-mails earlier, and I didn't have it addressed in my prepared remarks. Does that make sense, Steve? Q – Steve Powers: It makes perfect sense. I appreciate it. Thank you very much.

David Maura

Analyst

All right. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. This does conclude the question-and-answer session of today's program. I'd like to hand the program back to Joanne Chomiak for any further remarks.

Joanne Chomiak

Analyst

Thank you, Jonathan. And with that, we have reached the top of the hour, so we will conclude our conference call. Thank you, David and Jeremy. And on behalf of Spectrum Brands, thank you all for your participation.

David Maura

Analyst

Thanks, everybody. Have a good day, everyone.

Operator

Operator

Thank you, ladies and gentlemen, for your participation in today's conference. This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect. Good day.