Steve Rasche
Analyst · Credit Suisse. Please go ahead
Thanks Suzanne and good morning everyone. Let's begin with a review of our operating results for the first quarter of fiscal 2017. Starting on slide 10, first quarter net economic earnings were $47.5 million, up 5.3% from last year. Year-over-year growth was driven by improved earnings in both of our business segments, as Suzanne noted. On a per share basis, net economic earnings was $1.04 in the first quarter of both this year and last year as higher earnings were offset by a 5% increase in average shares outstanding from the equity issued for the EnergySouth acquisition. As noted in our news release this morning, our first quarter results were impacted by mild winter weather compared to normal as well as the timing and variability of degree days. For our gas utilities, these conditions tend to reduce demand and operating margin, while benefiting certain weather sensitive expenses. This is the second year in a row where we have seen mild weather in the first quarter. In Missouri, first quarter heating degree days were roughly 16% below normal this year, slightly colder than the 27% lower than normal last year. Similarly, Alagasco bill degree days were 29% lower than normal this year and 37% below normal last. On the flipside, the volatility in commodity prices and demand creates opportunities for our Gas Marketing business, Spire Marketing. Now looking at first quarter economic results by segment. Gas Utility posted earnings of $51.8 million, up from $50 million last year. This increase is due to higher margins and operating and maintenance expenses largely driven by the addition of EnergySouth. Gas Marketing earnings were up $1.7 million, reflecting higher volumes and favorable market conditions. Other corporate expenses were $5.7 million, up by about $1.1 million. This increase reflects principally interest cost. Let's look at the key drivers for our improved performance. Turning to slide 11. Total operating revenues were $495 million in the first quarter, up $96 million or 24% from last year. Gas Utility revenues were up $77 million, with approximately one-third of that increase due to the addition of EnergySouth and the remainder due to increases at our other utilities, driven by higher commodity cost and sales volumes including off-system sales and capacity release. Gas Utility operating margins were higher by just over $23 million with most of that increase due to the contribution from EnergySouth. The remaining $3.7 million increase was due principally to higher ISRS revenues in Missouri and lower regulatory adjustments at Alagasco. These benefits were offset in part by adverse variances totaling $800,000, including the impact of weather and temperature volatility. Gas Marketing margins on a GAAP basis, show a decline of $5.2 million due to adverse mark-to-market adjustments between the two periods totaling $7.9 million. Removing these non-cash fair value adjustments, margins were higher by $2.7 million on higher volumes, increased trading activity and storage optimization. Looking at operating expenses. Gas Utility fuel cost reflect both year-on-year on higher demand and higher commodity costs. Other operations and maintenance expenses were up by $7.8 million or after removing the addition of EnergySouth were lower by $1 million. This decrease results from lower employee related costs, a good portion of which was due to the mild winter weather, as well as lower integration costs. Depreciation and amortization expenses and taxes other than income were both higher this quarter due to the addition of EnergySouth and to higher capital spend over the last 12 months. Gas Marketing operating expenses increased on higher commodity costs. And interest expense was up a little over $3 million, largely due to the addition of EnergySouth debt, as well as higher interest rates on floating-rate debt. Our earnings growth is also of high-quality and turning to slide 13, EBITDA, our earnings before interest, income taxes, depreciation and amortization was up 4% from last year to $127 million. We are maintaining our balanced capital structure with a long-term capitalization at 50.2% equity, up about 40 basis points from fiscal year-end and we recently expanded our credit facilities, taking advantage of current favorable market conditions. In mid-December, we finalized a Spire five-year $975 million revolving credit facility replacing three separate facilities totaling $750 million. In early January, launched our Spire commercial paper program backed by that revolver. All-in, our new program provides significant customer benefits in terms of lower cost of borrowing and right-sizes our facility for our larger scale. As a reminder, we have other capital markets activity planned through the remainder of 2017, including two separate offerings related to the unit mandatories that we issued in 2014 to finance a portion of the Alagasco acquisition. First, the remarketing of the host security, junior subordinated notes with a face value of $144 million. And second, the issuance of equity with the conversion of the equity forward contracts. At current trading ranges, that issuance will be just over 2.5 million shares. And as a result of the conversion, we will receive approximately $140 million of proceeds. It is our intent to use some of the proceeds to reduce Spire level debt, most likely a portion of our floating rate note. That note, whose total face value was $250 million matures later this year. Turning to capital expenditures. First quarter CapEx was $89 million, up $27 million or 43% from last year. This increase was driven by higher infrastructure upgrades and new business investment at both the Missouri utilities and Alagasco. Mild weather also helped this quarter. The overall increase also reflects the addition of Mobile Gas and Willmut Gas as well as our spend on the Spire STL Pipeline. Our 2017 outlook remains unchanged at $410 million with most of that spend enjoying recovery with minimal regulatory lag. Similarly, our capital expenditure forecast for the five years through 2020 remains at least $2 billion. Turning to slide 15, let me reiterate our earnings guidance. Our target range for 2017, net economic earnings remains $3.50 to $3.60 per share consistent with our annual long-term growth target range of 4% to 6%. Now since the November election, we have gotten a number of questions regarding income tax reform and its potential impacts on Spire, since the likelihood of some change has gained steam. To prepare for the possible or some would say likely changes, we have evaluated the key provisions that would impact our company and our customers, namely the lower marginal tax rate, the expensing of CapEx and the deductibility of interest. We assess both the Trump administration plan as well as the House Republican plan and while the debate will certainly continue between these and other proposals, here our initial findings. First, we believe that the impact to our utilities which represents a majority of our earnings will be neutral as any impact in tax reform will be mitigated by the regulatory rate-making process. This was clearly the situation last time we saw significant change in income tax policy with the Tax Reform Act of 1986. Our assessment includes the expectation that any changes in the deferred tax assets and liabilities will be amortized over extended periods due to the nature of the underlying timing differences principally accelerated depreciation. We do anticipate that residential, commercial and industrial customers will benefit as their bills are reduced to reflect the lower income tax rate and that reduction creates headroom for additional investment for growth, both by our customers and our utility. We do not anticipate any change in our capital spending plans over the next several years as a result of tax reform and we will evaluate opportunities to accelerate those plans as the tax picture becomes clearer. In evaluating the two tax plans on a straight-up basis before significant tax planning activities, it appears that the consolidated earnings per share impact falls in a narrow range and manageable range and where we fall in that range really reflects the differences in the two plans. The Trump plan is anticipated to be largely neutral to Spire earnings, reflecting the fact that a majority of our earnings are at the utility level where the rate change is mitigated. The House plan could be dilutive by $0.05 to $0.10 per share, due primarily to the loss of the interest deductibility for parent company debt. Now, it's important to remember that there are many other facets to be considered in these plans as well as other proposals that may be offered. More importantly, there is still substantial debate regarding the timing of the legislation, transition rules, grandfather positions as well as industry-specific exceptions. Overall, we believe that making the Federal income tax system more globally competitive is the right step for American business and lowering the overall tax burden will benefit our customers and enable growth. Rest assured, we, our industry, including the American Gas Association, as well as other capital intensive industries will be monitoring the situation and working closely with policymakers to shape legislation that is both a positive step for our country and considers the unique aspects of our regulated industry. Okay. Now let's step back from the income tax exercise and let's take a look at the big picture. We have delivered another solid quarter. Ware squarely focused on executing on our plans for 2017 and beyond, including continued growth driven by our regulated utilities. At the same time, we will keep managing change and uncovering opportunities wherever they may come from, Washington DC or closer to home. With that, let me turn it back over to you, Suzanne.