Moishe Gubin
Analyst · Alliance Global Partners
All right. Thank you, Jeff. I want to start before I present the rest of the slide deck. I want to just go back to Slide 4 and just talk about like if you look at our quarter year-over-year, our numbers are good. It's relatively flat, and our net income would have beat last year's third quarter by about $1 million if it wasn't for the foreign currency transaction loss. And I want to add a little color because I'm sure the folks that are out there are going to want to ask about it, so I'll just talk about it now. The foreign currency transaction loss was an accumulation that for those that are good at accounting here, we accumulated OCI over the years. And the actual expense already found its way into interest expense throughout the years as we had -- because we -- every quarter, we mark our balance sheet to the spot price of the shekel to dollar. And when this quarter ended, during that quarter, we had paid off 3 bond issuances. And the reason we paid off the 3 bond issuance is because the bond market, you price at the day of the market, and we just had the bad luck of the days that we went to price the market, a bond hit or something in Israel or whatever occurred, which ended up causing the interest rate to be too high of a rate on the bond. So as a good custodian of our company, we had a backup plan all along, and we ended up taking instead of the rate that was being quoted in Israel, even though we would have saved this $24 million of interest of currency exchange, the interest rate in Israel is about 1 point or 1.5 points higher than what we ended up taking, which I think was at September 30 was 6.66% was the interest rate, I believe, on that money versus 8.5% in Israel. And so we basically saved the 2 points on the interest expense and had to then realize this currency loss, which was already in our retained earnings. That's why if you go to the balance sheet, the equity didn't change. It's just -- it moves it into from an OCI, which would have been expensed as other comprehensive loss to now be on our regular income statement above the line. And that's what this is. So to anybody concerned about it, it's a onetime event. In the grand scheme of things, the way I'm looking at it is we replaced with 5-year money at SOFR 2.75, which was 2 points cheaper almost than what we would have been in a fixed and a fixed product, which would have had a prepayment penalty. And so we amortize it over 5 years, this $24 million turns out to be less than 1%, we end up ahead of the game. That being said, I'm going to go on with Slide 6. And I'll also start by saying thank you, everybody, for joining us today. Happy with where we are, happy to present that we're going to be -- which Jeff brought up already that we should end this year ahead of budget as far as buying. It happens to be, unfortunately, it's at the end of the year, as opposed to the beginning of the year. So the full financial results next year should be killer compared to this year and previous year. That being said, if you look over the last 6 years, our AFFO, our growth rate is over 11%, you see it went from $43 million to $74 million. And we like that. That hopefully should continue to grow. The next slide after that it just talks about our portfolio growth. Again, this is based on what we -- is our -- a 10 cap value on our rents is really what it is. Still a 13% growth rate, which is good. Reality is as we probably are doing ourselves at disservice and it's probably more value than we're saying. And that's -- we'll look at the non-GAAP spreadsheet at the end of the presentation. But even so being conservative at a 13% growth rate over the last 6 years is still pretty good. Our stock price is holding up. Unfortunately, yesterday, there was a stock, which wasn't great. I think we ended the day close to $12.60, $12.70, something like that. But otherwise, we're holding our own. We feel we're really undervalued. At some point, we hope that we get recognized and the stock price goes up. We're going to keep doing what we're doing, though. Most of the long-time shareholders that exist are holders, not sellers, and they're happy with the growth and happy with what we're doing, get a lot of compliments and keep doing what we're doing. And hopefully, that's succeeding. Slide 9 just basically talks about what the between us and them. And we're trading at a 9.5 multiple. Meanwhile, our peer -- our closest peer is trading almost double which is painful for us every time I see this. And but we're going to keep pushing and we're going to bring in better yields. We're going to bring in better returns. We're going to keep doing what we're doing. We're committed to the disciplined growth, disciplined how we buy as we've spoken to a lot of you folks, it's pretty wash on repeat how we do business here. And as Jeff said earlier, again, we have all of our rents being collected. So our portfolio is performing. Our dividend like we announced is staying flat for this quarter, but we're proving that we're a consistent return for our shareholders. And we expect that to continue. On the next slide, we just talk about our stock performance. But even more important really is our true return at over 10%. I think that kind of follows the value of the AFFO per share as well. So at least we're not lagging behind that, like meaning the market is discounting us at a multiple. But at the end of the day, it's staying consistent with what the stock price is growing at that same 10% clip because at least -- and our AFFO is growing at the same 10% clip. So from that point of view, at least that's good. And the stock price performance, as you see over here, we're -- we're above where we started, but hopefully, on a bigger chart, you'll see the growth rate has been good in the stock and hopefully, it continues to improve. Again, we're going to be at REIT week World, week, whatever it's called in 2 weeks from now in San in Atlanta. And last year, we were at that was when people were swimming out our name of the hallways and people are telling us with the unicorn, keep doing what we're doing. I was actually very positively feeling about that. So now when we talk to people, I'm not -- I always proud of what we have. But the fact is we're over 90% skilled nursing and exactly what we're still doing and continually growing in the skilled nursing space. Oddly enough, the one deal that we made came with a nursing home, hospital and MOB. But all the next deals that we're going to close by the end of the year are all SNFs. On the next slide, just the same thing, pure comparison, our AFFO payout still remains way below everybody else, and that's giving us -- we're doing all these deals without raising any equity. So we're going to close, like Jeff said, I think, $120 million, $130 million -- probably $120 million or $130 million in the next 2 months. And we're using our own cash. We're not raising any equity. We can't dilute our shareholders when the stock price is down. So anyone owning our shares today is just going to make more money tomorrow without us diluting anybody. So the per share growth is going to be good. And again, that's why our AFFO share growth rate is higher than all of our peers, which is the slide to the right. On the next slide, again, this payout ratio, as Greg said earlier, is right around 50%, and we announced that it's going to stay that way at this point from -- for this quarter. The AFFO per share growth, again, is over 10%. And again, that matches almost exactly what the stock appreciated over the last 12 months with the same 10.1% growth rate. So again, at least the marketplace is not lowering our multiple, so that's a positive. I've always been the optimist for good or bad. Next slide just talks about our debt. We're past this now at this point. So I mean, maybe we'll take this slide out of this deck because at one point, we're worried about the bullet. But at this point now, '26 ends the year quiet, '27, '28, very little -- it's the same amortization. It's about $20 million of principal being paid down a year, maybe a drop more. $29 is the next bullet, which has 2, 1-year renewals and it has a bond renewal. At this point, Israeli market wasn't good in the last couple of deals, even though they like to claim that they did good by me because everyone else would have been even worse. But to my point of view is I'm stronger than everybody else, we should have gotten treated a little better. So when this thing renews most likely, we probably just pay it off and move towards an exit of the Israeli market. But we'll see what happens. It could be the market gets super strong. And whatever I just said, I'll have to eat my words. That being said, there's a slide later that talks about what valuation you want to put net assets. But based on the 10 cap, net assets were at 48% leverage with a net debt to EBITDA of 5.4%. Those are good numbers, blended interest rate of 5.8%. So super strong. We still like HUD. We're working our way still through the HUD world to be able to take a bunch of our buildings to HUD. At this point, we're -- we have a little throughput issue that we have to work ourselves through and God willing, that will happen in the next few quarters in which case, hopefully, by the end of '27, we should be able to have maybe another $100 million sitting in the HUD debt as opposed to conventional or Israeli debt. On the next slide, as I've been saying in the last few years, it has become one of my favorite slides, where it just shows you how diversified we are with our rents and we're diversified by states. That's going to continue. The deals that we're doing now, 2 of the deals that we have are going to be 2 new states. I think we've announced one of them is Florida and the other one we didn't announce yet. And then everything else is going to be is going to be Indiana, the state we're ready to get, of course, and Texas, which we're already in. So all good. And all of the deals that we're doing now are going to be third-party operators, nothing -- so that -- I think we were at 42%. Once this transaction is done and sometime first quarter, I think that number is going to drop pretty good. Next slide, Slide 16, just given statistics of the facilities averaging 77%. I talked about how that doesn't really matter. And I'll just gloss over this slide and go to 17. On 17, we're just basically talking about how -- what our map looks like and percentages of facility types, so but it hasn't changed really quarter-over-quarter, and it remains the same. The way we buy that we've talked about over the years is 10% cash-on-cash return day 1 before leverage, and we had a little leverage, which increases our return. And all the deals that we're doing today are all the 10 cap purchases. So all the math is exactly what we've told everybody. So anybody modeling our financials, we can model the $130 million or so that fully next year will add up to about $13 million of rent increase. And we got a couple of other deals that are -- that won't really hit the take, but we did a couple of deals where we increased the rent and then paid something out to our tenants. So that will increase revenue. And we got a couple of other smaller things just cleaning up the portfolio a little bit to the positive, that will increase our revenue. On our last 2 slides, the first one is just basically showing 9 months ended AFFO or net income through FFO to AFFO. So look at the net income, it's really down depreciation and amortization, but it gets you FFO. Again, that's because of the foreign currency. But then once the straight-line rent and then loss of foreign currency, your AFFO gets to be $55.879 million, which is $2.5 million higher than $25 million. And EBITDA, again, net income, adding back the depreciation and interest expense keeps you below. But when you want to add back the foreign currency and the straight-line rent, you end up with an adjusted EBITDA that's $3.5 million higher than it was last year, 9 months ended. So that's pretty good. The next slide or the last slide, which I like that we put this in here because if you guys are following skilled nursing at all, you see that a lot of the deals from the other guys are at 8.5 caps or 8.75 caps. And basically, what this is telling you that we're marking our whole balance sheet to -- not our balance sheet, we're marking like all these presentations to a 10 cap. And we're showing net assets at $1.467 billion, let's say. And then we're saying that our net debt to net asset is 48%. But really, we could be using the low end of this and saying, really, our net assets is really $1.673 billion, and therefore, our net debt to net asset is 42%. So the folks that are out there that are looking for a lower net debt to net asset, really, you can hang your hat on saying that a cap rate of 8.75% is not unreasonable, especially when you see all these other deals, CareTrust and the other guys are doing that are at 8.5 caps or even lower. So with that, I want to thank everybody for joining us. And I want to pass it back to the operator.