Earnings Labs

Stoneridge, Inc. (SRI)

Q4 2025 Earnings Call· Thu, Mar 12, 2026

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the Stoneridge, Inc. fourth quarter and full year 2025 earnings conference call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you may press star and then one on your touch-tone telephones. To withdraw your questions, you may press star and then two. Please also note today's event is being recorded. At this time, I would like to turn the floor over to Kelly K. Harvey, Director of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Kelly K. Harvey

Management

Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us to discuss our fourth quarter and full year 2025 results. The release and accompanying presentation were filed with the SEC and are posted on our website at stoneridge.com in the Investors section under Presentations and Events. Joining me on today's call are James Zizelman, our President and Chief Executive Officer, and Matthew R. Horvath, our Chief Financial Officer. Also on today's call are Natalia Noble, our President of Stoneridge Electronics and incoming Chief Executive Officer, and Bob Hartman, our Chief Accounting Officer who will be stepping into the role of interim Chief Financial Officer on April 1. During today's call, we will be referring to certain non-GAAP financial measures. Please see Slide 2 of the presentation for a more detailed description of these non-GAAP measures, and the appendix for a reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures. In addition, certain statements today may be forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements include statements that are not historical in nature, and include information concerning our future results or plans. Although we believe that such statements are based upon reasonable assumptions, you should understand that these statements are subject to risks and uncertainties and actual results may differ materially. Additional information about such factors and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ may be found on page 3 of the presentation and in our most recently filed Form 8-K and the 2025 Form 10-Ks which will be filed in the next few business days with the Securities and Exchange Commission under the heading Forward-Looking Statements. After our speakers have finished their formal remarks, we will then open up the call to questions. I will now turn the call over to James Zizelman.

James Zizelman

Management

Thank you, Kelly, and good morning, everyone. Let me begin on page 4. In 2025, our focused growth strategy, continuous improvements on material and quality-related costs, and rigorous structural cost control enabled us to successfully navigate another year marked by very challenging macroeconomic conditions. We are proud of our ability to continuously outperform our end markets even in a significantly challenged production environment while also limiting the impact on our bottom line. Our outperformance was primarily driven by continued momentum with MirrorEye resulting in sales of over $110,000,000, or approximately 70% growth compared to the prior year. In addition to strong performance this year, our strategy to grow the MirrorEye platform continues to pay off with additional business awards and expansion across many of our global OEMs. Our focus on long-term growth, enabled by our advanced technology offerings, drove significant new business awards in 2025. New business awards announced this year for Electronics and Stoneridge Brazil total approximately $830,000,000 in estimated life revenue. This included the largest business award in Stoneridge, Inc. history for a global OEM MirrorEye program extension, and the largest OEM program award in Stoneridge Brazil's history, as well as several other significant programs for secondary displays, the SmartTube Tachograph, and other electronic control products. In 2025, we limited the impact of significant end market headwinds by reducing material costs by 80 basis points, reducing quality-related costs by $6,600,000, and driving continued inventory reductions to support positive cash flow performance. Our focus on cash performance and inventory management resulted in positive free cash flow of approximately $19,000,000, driven by a significant improvement in inventory balances of $18,700,000. Earlier this year, we announced that we completed the sale of our Control Devices segment for a base purchase price of $59,000,000, reflecting an important milestone for the company's long-term…

Natalia Noble

Management

Good morning, everyone, and thank you, Jim. I am fortunate enough to have already spent nearly two years with Stoneridge, Inc. as President of the Electronics division and as a member of the executive staff where I have contributed to shaping the company's next phase of disciplined, sustainable growth. I look forward to working closely with the Board of Directors, our senior leadership team, and our talented, dedicated global teams as we continue to execute on a strong long-term strategy focused on sustainable, profitable growth. Now turning to page 7. Stoneridge, Inc.'s strength is rooted in our global footprint, with strong operations in Europe, North America, and Brazil, each positioned for significant growth over the long term. Earlier this year, Stoneridge, Inc. took a significant step in its long-term strategic vision by completing the sale of the Control Devices division. As Jim just mentioned, this transaction allows us to focus resources on our highest growth, highest return businesses, and reduce overall organizational complexity leading to a clear, focused strategy for the company. We will continue to utilize our global footprint to serve our customers. Our strong global presence enables us to remain a preferred global supplier of industry-leading technologies to the world's leading commercial and off-highway vehicle manufacturers. Furthermore, we will continue to leverage our global engineering footprint and technology expertise. Our global engineering capabilities remain focused and robust, aligning our technologies with key industry trends, including safety and vehicle efficiency. Brazil remains a critical engineering center that augments our global teams located in Europe and North America, and our dedicated engineering partners in India strengthen our capabilities to meet the evolving needs of our global customers. We will continue investing in and scaling our cost-advantaged engineering presence to deepen customer partnerships. Overall, Stoneridge, Inc. will continue to drive global…

Matthew R. Horvath

Management

Thank you, Natalia, and again, congratulations on your new role. Page 11 summarizes our key financial metrics specific to Electronics and Stoneridge Brazil. For Electronics, full year sales of $551,000,000 outperformed our weighted average OEM end markets by approximately 430 basis points. This market outperformance was driven by MirrorEye sales which totaled $111,000,000 in 2025, resulting in growth of $45,000,000, or 69%, compared to the prior year. This includes increasing take rates in Europe and the ramp-up of new programs for Daimler and Volvo in North America. Additionally, MirrorEye bus revenue grew by approximately 34% as our latest generation camera systems have received extremely positive market feedback. We expect continued expansion of MirrorEye as our end markets improve and our recently launched programs continue to mature. Electronics adjusted operating income declined by 140 basis points, primarily driven by lower contribution from sales. While we were able to offset a portion of our tariff-related expenses, our adjusted operating income was also impacted by incremental tariff-related expenses of approximately $2,000,000. This was partially offset by material cost improvement of approximately 120 basis points and lower quality-related costs of $3,700,000 compared to 2024 for the Electronics segment. Stoneridge Brazil full year sales growth of $15,000,000, or approximately 30%, was primarily driven by incremental OEM sales as our Brazilian OEM business continues to accelerate. OEM sales in Brazil set a record at $26,700,000, which approximately doubled compared to the prior year. We expect OEM sales in Brazil to continue to expand as new programs launch and we continue to win local OEM business. Full year adjusted operating income improved by $4,600,000, or 660 basis points compared to the prior year, primarily driven by increased contribution from incremental sales. As we have previously announced, this will be my final earnings call as I have accepted a role outside the company. It has been a privilege to serve in this role, and I am proud of what we have accomplished. With that, I would like to turn the call over to Bob Hartman, our Chief Accounting Officer, who will serve as the interim Chief Financial Officer upon my resignation from the company effective March 31.

Bob Hartman

Management

Thank you, Matt. I am looking forward to stepping into the role of interim CFO and I am confident that this team will continue to drive long-term value for our stakeholders as we transition to a more focused, leaner global company. Turning to Slide 12. As mentioned earlier on the call, the commercial vehicle end market created significant headwinds during 2025. This is highlighted by an almost 7% decline in our weighted average OEM end markets in 2025 compared to our initial expectations of approximately flat end market conditions. That said, in 2026, our end markets are expected to begin to recover. More specifically, the European commercial vehicle market is expected to show stabilization with potential for moderate growth after subdued demand over the last two years. Similarly, in North America, we expect that soft freight demand and continued capital spending discipline will persist, resulting in relatively flat first half revenues. However, we are beginning to see increasing order strength from our customers and third-party production forecasts have improved for the second half of the year. Additionally, with EPA 2027 regulations becoming clearer, we expect a pre-buy effect as the year progresses in our North American commercial vehicle market. As a result, North American OEM production is forecast to improve by 9.8% this year while European production is forecast to improve by 6.6%, resulting in expected full year 2026 weighted average end market growth of 7.1%. For 2027, current third-party production forecasts suggest 6.6% growth for our weighted average OEM end markets. We are seeing moderate improvement in production levels in 2026. More importantly, we are also receiving increasingly positive indications from customers that would align with third-party forecasts, particularly in the second half of the year. That said, turning to Slide 13, we are taking a relatively conservative approach…

Natalia Noble

Management

Thank you both. Slide 17 lays out the drivers of our medium and long-term financial targets. First, as a reminder, our weighted average end markets are expected to improve by 6.6% from 2026 to 2027, which would drive approximately $42,000,000 of incremental revenue in 2027. In addition to a strong market, we are expecting continued expansion of our MirrorEye programs driven primarily by the continued ramp-up of our OEM programs and improved customer take rates in both North America and Europe. Based on the third-party market forecast and our expectations for MirrorEye by 2027, we currently estimate revenue of at least $715,000,000 in 2027, which would represent approximately 12% growth versus our midpoint expectation for 2026. We continue to focus on market outperformance and believe that incremental opportunities in both our Brazilian OEM business as well as our off-highway business could drive upside to these expectations. Looking beyond 2027, we are expecting continued strong growth in our key product categories. In addition to market growth, we expect continued expansion in our MirrorEye programs as they mature. Similarly, we are expecting our other products to outpace market growth, including the continued adoption of camera-based safety systems in the off-highway market, as well as the expansion of our connected trailer and 360-degree surround view technologies as we continue to build on our existing systems and capabilities. In turn, we expect these growth drivers to result in revenue of $850,000,000 to $1,000,000,000 by 2030, representing a five-year compound annual growth rate of 6.8% to 10.3%. We expect that revenue growth will drive significant earnings expansion as well. Based on our historical and expected contribution margin, we expect that our growth will improve EBITDA to at least $44,000,000 in 2027, based only on market growth and continued momentum with our MirrorEye programs. We will…

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, at this time, we will begin the question-and-answer session. To ask a question, you may press star and then one on your touch-tone phones. If you are using a speakerphone, we ask that you please pick up the handset prior to pressing the keys to ensure the best sound quality. To withdraw your questions, you may press star and then two. Again, that is star and then one to join the question queue. Our first question today comes from Gary Prestopino from Barrington Research. Please go ahead with your question.

Gary Prestopino

Analyst

Yeah. Good morning, Walt. Several questions here. First of all, I think I heard you say that there are going to be legacy warranty costs related to the Control Devices business this year and possibly, I do not know how for how long really, but that would assume that when you sold the business, those warranty costs were not part of the sale and transferred to the new owners of the business. Is that correct?

Matthew R. Horvath

Management

Gary, actually, no. When we referred to legacy warranty questions, those were legacy warranty questions for issues within our Electronics products themselves. Any warranty that related to Control Devices was passed with the business to the new buyer.

Gary Prestopino

Analyst

Okay. Alright. I guess some other questions here. I just want to refer back to one of the slides where you broke out your sales footprint. Your three markets, I think you talked about here. I am referring to Slide 8, at least on my computer. You have got connectivity, vision and safety, and intelligence and electronic controls. Can you give us an idea of what percentage of the revenues between Electronics and Brazil make up those three markets?

Matthew R. Horvath

Management

Yes. Hey, Gary. It is Matt. How are you doing? Generally, you will see two different breakouts. One on Slide 7 there where you see revenue by region and end market. We do not break out specifically by product category. As we talked about, the Brazilian OEM business is growing pretty significantly, so you are seeing some pretty strong growth across a couple of those product categories. In Brazil, for example, the connectivity devices that we call out on Slide 8 has the track-and-trace business and digital services. A large portion of that is Brazil. Of course. So I would say we do not break it out specifically. But the connectivity business is certainly more global than the other businesses. But we are seeing some things—as we talked about, OEM sales doubling in Brazil—we are seeing some increased penetration of some of those other product categories in Brazil. And we would also say that the Europe versus North America, these are global customers. So we really do consider them as a singular customer across the globe. Their purchasing teams are operating that way. So the only real split we would say is Brazil currently about 15% of the business. Electronics business globally is 85%. That is the best way. That is the way we deal with our customers on it as well.

Gary Prestopino

Analyst

Okay. So if we look at the numbers for this past year, your MirrorEye sales were up dramatically, so there had to be a dramatic downturn in the Electronics business in some of these other areas. Is that really a correct assumption? I mean, I have to go through and work through the numbers, but it seems like if your MirrorEye sales were up $111,000,000 but your other sales were down, where are you seeing the most impact across these three areas?

Natalia Noble

Management

I agree. It is Natalia. So, yes, the MirrorEye platform was representing a big increase in the sales. Overall, when you look at the vehicle production, especially in North America, but not only, in other products that are really linked with the vehicle production, this is where the biggest downside is coming from.

Matthew R. Horvath

Management

Yes. So looking at commercial vehicle volumes, there were some months in 2025 that set all-time record lows for actual orders placed in the commercial vehicle space. That is how weak that sector got during the course of the year. Fortunately, toward the end of the year, we saw a nice uptick there in December. And we expect a lot more of that coming forward. And so do the third-party prognosticators—ACT and S&P Global—they are starting to show a recovery, especially in North America on the commercial vehicle side.

Gary Prestopino

Analyst

Right. I have seen the first two months of the year that that has been pretty strong. And I guess that was a lead into the next question. How has your sales force in the market when trying to sell MirrorEye—what have they been experiencing here for the first two months of the year, given that truck production looks like it is starting to move up? At least, I saw the North America numbers. I did not see European.

Natalia Noble

Management

Right. Indeed, we see first very positive signals from the third-party companies that are showing the orders of the trucks, Class 8 in North America, but also looking at Europe. We are also seeing first slight increases in the orders from our customers, primarily in the second half of the year. We are also very cautious of the overall geopolitical situation and monitoring that very closely. But indeed, the first positive signals are out there.

Gary Prestopino

Analyst

Okay. And then just one quick question, and I will jump off. Let me understand something here with your business, especially on the telematics. With everything that you are doing, you are basically selling product that allows for this telematics to happen. Are you also the backbone on the connected service side through a network? Or are the products that you have agnostic and able to work with any network?

Natalia Noble

Management

Thank you for that. Indeed, especially in Brazil, but not only, with our track-and-trace business, we are quite successful in digital services. This is direct recurring revenue and a business that is completely different from the hardware or hardware with embedded software. We do also have a certain portfolio of digital services linked with our Tachograph products as well as MirrorEye products. That is an area that we are also growing. The strongest market here for us is Brazil at this point.

Gary Prestopino

Analyst

Okay. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Thank you, Gary. It is showing no additional questions at this time. I would like to turn the floor back over to Natalia Noble for closing remarks.

Natalia Noble

Management

Thank you, everyone, for joining us for the call. I know your time is very important, and as always, we truly appreciate your willingness to engage with us today. We have built a strong foundation that will allow us to drive significant earnings expansion as we grow. We will continue to deliver on our commitments by focusing on our advanced technology and excellence in execution delivered by our talented and passionate team. We expect that our performance, along with our unique mix of industry-changing product platforms, will continue to drive strong shareholder value. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And with that, ladies and gentlemen, we will conclude today's conference call and presentation. We thank you for joining. You may now disconnect your lines.