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SSR Mining Inc. (SSRM)

Q3 2022 Earnings Call· Tue, Nov 8, 2022

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Thank you for standing by. This is the conference operator. Welcome to SSR Mining’s Third Quarter 2022 Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to turn the conference over to Alex Hunchak from SSR Mining. Please go ahead.

Alex Hunchak

Analyst

Thank you, operator and hello everyone. Thank you for joining SSR Mining’s third quarter 2022 conference call, during which we will provide an update on our business and a review of our financial performance. Our third quarter 2022 consolidated financial statements have been presented in accordance with U.S. GAAP. These financial statements have been filed on EDGAR, SEDAR, the ASX and are also available on our website. To accompany our call, there is an online webcast and you will find the information to access the webcast in our news release relating to this call. Please note that all figures discussed during the call are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise indicated. Today’s discussion will include forward-looking statements. So please read the disclosures in the relevant documents. Joining us on the call today are Rod Antal, President and CEO; and Alison White, CFO; and Stew Beckman, COO. Now, I will turn the call over to Rod for his opening remarks.

Rod Antal

Analyst · Scotiabank. Please go ahead

Right. Thanks, Alex and hello to you all and thanks for joining us. In the third quarter, our business was clearly impacted by the suspension of the Ҫӧpler mine. I am pleased to report that operations restarted at the end of September and ramped up smoothly. Despite the bump in the road to Ҫӧpler, our business remains in incredibly strong position with a robust balance sheet that has enabled us a capital return yield of more than 5% over 2 consecutive years. Looking forward, we are in excellent shape with all four of our assets poised for a strong quarter four, where we expect to return to significant free cash flow generation. Some key points from the quarter. Reflecting on the negligible contribution from Çöpler and the delayed ounces from Marigold, we produced 107,000 gold equivalent ounces. Year-to-date production is now 441,000 gold equivalent ounces. Our third quarter all-in sustaining costs were $1,901 per gold equivalent ounce after absorbing more than $30 million in cash costs incurred at Çöpler during the quarter. Year-to-date, our all-in sustaining cost is $1,331 per dollar equivalent ounce. I am going to speak a little bit more about guidance later on in the presentation. Financially, our balance sheet and free cash flow outlook supported the repurchase of $100 million in shares under our NCIB year-to-date. Our aggressive execution on the NCIB, which is only announced in June, has the company on track for nearly $160 million in capital returns in 2022, a plus 5% capital return yield. On the growth front, we received the EAA for the first stage of the Çakmaktepe Extension project at Çöpler in the quarter. With the infrastructure construction underway, it keeps us on track for first production in 2023. As a reminder, the project will add more than 1.2 million…

Alison White

Analyst · CIBC. Please go ahead. Mr. Chiu, your line is open

Thank you, Rod, and good afternoon or good day to everyone on the call. This quarter, we produced nearly 107,000 gold equivalent ounces bringing year-to-date production to 444,000 gold equivalent ounces. Gold equivalent sales of 97,000 ounces in the quarter drove revenue of $167 million. Attributable net loss for the quarter was $26 million or a $0.12 loss per diluted share and adjusted attributable net loss was negative $14 million or a $0.07 loss per diluted share. It is worth highlighting that attributable and adjusted attributable losses include more than $40 million in care and maintenance costs incurred at Çöpler during the suspension of operations that occurred for almost the entire quarter. On the right side of the slide, I will touch on the reported $0.07 loss per diluted share that is calculated based on the company’s definition of adjusted attributable net income or loss per share. Attributable net loss of $0.12 per share was adjusted for transaction costs associated with the sale of Pitarilla, tax adjustments and minor adjustments for foreign exchange fluctuations during the quarter. Turning to Slide 11, we can talk about SSR’s financial position. At the end of the quarter, the company maintained a cash and cash equivalent balance of nearly $800 million, with net cash of more than $450 million. The strong cash balance reflects $100 million in share repurchases, $44 million in dividend payments to shareholders, $53 million in debt repayment, and $35 million in dividends to joint venture partners thus far during 2022. With our existing net cash position, and the expectation of a strong fourth quarter of free cash flow, I would like to reiterate our three priorities with respect to capital allocation within the business. First and foremost, we will continue to reinvest in growth within the business, including our exceptionally…

Stew Beckman

Analyst · Scotiabank. Please go ahead

Thank you, Alison. As always, I will start with EHS&S. We were pleased to restart operations at Çöpler at the end of the quarter following the completion of improvement initiatives required by the Turkish authorities. The suspension was disappointing, but did allow us to revisit a number of our processes and systems to improve our performance. The smooth startup of operations is a testament to the work by the team. Positively and separately, we received a number of outstanding permits in Türkiye during the quarter. We will continue to work hard to maintain and build upon these relationships, ensuring positive contributions to our stakeholders and host communities. Safety and the care of our teams, communities and the environment are core values, and we believe are also foundational to the business performance. Moving on to Slide 13 and I’ll talk about Ҫӧpler. At Ҫӧpler, the operation ramped up smoothly in the third quarter, an impressive accomplishment by our team given the length of the suspension. As discussed on the Q2 call, we were able to accelerate maintenance on the Autoclave 1 during the suspension, including the completion of partial relining of the face bricks. As a result, there is no scheduled major planned maintenance in the sulfide plant for the remainder of the year, allowing us to operate the order close without major interruptions throughout fourth quarter. Operating time and production was very limited in the third quarter, so per ounce costs are not really meaningful. For the full year, we expect to produce 180,000 to 190,000 ounces at an all-in sustaining cost of $1,345 to $1,375 per ounce. The reduced production guidance reflects our careful and measured rest of the operations as well as later-than-expected access to oxide ounces. With respect to the growth initiatives, we’ve received the EIA for…

Rod Antal

Analyst · Scotiabank. Please go ahead

Right. Thanks, Stew, and thanks, Allison. I also just want to take the opportunity to recognize the significant contribution Stew has made to the business as he leaves all four operations in excellent shape and poised for a strong fourth quarter and beyond. We all wish him nothing about the success for the future and note that Stew’s replacement will be announced very shortly. Our business is in a very strong position, and we are moving forward at full stride into the last quarter. With all assets back to steady state, we expect to return to strong free cash flow. We have a number of potentially positive catalysts ahead. We look forward to sharing these updates in a steady flow of news releases over the coming months and presenting a much stronger results when we speak again early next year. So with that, I’m now going to turn the call over to the operator for questions. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Thank you, Mr. Antal. [Operator Instructions] Our first question is from Ovais Habib with Scotiabank. Please go ahead.

Ovais Habib

Analyst · Scotiabank. Please go ahead

Thanks, operator. Hi, Rod and SSR team. Just a couple of questions from me. So at Marigold, Stew touched on the fines that’s at Marigold. I believe these are towards the North pit. Question is, do you have enough met tests were completed around and in the North pit to be comfortable going forward in dealing with the fines. And also, is the high grade mostly located around the North pit as well.

Stew Beckman

Analyst · Scotiabank. Please go ahead

Yes. So the – so yes, to all of your questions. So yes, the higher grade come out of the North pit. We have done the test work. And as I said in my talk, we’ve had a number of different people review those. And we don’t believe that we have any problem with the heap leach and based on their experience from other sites, we expect that we will eventually see this gold. And as you can see, we’ve stacked quite a lot of gold. We did stack it quite late as well. So we’re expecting this wave of gold to come out over this quarter and into the next quarter. We have practically finished mining the fine material as well.

Ovais Habib

Analyst · Scotiabank. Please go ahead

And that’s – the mining of the fine material was ended in Q4. So was that in Q4 or that…

Stew Beckman

Analyst · Scotiabank. Please go ahead

It’s ending imminently. We’re almost at the end.

Ovais Habib

Analyst · Scotiabank. Please go ahead

Got it. And do you have other high-grade areas within these pits that you’re going to be targeting going into 2023?

Stew Beckman

Analyst · Scotiabank. Please go ahead

No. Not in the North pit. We finished those pets. They were only of the small pits. It’s as per the mine schedule.

Ovais Habib

Analyst · Scotiabank. Please go ahead

Okay. Thanks, Stew for that. And just at Çöpler. So in terms of Çöpler, are you now back at nameplate capacity at the sulfide plant, in terms of – or is there a ramp-up that we should expect in Q4?

Stew Beckman

Analyst · Scotiabank. Please go ahead

No. The Sulfide plant came up very well and came up quite quickly. In fact, I was extremely pleased and given my experience of starting these types of things up after a long shutdown. And I think that reflected the work that we did. I think you just need to remember, we shut everything down. So unfortunately, we had to shut down the mining of the oxide mining works, exploration, and we even shut down the infrastructure work in the district. So as we restarted the Sulfide plant came up well and really quickly. It’s very stable, and it’s running very well. I wouldn’t expect that. We also had to restart mine operations. So that took a bit longer because we had to rally the troops for obvious reasons, we didn’t keep an idle very large mining workforce on-site – so we’re getting them back to site and getting the mine ramp back up. It means that took a little bit of time, and that impacted the grade that we are feeding the plant and also delayed us getting a bit of access up to Çakmaktepe to bring down some ounces there that we were planning to bring in. And we also added back-end waiting for gold grade towards the end of the year. So, that’s given that we were delayed for that period, that’s pushed out as well. So, we are mining in the pits. We are mining from the Çakmaktepe area and hauling that down. The other thing that we did was when we brought the sulfide plant back online given that’s where we had the issue very carefully. We first started re-circulating it and stacking. And then once we were comfortable with it, we then brought the cyanide [ph] back on just to make sure that we didn’t have any lot pickups as we were doing that. And as a result, that delayed some of the leaching out of the oxide plant as well. And just to give you a bit of perspective, we still haven’t seen the cyanide and gold coming out since we started the leaching there. So, that leaching cycle just takes a little while to restart. So, again, we are very confident that we are in a very solid position and the place is running really well. It just takes – it’s just going to take a little bit of time for us to get the oxide ore coming out and get the grades back up and the sulfur.

Ovais Habib

Analyst · Scotiabank. Please go ahead

So, stood on that and thanks for that update as well. But on Çakmaktepe, in terms of accessing the oxide material, do we see that start to see you guys start processing that material in Q1 of next year, or this is kind of moving towards as you wrap up going towards the second half of the year?

Rod Antal

Analyst · Scotiabank. Please go ahead

I think I will just – I think just to remember, as I let you talk about in detail. There is two parts of Çakmaktepe. There is the old residual mine that we had up there that we produced gold from a couple of years ago that has some residual ounces that we had expected to bring into this quarter. And then there is the new Çakmaktepe Extension. So, just not to confuse people because I think, they are two different things. And one is a new project, which is e-mark for next year. One is the residual ounces that we have gone up there to mine the last piece of this quarter.

Ovais Habib

Analyst · Scotiabank. Please go ahead

Thanks for the clarity on that, Rod. So, I am talking about the new Çakmaktepe. So, can you give us a little bit more color on how things are progressing there?

Stew Beckman

Analyst · Scotiabank. Please go ahead

Yes. So, they are progressing well. We have been doing the infrastructure work. So, we have to move some public roads. So, we have constructed some overpasses so that we can separate our mine fleet from the – our haul fleet from the public roads. We have been building some separate roads. We are in the process of doing the preliminary work for relocating we have to remit a telecommunications there. We have to move some power lines and some water lines. And so we are busy doing that work at the moment, and that’s progressing quite well. And our expectation has always been like in ‘23 for the start of it.

Ovais Habib

Analyst · Scotiabank. Please go ahead

Perfect. That’s it for me guys. Thanks for taking my questions.

Rod Antal

Analyst · Scotiabank. Please go ahead

Thank you, Ovais.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from Cosmos Chiu with CIBC. Please go ahead. Mr. Chiu, your line is open.

Cosmos Chiu

Analyst · CIBC. Please go ahead. Mr. Chiu, your line is open

Sorry, I was muted. Hi Rod. Thanks Alison and all the best Stew. Maybe my first question is on Marigold. I am going to ask about the sustainability of the higher grade being stacked, the 0.63 gram per ton versus your 0.48 gram per ton reserves. But it sounds like it’s positively correlated the grade with well-defined in the north pit. So, Stew as you mentioned, as you come to an end in terms of mining north pit should we see sort of the grade revert back to the mean fairly soon?

Stew Beckman

Analyst · CIBC. Please go ahead. Mr. Chiu, your line is open

Yes. Cosmos, you are exactly right. We will revert to the main. Yes, that’s why it’s the main. We will go back there. But we actually had a windfall in the oxide. So – sorry, in those north pits and they reconciled high. So, we ended up with more material coming out of those pits than was in the reserves. So, we are pretty happy with that. But yes, those areas have finished now, and we had expected to have higher grade through this period while we were treating them.

Cosmos Chiu

Analyst · CIBC. Please go ahead. Mr. Chiu, your line is open

Great. And then I might have missed it. But Stew, did you mention how much longer these fines are taking in terms of the leach cycle for the gold to come out? I know you are expecting it to come out in Q4 and to 2023. How much longer is it?

Stew Beckman

Analyst · CIBC. Please go ahead. Mr. Chiu, your line is open

Well, I don’t think we have actually quantified it in months because it’s not – it doesn’t come out necessarily in a step. So, it sort of drags on with a long – with a relatively long tail. I did also mention one of the directives we got from – I think it came from John and the experience from some of the other sites when they have the fine material was when you initially start the leaching to start at a much lower rate and saturate the pole first. So, it doesn’t mobilize the final material within that and then call stratification and then sort of make it take even longer to leach out. And so we have got two impacts in this quarter. We have got the impact of stacking more fine material plus we have also started the leach cycle slower. So, we are putting less leach liquor on it for the first couple of weeks and then stepping it up. So, it’s a bit of a – it’s a bit hard for it in the exact weeks. And as you know, it depends – and given that we are coming towards the end of the year, we try to stack in the narrowest paths of the heap leach that we can get it out by year-end. But it’s also a function of where we are on the pile of stack. It is a pretty difficult question. We have been doing work with Forte Dynamics as well and doing quite – which is the work that’s been going over the whole year to put together three-dimensional leach plans and a much higher fidelity of what was placed where exactly on the heat to get a better prediction of what is coming off.

Rod Antal

Analyst · CIBC. Please go ahead. Mr. Chiu, your line is open

And I think the other thing I would just say, because the work that Stew has talked about just gives us a high level of confidence moving into this sort of next phase, but having the stacked is a great position of being. But having back-end-loaded plans, when things like this happen, it really doesn’t give you any time to recover. And so I think we are a little bit of a consequence of that as well. So, I just wanted to alleviate anyone’s fees out there that the gold is not going to come. We backed ourselves to the end of the year. We have got the gold up on the pads, the lead cycle has been slower than we had anticipated in our models, and we don’t have time to catch it is really simply what’s happening.

Cosmos Chiu

Analyst · CIBC. Please go ahead. Mr. Chiu, your line is open

Got it. Maybe moving on to Çöpler here, you might have answered this question as well. But as I work through the math, it’s great to hear that you did 18,000 ounces in the month of October. But it sounds like, from my math, you still need to increase that on average of about 16% in November and December. Is that a function of tonnage and grade from Stew and Rod your comments, it sounds like it is both, but I just want to confirm.

Stew Beckman

Analyst · CIBC. Please go ahead. Mr. Chiu, your line is open

Can you repeat that? We didn’t quite understand the question.

Cosmos Chiu

Analyst · CIBC. Please go ahead. Mr. Chiu, your line is open

So, you did 18,000 ounces. I think you need in October. You need 60,000 ounces to hit your guidance for Çöpler for the year, 60,000 ounces in Q4. So, if I work out the math, you need to improve by about 16% from the 18,000 ounces in October. I am just wondering if that improvement in November and December, on average, is based on tonnage grade or both. I think Stew, I think you did kind of mention that it might be both, but I just want to confirm.

Rod Antal

Analyst · CIBC. Please go ahead. Mr. Chiu, your line is open

Yes.

Stew Beckman

Analyst · CIBC. Please go ahead. Mr. Chiu, your line is open

Yes. So Çöpler, so we are seeing the oxide coming down a bit later. And we are seeing the grades a bit lower as a result of the mine ramping up and some work we have had to do to try and rearrange the mine plan. It won’t be tonnage that drives it. It will be timing and a bit of growth.

Rod Antal

Analyst · CIBC. Please go ahead. Mr. Chiu, your line is open

Yes. And I think, Cos, you probably – I don’t know – I think you came in a little bit later, but in the discussion – that’s okay. Just again, just to clarify. On the Stew’s discussion, we talked about the – getting the mining contractor back on site, getting the mining going has – was a little bit slower than we anticipated. And getting that ramp-up to access the high grade, which is we expect to sort of now start to come for the sulfides I am talking about. We are on – we are moving down that direction. So, all things are going to us meeting that restated guidance.

Cosmos Chiu

Analyst · CIBC. Please go ahead. Mr. Chiu, your line is open

Got it. Thanks. Rod, I did come in a bit late. It took me 10 minutes to sign on. Maybe something on the financial front, hopefully, I am not shooting myself in the foot again. I read something in the MD&A, I don’t think it’s a big deal. But you did mention that as a result of what happened to Çöpler, not in compliance with the term loan covenants. You don’t have a lot of due on that. But I just want to confirm, is that – should we be concerned?

Alison White

Analyst · CIBC. Please go ahead. Mr. Chiu, your line is open

So, no, I wouldn’t be concerned, Cosmos. But the fact of the matter is that’s where we were at the end of the quarter. And so we felt that from a disclosure perspective, it was important to inform everybody. We have continued to make payments on the loan as they come due even during the closure. And as I mentioned in my comments, Stew and I am sorry if you missed this as well. But we do anticipate actually being able to close out that loan by the end of next year.

Cosmos Chiu

Analyst · CIBC. Please go ahead. Mr. Chiu, your line is open

Great. And then, Alison, since I have you here, the cash costs and the all-in sustaining costs in the quarter was impacted by a $31.1 million sort of cost related to the Çöpler suspension. I just want to make sure, are there any costs that we should be aware of that’s leading into Q4? Are these – I would imagine these are one-time costs. I just want to make sure that none of these one-time costs are leading into Q4. It doesn’t sound like it since it’s already restarted, but I just want to confirm.

Alison White

Analyst · CIBC. Please go ahead. Mr. Chiu, your line is open

So, your assumption is correct. There is – none of those costs are going to bleed into Q4, Cosmos. Those were all one-time costs, specifically related to the closure and standby type costs for labor and other things so that we could ramp up as quickly as possible once we got the okay to reopen.

Cosmos Chiu

Analyst · CIBC. Please go ahead. Mr. Chiu, your line is open

Great. And then maybe one last question. This might be a difficult question, but I might ask you anyways. Rod, when you restarted when you got the permits back in September ‘22 restarted Çöpler, at that point in time, did you consider updating guidance. And if you did, what has changed between then and now?

Rod Antal

Analyst · CIBC. Please go ahead. Mr. Chiu, your line is open

No, it’s a good question, Cos. Look, I think when we did the quarter two results call, we said we are going to do everything we can to claw back the lost time and lost production. And we had a plan, as we always do, there is a few levers that we had in the business to help us to try to chase that as a goal. As it transpires with the – then the clarity around the slower leaching at Marigold, the impacts of gold-to-silver ratio at Puna and then some of the other initiatives that we had around chasing those residual ounces at Çakmaktepe, we just don’t have the time to be able to do it. Unfortunately, we did a lot of things to try to capture it. But chasing the high grade at Seabee that Stew mentioned, we just haven’t been able to catch it. So, no, it wasn’t considered. We wanted them to see how the operations were traveling, so we could have a more accurate representation. If we are going to recon, obviously, we want to be able to hit it. So, it wasn’t the appropriate timing. But look, we did everything we could. It’s disappointing to us all that we couldn’t capture it if, for instance, you have Marigold hadn’t underperformed in this last quarter in terms of the gold production, then we probably would have been in a good position, but we are not. So, that’s where we are. But look, I think the business fundamentally is very strong coming out of this into the fourth quarter, which is going to be around 200,000 ounce consolidated view of the business, moving into a really good 2023 and all the good things that come with that was free cash flow and other things, we are in good shape. But we have had a bump in the road, and now we are looking forward.

Cosmos Chiu

Analyst · CIBC. Please go ahead. Mr. Chiu, your line is open

Great. Thanks Rod and perfectly we understand. And once again thanks for answering my questions and all the best Stew.

Stew Beckman

Analyst · CIBC. Please go ahead. Mr. Chiu, your line is open

Thanks.

Rod Antal

Analyst · CIBC. Please go ahead. Mr. Chiu, your line is open

Cos, thank you.

Operator

Operator

This concludes the question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Mr. Antal for any closing remarks. End of Q&A:

Rod Antal

Analyst · Scotiabank. Please go ahead

Great. Thanks everyone and thanks for joining us today. And as we mentioned, we are looking forward to much more positive full year results in early next year and closing this year off in a very strong position to set us up for what will be a great 2023. So, with that good day to you all and thanks for joining us.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today’s conference call. You may disconnect your lines. Thank you for participating, and have a pleasant day.