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SPX Technologies, Inc. (SPXC)

Q2 2017 Earnings Call· Thu, Aug 3, 2017

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen. And welcome to the SPX Corporation’s Second Quarter 2017 Earnings Conference Call. At this time all participants are in a listen-only model. Later we will conduct the question-and-answer session and instructions will follow at that time. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would like to introduce your host for today’s conference, Mr. Paul Clegg, Vice President of Finance and Investor Relations. Sir, you may begin.

Paul Clegg

Analyst

Thank you, Terence, and good afternoon, everyone. Thanks for joining us. With me on the call today are Gene Lowe, our President and Chief Executive Officer; and Scott Sproule, our Chief Financial Officer. A press release containing our second quarter 2017 results was issued just after market close. You can find the release and our earnings slide presentation as well as a link to a live webcast of this call in the Investor Relations section of our website at spx.com. I encourage you to follow along with the slide presentation during our prepared remarks. A replay of the webcast will be available on our website until August 10. As a reminder, portions of our presentation and comments are forward-looking and subject to Safe Harbor provisions. Please also note the risk factors in our most recent SEC filings. Our comments today will largely focus on adjusted financial results. Specifically, we will focus on adjusted core operating results, which exclude the results of the South African projects, and we will separately provide an update on those projects. This quarter, our GAAP results include a charge of $22.9 million to update our estimate of the cost to complete the projects in South Africa, which has been adjusted out of core results. Another adjustment to our GAAP results this quarter is an adjustment for nonservice pension items. Scott will review these items in detail. You can find reconciliations of all adjusted figures to the respective GAAP measures in the appendix to today’s presentation. Finally, we plan to be on the road this month meeting with investors. And on September 6, we will participate in Vertical Research’s Global Industrials Conference. And with that, I will turn the call over to Gene.

Gene Lowe

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your line is open

Thanks, Paul. Good afternoon, everyone. Thanks for joining us. On the call today, we’ll provide you the brief update on our overall results, segment performances and end market conditions before going into Q&A. During the second quarter, execution remains strong in our core businesses and the initiatives that we have been implementing since the spinoff continued to progress well, resulting in 330 basis points of operating margin expansion. Our Detection and Measurement segment experienced healthy order growth, and our Engineered Solutions segment continued to see the benefits of our operating model shift and cost reductions in process cooling. Based on the strength of our first half results and our visibility into the second half customer demand, we are increasing our full year guidance for 2017 adjusted EPS to a range of $1.65 to $1.75, from our prior range of $1.55 to $1.70. And in South Africa, we have implemented actions to accelerate the completion of the projects and further reduce risks. Scott will talk more about the financial impact in his section. Overall, I’m very pleased with our core operational performance and the fact that our involvement in the South African projects, although not without challenges is now in the later stages of completion. We remain well positioned to execute on both our organic and inorganic growth plans for our pipeline of opportunities remains robust. Turning to our results, we reported adjusted EPS of $0.44, adjusted operating income was $32 million reflecting over 50% growth on slightly lower revenue compared with the prior year period. Our Detection and Measurement and core Engineered Solutions segments, both recorded significant margin expansion, partially offset by slightly lower margins in the HVAC segment. As always, I would like to give you a brief update on the progress we have made during Q2 on our…

Scott Sproule

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your line is open

Thanks, Gene. I’ll start with our net results for the quarter. On a GAAP basis, we reported a loss per share of $0.19. On an adjusted basis, our earnings per share was $0.44, a significant improvement from the comparable $0.33 earned during the second quarter of 2016. As we typically do, our adjusted earnings per share exclude the result associated with our South African projects, including the Q2 charge though described in detail in a moment. As well as nonservice related pension expense. From an operational standpoint, the success we experienced in the first quarter continued. Our 2017 results reflected increased order conversion in Detection and Measurement and benefits of ongoing operational improvements, most notably in Engineered Solutions. Before reviewing our core results, let me walk you through the financial impact of the South African projects charge. As Gene noted, we have made significant progress towards completing our scopes to work and reducing our risk profile related to the South African projects in 2015. And during the first half of this year, we made several decisions on what is going to take to further address risk and accelerate execution. Based on our revised plans, we have update our estimates to complete the projects, which resulted in a charge of $22.9 million recorded as a reduction in revenue of $13.5 million and an increase in cost of $9.4 million. The charges comprised of investment and incremental resources in order to accelerate project completion, the cost of showing up our supply chain to improve our schedule, which includes both the insourcing of fabrication to our operations and addressing issues with one material supplier at risk of not meeting delivering schedules. And we have experienced higher than anticipated costs incurred, as we close out certain scopes of work. We’ve also updated future estimates…

Gene Lowe

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your line is open

Thanks, Scott. Turning to an update of our end markets. Overall, SPX remains positioned to perform well over the second half of 2017. In HVAC cooling, the order pipeline continues to be solid, and the business is performing well at an operational level. In HVAC heating, demand in the second quarter was in line with our expectations. And our earnings guidance does not anticipate any improvements, driven by colder weather during 2017 compared with last year. In Detection and Measurement, we saw favorable trends in sales and orders, specifically, the order intake for communication technologies products were strong. We saw increased front log conversion in fare collection systems. And we expect obstruction lighting product sales to continue to be strong through the second half. Transformer pricing remains stable as the market continues to display consistent demand from medium-powered units, and lead times continue to average 30 to 40 weeks. Our Engineered Solutions segment continues to reflect the benefits of our business model shift in process cooling. And we continued to see improved bottom line results from our strategy to enhance our focus on components and our service business. Turning to our 2017 guidance. Our strong first half results and visibility into the remainder of the year give us confidence to increase our full year 2017 EPS guidance range to $1.65 to $1.75. We expect this year to have a more – a far more balanced first half to second half earnings profile compared with 2016. We now expect Core revenue to be in the range of $1.35 billion to $1.4 billion. We expect Core segment income margin to be approximately 13%, and expect adjusted operating income margin in the 8.5% to 9% range, all of which are above our previous ranges. We have also adjusted our segment guidance expectations. Our…

Paul Clegg

Analyst

Thanks, Gene. Terence, I think we are ready to go to questions now.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from the line of Ronnie Weiss from Credit Suisse. Your line is open.

Ronnie Weiss

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your line is open

Hey, good afternoon guys.

Gene Lowe

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your line is open

Hey, Ronnie.

Scott Sproule

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your line is open

Hey, Ronnie.

Ronnie Weiss

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your line is open

Just little more clarity around the cash outlook from South Africa. I’m implying $55 million for 2017 on the cash out flow, how much more is this kind of the original plan? And then how the rest that 60 to 70 outflow, does all that come into 2018 or some bleed into 2019 as well?

Gene Lowe

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your line is open

Ronald, let me start here, and I think it might make sense to step back and just trying to give a little bit of context in where we are in the South African projects and provide some perspective here. Just as a reminder, our primary objective here is to execute our scope of work as efficiently as quickly as possible. And since the spin, we’ve actually put a lot of effort in that, and we’ve made a lot of progress on that front. As a reminder, we descoped a major construction responsibility, which took out several years of construction work. And we have addressed issues with suppliers to ensure schedules will be met, which reduces our risk, and we’re investing in additional resources to further accelerate work. And in these projects, they certainly do have their projects, but I’m very proud of how we made – our team have made the right decision to get this work done. And as Scott had mentioned, by the end of the year, we will only have one of the five original scopes of work remaining. And with this acceleration, we’re basically moving our project material completion up one year to the end of 2019. So I think that there is a lot of activity going on. And we don’t think that the next two years are without risk, but for the first time, we feel confident enough about where we are and what is going to take to complete these projects to actually give a specific time frame for completion and a specific outlay of numbers for cash flows to complete the project. And as we’ve said before, we do view this as a finite life, amortizing liability very much like that. So we view this almost as a balance sheet matter that we take into consideration in our overall capital planning. So I think that we are going to continue to manage this tightly, but we don’t believe this is going to affect our ability on any of our current growth strategy. With the specific cash flow Scott, on the question that Ronnie brought up?

Scott Sproule

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your line is open

Yes. So, sure. Ronnie, as Gene just said and you all know, prior to today, we hadn’t provided a definitive value of what we expected cost or remaining cash flows to be on the project towards substantially complete. So based on where we are, based on the work that has been done and the actions that Gene and I both through our remarks, we’re feeling more – the confidence level to say what it’s going to be? So the charge in itself implies that it’s higher than what we anticipated, but it’s not materially higher than the originally anticipated spin. And as I said, that was factored into a broad range of outcomes factored into our capital planning model, we give our growth projections. But specific to the amounts for this year and putting that into context with the overall $60 million, $70 million remaining to spend, when we revised our estimates, part of the charge that we have incurred – being incurred as higher cash outflows this year and in future years. But there is also decisions that we’ve made around accelerating in adding resources, that is driving some of that higher cash this year. And the last factor that adding into this year is we had some milestones towards the end of the year for completions of work that have slit towards the end of this year. So we’ve – we just moved the cash receipt of those milestones into 2018. All those factors are into what you’re seeing here for the updated estimate of cash in 2017.

Ronnie Weiss

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your line is open

Okay, got it. And then look to the margins on kind of the Core Engineered Solutions, look at the guide slightly above the 6%, that was previously guided to, I look at the first half its about 8%. I guess – margin there, step down as we kind of move through this business model change? And why wouldn’t be kind of the same level as you saw in the first half there?

Gene Lowe

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your line is open

Yes. We’re obviously very pleased with the results we’re seeing in Engineered Solutions, the impact of the business model shift we’re talking about, and being able to guide to the ending the year on the 6.5% to 7% margins well with on our way to achieving our targets of 8% to 10% margins in this segment. When you look at Q2 in isolation and the 9% margins there, you can’t run rates those. As I said, on my comments, part of that is because we had strong project mix, which included some kind of one-time benefits on some project closeout activities. So there was some benefit there, that is not run ratable and we’re not foreseen that type of activity in the second half, but we do still see solid margin performance in the second half of the year.

Ronnie Weiss

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your line is open

Okay. And then Just real quickly lastly, that $60 million to $80 million that you’re planning on kind of winding down out of the backlog, how long do you anticipate that to take?

Scott Sproule

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your line is open

It will be going through this year and next. So you start getting into 2019 to get a normalized level of revenue profile for detection – I’m sorry for Engineered Solutions. There will be underlying GDP type growth that’s in the business, but it’s been overwhelmed by that execution of the backlog.

Ronnie Weiss

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your line is open

Got it, thanks guys.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from Robert Barry from Susquehanna. Your line is open.

Robert Barry

Analyst · Susquehanna. Your line is open

Hey guys, good afternoon or good evening.

Gene Lowe

Analyst · Susquehanna. Your line is open

Hey, Robert.

Robert Barry

Analyst · Susquehanna. Your line is open

Just a quickly follow up on the last question. I think you have guided cash outflow for South Africa this year of 20 to 25, right? And now, it’s 55?

Scott Sproule

Analyst · Susquehanna. Your line is open

That’s correct.

Robert Barry

Analyst · Susquehanna. Your line is open

Okay. And I guess, that make sense, you’re just pulling things forward.

Scott Sproule

Analyst · Susquehanna. Your line is open

Yes. As I said, there is a combination of we’re adding additional resources. We did – as we said, we had – so we had experienced some higher cost as we close out certain scopes of work. And that is causing some higher spend, which is part of that’s coming in this year. And then the third factor is we’ve shifted some collections of receivables out in 2018 based on some of those milestone achievements going into the latter part of this year. So we’re just being conservative on when will that timing is going to happen.

Robert Barry

Analyst · Susquehanna. Your line is open

Got you. And I think in the past, when you’ve given the data on the segment income phasing, 4Q is typically twice what 3Q is. Is that relevant this year?

Scott Sproule

Analyst · Susquehanna. Your line is open

It’s always our highest quarter. When you look at our first half, second half phasing, they’re going to be relatively consistent this year, much more consistent than they were last year, I should say. Fourth quarter will be the highest quarter. It’s always that way with the seasonality of our business, most notably the heating season within HVAC. And then the lot of our other products – our business are more backend loaded naturally. And then Q3 is generally a – certainly comparatively weaker quarter.

Robert Barry

Analyst · Susquehanna. Your line is open

Got you. And within detection, I mean, I’m not sure, if that degree of improvement year-over-year was – what was in your plan. I mean, you raise the outlook there, so maybe it was a little bit ahead. But I think what’s guided now implies back half margins averaging in the low 20s, is that right? And I think there’s some seasonality there too? And is that based on what you kind of see in the backlog based on things like fare collection or was there some conservatives on there, that kind of step down?

Scott Sproule

Analyst · Susquehanna. Your line is open

So I would say – kind of your back of the envelope analysis there on the second half margins is directionally correct. We’re looking at for the full year, 250 bps to 300 bps of margin improvement in the business. And that’s obviously, we have taken that up from our previous guidance, which was based on the strength of Q2, both from the order activity level that we’ve seen, as well as in when he said communication technology that’s an area of the business where, we have been seeing the kind of front log continue shipping into the right. And when we saw in Q2, some real solid order intake in that business, which will execute in the second half. When you looking at Q2’s margins, we’re very pleased with those levels of margins. We’ve talked about in the past with this business as you get a lot of variability in your margins on a quarterly basis based on the level of projects and the mix of the projects and that’s what we saw in Q2. Again, not a margin level run rate, but over the second half of the year we are expecting margin improvement on a year-over-year basis, and then obviously pretty significant margin improvement, when you look at on full year basis.

Robert Barry

Analyst · Susquehanna. Your line is open

Got it. And then maybe just lastly on the transformers. It sounds like some things were pushed right anything in particular driving that? And when do you expect that to come back in 3Q or 4Q?

Scott Sproule

Analyst · Susquehanna. Your line is open

I think was push, it’s just the timing of how shipments are falling of this year based on customer schedules. So it’s really not a push, it’s just really a year-over-year timing perspective. When you look at on a full year basis, we’re expecting very similar levels of shipment on a year-over-year basis on margin performance there.

Robert Barry

Analyst · Susquehanna. Your line is open

Okay, thank you.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And our next question comes from Damian Karas with UBS. Your line is open.

Damian Karas

Analyst · UBS. Your line is open

Hey, good evening guys.

Scott Sproule

Analyst · UBS. Your line is open

Hey, Damian.

Damian Karas

Analyst · UBS. Your line is open

So I wanted to ask a little bit about the – some of these projects you’ve called out, you mentioned, some several follow-on orders on the Genfare Link and take the monitoring as well as construction lighting. I was hoping you could maybe give us an idea on how much visibility you have timing of those shipments, give a rough idea on that time horizon, for those two projects you mentioned as well as maybe some of those Genfare projects? And any color you could give a sort of on the front log visibility currently?

Gene Lowe

Analyst · UBS. Your line is open

Hi, Damian, this is Gene here. I think in general, where we say with that Detection and Measurement business was a reminder, we think of these – this segment, its approximately two-thirds run rate, one-third projects. And what we’re seeing is generally positive momentum across all of our product lines. The run rate businesses are healthy and then our two project-based businesses are really fare collection and communication and technology. And as you correctly identified in the fare collection, we’ve had some nice strength there. And that’s something that we anticipate continuing over the next couple of years. As a reminder, the transportation bill has been a driver for that, and there is approximately five years of funding. And we see a lot of activity in that market. I think what is changed for us in the first half of the year is on the communications technology portion, in particular signal monitoring. Those projects, we’ve had a very active front log and seeing a lot of activity, but the conversion of the front log into orders has been slow. And has not been, because we are losing projects is because there were some delays in those projects. What you’ll see is that, we have started converting a lot of that – a lot of those backlog, and as you will see in the queue, our backlog is significantly up in Detection and Measurement. So we feel positive about the segment, and the initiatives that we have taken. I’d say the most important initiatives have been around the sales coverage model as well as some cost actions and a few of the product lines. But in general, we feel Detection and Measurement segment is on a positive trajectory and Scott, do you have anything else to add for Damian there?

Scott Sproule

Analyst · UBS. Your line is open

Just look at this – and you look at this from the guidance change perspective, coming into the year, the book in turn businesses and serving the project aspect of our bus fare collection business were very healthy, strong businesses and all factored into our – under our guidance, relatively performing consistent with the guidance slightly above. What you’ve seen in this guidance is we’ve been talking about on the communication technology side signal monitoring side of the business, the order intake there had been sluggish and get the front log cap on sliding. So now we’re – we’ve seen that order intake in front log firm up in Q2 and showing a higher degree of confidence on what’s going to execute through the second half of this year. And that’s been one of the larger catalysts for the change in the guidance there in the segment. So we are optimistic, that will continue, we are cautiously optimistic that we will continue. Still, very healthy front log pipeline on the project site and very steady demand across the book and turn side of the business.

Damian Karas

Analyst · UBS. Your line is open

Okay. And then on the slide, you wrote active M&A pipeline, I think first-time seeing that. Should we take that maybe something similar here, you’re seeing more reasonable evaluation – anything to read from that comment?

Scott Sproule

Analyst · UBS. Your line is open

I mean, I’d say that we are very active. I’m actually – I’ve been very pleased with the opportunities that we’re seeing that are out there. Having said that, we are going to be disciplined. But we believe our strategy is, we feel very good about our strategy and it’s always something that it’s hard to talk about until you’re there, but what I would say is, is our expressly stated strategy of really looking at bolt-ons that are predominantly right on top of our HVAC products with a little bit in our Detection and Measurement, we see a nice pipeline there. And I would say over the next 18 months, we’re going to keep working on the pipeline.

Damian Karas

Analyst · UBS. Your line is open

Terrific. All right, while I keep it to the single question and a follow-up. Thanks, guys.

Scott Sproule

Analyst · UBS. Your line is open

Thanks, Damian.

Operator

Operator

And at this time, I’m showing no further questions.

Gene Lowe

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your line is open

Okay. Well, Terence, thank you very much. And thanks to all of you for joining us tonight. Look forward to updating you on our progress next quarter and feel free to reach out for questions. Thank you.