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SUNation Energy Inc. (SUNE)

Q2 2025 Earnings Call· Tue, Aug 19, 2025

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. My name is Desiree, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the SUNation Energy Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to turn the conference over to Devin Sullivan of The Equity Group. You may begin.

Devin Sullivan

Analyst

Thank you, Desiree, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us today for Sun Nation's 2025 Second Quarter Financial Results Conference Call. Our speakers for today are Scott Maskin, Chief Executive Officer; and James Brennan, the company's Chief Financial Officer. Mr. Maskin will open with prepared remarks, followed by Mr. Brennan and then a question-and-answer session. Before we get started, I'd like to remind everyone that prospects of SUNation Energy are subject to uncertainties and risks. Remarks on today's call may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Act of 1934. The company intends that such forward-looking statements be subject to the safe harbor provided by the foregoing section. These forward-looking statements are based largely on the expectations or forecasts of future events, can be affected by inaccurate assumptions and are subject to various business risks and known and unknown uncertainties, a number of which are beyond the control of management. Therefore, actual results could differ materially from the forward-looking statements contained in today's call. The company cannot predict or determine after the fact what factors would cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated by the forward-looking statements or other statements. Participants should consider statements that include the words believes, expects, anticipates, intends, estimates, plans, projects, should, or other expressions that are predictions of or indicate future events or trends to be uncertain and forward-looking. We caution investors not to place undue reliance upon. The company does not undertake to publicly update or revise forward-looking statements, whether because of new information, future events or otherwise. Additional information respecting factors that could materially affect the company and its operations, are contained in the company's filings with the SEC, including its Form 10-K and subsequent filings, which can be found on the SEC's website at www.sec.gov. With that said, I'd now like to turn the call over to Scott Maskin, Chief Executive Officer of SUNation Energy. Scott, please go ahead.

Scott Maskin

Analyst

Good morning, everyone. I want to thank everybody for this opportunity today. As you know, we just released our Q2 filings, so welcome to our earnings call. I look forward to answering your questions at the end. Feel free throw hard balls or soft balls and I'll be answering them. So I want to take a few minutes to talk about where SUNation stands today, what we're seeing across the solar industry and where I believe we're headed in the back half of 2025 and into early 2026. Let's start at the top. I couldn't be proud of the progress that we've made as a business. We've avoided more than a few icebergs navigating through fabricated headwinds and economic noise. And SUNation has come out stronger. We're stable, we're lean and in my view, we're set up to outperform our peer set. That said, this industry just doesn't quit throwing curveballs. You hear me referring to our industry is riding the solar coaster. And before each earnings call, I look backwards and I ask myself, did I see this coming? Could I have seen this coming? And what changes what I have made? Honestly, nothing could have prepared us for what the post-election solar landscape would look like, but the results of the one big beautiful bill and its impact to the solar industry would have been like predicting COVID. Coming off a brutal 2024, where SUNation and many others saw sales drop 25% to 40%. If they even stayed afloat, I came into this year very optimistic, not because of politics, but because of fundamentals, job growth, domestic manufacturing, energy independence. It just made sense. Solar and storage brought Americans back to work faster than any other sector post-COVID. We delivered the cheapest per kilowatt hour of any energy…

James Brennan

Analyst

Thank you, Scott, and good morning, everyone. From a logistics point of view, Scott Maskin, Kristin Hlavka, SUNation's Chief Accounting Officer and Treasurer, and I are usually in the same room for these earnings calls. However, given Hurricane, Erin's past and expected flight delays. The 3 of us are in separate states, and we'll do our best today to make this call go seamlessly. We issued our earnings release yesterday morning and filed our 10-Q with the SEC on August 15. This has been a remarkable period for the SUNation team. With the support of an incredible team, we have reshaped nearly every aspect of the business operationally, financially and strategically. We gained momentum as the year progressed and delivered our second quarter performance that marked a turning point in our journey to create a new, strong and sustainable SUNation energy. We increased our gross margin, reduced our SG&A expenses and improved our adjusted EBITDA loss compared to the last year's second quarter. We strengthened our balance sheet through aggressive deleveraging, reduced our total debt by 61% from December 31, 2024, and driving down our second quarter interest expense by nearly $600,000. Our cash position improved nearly fourfold. We have built a robust and growing backlog in our residential and commercial business segments that has given us a clear line of sight to significantly improve performance in the second half of the year and the confidence to reiterate our full year financial guidance. In summary, we are addressing the new realities of our industry while maintaining the highest level of customer service, remaining a reliable partner to our suppliers and driving sustainable growth opportunities. We are operating more efficiently and delivering on our business and financial obligations. On to the review of our second quarter of 2025 results. Total Q2…

Scott Maskin

Analyst

Nice job, Jim. Thank you. And now if anybody has any questions, we're happy to flip back between Jim and I, and answer some questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Julien Dumoulin-Smith with Jefferies. Hannah Marie Velásquez: This is Hannah Velásquez on for Julien. Thanks for the update and nicely done. I have few questions. The first to open it up, you mentioned on the call just some new financing models and potentially financing structures to enter into 2026. Can you provide any further detail in terms of what you're contemplating there?

Scott Maskin

Analyst

Yes, thank you for the call. And thank you and Julien for me. I would say that as soon as the guidance came out on 25D and 48E, it was sort of like a scramble. Most companies that we're looking at that were traditionally loan-oriented residential companies knew that they had to pivot. Some of the people that came up was light reach. There's a few of them out there, right, that are really kind of shaping third-party ownership. But what I do believe is that there are significant players that are working behind the scenes to kind of lace a different financing model between TPO and the loan market. Some people talk about prepaid leases, but I think that -- I won't give you names, but I know there's a bunch of people out there right now trying to lace together different ingredients to make it all work that's best for the homeowners that serves everybody's needs. Does that answer the question? Hannah Marie Velásquez: Yes, that's perfect. I understand it's still early innings and everybody is trying to sort through the transition. So commentary is very fair. And then if I could just ask a follow-up. Can you give us a sense of the growth outlook for residential solar in 2026, more so macro growth rather than company growth, in terms of installations, again in 2026 and maybe if you have visibility into 2027, not only taking into account the expiration of 25D, but also the favorable outcome from treasury guidance on Friday of last week?

Scott Maskin

Analyst

Yes. Thanks. I mean there's a lot to unpack there. I think that the brace right now over the last couple of months was the race to secure funding materials and everything else so that we could make a commitment to the customers that they would get installed by 12/31, that loan customers would get installed before the end of the year. So that's pretty much taken everybody's effort. And quite frankly, responsible companies right now in the residential space are mitigating that risk, saying, "Hey, listen, you're in the queue. We're 200 projects oversold for 2021, but there's always issues that push people to the sidelines, permitting issues and whatnot. What is surprising is we have not seen a slowdown in sales for people that got the notification that we can't guarantee that -- and I say guaranteed tax credits, I mean that we can guarantee that the system will be installed that if you qualify for the tax credits, you would be able to take advantage of them. We haven't seen a slowdown of applications coming in for people that want solar. That's super promising because I think that in 2026, after the sunset, these people are going to be, well, I'm down the road, I have my permits, talk to me about other financing options, and we'll still move forward as the cost of energy continues to rise and rise. And as I mentioned, the albatross of AI in crypto and power demand negatively impact. They're going to make residential energy costs go up. There's only so much supply right now. So I think that in 2026, it's going to be -- you're going to be limited possibly by supply because I think there's going to be a glut of product that is spoken for. I don't see -- a lot of things are going to happen in the next year. And boy, it didn't -- it only took -- let's put it this way, in 22 years of me in this industry, it only took a couple of months to go from 30% tax credit to no tax credit. If you start talking about 2027, then a lot can happen between now and 2027. And just delivering transparency to what the industry looks like to offtakers is the most important thing and earning their confidence. Hannah Marie Velásquez: Okay. Super fair -- go ahead.

James Brennan

Analyst

If I may Hannah, I would add that the whole comments Scott made earlier about our diversified approach to this market. I think that's the key answer here, which is residential, it's unclear what the total impact of the entire market will be in 2026 and 2027, because everybody's got a pivot to third-party-owned selling approaches, where historically, at least at SUNation for the last 22 years, we have focused on purchase to own, not third-party owned. And so that will be a pivot. But the good news is that we -- our other sources of revenue. So we have 5 or 6 sources of revenue. Residential is only one of them, commercial roofing, service, electrical services, and adding on additional revenue sources, that's the key to our success here. As residential becomes a question mark in '26 and '27, our commercial business unit is exploding, as I just mentioned in our prepared remarks. And so that's going to be the key. When the government got rid of 25D, which I think was exactly the opposite of logic, 48E actually continues to promote not only residential TPO, but the commercial side of our business. And so I -- we expect to continue to see that to grow. Hannah Marie Velásquez: Right. Super fair. And I think like the safe harbor outcome for smaller solar, it bodes well for both residential and the C&I perspective. Okay. Yes, I was mostly trying to get us the context of some of your peers in the resi space have been sizing 2026 at maybe, call it, down 20% as they take into account loan and cash down meaningfully, but then TPO up. And so I was just looking to see if you agree with that framework or concede it could actually be better again just because you have more visibility into likely 2029 and 2030 on the leasing front for solar?

Scott Maskin

Analyst

I think it's going to be better than predictions based on the chatter that I see and especially because we operate in New York and Hawaii. I can't talk for other -- some of the other markets. But for us, the cost of power is absurd. So I see people getting pushed further and further along to join it.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] There are no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the call back over to the management team.

Unidentified Company Representative

Analyst

So we have some questions from the investor in box. This one comes from John L. At what point does an installation qualify for the tax credit? In other words, does it have to be completely installed, partially installed or connected to the grid?

Scott Maskin

Analyst

Yes. Thanks for that, John. Our read on this is we have to have the system up and operational, ready to connect. That is exclusive of closing out building permits, utility interconnection. This is the residential off-taker. We can't be held accountable for slow utility works and whatnot. So our commitment to the customers that we've made is that you will be up and operational by 12/31. And if you can take advantage of the tax credits, and we do not give tax advice, then we'll absolutely be ready to apply for it.

Unidentified Company Representative

Analyst

The next question comes from Ariel C. Do you see any opportunity for solar as part of AI/data centers?

Scott Maskin

Analyst

Oh my God, yes. Thank you, Ariel. We keep hearing, we use AI in our own business, right? I write some of my stuff with AI. But I was mindful of a project that I just went to where Microsoft is building a 1 million square foot AI facility in Milwaukee. And that -- the power consumption and water consumption for that building is going to dwarf the 350,000 homes that are in Milwaukee, right? So there's no question, price of electricity in Milwaukee is going to go up for residential offtakers because there's only so much being generated there. What I see is an incredible play is that -- and I mentioned it in the oncoming statements that solar-only and storage-only companies are super vulnerable. It's time for companies that embrace both fossil fuel and renewables to start to work together and use the same property and use the same transmission line and whatnot and cite these things. So I think there's a fabulous opportunity to participate in alongside as fossil fuel, oil, natural gas and whatnot as opposed to being this or that. So yes, and that's exactly where my head is heading right now after the one big beautiful bill.

Unidentified Company Representative

Analyst

And then what looks like maybe the final question from Nick B. How do you expect quarterly revenues/adjusted EBITDA to trend over Q3 and Q4?

Scott Maskin

Analyst

I'm going to flip that one over to Jim Brennan.

James Brennan

Analyst

Thank you, Nick. Good question. So we don't give quarterly guidance. As you may recall, this is the first year that we actually gave guidance in a while. And so what I will say is that -- and you've heard me say this on prior earnings calls, is that we happen to be in a little bit of a cyclical business. So Q1 for different reasons, Q1 in New York and Q1 in Hawaii are typically lower revenue, potentially loss of net income quarters for us. Q2, typically in those 2 markets begin to start ramping up. And therefore, might be certainly see some growth on the revenue side, but profitability may be neutral. Q3 starts ramping up hard. We start stockpiling some cash and then Q4 even better. And I wish I didn't have that in our 2 business segments and perhaps as we continue to grow with our roll-up strategy, we can bolt on other companies that have different profiles. But for the New York and Hawaii businesses for different reasons. Q1 low, Q2 better, Q3 and Q4 are off to the races almost every year. Good question there.

Unidentified Company Representative

Analyst

And that concludes the investor inbox. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes today's call. Thank you all for joining, and you may now disconnect.