Martha Sullivan
Analyst · Robert Wertheimer
Thank you, Jacob, and thank you all for joining in our fourth quarter conference call. I'm satisfied with our results during a challenging fourth quarter. Despite continued macro weakness from several of the end markets we serve, we delivered net revenue and adjusted net income at the midpoint of guidance. The financial highlights include net revenue for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2012, was $445 million, a decrease of approximately 2% from net revenue of $453 million in the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2011. Adjusted net income for the fourth quarter was $85 million or $0.47 per diluted share, an increase of 4% from the year-ago period adjusted net income of $82 million or $0.45 per diluted share. And net revenue for the full year 2012 was $1,914,000,000, an increase of 5% over the full year 2011 net revenue of $1,827,000,000. Adjusted net income for 2012 was approximately $357 million or $1.96 per diluted share, flat versus 2011. The macroeconomic landscape today continues to be weak, and unfortunately, Sensata is not immune from this. Over the past 2 years, the risks facing the global economy had been skewed to the downside. In the coming years, some of the biggest threats, another U.S. recession, a Eurozone meltdown and a China hard landing appear to be less menacing. On the upside, the massive monetary stimulus put in place in many key economies over the past 1.5 years should eventually have a positive impact in the stage appear set for a modest acceleration of growth in the latter part of the year and into 2014. Now let me provide some color on each of the regions in which we operate around the globe. In Europe, the economy continues to deteriorate on multiple levels, leading to declining vehicle demand. According to third-party data, December marks the 15th straight monthly decline in European light vehicle registrations. For the full year, car registrations in Europe were down approximately 8% to the lowest level of registrations since 1995. Europe's biggest market, Germany, experienced registrations down 3% for the year, while many of the southern European countries were down double digits. In the month of December alone, auto registrations were down 16% from the prior year. As formal sales reports don't exist in Europe, registrations remain the best proxy for underlying demand. According to third-party data, fourth quarter light vehicle production was down 11% in Europe year-on-year. We believe European production was actually worse than that in the fourth quarter. In the U.S., light vehicle sales performed well in 2012 as expected. Demand for heavy trucks and commercial vehicles weakened substantially in the second half of the year, weighed down by economic weakness and uncertainty, partly related to the U.S. elections, fiscal cliff and ongoing federal budget negotiations. Heavy vehicle off-road and commercial truck production contracted 17.5% in the second half of 2012 versus the first half. We expect HVOR production to remain low through the first quarter of 2013. Privately owned housing starts were a positive area in the fourth quarter of 2012, up 13% sequentially and up 37% year-on-year. Finally, in Asia, China is undertaking efforts to rebalance its economy away from manufacturing investment and toward domestic consumption. After weak consumer demand there in 2012, we expect Chinese consumption to turn in 2013. Light vehicle production grew 6% in 2012 in China and grew 11% in the rest of Asia. Vehicle production growth in Asia x China during 2012 reflects a temporary uplift after the rebuilding of the automotive supply chain in Japan. This now represents a headwind in 2013. Approximately 1.1 million vehicles that should have been built in the first half of 2011 were instead built in the fourth quarter of that year and the first half of 2012. Fourth quarter 2012 auto production in Asia x China was roughly flat with the fourth quarter of 2010 before the earthquake and tsunami in Japan. For the first quarter of 2013, current third-party estimates call for year-on-year automotive production down 2% in the Americas; growth of 3% in China; Europe, down 10%; and the rest of Asia, down 12%, as compared to the first quarter of 2012. Expectations are for global automotive production levels in 2013 to be up slightly as compared to 2012. Current year party estimates for 2013 are for automotive production growth of 1% to 3% in the Americas; 8% to 10% in China; Europe, down 1% to 3%; and the rest of Asia, down 6% to 8%. As a reminder, Sensata content per vehicle is the highest in Europe and the lowest in China. As for Controls, we serve many end markets such as HVAC, appliance and industrial. We believe a good proxy for growth in the Controls business is GDP growth in the major economies of the world where our products are consumed. The U.S. GDP is expected to have modest growth this year, Europe is expected to slightly contract and Japan is expected to be flat. As you know, content is an important secular growth driver of our business. We recognize content growth correlates to the economy and to the proximity of regulatory requirements. This means content growth for Sensata is impacted by significant end market deterioration and will, from time to time, fall outside of the tight 7% to 10% band we've signaled in the past. Shifts in end markets, consumer choice and OEM cost-cutting, such as delays to new programs or accelerating product transitions, will all impact content growth. As a consequence, there will be years, like 2009 and 2013, low points for the economy where new program launches get delayed and our content growth comes in below the range. There will also be years like 2010 when OEMs launch -- when OEM launches catch up and where our content comes in at the high end of the range. We've analyzed these trends with customers and regulators and continue to believe our growth platform remains sound. We are confident in the impact of our design wins over the longer run, 3 to 5 years. In any given quarter or even over a year, however, content growth for the company may fall outside of the range. OEM long-term investment models aren't changing, however, and neither are the government regulations that drive them. The revenue growth opportunity for Sensata is as robust as ever. Strategy analytics expect automotive sensor revenues to grow by 9% CAGR through 2016 as carmakers respond to tightening, environmental, fuel mileage and safety regulations, as well as consumer expectations. Turning that market growth into growth for Sensata comes through our new business wins. During 2012, we won new designs representing over $300 million of annual revenue. These new business wins will have a positive impact on our revenue beginning in 2014 through 2017, and in some cases will continue to ramp after that point. An example of a large new business win during the year includes the differential pressure sensors. These are used in exhaust treatment systems for diesel vehicles. In the future, we expect to supply greater than 60% of this $150 million global market. Another example is the launch of In-Cylinder Pressure Sensor, a category we pioneered by another major OEM. While it is still early days for in-cylinder pressure-sensing applications, we believe this category will represent $100 million to $150 million in annual revenue for us within the next 5 years. I'll now turn the call over to Bob to review our fourth quarter results in more detail and provide guidance. Bob?