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Starwood Property Trust, Inc. (STWD)

Q2 2025 Earnings Call· Thu, Aug 7, 2025

$18.22

-0.90%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Greetings, and welcome to the Starwood Property Trust Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] A question-and- answer session will follow the formal presentation. [Operator Instructions]As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce Zach Tanenbaum, Director of Investor Relations. Thank you, Zack. You may begin.

Zachary H. Tanenbaum

Analyst

Thank you, operator. Good morning, and welcome to Starwood Property Trust Earnings Call. This morning, we filed our 10-Q and issued a press release with the presentation of our results, which are both available on our website and have been filed with the SEC[Audio Gap] before the call begins, I would like to remind everyone that certain statements made in the course of this call are forward-looking statements which do not guarantee future events or perform related to these statements. Additionally, certain non- GAAP financial measures will be discussed on this call. For a reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most comparable measures prepared in accordance with GAAP and please refer to our press release filed this morning. Joining me on the call today are Barry Sternlicht, the company's Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Jeff DiModica, the company's President; and Rina Paniry, the company's Chief Financial Officer. With that, I am now going to turn the call over to Rina.

Rina Paniry

Analyst

Thank you, Zach, and good morning, everyone. This quarter, we reported distributable earnings or DE of $151 million or $0.43 per share. GAAP net income was $130 million or $0.38 per share. Across businesses, we committed $3.2 billion towards new investments, including $1.9 billion in commercial lending and $700 million in infrastructure lending. This brings capital deployment for the first 6 months of the year to $5.5 billion already surpassing all of 2024. I will begin my segment discussion this morning with commercial and residential lending which contributed DE of $174 million for the quarter or $0.49 per share. In commercial lending, we grew our loan portfolio by $946 million, bringing it to a balance of $15.5 billion. We originated $1.9 billion of loans, of which $1.3 billion was funded and funded another $198 million of pre-existing loan commitments. Our volume this quarter included $500 million for the construction of 2 data centers that are 100% pre-leased to investment-grade tenants. We continue to resolve our foreclosed assets selling 2 in the quarter for $115 million. The first relates to a $137 million office building in Houston that we discussed on our last call. The impact of the sale are shown in 2 separate lines in our GAAP income statement, loss on property and a related gain on extinguishment of debt. Net there was a $4 million GAAP gain and a $44 million DE loss. The second resolution relates to a $55 million of our apartment building in Northlake, Texas. We never recorded any GAAP or DE reserves on this asset and sold it at our basis, fully recovering our original investment. Also during the quarter, we sold an equity kicker for a $51 million GAAP and DE gain. We originally obtained this equity picker for 0 cost from a $47…

Jeffrey F. DiModica

Analyst

Thanks, Rina. Before I begin, Barry, the entire Starwood team and I would like to send our heartfelt condolences to the friends, families and loved ones of the real estate professionals and first responders who are senselessly taken too soon in last week's 345 Park Ave tragedy. Both real estate professionals were very well known and respected at Starwood. As you know, we pre-released earnings on July 16 and raised $500 million of equity to help finance our purchase of fundamental income. . This will be our ninth business and gives us a portfolio of 467 owned properties and 12 million square feet that is 100% occupied by 92 tenants at an average WALT of 17 years, with 2.2% average annual rent escalations. The assets are split fairly evenly between service and industrial with a small component of retail assets. As Rina said, we used $1.3 billion of in-place debt $879 million of which is in ABS Master Trust, and we used approximately $400 million of cash to round out the transaction capital stack and expect to earn increasingly higher ROEs as we leverage the overhead in place. Most importantly, this business sits at the intersection of the cornerstones of our and our managers' expertise, real estate and credit, making it an obvious place for us to invest. We thought about incubating this business ourselves, but ultimately thought having an established team and scaling quickly made more sense. The team consists of 28 experienced professionals who have spent their careers at large net lease businesses. They have deep expertise in origination, underwriting, portfolio management and capital markets. There are strong relationships with middle-market companies and private equity sponsors will significantly enhance our capabilities and market reach. This team is scaled to grow. This is not our first foray into the…

Barry Stuart Sternlicht

Analyst

Thank you, Zach, Rina and Jeff, and good afternoon, everyone, or good morning. Happy August, and thanks for listening in. Well, it seems that the world changes a lot quarter-to-quarter. And the world has certainly changed this quarter. The jobs report was quite a shock, particularly the restatement of prior job gains and seem slightly lag that the sale will cut rates in September. And I think at this point, we most of us would agree that rates are coming down, just a question of our speed. And by May of '26, I think the short end would be at least 100 basis points lower than it is today and probably more. The other thing that we know for sure is that the real estate complex is gaining in strength and being healthy as we see the end of the avalanche of new supply created for a different interest rate environment, particularly affecting the multifamily and industrial sectors. While construction remains strong and is tremendous job gains in construction, it really is from data centers and also from the infrastructure bill, and the CHIPS Act and other programs and that will accelerate with the repatriation reshoring of plants and equipment in factories in the United States, some things like the pharmaceutical industry, which will probably have to vacate Ireland and move our plants back to the United States to satisfy the administration. With both lower rates and the firming of the real estate complex, I think you'll see a significant pickup in transaction volumes for the real estate markets in the United States. You already are seeing that in Europe. Europe has -- had rates drop from 42, likely hitting 1.75. And so there's a lot of activity in Europe. We have our busiest years ever in Europe as a…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from the line of Dan -- Don Fandetti with Wells Fargo.

Donald James Fandetti

Analyst

Can you talk a little bit about your expectations for CRE loan growth, I think your portfolio was up 6% quarter-over-quarter. And I guess [Audio Gap] got loan growth to accelerate.

Jeffrey F. DiModica

Analyst

Thanks, Don. I'll take it first and can hand to Barry after we've done $4.2 billion, I think, through 2 quarters. We have obviously closed more since the end of June that will put us on a mid-$8 billion pace. The record we ever did was $10 billion of transitional floating obviously, that's taking away the other cylinders CMBS and Infra and all the other things that we do lend on. I think that we will end this year very close to that $10 billion number that we did in 2021. In 2021, you had $670 billion of transaction volume. I think you're probably closer to [$400 billion] this year. So transaction volume hasn't picked up. It will pick up in your scenario. Lower rates will help that. Lower rates will also help refis. You have some assets that have not yet refi from pre rate rises, the 2020, '21 and early '22 vintages that were very large. Some of them have not yet moved, so those will move forward. Creating more opportunities. And obviously, business plans that have played out on the 2022, '23 and '24 loans. We'll be more likely to refi as we see spreads come in. So we're on pace even without that great environment to have close to a record year. We are very much on offense. I think there are a number of people who have not been able to be on offense. We've invested in every quarter since our inception. We've been investing aggressively for the last few years. As I said, our goal is to continue to grow the balance sheet to offset nonaccruals so we can sit on assets and work them out to the benefit of shareholders rather than selling it at a more distressed level. And this will also help that lower rate environment will also help that nonaccrual book. And many of them have debt yields that are just below where they might be able to refinance today, and they'll be able to refinance in your outlook. So we hope that's right, but we have built the business to be okay in either direction. We'll be fine in a higher rate environment, as we're showing you in the first half of the year. And we're prepared for that. But certainly, we'd all like to see that low rate environment that Barry pointed out is likely, that I pointed out the forward curve is saying will happen in that you're supposing, but feels like we have upside from here, not downside as rates potentially go lower and we move further away from the beginning of that '22 rate hike cycle.

Donald James Fandetti

Analyst

Got it. And can you talk a little bit about the ramp-up of .

Barry Stuart Sternlicht

Analyst

Yes, -- can you hear me, Jeff?

Jeffrey F. DiModica

Analyst

Perfectly, Barry.

Barry Stuart Sternlicht

Analyst

It's Barry. Can you Yes. I'd say I mean we have a lot of business lines now. So we're really agnostic of where we've put capital. And we also know capital doesn't grow on trees. So we're going to be even more focused on not just dollar originations, but the returns and the full dollar profits the likelihood that money stays out longer than we've probably been in the past. And lean into good credit. Now we'll do it with fundamental as we've done with SIF, we'd like to continue to grow our infrastructure lending business, and we're continuing to look at other businesses. So we don't have infinite access to capital and not at these dividend yields. So we have to be careful and judicious to...

Jeffrey F. DiModica

Analyst

Barry, you cut at the end. Barry, you cut out at the last 20 seconds, so I'm going to hand it to Don. Well, maybe you get a better connection.

Donald James Fandetti

Analyst

In terms of my follow-up, Jeff, if you could talk a little bit about the ramp-up of the net lease portfolio business. It sounds like there's going to be some domestic and international opportunities. Are there portfolios? Or would this just be sort of a kind of smaller acquisitions over time type strategy? .

Jeffrey F. DiModica

Analyst

Yes. Listen, we laid out for you the portfolio that we have and that portfolio was sort of $20 million to $30 million assets. That's the sweet spot for this company. That's often the sweet spot for this segment. I will say, in the first week that we own the business, we saw a $160 million trade that revolves around some school buildings. We saw a $400 million and $600 million potential opportunity, 2 different ones there for a total of $1.16 billion in 3 potential opportunities. The last 2 were industrial assets, well located that we've looked at. I'm not sure that we're ready to jump in at that scale today, but the team is rebuilding a pipeline. They had sort of closed their pipeline a bit over the last couple of months, but their pipeline is growing again today. And I would expect that -- I mentioned we underwrote $400 million to $500 million a year for the first 3 or 4 years just to get to our accretion dilution number. My guess is we can do double that, the team is really strong as the pipeline builds, we have great confidence that they're going to do significantly more. And as Barry said, doubling the size of this business will make it look a lot more like some of the public comps that trade at 1.4x GAV. And with our FCCR of 6.4x and I think the industry closer to 3. We have really good credits in the book. We're very happy with -- we spent a tremendous amount of time to start Capital Group and our team there [indiscernible] and Peter Reid and our team did a tremendous job underwriting together with our team, the credit. So we feel really good about what's on the book, but I think we will be looking to grow in the $20 million to $30 million space that they've historically done, but we will look at these bigger trades. If we found the credit that we like, I think we could certainly supercharge that growth. But the modeled number is not our expectation from management. We think we can grow faster, but it's going to take them a couple of quarters to rebuild the pipeline. And for the world to really realize that Starwood is very behind this business. We have a lower cost of capital than their previous owner had, and we're super excited to be able to go into cap rates that are a little bit lower than what they've been able to buy previously, which will give us better credits and with our financing and getting better financing than what they had historically, we think that, that will create even higher returns. So super excited about where this is going to go.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from Rick Shane with JPMorgan.

Richard Barry Shane

Analyst · JPMorgan.

Look, the organic growth in the infrastructure business has accelerated nicely. Curious about really 3 things here. One, it looks like the spreads on this business are a little bit wider. Curious if you see that as sustainable or converging given the competition in that space. Two, it also looks -- and Jeff, you alluded to the fact or not alluded to, actually stated you're focused on the right side of your balance sheet is on the left side. It looks like the funding spreads in that business are also wider. Is there an opportunity for additional efficiency there -- and then finally, can you help us understand the duration of those assets in the context of the core balance sheet?

Jeffrey F. DiModica

Analyst · JPMorgan.

Sure. I think Sean Murdock is probably on here. So I may -- he doesn't speak very often. He runs that business tremendously well for us. But I'm going to start with a couple of the other questions. The right side as far as the funding goes, it's really interesting what happened here. The banks who lend here tend to be more corporate credit lending banks than they are real estate lending banks. So in early '22 when rates went higher, we went from borrowing on cash flowing multifamily at $125 to $150 over, so for up to $250 to $300 over so for the same assets. Spreads widened on everything on office, they went 3x that on hotels that went significantly higher and we saw a pretty steep move wider and that has now come back. We're getting close on commercial real estate to back to where we were, but we got whipsaw of it. At the same time, we got much higher coupons for making a loan on a commercial real estate assets. So our returns ended up about the same over that period. The infrastructure business was very different. The right side, the funding spreads that you said are a little bit wider stayed about the same. Our lines are between sort of 175 and 200 over before we go to a CLO, and that never really moves wider. So asset spreads did move wider for a few years, and it allowed us to go from earning low mid-teens to earning mid-high teens for a couple of years. We're back in the mid-teens today, as the asset spreads have come in a bit, you've seen that in the term loan B market with a number of repricings and a portion of our book is term loans. But…

Sean Murdock

Analyst · JPMorgan.

Yes. I think the way we've tried to sort of maintain interest margin is exactly what Jeff mentioned, we're doing more deals ourselves. There may be a little bit smaller infrastructure assets, but where we can sell underwrite and so execute that tends to [Audio Gap] come in tension between the syndicated or club loans and individually in single lender assets. Great, [Audio Gap] thank you so much.

Jeffrey F. DiModica

Analyst · JPMorgan.

These are $1 billion power plants. Construction costs have gone from what, Sean under $1,000 to probably closer to $2,000 a megawatt now. So they're very expensive. They're very large. Rick, 1 of the questions I didn't answer was duration. Sean's loan, the energy infrastructure businesses loans tend to be 5- to 7-year loans, where the commercial real estate loans tend to be 3- to 5-year loans. Obviously, if things work out, things can pay off a little bit earlier than that, but I expect a little bit more duration on our energy book than I do on our commercial book.

Richard Barry Shane

Analyst · JPMorgan.

Got it. Okay. Very helpful. And thank for having time on this one.

Jeffrey F. DiModica

Analyst · JPMorgan.

Thanks Rick.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Jade Rahmani with KBW.

Jade Joseph Rahmani

Analyst · KBW.

Thank you very much. We don't often get credit for mistakes we avoid, and I have to take my hat off to you for only doing 1 life science deal in a super competitive market in the last cycle. The $17 million loss doesn't seem all that bad in a broader context. So I applaud you for taking action on that and the $51 million equity kicker gain also a nice surprise. So the question is on credit. Do you believe credit in the portfolio stabilized based on what we know now. Do you expect the gradual improvement on resolution plans you have in place? And also if you could comment on the hotel exposure in the loan portfolio.

Jeffrey F. DiModica

Analyst · KBW.

Absolutely. Thanks, Jade. I appreciate the nice words. The life science market we looked at -- you had a lot of office that was getting converted to life science back in the days when everybody was taking more coming out of Covid. Obviously, there was a great need in COVID. But we didn't feel like we needed a multiple more of life science space. You just didn't graduate enough scientists to create a significant of a demand. And we knew AI was coming in that would reduce the number of trials that somebody might make it going after a gene or whatever it is from -- you might have gone after it 10 different ways well with AI, you might only go after it a couple of different ways. So I think we've had a relatively bear [Audio Gap] view on that for a while. Unfortunately, we did that 1 through. We thought it would be a good $17 million write-down on that, and hopefully, we can work out a bit. The kicker gain was nice as well. So thank you for bringing that up. The hotel exposure, I'm getting my percentage is right now, I think it's 6% of our overall [Audio Gap] there, we've not lost any money on hotels. We kept went into the COVID side, but we actually said something in 2020, and I'm going to turn it to Barry if he's here because he is the greatest hotel expert I've ever met. But in 2020, we said we didn't expect to lose any money on our hotel portfolio, and that was when they were all shut. So right now, we feel really good about the exposures that we've taken. It's a broad mix of some destination, some roadside and drive to and some in more major cities. But the hotel book continues to hold up very well. Hotels can miss on their cash flow by a little bit, but when you're lending at 65% or 70% we have a lot more cushion there as income has gone up as you've seen anyone who's come into New York City in the last year has been where hotel rates are. Income has gone up, expenses have gone up also. So we're very careful on expenses. But to erode this 30% or 35% lending cushion that we have in hotels is a lot harder if things don't go bad and this higher rate environment has been met with higher income as well. So fortunately, there, we have that where you don't necessarily have that on office broadly. Barry, are you trying to jump in because -- is that you, Barry?

Barry Stuart Sternlicht

Analyst · KBW.

I could say it. Can you hear me?

Jeffrey F. DiModica

Analyst · KBW.

Yes, I can.

Barry Stuart Sternlicht

Analyst · KBW.

Yes. Life Sciences secured the daylight side of us. it was sort of a conversion of office to life science was kind of like time share for a hotel that didn't work for a while, it was as good as it got. I think it's interesting you bring it up because I think data center space will be interesting spreads have contracted dramatically if a building is being leased or is fully leased, but some people are beginning to do or trying to expect data centers to get pretty widespread as you should in the spec data center, but it's something we're not choosing to do right now. So I think there are -- it's a similar thing. It's like you go back where you can go, so it's something that is obviously not spectrum we've got the best credits that are in the world. But the spreads there have dramatically contracted probably 200 basis points or 175 basis points from where they were when we started in the lending business in data centers. And we are a data center developer with $19 billion of pipeline ourselves. So we know the market from the equity side and the debt side, and we've seen what -- as we finance those buildings, and we've seen what's happened. The hotels, I mean, you have to be careful of the blue cities right now because the unions are really strong. New York City contracts coming up in May of next year, it's going to look something like what happened in L.A. So even though New York remains fairly strong, shockingly strong at the [rest of our line] given the depreciation of the dollar and its impact on foreign tourism. It is not Vegas is weak. There are markets that are weak, and we just cherry-pick opportunities. And I don't -- I think we are fine. We often lend and say, well we get the asset at the debt balance, we'd love to own it there [Audio Gap]. So I think that probably applies to almost all of our hotel loans.

Jeffrey F. DiModica

Analyst · KBW.

On Atlantis, which was a large position. We're going to get paid off in the next quarter on a Hawaii asset. And obviously, hotels have a really high debt yield going in, and that high debt yield enables them to navigate the higher SOFR more easily. And Jade, you did ask 1 more thing on the credit cycle. I don't want to be too -- I don't want to skip over that. But if the forward curve is right and we head towards 3%. So for my gut is that the industry is likely overreserved. If you end up in the high 3s to 4%, the industry probably has reserved for that. And if forward curve ends up above 4%, there will be more problems. So today where we sit with the [forfeiture] of heading to 3% by the end of '26 early '27. I feel really good. But that forward curve has moved around by 100 basis points, 3x each direction over the last 1.5 years. So we'll continue to watch it, and we'll continue to try to work out of things that if the forward curve does stay above 4% that we have a path away from. But with the forward curve heading where it is today, I think everybody in our seats are feeling a little bit better.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Douglas Harter with UBS.

Douglas Michael Harter

Analyst · UBS.

Hoping you could give us an update on kind of the time line for resolution on some of the problem assets or foreclosed assets. How we should think about kind of getting that capital back and kind of how much and just the magnitude of capital against those -- that's unproductive today?

Jeffrey F. DiModica

Analyst · UBS.

Yes. I think it's about $1.7 billion or $1.8 billion today of nonaccrual assets, Doug. There's some where we have some control where we're making a choice today not to sell at today's level and that we think we have a better outcome by holding on. And so far, that's been working better than we might have thought. It would. I think we told you 2 quarters ago, that we had a plan that we would try to be half out of it by the end of '26 and then half again of that by the end of '27, which would be only 1/4 of that book. That's our patient forecast. Hopefully, we can do better. There are certainly some assets that we've spoken about here before that we can't do a lot on. There's a few that were syndicated on like a large retail asset, and then we're going to have to wait and work together with a group there that will take a while. There are a couple of things in Downtown L.A. and Downtown L.A. is just not moving forward as quickly as possible. So we're looking at other potential options on those. A few small apartments that make that up. You've seen us sell 2 or 3 of the apartments that we've taken back at our basis. My gut is we'll sell a couple more of those at our basis in the coming quarter or 2. So the REO book is mostly things that we think we have a handle on being able to move out in that time line. But as I said, there are a couple of other larger broadly syndicated things that might take a while. But that is built into what we produced to the Board for a 3-year plan, and we're sort of very comfortable with where that plan is and that, that will allow us to continue to earn this dividend over the next 3 years or so. So we're not going to rush rushing would cause you go from our 9.5% cost of capital, you sell something to an opportunistic fund and they have a 20% cost of capital, and then they bid it back for any downside that could happen, and that's not necessarily the best outcome hitting a bit today on an asset for our shareholders. We've seen some of our peers do that. But we have capital, we have access to capital, and we're going to act with our managers Starwood Capital Group has $110 billion of assets under management and look at each individual asset to try to go forward and make our best plan.

Douglas Michael Harter

Analyst · UBS.

Great. I appreciate that, Jeff. And any update on the Washington residential conversion? Kind of what's the updated time line and thoughts of kind of getting that property underlying cash flow?

Jeffrey F. DiModica

Analyst · UBS.

Yes. We -- I'll send you after we have some beautiful pictures of what that asset will ultimately look like. We're monitoring rents in that market. Rents have actually gone up on Class A multi-rentals. So we're starting to feel better and better, but we have not begun construction. We're in the permitting phase, and we have the final drawing. So I feel pretty good that it's going to be a tremendous product. It's in the right spot in D.C. that we hope to be able to give you a lot more information on over the next couple of years. It's a couple of year project. We've reserved money for that and we'll see. But we do have ourselves getting back our basis and more on that asset, as we've told you in the past, if -- once we're done with the conversion.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And with that, this does conclude the question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the call back to Jeff DiModica for closing remarks.

Jeffrey F. DiModica

Analyst

Well, normal, I'll put it to Barry, but the connection isn't great today. I want to thank everybody for joining us and thanks to the team who did a lot of work to get a lot of things over the line in the last quarter. I appreciate everybody's time.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And with that, this does conclude today's teleconference. We thank you for your participation. You may disconnect at this time, and have a wonderful day.