Earnings Labs

Starwood Property Trust, Inc. (STWD)

Q2 2017 Earnings Call· Thu, Aug 10, 2017

$18.03

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day and welcome to the Starwood Property Trust second quarter 2017 earnings conference call. Today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Zach Tanenbaum, Director of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir.

Zach Tanenbaum

Management

Thank you operator. Good morning and welcome to Starwood Property Trust's earnings call. This morning, the company released its financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2017, filed its 10-Q with the Securities and Exchange Commission and posted its earnings supplement to its website. These documents are available on the Investor Relations section of the company's website at www.starwoodpropertytrust.com. Before the call begins, I would like to remind everyone that certain statements made in the course of this call are not based on historical information and may constitute forward-looking statements. These statements are based on management's current expectations and beliefs and are subject to a number of trends and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements. I refer you to the company's filings made with the SEC for a more detailed discussion of the risks and factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements made today. The company undertakes no duty to update any forward-looking statements that maybe made during the course of this call. Additionally, certain non-GAAP financial measures will be discussed on this conference call. Our presentation of this information is not intended to be considered in isolation or as a substitute for financial information presented in accordance with GAAP. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most comparable measures prepared in accordance with GAAP can be accessed through our filings with the SEC at www.sec.gov. Joining me on the call today are Barry Sternlicht, the company's CEO, Rina Paniry, the company's CFO, Jeff DiModica, the company's President, Andrew Sossen, the company's COO and Adam Behlman, the President of our Real Estate Investing and Servicing segment. With that, I am going to now turn the call over to Rina.

Rina Paniry

CEO

Thank you Zach and good morning everyone. This quarter, we reported core earnings of $137 million or $0.52 per share, up from the $0.51 we reported last quarter. We continue to a strong contribution from each of our business evidencing the power of our diversified multi-cylinder platform. I will begin our discussion this morning with the results of our lending segment. During the quarter this segment contributed core earnings of $99 million or $0.38 per share. We originated or acquired $871 million of loans with an average size of $218 million and 11.5% optimal IRR to spot LIBOR and a 53% LTV. We funded $615 million, of which $423 million related to new loans and $192 million related to pre-existing loan commitments. Repayments totaled $656 million for the quarter, in line with our expectation. The credit quality of our book remains strong with the LTV of our large loan portfolio remaining steady at 63%. In addition, we saw improvement in some our 4-rated loans this quarter with the loan loss reserve deploying from $9.5 million to $6.88 million. This was mostly due to a $170 million loan that prepaid in full shortly after quarter end. Our book continues to be positively correlated to rising interest rate with just over 92% of our portfolio being floating rate. We estimate that a 100 basis point increase in LIBOR would add $0.09 of core earnings annually not including the incremental benefit that could be realized by our servicer in a higher rate environment. Next I will discuss our investing and servicing segment which contributed core earnings of $71 million or $0.27 per share. As a reminder, this segment houses our CMBS conduit origination business, CMBS book, servicing platforms and property purchased on CMBS trust. It also houses our investment in Ten-X, the former…

Jeff DiModica

CFO

Thanks Rina. There is so much written about the number of new public and private entrance in the debt space, but we believe this story is one of haves and have-nots. We will significantly increase loan production this year while at the same time taking advantage of the lowest borrowing spreads since our inception continuing to originate double-digit IRRs while maintaining the same credit first discipline we built the company with eight years ago. We will continue to do this by using the breadth of our multi-cylinder platform to go where the capital markets offer us the best returns for the lowest risk. We will continue to focus on large complex transactions where our credit first platform cost of capital that gave us experience in equity real estate and access information provide us with the greatest competitive advantage. In anticipation of more competition, we have doubled our origination staff in the past 12 months as an investment in our future which has enabled us to continue to produce high-quality transactions and a very robust pipeline. We closed $871 million of loans this quarter and our lending segment have over $1 billion of transactions already in process of closing in Q3 and have as robust a forward pipeline as we have seen. We have achieved double-digit optimal IRRs in our lending book every quarter for the last three years and an 11.5% optimal IRR this quarter conservatively assuming flat LIBOR curve. Importantly, approximately one-third of our second quarter originations were unencumbered by asset level debt. Our IRR would have been higher had we take asset level debt on all originations, but by continuing to create unencumbered assets, we have the unique ability amongst our peers to issue unsecured bonds at extremely attractive rates. We have approximately $3.5 billion in unsecured assets…

Barry Sternlicht

Management

Thanks Jeff. Thanks Rina. I want to wish Rina happy birthday which was Sunday and she hasn't been feeling well. So thanks for putting in time and effort. One other thing I would say again, I just got the trophy from NAREIT for disclosure and when we went public in 2009, we said we would be best-in-class in transparency to our LTs, our shareholders and that I will treat like partners. And it's nice to see for the third year in a row we were recognized with the Gold Award from NAREIT and our disclosure package sets the standard for our space and I think most people feel that mortgage REITs have already got in trouble and what we promise you, for those of you who have been with us for the entire ride, since we began our company, was that we never pushed the envelope and we would be careful and we would also diversify ourselves. So that if there were trouble or we couldn't meet the returns we thought were attractive for our shareholders, we would open up other cylinders of business that potentially could capture some of the capital freed up from our loan book, if in fact it became difficult to produce the returns we were used to. And so I am really excited that we consider ourselves more of a real estate finance company than just a large loan lender. And as you know, with our conduit business and our servicing businesses, including our continued strength in the B-piece market going forward and CMBS 2.0, we have now added two other interesting really exciting new businesses for us. So Home Loan Bank purchase and license agreement which allows us to borrow at truly extraordinary rates and we can grow some of the lending business with…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. Our first question comes from Steve DeLaney with JMP Securities. Your line is open.

Steve DeLaney

Analyst · JMP Securities. Your line is open

Good morning everyone and thank you for taking the questions. I would like to start with one of the headlines on your press release, the access to the Federal Home Loan Bank system. I wondered if you could provide some color as to how were able to navigate that given, I guess, the ban, if you will, that the FHFA put on captive affiliates of mortgage REITs back in January 2015? And I realize some of that, you may not be able to say too much there, but is that also strategically, is that in some way tied to your interest in the residential mortgage space? Thanks.

Jeff DiModica

CFO

Thanks Steve. It's Jeff. Good morning.

Steve DeLaney

Analyst · JMP Securities. Your line is open

Hi Jeff. Good morning.

Jeff DiModica

CFO

It is obviously tied. There are other bucket like multi-family and places where the Home Loan Bank could potentially be helpful, but given what we are doing in looking at in the residential space, it certainly makes sense. Shortly after quarter-end, we acquired a captive entity with an existing five-year charter with the Home Loan Bank Chicago. We have executed that out to the end of the five-year sunset period which is currently about 3.5 years. But we are not disclosing at this time any additional information about the transaction itself or our capacity for borrowing on that line, but we are excited to be part of Home Loan Bank.

Barry Sternlicht

Management

So assuming let's say it is a 3.5 years barrier current policy, it could change just like this opened up for us. So it might be 10-years. You have no idea what they will decide. So it's all political, I would say.

Steve DeLaney

Analyst · JMP Securities. Your line is open

Sure. And Barry, I understand there is a bill in the house that actually would expand membership and we know the myth that Federal Home Loan Banks themselves want the mortgage REITs in the system. So hopefully this could always be resolved through some sort of a regulation that would be tied into --

Barry Sternlicht

Management

It will be one of our, I think Rina has a number of a $10.6 billion of debt capacity. This is one additional lever we have. And yes, it is really where we use debt financing, which is significantly inside the cost of any of our credit line. It is somewhat strained by what they want to see us borrow for. So it's very attractive for us and one of our peers, it's more of trading house, it's not -- they actually have this -- and we were going to do it and they shut it down and we got the guys found one and bought it. So they did a nice thing and I think it's going to be exciting for our shareholders.

Jeff DiModica

CFO

And Steve, as you know, that I said in my script, we do run a fairly large book of unencumbered assets. We go out of our way to create unencumbered assets at the expense of IRR at the time and those unencumbered assets will help us be able to borrow on lines like this. So it's not just owning the license, it's really having the balance sheet that allows you take advantage of it and we have set ourselves up well for that.

Steve DeLaney

Analyst · JMP Securities. Your line is open

Understood. Thanks. And one for Rina, if I may. Just looking at conduit sale activity in the quarter. I guess, just roughly looking at the gain on sale margin that would be in excess of 5%. Does that tie into your view of your results?

Jeff DiModica

CFO

Steve, I would say it was relatively small from an originations amount. And as you know better than anybody and you know the sector very well, spreads will continue to tighten. When spreads are tight, that business looks a really good business. When spreads are widening, it's a little more difficult. We had a tailwind for the last five quarters of spread tightening. If you remember, in the first quarter of 2016, we spent a lot of time talking about our book and spreads have widened significantly in that quarter. We stayed the course, added to it. We have been rewarded on our CMBS holdings and we have been rewarded for staying in the CMBS conduit origination business that probably 10 or 12 people have walked away from in the last year and we are picking up market share versus other nonbanks. Obviously the large banks have picked up market share in total, but we picked up market share versus the nonbanks and we are excited about it and we will continue to grow modestly and slowly. But it's hard to look at gain on sale margin absent looking at spreads. And spreads have tightened and that's a good thing for our business. So we try not focus on those margins. We try to focus on making good loan.

Steve DeLaney

Analyst · JMP Securities. Your line is open

Yes. Understood. Certainly a business that's in much better shape than any of us expected it might be a year ago today when we were staring risk retention in the face. One final thing and this is --

Jeff DiModica

CFO

Than any of you expected.

Steve DeLaney

Analyst · JMP Securities. Your line is open

Yes. Okay. Any of us, that's right, the outsiders. I hear you. One just to close, one big picture question. CBRE has been reporting about $900 billion of private equity capital commitments that are sitting there available for the U.S. commercial real estate market. Barry, I am just wondering if you think that entire amount is actually going to be called and invested and some idea of over what period of time? So just a view on like where we on the cycle and the amount of money? This seems to be the fuel behind the market. And I would appreciate your views on that. Thanks.

Barry Sternlicht

Management

You know, in the cycle, you are betting two things when you are make an equity investment today. What's going to happen to the U.S. economy over the five-year period? Will Trump get infrastructure spending done that might help suburban hotel portfolio. Any growth in GDP will help RevPAR growth. Are we going to rollover? I don't think so. I think the fact that we had such a week nine-year recovery means we have more capacity. There is no bubbles that I can really point to in the market. On the other hand, I think investors are nervous. I think as you have seen or maybe haven't seen, year-over-year the property sales have declined. And there have been bid/ask spreads that have opened up in some asset classes, because even though there is money, people were assuming rates would rise in and they were more worried about their exit cap rates. So I think that's the question. Like we all expect in the underwrites for the exit yields to be wider. Some of us say they will be constant and then if you think they are going to hold flat and you will probably win an auction, if you think they are going to gap out, you are not going to win the auction. And whether they gap out or not will really depend on what happens to rental growth. And if rents continue to rise, rental growth maybe more important than movement in interest rates as it's modest and I don't think anyone expects it to be crazy. Actually I am concerned about a different thing. I think the flow of the all the markets price off the top bid and the top bid has been an Asian bid. In the sub-market, you have seen whether it was the…

Jeff DiModica

CFO

Steve, for clarity, Barry is talking about Central Park South when he talks about 57th Street. As you know, we have a large asset on East 57th Street with our residential that's doing great and will pay off in the very near future. I just wanted to clear that.

Barry Sternlicht

Management

Yes. I am talking about a condo in Philly. Our price attachment points are $1,500 a foot, not $6,000 a foot.

Jeff DiModica

CFO

Steve, I would add that regardless of prices up or down, the pent-up capital should be good for transaction volume staying somewhere near here which is good for us as a lender.

Barry Sternlicht

Management

It's down. I mean in the first quarter, transaction volume was down like 30%. That's now down I think 20% or 18%. But one of the reasons I think that people don't talk about it, not only bid outspreads widening but, is tax reform. I mean if you thought your capital gains tax rate was going to drop dramatically, as the Trump proposal has talked about, you would wait. And you are getting paid. You have got great positive leverage on your real estate. You just wait. So private owners are saying, well let's just see what comes out of this. And I think it has affected the real estate markets from a transaction volume standpoint which indirectly affects us and also tightens spreads because there's just fewer assets to lend against with fewer transactions.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Jade Rahmani with KBW. Your line is open.

Jade Rahmani

Analyst · KBW. Your line is open

Thanks very much. When you talk about growing the platform, I wanted to see if you could provide your thoughts on whether there's any interest in the healthcare lending space such as the recent RX Lancaster deal or in the GSE multi-family lending space?

Barry Sternlicht

Management

We look at everything. That's all I am going to say. We don't have any particular reason not to do healthcare lending. We have been looking at the assisted living space. We think the train wreck that we anticipated is not going to abate for a while. Senior housing is overbuilt and rents are falling. That is a very tough segment to lend into. So we knew that. We could see the construction. I can't believe the numbers. We just talked about it in the investment committee and 8% increase in supply and rents are falling in many markets. So that is an area of assisted independent living we are kind of staying away from. We are staying away from it. We don't have a single loan that's exposed to that business. But the healthcare facilities, hospitals, things like that, we would do that. As you know, we are like credit first, as Jeff says. And we are underwriting these risks. And we are going to close a loan in the third quarter that might raise eyebrows. And we will tell you why we did it after we do it. But the returns are terrific and we think it's an exciting opportunity for us.

Jade Rahmani

Analyst · KBW. Your line is open

And then just on acquiring any --

Jeff DiModica

CFO

Sorry, on the assisted living side, I think I read recently the average age of occupants is 82. But Baby Boomers are still in their mid-60s. So all the supply came in early. And you are going to have a decent amount of time before you can sop it all up in addition to Barry's point.

Jade Rahmani

Analyst · KBW. Your line is open

And how about acquiring a license in the GSE multi-family landing space?

Barry Sternlicht

Management

Not a bad idea. I mean it's something obviously. It's a business we look at.

Jade Rahmani

Analyst · KBW. Your line is open

The residential mortgage business, what are the target ROEs? And do you expect it to take up the leverage on the balance sheet through the FHLB?

Barry Sternlicht

Management

Yes. Potentially with commensurate returns, it will exceed to book the returns that we have achieved in our lending business. I will say that.

Jeff DiModica

CFO

If we achieve securitization, Jade, which is our goal over a long of period of time, our on balance sheet leverage won't actually go up. The securitization will give us term financing off balance sheet.

Barry Sternlicht

Management

And it won't be targeted basically, is what Jeff is saying. So that is our intention is to exit the securitization although they won't be as attractive financing as FHLB credit facilities.

Jade Rahmani

Analyst · KBW. Your line is open

In the core lending business, can you talk to the relative attractiveness of structured investments like subordinate debt, mezzanine loans, preferred equity versus originating whole loans or first mortgages and levering those? Which are risk reductions?

Barry Sternlicht

Management

This question has been going on for seven years. We are so much better off making the loan ourselves, right. And the mezzanine in certain asset classes, right now the mezzanine bids are mind boggling. If it's manufactured on the Street and you want to sell a mez, you can find sub-7% guys out there right now and 6.5%. It's a feeding frenzy again for Street originated debt. But it's okay. We are going to always continue to find the kinds of loans that we need to make. And I guess you call them transitional and we look very hard at the attachment point. Where are we creating the asset if we are wrong? And so far we haven't been wrong. We haven't had a loan go bad. But yes, I mean the market right now for mezzanines is as tight as we have seen it and there's a lot of offshore money, particularly from Asia, that is buying this paper. And there are managers that are doing this. If it disappears, the gap out on those mezes could be 200 basis point. If that market may again, if the money is from places like Korea and there's an issue in Korea that could stop instantly. So we are just going to do what we do all the time. We originate the loan, the whole loan, partner with other guys if we can, sell the A-note, put it on a credit facility and now we have other ways to finance it too, use corporate debt if we have to and just own the whole loan on our balance sheet.

Jeff DiModica

CFO

Jade, we talked about this but as you know, we do 60 to 80 page credit memos as if we were underwriting equity. We really prefer to eat our own cooking from a credit perspective regardless of the fact that we are getting significantly more yield and the mez market is a funny one. I think every year for the last five years post-crisis at some point in the year the spreads widen, the banks lose some money on a trade or two and they stop doing it. And that's an opportunity for us to come back in and then a couple quarters later they jump back in. So they are cyclical. That will always be the case. We are here for long term and we will do the work for a longer term holder.

Jade Rahmani

Analyst · KBW. Your line is open

I just want to ask about the dividend yield versus peers. If I assume special servicing is around a third of the LNR segment, do you think it's fair to assume it contributes around 10% or so of total earnings?

Jeff DiModica

CFO

Rina?

Rina Paniry

CEO

On a net basis? Jade, I am not sure if that's a fair statement.

Barry Sternlicht

Management

Let's get back to you on that.

Rina Paniry

CEO

Yes.

Jeff DiModica

CFO

Yes.

Jade Rahmani

Analyst · KBW. Your line is open

I think the core question is, if any of the dividend is supported by special servicing revenues? That may speak to why there is a bit of a higher dividend yield for Starwood versus peers.

Barry Sternlicht

Management

Well, that's clearly the case and we do make money in the business. And unlike our peers, we are covering our dividend handsomely, I might add. So it goes away. We can not cover our dividend too. That would be fine. They still trade at a lower dividend yield than we do. And they trade with a one turn more leverage than we do. So explain that to me. And we have other ways to make money if the lending business gets really tough and they don't. So just straight up, it's sort of ridiculous. The way you cover these companies, is insane. But on the other hand, we do know what it does. It creates nice ROE for us. It's a high ROE business. We are working to replace it with other business lines. As you can see, we are not sitting still. The FHLB thing, we didn't think we would have last year and now we have it. So when we have new businesses. We have another new business that Jeff's trying to convince me to go into and the Board which we will decide if we are going to play in and probably will take our ROE up again. And it might come with higher leverage though. And we might begin to look a little more like they do. I think they are three or 3.1 times and we are like 2.1, 2.2. So just to give a heads up, yes, you can't explain our dividend yield based on our book and being higher than theirs given the diversity of our businesses. We are twice the size that they are by market value. They have a bigger loan book. We have other stuff. And we know we are a complicated story. I mean there is a simplicity to that model. But I think we have been doing this for what, seven, eight years and we have embedded gains in our book that they don't have, as we showed you with Ten-X. I mean to find $60 million you didn't know you had, that's a gain. I guess the investment was something beyond that because there's more cash coming out from that investment. But yes, we scratch our head and we understand the complexity and the fact that servicing book will go down and is declining. Our tangible right now, Rina, is around $60 million?

Rina Paniry

CEO

Yes. $66 million at the end of the quarter.

Barry Sternlicht

Management

So the intangible has been dropped from the original. It was probably what, $500 million?

Rina Paniry

CEO

No. The original was up to $240, $250.

Barry Sternlicht

Management

$240? Yes. So we have taken it down fairly aggressively and the size of the intangible and servicing now is the same size as the gain on Ten-X. How's that for maybe a giggle? So even if it was zero, it would be fine. So we think it will go back up as stuff gets transferred into servicing. But I would say that the frothiness of the lending market has not lead to the kind of fees we might have expected from the rest of the 2007 maturities. But it's fine. I mean it's one of many businesses that we are in.

Jade Rahmani

Analyst · KBW. Your line is open

Thanks. I appreciate it.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Doug Harter with Credit Suisse. Your line is open.

Doug Harter

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your line is open

Thanks. With the monetization of Ten-X coming up, can you talk about the potential for other monetizations, equity kickers on loans in particular?

Barry Sternlicht

Management

Like I said, we passed on an opportunity really in our Dublin portfolio. I mean we really didn't make these investments to trade them. We made these investments that we decided what we would like to own for 10 years. And by the investment we basically increased the duration of our book. And also in meeting with the credit agencies, they were supportive of that. And so we have moved into that business. And finally, we have another investment we are looking at right now for the book on the equity side. But finding deals that meet our criteria, which I think Rina, the book is what, 10.5% billion cash-on-cash yield, is that right?

Rina Paniry

CEO

That's correct. Yes.

Barry Sternlicht

Management

So finding investments like that with that cash yield are not easy to find today given the markets. But we always find something and we have. We found another investment that we are working on. Actually two, one will close in the third quarter and the other one we are still working on. But I guess the biggest asset on the equity kicker side would be 701 Seventh Avenue which is nearing completion. It's the EDITION Hotel on top and I guess they have retail at the base which is led by --

Jeff DiModica

CFO

NFL Cirque Du Soleil.

Barry Sternlicht

Management

NFL is doing NFL experience in the heart of the building which can generate north of five million visitors a year. So the retail is two-thirds leased. There's one remaining space which is the best space, the corner space. I think they did it with Hershey's. They are moving across the street. So this is the corner of --

Jeff DiModica

CFO

47th and 7th.

Barry Sternlicht

Management

47th and 7th and it's catty-corner to the tickets booth and half a million people walk by there every day. So I am highly confident he will lease the corner retail and we and the developer don't agree on how valuable this building is. And we have almost no value for this. He thinks it will be worth nine figures to us. We own close to 20% of the property after the payment of debt. So we will see. I mean if that sells as a trophy property, we will see. But we have been pretty conservative. But we are optimistic he's right. And he swears he's right. So we will see if he's right. So anyway, that's a big number given our share count and we will see. That one because we are not controlling the sale. He is going to sell it when he wants to sell it and we are not looking to market to our position. We are just going to hold it and we have no value from it, there is no cash flow from it right now. I don't know, the building must be a couple million feet. It's a giant building. And we have no debt exposure to that asset, by the way. He brought in EB-5 financing and JPMorgan took the senior and we are out of the deal. So the only thing we have left is the equity kicker which is 20% unsubordinate, straight up. It's actually ahead of the other equity players. So it's a pretty valuable position. And then, as you know, we have been buying assets from the trust and using the fair value purchase option. And so that business has been a good business for us and we continue to mine that base. And there's a lot of assets in it and there are some bigger assets now in it and we will continue to do that. We sold two of them. There's a bunch more that we have on our books that we think are in the money quite a bit. And so we are just finding new ways to make money for the shareholders.

Doug Harter

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your line is open

And then on the Dublin office, you had the nice lease renewal. What does the lease renewal schedule look like? And is there any other sort of big step-ups that you can expect there?

Barry Sternlicht

Management

That is a really good question that I don't have in front of me.

Rina Paniry

CEO

I don't think there are any other tenants that occupy that much space. That was our largest tenant. There are other tenants that are rolling at higher rents but not that would really move the needle in terms of a cash-on-cash yield and occupancy. But you are not going to see the uptick on that until probably first quarter of next year because the rent commitment date on the new lease isn't in until December. So you are going to see the current step kind of stay about the same for the next six months.

Barry Sternlicht

Management

Right. So you will see a lower cash yield right now and then a much higher cash yield next year. And we should get to you because I don't have it at my fingertips and Rina will get it for you, the lease rollover schedule if you want to see it. I don't actually know what it is.

Doug Harter

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your line is open

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Jessica Levi-Ribner with FBR. Your line is open.

Tim Hayes

Analyst · FBR. Your line is open

Hi guys. This is Tim for Jessica. Thanks for taking my questions. You had touched briefly on the lending pipeline and cited it was robust. And just wondering if you could potentially size that for us? And given your expectations for increased conduit activity in the back half of the year and other investment, just any directionally how you expect the second half of the year to stack up to the first half of the year in terms of lending?

Barry Sternlicht

Management

I will say one thing, when we deployed the book that we think will deploy in the third quarter, our cash balances will go down. And so it's accretive to put the money out, right? And I don't know the net of the repayments, Jeff and the money going out. I don't know how accretive it is. But Jeff was just telling me that he thinks the fourth quarter might be bigger than the third quarter. So we have a long line of deals as you know. We don't get to choose when the bar wants to close.

Jeff DiModica

CFO

I would say the third quarter paydown to be about the same as the second quarter. And we expect a little pickup in the fourth quarter and then back to around here for the first quarter of next year. So the pay downs that were elevated as a result of a lot of the 2013 and 2014 construction loans that we successfully made and they are now paying off and we will complete that cycle in the next few months will play out. I will tell you that our normally two page small font pipeline sheet is now over three pages. Doubling the size of our origination team has meant a lot of stress on the team and long hours but good stress. And if we can bring them in, I am as optimistic about the third and fourth quarter as I have been any time since I have been here in the three years that I have been in this seat. So we think we built a really great pipeline and we are excited about it. But as always, we will see how many of those fish we can get in the boat. But it feels really good right now.

Tim Hayes

Analyst · FBR. Your line is open

Great. Thanks. And think I think --

Barry Sternlicht

Management

I would just add one thing. I mean we talk about this all the time, the higher we go, the more risky the asset the more likely we can make a loan and clear the market. On the other hand, as soon as the borrowers fixes the asset, he pays us off. And the duration on those loans is not great. The IRRs are great, but all our profits aren't great. So we would like to move and our credit facilities reflect this. If it's a transitional asset, we might borrow at 250 over on our credit facility. A more stabilized asset or very stabilized asset, we might borrow at 180 over. And if we can meet and work towards lowering our funding costs, which we should at our scale, we would be okay if our 11.5% optimal yields drifted to 10%, even to 9.5% if we got three-year duration out of the paper instead of 12 months or 18 months. So we are really focused on credit quality of the assets and we have lines of scale based on the credit quality of the asset. So I am pushing the team to be more competitive on higher quality assets and take advantage our cheaper funding lines. And also may possibly take advantage of the unsecured debt markets which are attractive to us and a good way for the company to finance itself, particularly if we want to achieve an investment grade rating someday. So it's all, everything is tied to everything, but we are not, we size, sometimes as you probably know but it's worth saying because probably I haven't said it in years. We want to write as wide a piece of paper as we can so that, let's say, we are making a loan that's 65% LTV.…

Jeff DiModica

CFO

Barry mentioned unsecured. Today we could issue five-year unsecured in the 4% to 4.125% range and eight-year unsecured inside 4.5%. So the market is very open and it will be very accretive to us when we have the right use.

Barry Sternlicht

Management

We move towards investment grade, right? And that would be [indiscernible], right? Because then that paper is wide and it keeps coming in and that's the Holy Grail. We win because we have the cheapest cost of funds.

Tim Hayes

Analyst · FBR. Your line is open

Yes. It's great. Thanks for all that. And then I guess just piggybacking off the last part of that just on the unsecured debt comments. I believe you have a convert that matures in the fourth quarter. Are you looking to potentially pay that down with additional unsecured debt? Or as of now are you planning to just use liquidity on hand to pay that off?

Barry Sternlicht

Management

Right now liquidity on hand. It could change. It depends on our deployment of capital, right? I mean it can be paid off. As you can see where our bonds are trading, we could pay it off with an unsecured bond issue or we can pay it off with cash. Correct, Andrew?

Andrew Sossen

Analyst · FBR. Your line is open

Yes. Correct. I mean obviously, as Jeff said, we are reissuing unsecured today or we could assure unsecured today it would be accretive to the extent we replaced our convertible debt with straight unsecured.

Tim Hayes

Analyst · FBR. Your line is open

Okay. Great. That's all I got. Thanks guys.

Barry Sternlicht

Management

Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Our final question comes from question Kenneth Bruce of Bank of America. Your line is open.

Kenneth Bruce

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is open

Thanks. Good morning. You guys know I have been following this company for a long time and I have learned to expect the unexpected, but I am not sure that I was quite thinking non-QM loans. So I am hoping maybe you could just give us a little sense as to what's so attractive about that market? And why now?

Jeff DiModica

CFO

Yes. Sure. You know, part of it's the funding advantage which makes it uber-attractive for us versus anyone else, but when Starbucks had it, it's a credit play for us.

Barry Sternlicht

Management

He's talking about the FHLB loan.

Jeff DiModica

CFO

Yes. It's really a credit play. We have a lot of people here, myself included, who have a lot of experience going back through the crisis. These are the type of loans, these 700 plus FICO, 60 LTV loans that did perform extremely well through the crisis. We believe will perform extremely well going forward. They give us the opportunity to create cash-on-cash return. That's in excess of what we are able to make in any of our commercial books today and certainly with upside to that on the financing side. We have the expertise in-house. This is not our first rodeo in residential. We have looked at all sectors of residential mortgage finance for a long time. It wasn't until we were able to develop some flow relationships with the best premiere guys that are originating this stuff, people who have been around since before crisis, not new guys in the space by any means, that we feel really confident that we are going to be able to originate really strong loans with extremely low to zero losses and zero losses are a viable scenario for us to think about in that space and at financing levels that are great. You know, at the end of the day, our goal is to find areas that are underserved by private capital. We think that market still is today. The securitization exit has come back. If the securitization exit goes away, I don't think you will see us balance sheet with warehouse financing or home loan bank financing a massive portfolio of that stuff. And I don't think this is a greater than 10% equity position in our book over time. It's just something that we are able to take advantage of the opportunity today where other people don't have our funding and maybe don't recognize the ability to leverage as many of these originator relationships as we have.

Kenneth Bruce

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is open

Right. So this would be an originate to distribute, the gain on sale model?

Jeff DiModica

CFO

That would be right. We would do gain on sale. I apologize, that is incorrect. What we would be doing is doing financing and keeping the bottom of the financing, not gain on sale. We want to be --

Barry Sternlicht

Management

Just by way of background, obviously we started a homebuilder in the country and I don't know, 30,000 lots or something like that. We were once the largest owner of lots that wasn't tied to a homebuilder. This is the parent Star Capital. And we created Starwood Way Point which is 37,000 houses. And so I am not sure if anybody has a better view of the residential market than we do. But we still do land deals in California and other places. So we are comfortable with our exposure in the 60s on LTVs on these homes and these markets. And it's again, as Jeff said, it's 10% maybe target and we might adjust that but --

Jeff DiModica

CFO

It might be 2% to 4% this year.

Barry Sternlicht

Management

Of our equity. So we are not turning ourselves into a resi REIT, Ken. It's just another way to deploy capital at what, we think are, attractive rates. And as you guys have pointed out and the market obviously is pricing in, we need to find ways to replace the income from the servicer, so it's one of those, right.

Kenneth Bruce

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is open

Yes. Well I mean from my point of view it's been an area where there's been a lot of inefficiency. There is great return opportunity. I guess I hadn't realized that the securitization market has opened up in a way that kind of makes it maybe something a bit more mainstream than it's been in the past. So that's encouraging to hear. I guess as you think about it and you are probably quite aware that the residential mortgage finance can kind of tighten things up very quickly if it makes its way into some of the bigger lenders. And I don't know if you think that that's kind of off the purview of the big banks who really want to be involved in that business which will give you kind of a statutory mandate over and above what they are willing to do in that business.

Jeff DiModica

CFO

Steven Ujvary who's running the business for us is sitting here and I think he's probably best equipped to talk about it.

Steven Ujvary

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is open

I think that point is kind of spot on. To sum up Barry and Jeff's comments, it's an opportunity for private capital that are outside of the bank construct and to take advantage of an opportunity where banks haven't really piled in and attracted some of these really high-quality borrowers that since the financial crisis can't qualify for an agency mortgage. So what you have seen over the past few years is the private mortgage finance, residential mortgage finance contracts fell away after the crisis and it hasn't really been replaced yet outside of borrowers being able to sell loans into Fannie and Freddie. So that's what we are targeting is high-quality borrowers right outside of the agency credit box. And we have been following the market closely over the past four years. And as Jeff mentioned we are working with the highest quality mortgage originators. And we think that at 60 LTV in mid-700 FICO scores and we stress the borrowers through the financial crisis we are projecting kind of zero losses and the ability to take advantage of that market where the banks are lending is very attractive.

Kenneth Bruce

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is open

Right. Will you have servicers? I assume that you won't pick up servicing in this case or you will have it subserviced?

Steven Ujvary

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is open

That's right. We will have it subserviced.

Kenneth Bruce

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is open

Okay. And last question, you put a lot of emphasis on the competitive advantage that you have in financing markets which certainly in the primary businesses that you are in has a huge impact on your ability to compete. Is this an area that, one I guess, what do you think gives you that cost advantage? And secondarily, do you think that there's some natural barriers that will prevent others from replicating your cost structure?

Jeff DiModica

CFO

We are an extremely large counter party to the Street. So across the board, our financing lines, if we need to use Wall Street, are as good as anybody in the space and a lot of people who play in the space simply don't have the gravitas of the 2,200 person organization that our manager employees. And so that importance and the gravitas of the size of being the largest commercial mortgage REIT, we just tend to get better rates and that is a great thing. We have the Home Loan Bank on top of that and we have expertise in securitization finance here.

Barry Sternlicht

Management

But if we can borrow 50 basis points in size of unsecured versus a competitor and we translate it into a 3:1 or 2:1 leverage, you can originate lower and achieve the same returns, right, if that's how you are choosing to finance your paper or your investments. And we kind of target that leverage. We kind of assign the corporate debt to unencumbered assets and we, in our minds, lever those assets. We are not trying to over lever the book. And I would say that it's fascinating to me and it should be to you, that the equity markets trade at a higher dividend yield than our peers. Our debt is inside of our peers. So if you think the credit markets are the best analyst of risk and return, they have voted aggressively for the business model we have. And the shareholders have not, right. We have a wider dividend yield than our nearest largest competitor. That's kind of fascinating to me. So the credit markets are quite happy and the debt and the equity markets are less convinced. And our stock trade is fine. We trade at a reasonable premium to book value, less to fully adjusted book value for the equity investments we have and the embedded gains in our books and probably close to parity, I would say when you take those into account. And yet we have, I think, a more sustainable business model in the sense that we have more ways to deploy capital to achieve our targeted returns.

Kenneth Bruce

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is open

Yes. Well, I tend to agree with your assessment of it and can appreciate your frustration. It feels that equity --

Barry Sternlicht

Management

Often times it is frustrating.

Kenneth Bruce

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is open

Well, it feels like equity markets sometime ignore some of the risk aspects of one business versus the next and focus on other aspects, but that's probably for research report. Thank you for your time this morning. I appreciate it.

Barry Sternlicht

Management

Thank you. Do we have one call or are we done? Thanks everyone for your time today. And sorry, Operator. You can go ahead.

Operator

Operator

I will turn the call back to management for closing remarks. End of Q&A

Barry Sternlicht

Management

Well, again we are going to thank everyone for being with us today and this team stands ready to answer your questions as we always do after the call. Thank you.