Steve Rasche
Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead
Thanks, Suzanne and good morning, everyone. As Suzanne just touched on we finished a strong quarter and our outlook for the year has improved. Let's review both starting with our third quarter results on slide seven. Net economic earnings were $21.6 million, up $7 million or 48% from a year ago, driven by growth in our Gas Utility segment, which benefited from higher infrastructure investment and customer growth. Gas marketing earnings were also up by $0.5 million and other corporate costs were lower than last year by $1.2 million. Net economic earnings per share of $0.44 was $0.11 or 33% higher than last year. With the current year calculation factoring in the $4.7 million share increase due to the two recent equity offerings that I’ll touch on in a moment. With that as a backdrop, let’s review the income statement, turning to the next slide. For the quarter, total operating revenues were nearly $324,000, up 30% from last year due principally to higher commodity cost and the addition of EnergySouth. Contribution margin was up 18% overall and 13% or nearly $24 million for the Gas Utility segment. EnergySouth accounted for just under $13 million of that increase, meaning that the margin for the remaining utilities was $11 million or 6% higher than last year. That increase reflects higher Missouri ISRS revenues of $4 million as well as lower Alabama regulatory adjustments of $5 million for quarterly RSE true ups and the sharing of cost savings. Gas Marketing operating revenues for the quarter were up $3.1 million as both higher volumes and higher commodity prices were partially offset by a higher mix of trading activity, which is recorded net of cost. Contribution margin was higher by $7.8 million, primarily due to greater spreads and increased asset optimization. Looking at our operating expenses, all categories are higher this year, with most of the increases except for fuel costs, reflecting the addition of EnergySouth. I'll focus my comments on variances after that addition. Gas Utility operations and maintenance expenses increased slightly $1.2 million as higher professional services and employee related cost in Missouri were offset impart by lower Alagasco expenses. Higher capital spending over the last year drove net increases in both depreciation and amortization expense, as well as the property tax component of taxes other than income. Gas Marketing operating expenses were lower by $4.4 million as a higher mix of trading activity more than offset that higher volumes and commodity prices. Interest expense was up $700,000, reflecting higher rates on short-term debt. And finally income tax expense was higher reflecting higher pre-tax income, importantly the effective tax rate was a bit lower this quarter due to both return to provision adjustments typical of this quarter each year and to record the one-time tax benefit of roughly $1 million on equity compensation. Note that our year-to-date effective tax rate remains within guidance as expected in the low to mid-30% range. On slide 10 you’ll see the results for the first nine months for fiscal year. Net economic earnings were up nearly $15 million or 9% and per share earnings of $3.82 a share was up 8% from last year or $0.08 from last year even with the increase in shares. Gas Utility earnings increased nearly $17 million or 10% driven by the addition of EnergySouth as well as higher earnings from both our Missouri utilities and Alagasco. We achieved this increase despite adverse weather during the winter hitting season that reduced our contribution margin by nearly $20 million compared to normal weather or $10 million compared to last year. This impact was more than offset by the benefits of higher ISRS in Missouri and lower regulatory adjustments in Alabama. Gas Marketing earnings were down $800,000 from last year reflecting lower contribution margin, primarily due to lower storage optimization. And other corporate cost which reflect higher interest expense principally from the addition of EnergySouth. The quality of our earnings remains very high with earnings before interest, income tax, depreciation and amortization, up 11% from last year to $440 million as shown here on slide 11. Our long-term capitalization at the end of the third quarter was 51.3% equity, representing 150 basis point improvement since the end of the last fiscal year. This improvement reflects the capital markets activity that I discussed last quarter, which resulted in a $142 million increase in equity and a nearly $144 million decrease in long-term debt. And as a reminder, Laclede Gas has committed to fund $170 million in first mortgage bonds later this quarter, where we use those proceeds to pay down short-term debt. We also have ample liquidity from our credit facilities and our commercial paper program. At quarter end our short-term debt stood at $451 million this level will decrease with the proceeds from Laclede Gas debt, whipping [ph] overall unused capacity of roughly 71% about typical for this time of year in comparable over last year. As you know one of the important uses of our cash flow is for our dividend. I'm pleased to report that our Board of Directors declared the next quarterly dividend of $0.525 per share payable on October 3rd. We’re in our 14th consecutive year of increasing dividends and this year’s annualized dividend is 7% above last year’s run rate. As Susanne noted we continue to execute on our growth plans and as part of those plans infrastructure upgrades remains a top priority. As you can see here on slide 12 we continue to ramp up our capital investments, which increased to nearly $300 million in the first nine months of the year, up $104 million or 53% from last year. Our spend continue to be driven by infrastructure upgrades and new business at our Missouri utilities and Alagasco, as well as the incremental spend added by EnergySouth and the Spire STL pipeline. In fact if we consider our regulatory recovery mechanisms the margins associated with new business and the AFUDC from our pipeline investment nearly 98% of our spend so far this year is being recovered with minimal regulatory lag or is adding to earnings in the near-term. Our targeted capital investment for 2017 remains $445 million and over the five year period through 2021 we anticipate spending $2.3 billion. Most of that spend is being driven by infrastructure upgrade programs at our utilities, programs that will stretch for roughly 20 years. We also have good regulatory recovery mechanisms that will ensure that roughly 85% of our spend is expected to be recovered with minimal regulatory lag or reflected in earnings. Turning to slide 13, a quick update on our Missouri rate proceedings, as a reminder we filed two concurrent rate cases in April with net increases to customers of just over $25 million or 4% for Laclede Gas and $34 million or 8% for MGE. These net amounts reflect the most recent ISRS rates effective June 1st and as proposed our customers on both sides of the state would have bills slower than 10 years ago. The filings also reflect the significant progress both from a company and our customer perspective as we upgraded our infrastructure, deployed technology and streamline processes. It also sets the stage to more closely align our two Missouri utilities and offers the opportunity to begin modernizing Missouri’s rate setting approach. Our filed rate basis of just over $2 billion represent compound annual growth rates of between 6.4% of Laclede and 9.6% in MGE. And our filing is based upon the Laclede Gas capital structure, which we anticipate being roughly 54% equity at the end of the September update period. Here at the bottom of slide 14 is the procedural schedule based on the full 11 month process. As you can see we’re currently in the discovery phase during which we respond to information request from Missouri Public Service Commission staff and other parties as they prepare to file their testimony in September. Now turning to our outlook, first we reaffirm our 2017 earnings range of $3.50 to $3.60 per share. In fact given our strong third quarter results we now expect to land in the upper half of that range. Our guidance fully reflects the impact of the increase in shares from the recent equity offerings both the 2.5 million share offering we issued in April of this year from the conversion of our equity units. And the 2.2 million shares we issued last May to support the EnergySouth acquisition. Our long-term earnings per share growth target remains 4% to 6%, a target that reflects as Susanne mentioned our organic growth and investment growth initiatives and is not predicated on additional utility acquisitions. That growth is supported by our five year capital investment program totaling $2.3 billion. And as you can see here on slide 15 our capital spend is fairly evenly split between our two Missouri utilities and Alabama, and again supported by long term upgrade programs of roughly 20 years in length. One more thought about guidance, over the last five years we’ve seen a pretty dramatic improvement in our ability to deliver both timely and useful information to our investors. We launched earnings calls and short-term capital investment guidance. Along the way we added long-term growth in capital spend targets and in November 2014 we launched formal annual earnings guidance. As we look forward to this November we think it’s best to delay launching earnings per share guidance for fiscal year 2018 given the timing of our Missouri rate cases. We’ll plan to pick it up again after the proceedings are complete likely in our fiscal second quarter. So in summary, we delivered a strong third quarter and we’ve upgraded our view for the current year. We remain on track with our infrastructure investment plans and our financial position remains strong. With that Suzanne I’ll turn it back over to you.