Steve Williams
Analyst · various risk factors and assumptions and those are described in our Q1 earnings release as well as our current AIF. And these are both available on SEDAR, EDGAR and our website, suncor.com. There are certain financial measures, we referred to in these comments are not prescribed by Canadian GAAP and for a description of these, please see our first quarter earnings release. After our formal remarks, we will open the call to questions first from members of the investment community and then if time permits, members of the media. With that, I'll hand over to Steve Williams for his comments
Okay, I mean and I'll do it sort of helicopter level and then if Alister wants to jump in, he will. I mean first of all, what you've seen over the last five, eight years now is a rigorous capital discipline. So, we look dispassionately at the uses of our shareholder's capital and we look at the organic opportunities, we look at the inorganic opportunities and we look at referring it through dividend and share buyback. You've seen us continue to move dividends as we've grown the production of the company and you will see that continue into the future. You've seen us we're finishing two of the biggest projects in Canadian industry, are coming to fruition in this next year. So, you've seen us where appropriate start and then finish major organic capital investments. And you've seen us, we started this consolidation of the industry a year ago with Canadian oil sands in Murphy, you've seen us prepare to the - deals to be of very high value, you'll see us do deals there. So, you've seen that we're open to all of the potential uses of capital. Our view at the moment is given the way we have restructured the company, given the assets we now have in the company, and when we look at those three opportunities available to us. Organic investment, we've got a long list of excellent projects, and we will look to trigger those. I don't see those being triggered in the next year or two, I think we're further back in terms of triggering the next generation of in situ replication in the early - for the early 2020, but you know there is considerable investment for 400,000 barrels a day plus with capacity there. We've got some minor, I'll call it minor returns of investment, but significant in terms of our potential production opportunities to debottleneck with the new assets that come on. So, with Fort Hills and with Syncrude in our portfolio, we've got some good low cost high return projects there, so that's great. We've looked at the M&A opportunity, we've got the first mover advantage we believe with the Syncrude deal. I said I believe the window was shutting and for Suncor, because of our rigorous focus on value, that window was and is starting to close and we're seeing that, the success it builds, our good deals but they are, they are more expensive up in the Canadian oil sands deal. So, given that world in our view of the future, we view that having those dividend, our next opportunity is share buybacks and these share prices, we are very happy with that investment. So, Alister used a word and it was carefully picked, it's a relatively aggressive share buyback. We intend to - everything else being equal, we intend to go ahead and execute the share buyback in the 12 months.