Earnings Labs

Stoneridge, Inc. (SRI)

Q2 2018 Earnings Call· Thu, Aug 2, 2018

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day ladies and gentlemen and welcome. Thank you for standing by and welcome to Stoneridge, Second Quarter 2018 Conference Call. At this time all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later we will conduct a question-and-answer session and instructions will follow at that time. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference call maybe recorded. At this time I would like to turn the conference over to Mr. Matt Horvath, Director of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir.

Matt Horvath

Analyst

Great, thank you. Good morning everyone and thank you for joining us to discuss our second quarter results. The release and accompanying presentation was filed with the SEC yesterday evening and is posted on our website at www.stoneridge.com in the Investors section under Webcasts & Presentations. Joining me on today’s call are Jon DeGaynor, our President and Chief Executive Officer; and Bob Krakowiak, our Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, I need to inform you that certain statements today may be forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements include statements that are not historical in nature and include information concerning our future results or plans. Although we believe that such statements are based upon reasonable assumptions, you should understand that these statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially. Additional information about such factors and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ may be found in our 10-Q which has been filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission under the heading Forward-Looking Statements. During today’s call we will also be referring to certain non-GAAP financial measures. Please see the appendix for a reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures. After Jon and Bob have finished their formal remarks, we will then open up the call to questions. I would ask that you keep your questions to a single follow-up. With that, I will turn the call over to Jon.

Jon DeGaynor

Analyst · Stephens. Your line is open

Thanks Matt and good morning everyone. Yesterday evening we released our results for the second quarter, in which we delivered another quarter of strong financial performance. Let me begin on page three with a summary of the quarter. Our second quarter sales of approximately $221 million resulted in a gross margin of 30.6% and an adjusted operating margin of 9.1%. Adjusted EPS for the quarter was $0.55, an increase of $0.13 or 33% relative to the second quarter of last year. Each of our segments contributed to our success during the quarter, delivering adjusted operating margin performance that exceeded the prior quarter. Control Devices continue to drive operational performance, resulting in gross margin expansion of 130 basis points over the prior quarter, which translated to continued adjusted operating margin improvement for the segment. Electronics, with a continued focus on engineering efficiency and SG&A leverage delivered adjusted operating margin improvement of 30 basis points over the first quarter and 220 basis points over the second quarter of last year. PST delivered adjusted operating margin expansion of approximately 160 basis points relative to the first quarter of the year. More specifically, in Control Devices revenue growth was offset by temporary reductions in customer production volumes in China and uncertain key platforms in North America. Gross margin improved as we continued to address the production and efficiencies that we discussed on the last call. The gross margin expansion was somewhat offset by additional expenses targeted at developing the technologies and products that will deliver future growth. Overall, adjusted operating margin expanded by 20 basis points relative to the first quarter. Electronics revenue increased by 22% quarter-over-quarter as the global commercial vehicle and off highway markets remain robust and our recently launched driver information system and connectivity products continue to ramp up. Improved D&D…

Bob Krakowiak

Analyst · Stephens. Your line is open

Thanks Jon. Turn to slide nine. Net sales in the second quarter were $220.6 million, an increase of 5% relative to the second quarter of 2017. Adjusted operating income of $20.1 million or 9.1% of sales represented an 8% increase over the same period last year. I will discuss the financial performance of each segment of the subsequent slides. This morning we are maintaining our previously provided guidance range for 2018. As Jon discussed, we continue to drive performance in each segment resulting in margin progression. Our outlook for the remainder of the year is impacted by several external factors, including customer volume adjustments, currency fluctuations and recently announced tariffs. Based on these external factors we are guiding to the lower end of our range. Page 10 summarizes the key financial metrics in both the year-over-year and quarter-to-quarter periods specific to Control Devices. Control Devices sales decreased by 3% relative to the second quarter of last year. Continued growth in certain actuation and emissions products was more than offset by temporary decline in volumes on some of our customers key passenger car and light truck platforms in North America and China. For the full year we’re expecting total license revenue to remain relatively flat as compared to 2017. As we discussed on the first quarter call, Control Devices operating margin in the first quarter was adversely impacted by production inefficiencies. During the second quarter we were able to effectively address those issues resulting in gross margin expansion of approximately 130 basis points for the segment relative to the first quarter. Gross margin expansion was somewhat offset by SG&A, engineering investments to ensure efficient production processes going forward and position the segment for continued top and bottom line growth. Overall, operating margin expanded by approximately 20 basis points relative to the…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions]. And our first question comes from Justin Long with Stephens. Your line is open.

Justin Long

Analyst · Stephens. Your line is open

Thanks and good morning.

Jon DeGaynor

Analyst · Stephens. Your line is open

Good morning, Justin.

Justin Long

Analyst · Stephens. Your line is open

So on that volume reduction you discussed in North America and China, I was wondering if you could give some more color on the timing. Is this a headwind that you expect to impact both the third and fourth quarter by an equal amount, and is this something we should be thinking about as a headwind that persists into 2019 or is there potential for this to be temporary?

Jon DeGaynor

Analyst · Stephens. Your line is open

Hey Justin, thanks for your question. As we talked about in our prepared remarks, we look at these as much more temporary as our customers adjusting their inventories and adjusting to the market places in which they compete. As we’ve said regularly, we will look at a variety of forecasting sources, all of our backlogs and all of our calculations are foundations on IHS, but we look at a variety of other sources. And at this point we don’t see this as a long-term balance in the year 2019, 2020 view, but more as the customers are adjusting and therefore we had to react to that and we will react to those if more adjustments come, but we look at it more as a temporary, not a long term.

Justin Long

Analyst · Stephens. Your line is open

Okay, great. That's helpful to clarify and maybe as my follow-up, I wanted to ask about the expected level of outperformance in the business this year. If you were to look at your revenue and you're talking about 6% plus growth versus your weighted in-market build rate, what’s the level of outperformance you are expecting in 2018 and longer term, has there been any change to our out growth objective?

Jon DeGaynor

Analyst · Stephens. Your line is open

Well, from a longer term standpoint, there certainly hasn’t been a change to our objectives and we talk often about the backlog that we have and the progress that we are making there. Certainly business wins that we talked about in the call reinforce our confidence in our longer term objectives. We still are 100% confident that this business over the planning cycle will outperform our end markets by two to three times and I think it's important note Justin that while we talk a lot about what's happening with passenger car markets, because our exposure is pretty diverse between passenger car, light truck and then also the commercial vehicle and off highway markets, it gives us the chance to offset headwinds in one space with maybe some progress or outperformance in other places.

Bob Krakowiak

Analyst · Stephens. Your line is open

Yeah Justin, I would just add to that. I mean just looking at some of the data. If you look at North America passenger car production, I believe the forecast is for the years up seven-tenths and then you look at Europe commercial vehicle production for the full year the forecast is up 2.8%. So if you do kind of a weighted mix of primary end markets, we’re basically where we said we would be in the two to three times, the underlying market growth for the year.

Justin Long

Analyst · Stephens. Your line is open

Okay, great, that's helpful. I'll go ahead and pass it on. I appreciate the time.

A - Bob Krakowiak

Analyst · Stephens. Your line is open

Thanks Justin.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Scott Stember with CL King. Your line is open, go ahead please.

Scott Stember

Analyst · CL King. Your line is open, go ahead please

Good morning gentlemen.

Jon DeGaynor

Analyst · CL King. Your line is open, go ahead please

Good morning, Scott.

Bob Krakowiak

Analyst · CL King. Your line is open, go ahead please

Good morning, Scott.

Scott Stember

Analyst · CL King. Your line is open, go ahead please

Can you maybe just talk about MirrorEye, a couple of things. It sounds like you're still pretty optimistic about this business. Last quarter you seemed pretty comfortable or pretty optimistic that we would get you know federal regulatory approval here in the U.S. Do you still feel that way?

Jon DeGaynor

Analyst · CL King. Your line is open, go ahead please

Yeah, we do Scott and as we talked on the last call, obviously it's a government approval that we need to get. There's a period of time and a period of challenge that goes along with that. That 90 days is coming to an end here in the middle of August. We will make sure that we communicate appropriately once we get an official answer, but based on what we've seen throughout the process, we are as confident as we were when we submitted the proposal for an exemption, we’re as confident as we were then, that we will get it. The other aspect of this is the feedback and the support that we've gotten from the fleets that have been in our initial trials, as well as some of the safety leaders in the Trucking Alliance and the American Trucking Associations, give us confidence that there's going to be a poll for this from the end consumer in the North American market and that continues to add to our confidence in the product.

Scott Stember

Analyst · CL King. Your line is open, go ahead please

Okay, and maybe just touching base on with MirrorEye related to the retrofit with fleets; obviously that seems like it's a disproportionate opportunity versus the OEM side. How does that layer in? Is that in your guidance for this year and maybe just talk about the overall opportunity from that as you continue to you know roll this out to fleets.

A - Jon DeGaynor

Analyst · CL King. Your line is open, go ahead please

Yeah, so Scotty, I think it's important to clarify that the revenue impact and therefore the issue while it’s related to guidance in 2018 for retrofits is relatively material. You were talking about thousands of systems, not tens or hundreds of thousands of systems. But the important aspect of this and why we continue to talk about it in 2018 is it will create – it will expand the market poll. It'll drive the credibility of the product and accelerate what we believe as the overall adoption of the product and it'll build a lot more confidence in the robustness of the technology. You know what we’re seeing through the first million miles, it has been incredibly positive with great feedback from the fleets, but as we expand and do more of the fleet trials, we believe that that poll and the confidence will accelerate, certainly when you've got vehicles that are pieces of production equipment. We want to make sure that we are providing absolutely robust product and so these fleet trials are more about – the expansion on fleet trials are less about getting near term revenue than it is making sure that our product is absolutely robust is something that will be well adopted by the fleets and we create a longer term poll for the product.

Bob Krakowiak

Analyst · CL King. Your line is open, go ahead please

Yes, so Scott, I’ll just add a couple of things to that. The first one is, you know so we did talk – we are launching the program late this year, so obviously there is, you know there is a ramp up with ramping up the program and we have said ultimately that we believe that the retrofit market is $100 million market opportunity for Stoneridge.

Scott Stember

Analyst · CL King. Your line is open, go ahead please

Got it. And just last question on tariffs, maybe if you could just get a bit more granular. Obviously it sounds like 301 and 232 are the two areas that have hit you guys, whether it's like you said directly or indirectly. What are some of the things that you can do with your supply chain to mitigate that and just give us a flavor of that you know as we head into the end of the year, and that's all I had. Thank you.

Jon DeGaynor

Analyst · CL King. Your line is open, go ahead please

Yes Scott, thanks for the follow-up question. Our totals – first, our overall strategy is to try to make them buy in the region in which we sell; that’s our overall strategy. There certainly are things where in our supply chain the sources of supply will be there for electronics, will be there for certain learning activities or for other things, because there's only certain places from where we can buy them. As this tariff situation is the dynamic situation, so we wouldn't immediately start changing around our supply chain until things stabilize a little bit further, but what we know we can do is there are other locations where we can buy from. We can look at how we ship product and where and into which manufacturing facilities we ship them. So there are levers that we can pull, but we wouldn't start pulling those immediately until we start to see the current level of permanency of the cost impacts of the tariffs.

Scott Stember

Analyst · CL King. Your line is open, go ahead please

Got it, that’s all I have. Thanks again.

Jon DeGaynor

Analyst · CL King. Your line is open, go ahead please

Thank you, Scott.

Bob Krakowiak

Analyst · CL King. Your line is open, go ahead please

Thank you, Scott.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Christopher Van Horn with B. Riley. Your line is open, go ahead please.

Christopher Van Horn

Analyst · B. Riley. Your line is open, go ahead please

Good morning, thanks for taking my call.

Jon DeGaynor

Analyst · B. Riley. Your line is open, go ahead please

Good morning, Chris.

Christopher Van Horn

Analyst · B. Riley. Your line is open, go ahead please

I was wondering if you could elaborate a little bit more on electronics now that we have a order. Are you taking [audio gap] of this new customer wins that’s driving a lot of the growth, any more detail.

Jon DeGaynor

Analyst · B. Riley. Your line is open, go ahead please

Yeah, so Chris as we talked over the last couple of quarters, we are winning business, both extension business, the one that we talked about here is with an existing customer; in the last quarter it was a discussion of wins with new customers. What we're saying with regard to electronics is we are very confident and comfortable with the product portfolio that we have there, with the depths of the customer relationships that we have there and the competitiveness of our products, which is giving us the ability to win in all of the segments within electronics and you're seeing it both in the historical electronic business, as well as with Orlaco. And as Bob talked about, this quarter-over-quarter comparison is all organic. So it's not having a difference in the year-over-year with the addition of Orlaco. Its growth in Orlaco and growth in the base electronics business that you're seeing in this quarter.

Christopher Van Horn

Analyst · B. Riley. Your line is open, go ahead please

Okay, got it.

Bob Krakowiak

Analyst · B. Riley. Your line is open, go ahead please

I would just add to that Chris that if you look at our businesses and the trends in the overall industry, with respect to connectivity and driver information and safety, we feel like we're positioned extremely well. You know you're very familiar with the growth rates of those markets and we’re in a great position to take advantage of those markets with our technology portfolio.

Christopher Van Horn

Analyst · B. Riley. Your line is open, go ahead please

Okay, good, makes sense. And then on PST obviously there’s some macro headwinds there, but you've been able to you know expand margins in light of it. I'm just curious, if things kind of stay where they are, do you have additional leverage you can pull to kind of keep the margin where it is or you know it is – you know what's the state of it there.

Jon DeGaynor

Analyst · B. Riley. Your line is open, go ahead please

Well, if you look at the operating margin of PST currently, we're actually pretty proud of what they've done without having any significant level of top line growth and the team and in Brazil has some very good job of pulling levers. There are still more things to do, but the most exciting thing for me and I believe for the organization is the fact that now we can start to rotate this business with the OE business wins and it drives organic growth without just requiring the Brazilian market, the Brazilian economy to get stronger. The truck market there is strong and we're winning business which is going to allow us to grow organically, without having to just tie with the economy in Brazil. And that tells you about the progress that’s been made in that business and it tells you about the trust that our customers have in Stoneridge to be able to execute globally.

Christopher Van Horn

Analyst · B. Riley. Your line is open, go ahead please

Got it, and just to follow-on what you said, because you have a new win in Brazil on the trucking side. Have you looked at kind of the addressable market opportunity for driver information in the Brazil market and any qualification there?

A - Jon DeGaynor

Analyst · B. Riley. Your line is open, go ahead please

Well, I don't have the details specifically at the driver information system level, but if you assume that it is the seventh largest market, it is for many of our customers; it may be their largest non-European based market. We see that the opportunity for growth at PST will be – we’re not talking about percentage points growth for PST over the next planning period, we're talking about significant growth at PST. I don't have a driver information system number for you, but we see the opportunity to really transform PST over the next three to five years.

A - Bob Krakowiak

Analyst · B. Riley. Your line is open, go ahead please

Yeah, because we can do some work to quantify that and get back to the investors on that?

Christopher Van Horn

Analyst · B. Riley. Your line is open, go ahead please

Okay, thanks a lot guys. I appreciate the time.

A - Jon DeGaynor

Analyst · B. Riley. Your line is open, go ahead please

Thank Chris.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And our next question comes from Gary Prestopino with Barrington Research. Your line is open.

Gary Prestopino

Analyst · Barrington Research. Your line is open

Good morning. Most of my questions have been answered, but Bob can we get an idea of what kind of tax rate we should use going forward for modeling?

Bob Krakowiak

Analyst · Barrington Research. Your line is open

Absolutely, yes. So we've provided guidance for the full year for a range of 20% to 25%. You know you have seen that you know we've benefited from very strong performance with respect to the tax rate for the first half of the year and I do have to give some kudos to our tax team here. We’ve brought in a new team a year ago and they've taken a pressurized approach and they have found real cash tax savings for the company and we're thrilled with the job that Joe on the team are doing. So you know we have seen a benefit from that in the first half of the year. As we go on, obviously opportunities in terms of you know doing some of the things that we've done in the first half of the year, you know they become harder to find. So we are still comfortable with the guidance for the balance of the year in the 20% to 25% range.

Gary Prestopino

Analyst · Barrington Research. Your line is open

Okay. But it would seem that given your first two quarters here, it probably won't be 25 for the back half of the year, it should be something less.

Jon DeGaynor

Analyst · Barrington Research. Your line is open

So, what I would say to that is well obviously we're off to a good start and we’re very, very pleased with the performance in the first half. Really just what I said before is we can do this. In terms of the opportunity started getting smaller as we continue to work them down and you should see us move towards more of a regular rate going forward.

Gary Prestopino

Analyst · Barrington Research. Your line is open

Okay, and then in terms of the electronic you know, good growth there, all organic, your product portfolio, you think there's anything that specifically is driving it or is it just all across the board with connectivity and safety driver information.

A - Jon DeGaynor

Analyst · Barrington Research. Your line is open

Yes Gary, this is Jon, thanks for your question. What we're seeing is as the commercial vehicle OEs and the fleets, one tried to attract and retain drivers. The secondly one tried to increase the efficiency of their vehicles and increase the efficiency in how they manage their fleets. The importance of telematics, of connectivity of the driver information systems, as well as vision and safety, all of those are growing at outsized rates. And as we talk about it regularly, we don't need the commercial vehicle market to – we’re growing content, because we talked about a connectivity win on the last earnings call that was a content ad. Driver information system is a transformation of content. So we're able to drive growth through the content edition as the OEs and the fleets are trying to upgrade their trucks. So we see it across the electronics portfolio and we see it across the world.

Gary Prestopino

Analyst · Barrington Research. Your line is open

Okay, thank you.

A - Bob Krakowiak

Analyst · Barrington Research. Your line is open

You’re welcome. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you, and at this time I’m showing no further questions. I would like to turn the call back over to Mr. DeGaynor for closing remarks.

Jon DeGaynor

Analyst · Stephens. Your line is open

Yeah, thank you very much and thanks for everybody that’s participated in today's call. Just in closing, I want to assure all of our investors and those on the call that our company is committed to continue to drive shareholder value through strong operating results, profitable new business and focus deployments of our available capital. We're confident that the actions that we take and that the team that we have will drive continued success in 2018 and beyond and we look forward to talking to you in future calls. Thanks very much.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your participation in today's conference. This concludes the program. You may now disconnect. Everyone have a great day!