Jeremy W. Smeltser
Analyst · Mike Halloran
Thanks, Chris. Good morning, everyone. I'll begin with earnings per share. Total earnings per share for Q2 was $0.93. This includes $0.19 from discontinued operations primarily Service Solutions, operating income and related transaction fees. EPS from continuing operations was $0.74. This includes $2.7 million or $0.04 of purchase accounting adjustments related to inventory and backlog step-up charges for ClydeUnion. On an adjusted basis, Q2 EPS was $0.78, modestly better than last year. Looking at the key year-over-year changes to adjusted EPS. Excluding currency and the purchase accounting adjustments, segment income increased $0.11 over the prior year. This was driven by our Flow and Industrial segments, which reported increased segment income of $0.28 and $0.09 respectively. This improvement was largely offset by a $0.25 decline in Thermal segment income. Currency rate fluctuations were an $0.08 headwind, and restructuring expense increased $0.06 over the prior year. Increased interest expense versus last year was offset by a lower tax rate. And other items were a net $0.04 benefit to the quarter. This was primarily due to increased equity earnings. On a consolidated basis, we reported $1.3 billion of revenue in Q2, up 11% from the prior year. Currency translation was a 5% headwind and is the primary reason our reported revenue was modestly lower than our expectations. Acquisitions contributed 13% growth and organic revenue increased 3%. Segment income margins were 9.4%, down 80 points versus the prior year due to dilution from the ClydeUnion acquisition. Excluding ClydeUnion, Q2 segment margins were flat. Moving on to the segments, beginning with Flow. Reported revenue for Flow increased 37% to $677 million. Acquisitions contributed $155 million, a 32% increase. Organic revenue grew 12% year-over-year and currency was a 6% headwind. The organic growth was driven by our execution of large-scale food and beverage systems in Asia Pacific, as well as strong U.S. component sales into the oil and gas and industrial markets. This more than offset the weakness we experienced in Europe, which was primarily concentrated in industrial applications. Excluding the $2.7 million purchase accounting adjustment at ClydeUnion, Flow's segment income increased 28% over last year and represented about 60% of our consolidated segment income. Core margins improved 120 points to 12.7% benefiting from leverage on the organic revenue growth and increased pricing. The Q2 margins also reflect improved sequential performance in our European factories. ClydeUnion's second quarter results diluted Flow's overall margins by 200 points. Looking specifically at ClydeUnion, reported revenue was $144 million, up 15% from Q1 on improved supply chain management and increased throughput at the key manufacturing plants. Year-over-year revenue was up 16%. Operating profit was $5 million or 3% of revenue. The margin performance at ClydeUnion is being impacted by low margin projects that were in the acquired backlog. Many of these projects are longer-cycle jobs that will continue to impact our second half results. The ending Q2 backlog was $477 million. This is down 10% sequentially partially due to currency, which reduced the backlog by $14 million. The increased plant production and improved discipline we implemented around contract acceptance, particularly for the longer cycle lead jobs also had an impact on our backlog. From a demand perspective, we continue to see strong customer interest for ClydeUnion Pumps and aftermarket services. About 50% of the first half order intake has been in the aftermarket, which should benefit our second half profitability. And as Chris mentioned, our conversations with customers interested in combined product offerings continued to increase. We are encouraged with the sequential progress at ClydeUnion and we expect to see continued operational and financial improvement as we move forward. Looking at our second half expectations, we are targeting about $300 million of revenue with margins around 10% or better. These expectations assume continued improvement in operating execution, benefits from our lean and supply chain initiatives and cost savings from the restructuring actions. We expect the Q4 margins to be particularly strong due to a seasonally higher mix of aftermarket sales. For the full year, we have reduced our revenue and operating profit expectations. We are now targeting $560 million to $580 million of revenue and $35 million to $40 million of operating profit. Our EPS accretion estimate for the year is now $0.10 to $0.15 per share. In addition to lower operating profit, this also reflects an $0.08 increase in restructuring costs and a $0.02 reduction due to currency. We expect the integration of ClydeUnion to be substantially complete by the end of this year. The integration is expected to result in a streamlined operating structure, improved supply chain management, increased manufacturing productivity and a higher quality backlog. We continue to be excited about the future growth opportunities and margin potential for ClydeUnion, as well as our power and energy platform within the Flow segment. Looking at the total backlog for Flow, the ending Q2 backlog was over $1.4 billion. This is down 5% from Q1 due primarily to currency and ClydeUnion. Excluding currency, the legacy backlog increased 1%, a very good result given the 12% organic revenue growth reported in Q2. Flow's book-to-bill in the quarter was about 1 to 1. As Chris mentioned, we continue to see strong order activity in most end markets and geographies, with the industrial markets in Europe being the most notable exception. The Q2 ending backlog gives us good visibility to second half revenue. We are targeting about $1.4 billion of revenue in the second half of the year, up about 8% over the first half. This is consistent with the historical seasonality of our Flow businesses and supported to a large degree by our backlog visibility. 70% of the second half revenue projection is in the backlog. We expect margin in the second half to improve about 300 points sequentially to between 12% and 13%, with the primary driver being ClydeUnion's profitability improvement. Looking at the full year, we have revised Flow's full year targets to reflect currency changes, a weaker demand in Europe and our updated assumptions for ClydeUnion. For the full year, we are targeting 30% to 35% revenue growth. This assumes a 3% currency headwind and about 30% growth from acquisitions. We are targeting margins to be between 10.9% and 11.4% for the year. Moving on to our Thermal segment. Thermal reported $350 million of revenue in Q2, down 19% over last year. Currency reduced reported revenue by 6%. Organic revenue declined 11% due primarily to lower cooling system sales, particularly in the U.S. where we executed some large retrofit projects in Q2 last year. In addition, we had lower service sales year-over-year in Europe. As a reminder, our dry cooling system business in China is now on a joint venture with Shanghai Electric. In Q2 last year, we've reported about $7 million of dry cooling revenues in China. Segment income was $16 million or 4.6% of revenue. The decline in profitability was due primarily to the reduction of higher-margin cooling system revenue versus the prior year. Thermal's backlog at the end of Q2 was about $960 million, down 15% from Q1. 1/3 of this decline was due to the change in currency rates, particularly the euro and South African rand. Through the first half of this year, orders for the Thermal segment are up 7% over last year and book-to-bill was 0.9x. This excludes the joint venture orders. Our joint venture with Shanghai Electric was awarded 3 dry cooling orders in Q2, totaling $42 million, and we are quoting on additional opportunities. As we've said in the past, quarterly comparison in this segment are often influenced by the timing of large projects and are not necessarily the best indicators of market conditions. As Chris mentioned, we didn't see any material change in the power generation market, which, though challenging, has been stable now for several quarters. Thermal's first half revenue declined 11% over the prior year. The decline was about half organic and half currency-related. We expect this rate of year-on-year decline to be consistent in the second half. On a sequential basis, we expect to see increased revenue and profitability in the second half driven by our typical seasonality, as well as a higher volume of cooling and service sales. This seasonality is due in large part to our short-cycle personal comfort heating businesses that generate the majority of their revenue and profit in the second half of the year. For the full year, we have reduced our targets to reflect the Q2 results and changes in currency rates. In 2012, we are now targeting revenue to decline 10% to 13% with margins at about 7.5%. Moving on to our Industrial segment. Second quarter revenue was $233 million, up 10% over Q2 last year. Organic growth was 11% and currency was a 1% headwind. The organic revenue increase was driven by our Power Transformer business, which reported 20% organic growth on higher volume and modestly better pricing. Increased sales of aerospace components were also a key driver of the organic growth. This growth was partially offset by a decline in sales of fare collection systems. Segment income increased $6 million or 25% over last year to $30 million, and margins improved 160 points to 13%. The increased profitability was due primarily to leverage on the organic revenue growth, as well as modestly higher pricing on transformer shipments. Net start-up costs related to large power expansion were $3 million, down slightly from Q1 as we have begun to absorb these costs. As Chris mentioned, we recorded our first 3 shipments out of the expanded plant during Q2. The backlog at Industrial increased 2% during the quarter to $484 million, driven primarily by our transformer backlog, which was up 11% sequentially. Replacement demand in the U.S. Power Transformer market remains strong, and we continue to see positive overall trends in this market. Average industry lead times are approaching 8 months and our lead times remain between 8 and 12 months depending on the size and complexity of the order. We estimate that the average age of the installed base in the U.S. is over 35 years, with some Transformers as old as 50 to 60 years, well past their engineered life expectancy and at high-risk of failure. Historically, when industry lead times approach 1 year, we have seen a sense of urgency by our customers to replace aged equipment in the advance of potential failures. Sentiment across many of our utility customers indicates that they plan to increase annual transformer replacements beginning in 2013. Based on this feedback, recent order trends and historical cyclicality, we continue to view this as an attractive growth market. The investment we made to expand our facility and increase our capacity to produce larger sized transformers appears well-timed. Pictured on this slide is one of the first units we shipped out of the expanded facility. One of our employees is standing next to the transformer to give you a sense of just how large these units are. We shipped 3 units out of the expanded facility in Q2 and are on track to ship another 12 units in the second half. These first 15 shipments are smaller-sized large power units. Some of our recent orders have been for higher-rated transformers. We plan to ramp up production and increase our design capabilities over the next few years. At full capacity, we are targeting annual revenue in the range of $150 million to $200 million. If you'd like to see our expanded facility, we are inviting investors and analysts to Wisconsin on September 11 for a presentation on our Transformer business and a plant tour. We plan to issue a press release later this week that includes details for this event and registration instructions. We encourage you to attend so that you can see the manufacturing process in person. Looking at our revised expectations for the Industrial segment this year. In the second half, we are targeting over $500 million of revenue, with margins improving to 13.5% to 14.1%. The increase in large power transformer shipments is a key driver of our second half revenue growth. We have modestly reduced our full year targets for the industrial segment to reflect delayed orders in some of our higher-margin businesses. We now expect revenue to grow 10% to 13% over the prior year, with margins up 30 to 60 points. Now I'll briefly discuss our 2012 targets on a consolidated basis before I turn the call back over to Chris. In Q3, we are targeting revenue to grow 8% to 12% to about $1.3 billion. Acquisitions are expected to increase revenue by approximately 13%. Our targets assume recent currency rates, which would reduce revenue about 4% in Q3 over the prior year. We are targeting $135 million to $142 million of segment income, with the reduction from the Thermal segment continuing to mute increases in other businesses. Segment income margins are targeted to be between 10.5% and 11%. This includes dilution from acquisitions. We are modeling Q3 using a 28% effective tax rate and just under 51 million shares outstanding. We have also updated our consolidated pro forma modeling target for the year. This framework assumes that the annualized impact of the debt reduction and share repurchases that we plan to complete in conjunction with the sale of Service Solutions. We're targeting total revenue of about $5.1 billion. This assumes a 3% year-over-year headwind from currency and about 13% growth from acquisitions. Segment income margins are expected to be between 10.3% and 10.7%. We estimate ending the year with a diluted share count of about 47 million shares, and we are currently using a 28% effective tax rate for long-term modeling. Our ending cash balance for Q2 was $328 million, and we're targeting about $300 million of free cash flow from continuing operations in the second half of this year. And we expect the after-tax proceeds from the sale of Service Solutions to be approximately $1 billion. Once we have received these proceeds, we plan to commit $350 million to debt reduction and $275 million to additional share repurchases. We completed the first phase of our share repurchase plan early in Q2. Year-to-date, we have repurchased about 1 million shares. Phase 2 will be in effect following the sale of Service Solutions. After these actions, we estimate having $1.4 billion of liquidity and we'll evaluate additional capital allocation actions consistent with our methodology. At the end of Q2, our gross leverage was 3.4x and our net leverage was at 2.9x. We expect our leverage ratios to decline significantly during the second half of this year through debt repayment and increasing EBITDA. That completes our financial analysis. I'll turn the call back over to Chris for closing remarks.