Earnings Labs

Stoneridge, Inc. (SRI)

Q3 2016 Earnings Call· Thu, Oct 27, 2016

$6.23

-0.64%

Key Takeaways · AI generated
AI summary not yet generated for this transcript. Generation in progress for older transcripts; check back soon, or browse the full transcript below.

Same-Day

+1.89%

1 Week

+1.61%

1 Month

+12.75%

vs S&P

+9.11%

Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Stoneridge Third Quarter 2016 Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-session and instructions will follow at that time. [Operator Instructions] Now, it is my pleasure to hand the conference over to Mr. Ken Kure, Corporate Treasurer and Director of Finance. Sir, you may begin.

Kenneth Kure

Analyst

Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us on our call today for the third quarter. The release and accompanying presentation has been filed by the SEC, and it’s posted to our website at www.stoneridge.com in the investor section. Joining me on today’s call are Jon DeGaynor, our President and Chief Executive Officer; George Strickler, our Executive Vice President and Bob Krakowiak, Chief Financial Officer, who recently joined Stoneridge in late August. Before we begin, I need to inform you that certain statements today may be forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements include those statements that are not historical in nature and include information concerning our future results or plans. Although we believe that such statements are based upon reasonable assumptions, you should understand that these statements are subject to risks and uncertainties and actual results may differ materially. Additional information about such factors and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ maybe found in our 10-K with the Securities and Exchange Commission under the heading, Forward-Looking Statements. During today’s call, we’ll also be referring to certain non-GAAP financial measures. Please see the Investor Relations section of our website for a reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures. After Jon and George had finished their formal remarks, we’ll then open up the call to questions. With that, I’ll turn the call over to Jon.

Jon DeGaynor

Analyst · Stephens. Your question, please

Thanks Ken and good morning everyone. Before I begin my remarks on the quarter, I’d like to welcome Bob Krakowiak to Stoneridge as our Chief Financial Officer. Bob brings a strong combination of financial expertise and related industry experience. Bob will be a valuable addition to our team as we continue to build on our financial strength and pursue long-term global growth opportunities for Stoneridge. At the same time, I want to thank George Strickler for all of his contributions to the company since becoming CFO in 2006. For more than 10 years, George has played a critical role in shaping the company’s business and financial strategy during a period of great challenge and transformation. He’s been a strong partner with me during my 10 year and I’m confident that his contributions to the success of Stoneridge will continue in his new role as he leads strategic projects supporting the company’s organic and inorganic growth initiatives. Earlier this morning, we released strong results for the third quarter. Our company continues to execute well and I’m pleased with our continued progress on our key metrics during the quarter. On Page 3, let me briefly cover our third quarter and year-to-date consolidated 2016 results. Sales were $174 million for the quarter and 523 million year-to-date. Net income was 10 million for the quarter and 29 million year-to-date. Earnings per share of 36% for the quarter and $1.03 year-to-date and our balance sheet remains strong with cash and debt of $51 million and $105 million respectively. Based on the current market outlook, we are revising our sales guidance to reflect softness in the North American passenger car and CV markets. However, based on our performance, we are reaffirming our full year guidance for gross margin, operating margin, EBITDA and earnings per share. We…

George Strickler

Analyst · Stephens. Your question, please

Thank you, Jon. And thank you for the kind words of acknowledgment. It has been my privilege to serve the shareholders of Stoneridge and to work with our outstanding global team. I would also like to thank Ken Kure, for his effects in develop in the Treasury and financial planning, corporate development IR growth of Stoneridge. His 18 years of dedication experience with company will be missed. As Bob just recently joined Stoneridge, I will cover the financial performance to Stoneridge during the third quarter, but Bob will be available for the Q&A portion of discussion. Stoneridge reported strong earnings per share from continuing operations of $0.36 per share in the third quarter of this year, compared to earnings per share from continuing operations at $0.27 per share in the third quarter of last year. An improvement of $0.09 per share, an increase of 33% on the combined strength of North America Control Device, automotive performance, European commercial vehicle performance for Electronics segment and improving financial results of PST over the third quarter of 2016. The financial results were achieved by growing our top-line sales and maintaining key costs, direct labor, manufacturing overhead and SG&A expense slightly above the 2015 levels. Passenger car and light truck revenues were 90.4 million in the third quarter, a 26.6% increase over the third quarter of last year of 56.6 million as volumes increased in Control Device products which included new programs primarily through shift-by-wire. In addition the North America passenger car market continued to show growth in the third quarter of 2016, compared to the third quarter of last year. By business unit, sales in the third quarter increased to Control Devices by 16.7 million or 19.2%, in the lower Electronics by 2.9 million in comparison to the last year, with sales of…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from the line of Justin Long with Stephens. Your question, please.

Justin Long

Analyst · Stephens. Your question, please

Thanks and good morning, guys.

Jon DeGaynor

Analyst · Stephens. Your question, please

Good morning.

George Strickler

Analyst · Stephens. Your question, please

Good morning, Justin.

Justin Long

Analyst · Stephens. Your question, please

So you mentioned North America being the driver to the revenue guidance reduction but could you talk about how much of that reduction was related to light vehicle versus commercial vehicle and looking into next year, do you anticipate the headwinds linger into at least the early part of next year.

Jon DeGaynor

Analyst · Stephens. Your question, please

Well, Justin, couple of things. It is if you look at our history from a revenue guidance over here we modified - we modified our guidance once before for the commercial vehicle softness. This most recent change is primarily for light vehicle and primarily for one or two key customers. We continue to. It is pretty dynamic. Right now and we continue to watch that both for the balance of the year and into next year but we are - we are confident in the performance of the business and we continue to watch as our customers modify their own schedules.

George Strickler

Analyst · Stephens. Your question, please

And Justin, in light of that too is that we’ve as we’ve done all year we continue to leverage our cost structures there are profitability continues to run in the range that we always said in their annual guidance. And that’s why Jon very early in our in our speech or [indiscernible] this morning we reiterated that our performance will be the high-end of our range of EPS for the year.

Justin Long

Analyst · Stephens. Your question, please

Okay. That’s helpful color. Secondly, it’s nice to see the continued improvement in PST, and I was wondering if you could share any additional insight on how you’re thinking about the potential for that business in 2017 from both the top line and margin perspective.

Jon DeGaynor

Analyst · Stephens. Your question, please

I think George and I were just there, actually a week and a half ago, Justin. And while we don’t see huge economic upsides in the near term, well what we see is a business that is effectively sized now appropriately to win at much lower revenue levels. So we had a trough [ph] in January and we have seen sort of limited but sequential month-over-month include improvements in sales. We’re excited about what 2017 pretends for them from a sales growth perspective. But probably more importantly, I’m really thrilled with their operating performance and what they’ve done but the quarter, if you if you broke it down, we see month-over-month progress at the bottom line and that continues through the balance of the year and into next year. So this is a business that can deliver strong returns for Stoneridge, at a much slower sales level and we see the sales coming up. So we think that they can convert both on the top line and on the bottom line.

George Strickler

Analyst · Stephens. Your question, please

And just and they’re doing a great job in their cash flow their working capitals come down, inventory will be the lowest level, it’s been in three years. And they have room for opportunity in 2017. So we continue to reduce our debt in the eliminate the high cost at so we’re making great progress there. And we indicated we’d be near break even though we actually had a slight sit in the third quarter and we will perform in the range between 3% and 4% up operating earnings, on a dollar basis in the fourth quarter so the plans that we laid out over two quarters ago here at holding in Brazil at the current economic conditions that we’re experiencing.

Justin Long

Analyst · Stephens. Your question, please

Great. That’s a good to hear. And I guess my last question was on the pipeline for new business, George you listed a variety of different product then I know you’re going out and marketing and trying to tell the customers. I believe you mentioned MirrorEye potentially being a new contract opportunity in the next quarter or two. What are the other opportunities where you think you could see contracts materialize in the mid near term.

Jon DeGaynor

Analyst · Stephens. Your question, please

Yeah, Justin, this is Jon. Let me - let me take that. We do think that we should have something MirrorEye I if not by the end of the year early in 2017, the set something business we talked about want to word of $9 million but there are two that are right after that, that we see being able to talk about both in Q4 and in Q1. And we look at that product line alone is probably one $100 million business opportunity for us. So there are Telematics programs that we continue to pursue, there are additional actuation programs that we continue to pursue including some takeover activities from existing customers. And then the new technologies that we talked about with MirrorEye, the sub sensing and also the ELV [ph] business which is just really getting started in and we launched that product at the ATA show three weeks ago in Las Vegas.

George Strickler

Analyst · Stephens. Your question, please

And I think we announced in the second quarter, Justin is that we’ve landed for new businesses in our electronics in Europe. That will build in the net new business for 2017. So we feel pretty good about where we’re at in all the new activity in the products that we have to offer.

Justin Long

Analyst · Stephens. Your question, please

All right. Good to hear. I will leave it at that. Appreciate it the time this morning.

George Strickler

Analyst · Stephens. Your question, please

Thanks, Justin.

Jon DeGaynor

Analyst · Stephens. Your question, please

You’re welcome, Justin.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from line of Christopher Van Horn with FBR & Company. Your questions, please.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · Christopher Van Horn with FBR & Company. Your questions, please

Hi, this is Dan Droba [ph] on the line for Chris. Good morning, guys.

Jon DeGaynor

Analyst · Christopher Van Horn with FBR & Company. Your questions, please

Good morning.

George Strickler

Analyst · Christopher Van Horn with FBR & Company. Your questions, please

Good morning.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · Christopher Van Horn with FBR & Company. Your questions, please

So I was wondering if you could potentially size up the time factor is that more moving control devices this quarter up double-digit sales growth. But can you me a sense of what’s - what sort of the fewer volume versus why maybe as new business versus what you had in the third quarter of 2015.

Jon DeGaynor

Analyst · Christopher Van Horn with FBR & Company. Your questions, please

Well, the movement in control devices or is primarily controlled or is shipped by wire and as you know Dan that product really started as early as 2014. So sequentially it’s been building on relative platforms where the customers are and as we mentioned before we’ve moved from the original Taurus [ph] link into the Taurus [ph] and now the Fusion and that’s all their program is also becoming global not only in North America but in China. So that evolution and there’s been some impact and some this weakness in some of the platforms with Ford [ph] issue. You well aware but our progress continues to be very strong in that shift-by-wire and exemplified by their sales increase this quarter for almost 19%. So, we continue to see that move forward for the fourth quarter and in 2017.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · Christopher Van Horn with FBR & Company. Your questions, please

Sure. Thanks for that. On shift-by-wire, how is the market shaping up there in terms of the next couple of years? I think you guys have talked, you guys said that you guys are in conversations with several OEMs, is there any new developments on that?

Jon DeGaynor

Analyst · Christopher Van Horn with FBR & Company. Your questions, please

Well, Dan, as we talked before the follow-on to that is the hybrid protocol [ph] where it goes beyond just the current vehicle transmissions and the current vehicle architectures. We have one business award with that. We continue to pursue additional opportunities. But today we don't have any additional awards, but we're talking to - we're talking to other customers there. And I believe that the success that we're having in our ramp up and the relative success with those both of our primary customers, gives us credibility to go get those follow-on programs with those customers, as well as others.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · Christopher Van Horn with FBR & Company. Your questions, please

Okay. Great. Thank you. Then I wanted to turn the mirror real quickly. So, you mentioned that you have some potential to get retrofit business ahead of those OEM - ahead of the OEM launch timing. Can you sort of give us a sense of the scale of that? Would these cars sort of more be prototypes? Are we talking larger scale retrofitting?

Jon DeGaynor

Analyst · Christopher Van Horn with FBR & Company. Your questions, please

Well, the starting point on this, Dan, would be to do prototype trials for large fleets. But when you - when you talk about certain fleets that may buy a 100 or 200 trucks a month, the first thing that they want to do is they want to make sure that they're seeing the benefits. But the response that we've gotten is it far succeeds any - far exceeds anything that we would have expected. And so, we're working right now on a couple of plant trials. But we envision that probably in 2017 we can do something beyond some product trials with customers, but certainly in 2018.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · Christopher Van Horn with FBR & Company. Your questions, please

Okay. Great. Thank you. I will leave it there and step back in queue. I appreciate the comments.

Jon DeGaynor

Analyst · Christopher Van Horn with FBR & Company. Your questions, please

Thanks, Dan.

Robert Krakowiak

Analyst · Christopher Van Horn with FBR & Company. Your questions, please

Thanks, Dan.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Jimmy Baker with B. Riley and Company. Your questions, please.

Jimmy Baker

Analyst · B. Riley and Company. Your questions, please

Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking my questions.

Jon DeGaynor

Analyst · B. Riley and Company. Your questions, please

Good morning, Jimmy.

Jimmy Baker

Analyst · B. Riley and Company. Your questions, please

Just wanted to delve more into the soot sensor one actually, so was that an OEM or you are already selling to their CV division or did you break into a new OEM there? And just kind of how significant do you think European pass car could become for your control device business over time?

Jon DeGaynor

Analyst · B. Riley and Company. Your questions, please

Well, so the - Jimmy, this is actually the exciting thing about soot sensing, it's giving us a chance to penetrate customers that we have not had in the past, particularly for our control devices business. And the 100 million market opportunity that I mentioned to you that would all be - right now that would all be European. So, if you think about the conversation that we've had with regard to customer diversification and to regional diversification, that would behave a significant rotation with regard to control devices business balance between the North American region and the European region. The program win that we mentioned to you would be launched - will be launched in our Tallin, Estonia facility and we expect to have that this won't be the only win that we’ll be talking to you about in subsequent quarters.

Jimmy Baker

Analyst · B. Riley and Company. Your questions, please

Okay. Great. The - if we think about your current revenue guidance versus what it was, let's say, back the last time you updated the net new business, multi-year net new business outlook, I think this year's revenue was down about $36 million at the midpoint. So, can you just help us frame that in terms of the impact to 2017? In other words, did you have any delays that might actually help ‘17 any cancellations that would hurt or is it just really end markets customer leases performing worse than your initial forecast?

Jon DeGaynor

Analyst · B. Riley and Company. Your questions, please

Jimmy, we have no losses in terms of business. What we really have is sort of an adjusting pass car market in North America. We've always provided for the commercial drop as you know in the North America side. What we're seeing is some softness in the fourth quarter with at least one customer, potentially two. We've adjusted that guidance when it dropped by $15 million. This is really wrapped around that. We are still evaluating 2017. We're going through our planning process now. So, we're not really providing any insight into ‘17 yet until we have a real good chance to understand where the market is moving. But some of what we see is really adjusting inventory level positions as opposed to taking future demand out of the schedule. So, that’s the issue that we really have to address and understand before we come out. But as you know, going into ‘17, we have a nice new business uplift. It's around $34 million. And we've alluded to some of the new wins we have in the third and fourth quarter. So, I think we still have lift coming in ‘17 from our net new business and we’ll evaluate the current trends we're seeing with our - especially our pass car customers in North America.

Jimmy Baker

Analyst · B. Riley and Company. Your questions, please

Okay, understood. Just last question and apologize if you already went over this. But the revenue guide comes down, but your margin guidance is unchanged, which would seem to imply that earnings should be down, but instead not only the earnings guide unchanged, but you almost effectively guided it up as you now see it at the high end of the range. So, there's something going on below the line that's allowing you to affect and almost raise the earnings guide?

Jon DeGaynor

Analyst · B. Riley and Company. Your questions, please

Well, I think it's a lot of things, Jimmy, and I think it's - one of the things that's becoming very clear within Stoneridge is that we're working on driving productivity, especially at the direct labor and overhead level. So, we're seeing improvement at the gross margin level even on the lower sales. So, it's not really an issue of mix. It's more an issue of what we're doing to drive costs there. We've been able to leverage our SG&A and D&D costs. So, we're getting more out of those effects of expenses that we're making. And so - and we've been driving that all year. You've seen our earnings per share percentages of op income and gross margin continue to increase. So, this is more a reflection of that continued improvement that we’ve been driving in the second and the third quarter. We see it continuing in the fourth quarter. So, even on lower sales we expect our earnings percent to sales and EPS to be at the high end of our reported range and guidance for the year.

Jimmy Baker

Analyst · B. Riley and Company. Your questions, please

Understood. So, it's both the margin and the earnings that are tracking towards about the high end, if I heard that correctly?

Robert Krakowiak

Analyst · B. Riley and Company. Your questions, please

It’s performance in the business, not - not stuff below the line.

Jimmy Baker

Analyst · B. Riley and Company. Your questions, please

Sure. Okay. Very helpful. Thanks a lot for the time.

Robert Krakowiak

Analyst · B. Riley and Company. Your questions, please

You are welcome. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. There are no further questions in queue. So, at this time I would like to hand the call back over to Jon DeGaynor, Chief Executive Officer for closing comments or remarks. Sir?

Jon DeGaynor

Analyst · Stephens. Your question, please

In closing, I just want to reiterate that we're pleased with the performance of the business in the quarter and we're confident in our ability to continue to deliver strong performance against all of the key metrics. We're focused on meeting our commitments as a management team and we're excited about the growth opportunities that are represented. Stoneridge has been committed to driving shareholder value and that focus will remain at the forefront of everything that we do. I'm proud of the work that everyone at Stonehenge has done during the quarter to drive our vision and I see significant long-term opportunity for our employees, customers, and shareholders as we continue to drive strong growth by investing in our core products, as well as in strategic opportunities to diversify both our customer and geographic footprints. I thank you all for joining us today and I look forward to speaking to you next quarter.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your participation on today's conference. This does conclude the program and you may all disconnect. Everybody, have a wonderful day.