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Synaptics Incorporated (SYNA)

Q1 2025 Earnings Call· Thu, Nov 7, 2024

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Synaptics First Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions]. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to your first speaker today, Munjal Shah, Vice President, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Munjal Shah

Analyst

Thank you, Kathy. Good afternoon, and thank you, everyone, for joining us today on Synaptics first quarter fiscal 2025 conference call. My name is Munjal Shah, and I am the Head of Investor Relations. With me on today's call are Michael Hurlston, our President and CEO; and Ken Rizvi, our Chief Financial Officer. This call is also being broadcast live over the web and can be accessed from the Investor Relations section of the company's website at synaptics.com. In addition to the supplemental slide presentation, we have also posted a copy of these prepared remarks on our Investor Relations website. In addition to the Company’s GAAP results, management will also provide supplementary results on a non-GAAP basis, which excludes share-based compensation, acquisition-related costs, and certain other non-cash or recurring or non-recurring items. Please refer to our earnings press release issued after market close today for a reconciliation of the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures to the non-GAAP financial measures presented, which can be accessed from the Investor Relations section of the Company's website at synaptics.com. Additionally, we would like to remind you that during the course of this conference call, Synaptics will make forward-looking statements in our prepared remarks and may make additional forward-looking statements in response to your questions. These forward-looking statements give our current expectations and projections relating to our financial condition, results of operations, plans, objectives, future performance and business. Although Synaptics believes our estimates and assumptions to be reasonable, they are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties beyond our control. Synaptics cautions that actual results may differ materially from any future performance suggested in the Company's forward-looking statements. Therefore, we refer you to the Company's current and periodic reports filed with the SEC, including our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K and Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, for important Risk Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement. Synaptics expressly disclaims any obligation to update this forward-looking information. I will now turn the call over to Michael.

Michael Hurlston

Analyst

Thanks, Munjal. I'd like to welcome everyone to today's call. We delivered very solid performance this quarter. Revenue increased 8% year-over-year and exceeded the mid-point of our guidance range, driven by continued strength in Core IoT product sales, which were up 55% compared to the prior year. Our profitability continues to improve with non-GAAP gross and operating margins higher compared to the prior quarter and the year ago. We delivered strong EPS growth with non-GAAP EPS increasing 56% year-over-year. We had another great quarter in Core IoT, led by our wireless and processor products. We are introducing new products, winning new designs, and increasing our pipeline. Our Core IoT funnel has grown nearly 30% since our last update a year ago, increasing from about $2.2 billion in September of 2023 to over $3 billion today. This design pipeline supports a compounded revenue growth of 25% to 30% over the next five years. In wireless, we are making progress in broad markets, which we defined as a part of the wireless connectivity market that requires lower power and lower cost solution. At our Analyst's Day just over a year ago, we outlined our SAM from this market segment as approximately $3 billion. Our first broad market chip is back from our fab and is on track to sample this quarter, allowing us to address this opportunity for the first time. Given our level of differentiation, we expect to build share in broad markets and establish a meaningful position over the next two years. Meanwhile, in high-performance Wi-Fi, we continue to build our position with new customer wins and market share gains. The pace of new wins accelerated, nearly doubling in number as compared to just three months ago and spanned across a broad range of customers and applications. In addition, we…

Ken Rizvi

Analyst

Thanks, Michael, and good afternoon to everyone. I will focus my remarks on our non-GAAP results, which are reconciled to GAAP financial measures in the earnings release tables found in the Investor Relations section of our website. Now, let me turn to our financial results for the first quarter of fiscal 2025. Revenue for fiscal Q1 was $257.7 million, above the mid-point of our guidance, with sequential improvement across Core IoT, Enterprise & Automotive and Mobile products. Q1 revenues were up 8% on a year-over-year basis and up 4% sequentially. Revenue mix in the first quarter was as follows: 23% Core IoT, 57% Enterprise & Automotive and 20% Mobile Products. Core IoT product revenues increased 55% year-over-year and 10% sequentially, reflecting new design ramps as well as further recovery in the overall wireless end-market. Enterprise & Automotive product revenue improved 3% sequentially and was down 5% on a year-over-year basis. Our PC products continued to improve sequentially helped by both share gains and seasonality. The year-over-year decline was primarily due to our Automotive products, which were impacted by the overall market slowdown and a decline in legacy products. Mobile product revenue was up 14% year-over-year and 3% sequentially. And as a reminder, our Mobile products are largely driven by the high-end Android market. During the quarter, we had two customers greater than 10% of revenue, each at approximately 12%. First quarter non-GAAP gross margin was 53.9%, above the mid-point of our guidance. First quarter non-GAAP operating expense was $95.9 million and at the mid-point of our guidance range. Our non-GAAP operating income strengthened again in the first quarter, coming in at 16.7%, up by over 400 basis points on a year-over-year basis and up by over 200 basis points sequentially driven by improved revenue and continued operating expense controls. Non-GAAP…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. As mentioned, at this time, we'll conduct a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions]. Our first question comes from the line of Christopher Rolland with Susquehanna. Your line is now open.

Christopher Rolland

Analyst

Hey guys, thanks for the question, and congrats on the quarter. I guess, first of all, road maps and timelines for new products. Have you guys pulled any in or moved any out? And I think you have a broad markets chip coming. Perhaps you could talk about your expectations for that chip in the near-term? Thanks so much, guys.

Michael Hurlston

Analyst

Hey Chris, thanks for the question, and thanks for paying attention to the call. Appreciate it very much. Number one, I think our timelines have remained consistent. We talked about in the Wi-Fi area being in a position to sample a Wi-Fi 7 chip this quarter for IoT applications, that's very much on target. And for our broad markets chip that we spent some time talking about it, and your question speaks to, again, on target to sample this quarter. So we've held our schedules fairly well. I think in the processor area, we're obviously in production with several of our Edge AI processors. We have a pretty big one coming out mid-year next year. So that schedule is also holding. So in the Core IoT area, I'd say, generally, we're giving schedules, hitting those schedules. I think the engineering team has done a good job. With respect to broad markets, I think that we are expecting that particular unit -- if you remember when you came to the Analyst Day in New York, we talked about three segments: high performance, broad markets and BLE. I think the revenue contribution in the 2028 timeframe was roughly $150 million just from broad markets and that appears on track. Given the funnel, given the sales opportunities, we’re generating in broad markets, I don't want to give a new number. I'd say generally we’re tracking above that number given early traction. But one, I think we've sort of outlined that that would be somewhere in the $150 million to $200 million contributor in that 2028 timeframe and that seems very good right now.

Christopher Rolland

Analyst

Excellent. Thank you, Michael. Also perhaps a follow-up on the Core IoT funnel seems like great growth there, great revenue CAGR, 25% to 30% over the next five years, really strong there. Perhaps you can put a finer point on growth. Where is it coming from? How much is Wi-Fi, how much is Bluetooth, how much is processors? Just kind of work up where you're maybe most excited and where you think like needle-moving growth is really going to be coming from here to track to that 25% to 30%.

Michael Hurlston

Analyst

Yes. Very good question, Chris. I mean I think obviously, near-term; it’s all Wi-Fi. So our high-performance Wi-Fi, as we outlined in the call, doing super well. We're actually, again, I'd say, exceeding expectations at this point relative to design wins and projections we have coming out of our funnel. That is all kind of carries us through this fiscal year. In 2026, we start seeing contributions from this broad markets chip. I mean I don't think it's going to contribute in fiscal 2025 just given its sampling schedule. And then, in 2026, we start to see the very early knee-up of the processor initiative, right? We've got our existing processors, as you know well, that are focused in these narrow verticals that are contributing revenue today. But the broad market processor with the AI capability, we'd expect to see kind of first revenue late fiscal 2026, but really contributing meaningful in 2027. So that's kind of the rank order. BLE, you talked about, I think BLE, we got to look at very carefully our BLE strategy, that's one area where we are tracking behind a bit. We've got to look at how we can find a way to accelerate our BLE opportunity, which I think in our 2028 projection in the SKUs and the stack-up that we gave to you at Analyst Day, was somewhere between $50 million and $100 million of contribution, so the smallest of the three Wi-Fi segments. But I would say right now, Chris, we're tracking a little bit behind on BLE.

Christopher Rolland

Analyst

Excellent. That AI product sounds really cool too. Thanks. Thanks so much, guys.

Michael Hurlston

Analyst

Thanks, Chris.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Kevin Cassidy with Rosenblatt Securities. Your line is now open.

Kevin Cassidy

Analyst · Rosenblatt Securities. Your line is now open.

Yes. Thanks for taking my question and congratulations on the great results. Maybe my question is along the same line as Chris'. The Wi-Fi 7, as you're coming into that market, how would you compare that upgrade cycle to past Wi-Fi upgrade cycles? Is it -- are you getting more pull on that? Maybe just give a description of what's happening in that market.

Michael Hurlston

Analyst · Rosenblatt Securities. Your line is now open.

Yes. Kevin, good as always, thanks for paying attention to the company and giving us all the coverage that you do. I would say very consistent actually. I mean what happens is you're going to get kind of a step function up, and we'd expect to see that in our fiscal 2026, probably a little earlier than the broad markets where you go from sort of zero penetration in the IoT segment to something like 20% to 25% penetration, relatively rapidly, a pretty big step function because there are certain devices they're going to gravitate very naturally to Wi-Fi 7. A lot of the video transfer products that we've talked to you about before: drones, set-top boxes, things of that nature. Then it takes some time from 20% to 25% to, let's say, 50% penetrated, probably takes two to three years, right? That's kind of the normal curve. And then to get the last 50%, you start kind of mixing in, just thinking about legacy Wi-Fi standards, and by then we'll probably have Wi-Fi 8. You're really never going to see any one standard occupy more than 50% to 60% of the shipments. You're going to have older technologies occupy a good chunk and then you're going to see probably a similar step-up in Wi-Fi 8 as you do in Wi-Fi 7 getting to that 20% to 25%. So for us to expect much more than 50% to 60% of all shipments on Wi-Fi 7, that would kind of defy historic norms. But we would expect a fairly fast step-up and then kind of a slow dribble from there up to kind of a normal share of the market.

Kevin Cassidy

Analyst · Rosenblatt Securities. Your line is now open.

Okay. Great. Thanks. And so as long as you're showing your customer product roadmap for upgrades, they stay with you through the cycles.

Michael Hurlston

Analyst · Rosenblatt Securities. Your line is now open.

Yes. I mean it -- the way it works, Kevin is when Wi-Fi 7 comes on, it will obviously ease in into the Wi-Fi 6 share. Wi-Fi 6 is probably now at that 50%, maybe slightly below 50%, penetrated. And Wi-Fi 4 and 5 still occupy a significant share of the overall market. So now as Wi-Fi 7 comes online, you'll see Wi-Fi 6 still hang in there for a good period of time, probably squeezing out Wi-Fi 4 and 5. And then when we get to Wi-Fi 8, similarly, you'll probably see very little Wi-Fi 4 and 5, and Wi-Fi 6 will start to get squeezed out. So that's kind of how it works. You pretty much have somewhere between 3 and 4 standard shipping at any one-time, and it just depends on the application, the price point and so on. The good news for us, at least right now, is we have all of those standards covered, 4, 5, 6 and 7. So we're in pretty good shape.

Kevin Cassidy

Analyst · Rosenblatt Securities. Your line is now open.

Okay. Great. Thanks for that detail. Maybe for just a little more details, what are your end-market exposures as far, say, consumer, the IoT Wi-Fi in consumer maybe in the home, versus industrial? It seems in this earnings period that industrial has still been weak and maybe home is getting better. But I'd like to hear what you see is happening in the end-market.

Michael Hurlston

Analyst · Rosenblatt Securities. Your line is now open.

Yes. We have very little industrial. So that's one. We have very little automotive. I think we've talked about one win. We are making progress in the automotive market with our Wi-Fi, but nothing to speak of yet outside of one win I think we talked about two earnings calls or so ago. Our exposure is predominantly consumer and then a reasonable mix of enterprise. That's kind of how we think about the Wi-Fi business, probably, I don't know, Munjal, 65% consumer, 35% enterprise.

Munjal Shah

Analyst · Rosenblatt Securities. Your line is now open.

Yes. And then, yes, that's the right way to think about it. And we may have some other end-markets. But to your main end-markets, Michael is right, primarily consumer, some enterprise, a little to no industrial and automotive.

Kevin Cassidy

Analyst · Rosenblatt Securities. Your line is now open.

Okay. Great. Thank you.

Michael Hurlston

Analyst · Rosenblatt Securities. Your line is now open.

Thanks, Kevin.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Krish Sankar with TD Cowen. Your line is now open.

Krish Sankar

Analyst · TD Cowen. Your line is now open.

Yes. Hi, thanks for taking my questions. I told them, Michael, one is you had nice sequential revenue growth this year every quarter. So as you look into March quarter, do we expect seasonality to impact this revenue growth cadence? Or do you think there are any green shoots that can help avoid the seasonality in March?

Ken Rizvi

Analyst · TD Cowen. Your line is now open.

Yes. Thanks, Krish. It's Ken here. Appreciate the question and ongoing support. If we look into -- we don't provide guidance more than one quarter ahead, right? We guided for our fiscal Q2. But as we look at March, typically we would see some seasonality, especially if we look at areas like the PC space into the March quarter. So we expect a little bit of seasonality. And right now, the automotive market is a little sluggish. So we'd expect those two factors to impact the March quarter.

Krish Sankar

Analyst · TD Cowen. Your line is now open.

Got it. Got it. And then just a quick follow-up, you spoke a lot about the Wi-Fi 7. I'm kind of curious how to think about the ASP and gross margin differential between Wi-Fi 7 compared to Wi-Fi 6?

Michael Hurlston

Analyst · TD Cowen. Your line is now open.

Yes. We have a first-mover advantage, Krish. So we definitely like our ASP and margin position. It's probably somewhere in the $1 to $2 range on a like-for-like. Of course, you have 1-by-1s and 2-by-2s. But if you think about on a like-for-like basis, you're going to get between a $1 and $2 ASP uplift and probably somewhere in the 8% to 10% margin uplift. That will decay over time. Wi-Fi is a pretty competitive market, as you know. But we're able to -- just given our first-mover advantage, we would think that we could maintain that for a year or so until we start seeing a lot more price competition.

Krish Sankar

Analyst · TD Cowen. Your line is now open.

All right. Thanks a lot, Michael. Very helpful.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Quinn Bolton with Needham & Company. Your line is now open.

Quinn Bolton

Analyst · Needham & Company. Your line is now open.

Hey guys, thanks for taking my question. I just wanted to start to kind of a follow-up to that green shoot question. You saw 3% growth, I think it was, quarter-to-quarter in Enterprise. And it sounded like you might be starting to see signs of demand stabilization or at least maybe perhaps a better outlook. And wondering if you could just expand on what you're seeing in enterprise IT. Are you seeing corporate IT budgets starting to firm? And then the second question is, can you just describe what you're seeing on -- or in the general pricing environment across the processor and the wireless segments? Is it stable? Are you starting to see some pricing pressure, especially from Asia competitors? Thank you.

Michael Hurlston

Analyst · Needham & Company. Your line is now open.

Yes. Thanks, Quinn. First of all, I think you got the tone and tenor right. We certainly are liking enterprise for the first time in a while. We're seeing much better results in the enterprise area. I'm not totally sure that it's driven necessarily by some magic uptick in IT spending. I think it's driven a lot by refresh cycles. Our video interface products we talked about being up sequentially. There we've introduced two new devices that have pretty compelling use cases that are driving adoption. So I'd say that's happening there. In PC, we're kind of bubbling with the market, but I think we've actually had some share gains that have led to some incremental revenue growth in the PC area. So if you look across the portfolio, we would expect now-ish, as we've talked about, that we get a much better sense for IT budgets. We feel that the IT budgets will be better. It looks like all the things that we've talked about relative to assets being sweat for longer, necessary updates coming to roost, looks like that could be better. And so I think outside of some of the seasonality that Ken talked about in Q1, which who knows where it ends up, but I think it's good to provide some caution, generally, we feel pretty good.

Quinn Bolton

Analyst · Needham & Company. Your line is now open.

Pricing on…

Michael Hurlston

Analyst · Needham & Company. Your line is now open.

Yes, Quinn asked about pricing. Yes, also a good question. Still the pricing environment has not been that challenging. We certainly see it in the areas that we've highlighted, Wi-Fi, to a certain extent, in mobile, we see it. We don't have a lot of China exposure. And so that, the Chinese pricing environment, as we understand, is a little bit of a challenge. But I would say right now the pricing pressure is plus. I mean, in other words, if I look at it historically in the semiconductor business, I don't think it's nearly as bad as it was 2015, 2016, maybe even 2017. It seems to be holding up relatively well. Yes, there are pockets of price pressure, the Wi-Fi touch controllers, some of the others. But mostly we're able to hold pricing. On the other side, we don't see a lot of help from the suppliers on cost reductions on the input side.

Ken Rizvi

Analyst · Needham & Company. Your line is now open.

Yes. And Quinn, maybe I'll just jump in here as well. It's Ken. Good to talk to you. I'd say, if you look at some of the markets we serve and some of the products that we have, we have very strong print positions, so on those products, there's very little pricing pressure just given our print position.

Quinn Bolton

Analyst · Needham & Company. Your line is now open.

Got it. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Peter Peng with J.P. Morgan. Your line is now open.

Peter Peng

Analyst · J.P. Morgan. Your line is now open.

Hey, good afternoon, and congratulations on the strong guidance. It sounds like Enterprise is starting to finally move in the right direction. How would you kind of think about the recovery profile of this? Does this kind of follow how we would observe in the Core IoT? Do you think this is more muted? And then what kind of margin implications does this have given that this is a higher margin segment?

Michael Hurlston

Analyst · J.P. Morgan. Your line is now open.

Yes. I mean I think, consistent with what we've said previously, it's going to really depend on IT budgets and IT spending. We definitely see signs of life, so that's a good news. I think you got the headline right. I do think that that's -- as I said to the previous question from Quinn, I think it's driven mostly by our -- kind of things in our control, some new features, some market share gains and things like that. On aggregate, we haven't seen a lot of IT spending increases. But I would say we feel better about that happening now in 2025. And should that happen, look, you're right, I mean it's mix within the mix. Always our margins are impacted by what we ship. If PC comes up, like we said in the prepared remarks, that won't help a whole lot on margin. If we're able to see a better increase on our video interface products, some of our audio products, some of our enterprise telephony, that really does help the margin profile. So it depends a bit on where it comes from. PC is kind of in line with the corporate average in terms of margin, where these other segments will -- or product lines will definitely drag it up.

Peter Peng

Analyst · J.P. Morgan. Your line is now open.

Great. Thank you. My follow-up is on -- and thanks for disclosing your funnel for your Astra platform. Maybe if you can perhaps provide some color in terms of your customer engagement. How broad is it? Is there any geographic concentration? Maybe you could give us some more color on that.

Michael Hurlston

Analyst · J.P. Morgan. Your line is now open.

Yes. I mean it's the right question. I mean I was just debating our division leader on the phone just prior to our call on this topic. The answer is it's pretty broad. And what's going on right now is, we're generally hunting and we're finding opportunities across segments, and we're trying to figure out where we best fit. I mean our products are very unique. They're super low power, very low cost, kind of in this $5, $6, $7 price point, and enabling quite a bit of compute. We're talking about 10, 12 TeraOPS of inferencing that these devices are capable of. So you put that together, they can fit in a lot of different end-applications: home security, appliances, home automation, industrial, I think somebody was -- it was maybe Kevin who was asking about that segment a minute ago. There's a lot of different areas in which we can go. So right now, we're kind of going broad with these devices. Our goal is probably first quarter, second quarter next year; to really finish the exploration process and narrow down on two or three segments and really go after it. So we feel good about where we are. I mean the funnel size speaks to that, a lot of opportunity in this area. As I said, we're -- our value proposition to customers right now is, look, we can replace processors from our competitors in a plug-and-play type of fashion, no cost increase at all, and then you get all this AI capability. So when you figure out your AI use case, you're good to go, and you don't need to have that in mind right out of the chute.

Peter Peng

Analyst · J.P. Morgan. Your line is now open.

Great. Thank you, guys.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. I'm showing no further questions at this time, and would now like to turn it back to Michael Hurlston for closing remarks.

Michael Hurlston

Analyst

I'd like to thank all of you for joining us today. We look forward to speaking to you at our upcoming investor conferences during the quarter. Thanks so much.

Operator

Operator

This does conclude the program, and you may now disconnect. Thank you.