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USA TODAY Co., Inc. (TDAY)

Q2 2007 Earnings Call· Wed, Jul 18, 2007

$7.28

-1.49%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, everyone and welcome to Gannett's second quarter 2007 earnings conference call. (Operator Instructions) Our speakers today will be Mr. Craig Dubow, Chairman, President and CEO; and Gracia Martore, Executive Vice President and CFO. At this time I would like to turn the call over to Gracia Martore. Please go ahead, ma'am.

Gracia Martore

Management

Thanks, Shannon and good morning. Welcome to our conference call and webcast today to review Gannett's second quarter results. Hopefully you had the opportunity to review the press releases from this morning, but they also can be found at www.gannett.com. You've heard a pretty comprehensive update of our strategic initiatives and our results through May at the midyear media review just a little over a month ago, so we will keep our comments relatively brief this morning. As Shannon mentioned, with me today are Craig Dubow, President, Chairman and CEO and Jeff Heinz, Director of Investor Relations. Craig is going to begin with a brief overview of some of the initiatives we talked about at the midyear media review and also our results, and then I will follow-up with a little bit more detailed look at the quarter.

Craig Dubow

President

Thanks, Gracia. Good morning all. There are a significant number of efforts going on at Gannett as we execute on our strategic plan, continue our transformation and focus on the potential opportunities. Consumers are changing the way they access content every day, and advertisers are working hard to find the best ways to reach them. Enhancing our core assets and building out our digital businesses is designed to provide solutions for consumers and advertisers. We have summarized our strategic initiatives on several occasions, most notably at the midyear media review just four weeks ago, so I won't go over each point in the plan. I would, however, like to discuss with you the why of the importance of each of those to us. First, the reconfiguration of our newsrooms to the information centers. Over the past several years we have researched what the consumer wants in each of our markets. Simply, local content dominated the responses and Gannett surpasses the competition in our markets as the most effective local information collector and information distributor. Our focus is on the local content franchise because it is what our consumers want and we excel in delivering it to them. Creation of the information center allows us to concentrate specifically on what audiences want within that local context. It allows us to bring the audiences into the conversation, to help us provide the content that engages them and our goal is to deliver it to them on any platform, including the traditional ones we and they are accustomed to. The information center facilitates that audience connection, whether through a niche online product or a mobile product or a product yet to be invented. Our effort to foster innovation goes hand-in-hand with the information center. This culture change is necessary to fuel our response…

Gracia Martore

Management

Thanks, Craig. Before we go into the details on our quarterly results I, as always, need to remind you that our conference call and webcast today may include forward-looking statements and our actual results may differ. Factors that might cause them to differ are outlined in our SEC filings. This presentation also includes certain non-GAAP financial measures and we have provided a reconciliation of those measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures in the press release and on the Investor Relations portion of our website. With that out of the way now, let me fill in some additional details on our results, starting with the publishing segment. As you saw this morning for the second quarter, our newspaper segment ad revenues were down 5.3% on both a reported and pro forma basis. As Craig said, our year-over-year results in the UK were better than our U.S. operations. As well, overall we benefited from the Sterling/dollar exchange rate so on a constant currency basis, pro forma ad revenues would have been 6.7% lower. The decline in advertising revenues was driven primarily by continued softness in the classified verticals at our domestic community newspapers. Pro forma classified advertising companywide was 7.5% lower for the quarter, comprised of declines of almost 10% in real estate, a little over 7% in employment and 13.6% for automotive. Let me focus a bit on the classified categories and start with our domestic properties. And generally as Craig said, the trends that we noted at the midyear media review continued for the final couple of weeks in the quarter. One of the most significant trends as we have been saying was the impact on our domestic classified categories of the softening real estate market in the West and Southeast, specifically California, Florida, Arizona and Nevada where…

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Your first question comes from Peter Appert - Goldman Sachs.

Peter Appert - Goldman Sachs

Analyst

Gracia, can you quantify please the FX impact on EPS and related to that within the non-operating items, is there any greater granularity you could give us in terms of what the contribution from CB was and other more operating items versus more one-time items? Thanks.

Gracia Martore

Management

Sure, Peter. With regard to foreign exchange and the currency impact for the quarter, similar to other quarters we benefited by about $0.02 in the quarter from the currency. Typically in the past the swing has been in that $0.01 to $0.02 range. With regard to the non-operating area, there were really three primary drivers of the significant swing year over year. First one was improved performance from our Internet investments, including CareerBuilder and Classified Ventures, particularly. So we saw about a mid single-digit million swing in the totality of those Internet investments led by CareerBuilder and Classified Ventures. I would suggest, however, that you have to be careful about that because those results can be a little bit more volatile because of the timing of marketing spend and the rest. But that is what was achieved in the second quarter, and obviously we are very, very pleased with the progress that CareerBuilder and Classified Ventures made. The second piece was a sale of some land here in McLean and again, that was sort of a mid single-digit kind of net gain. The last piece was some interest income and some changes in value of some marketable securities that we hold and that also contributed probably the rest of the swing. So hopefully that gives you a little bit better granularity on those items.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Edward Atorino - Benchmark.

Edward Atorino - Benchmark

Analyst

If I look at the depreciation and interest line would we run out depreciation at the second quarter rate? It looks like interest expense might tail off for the second half with the debt where it is, compared to the first half.

Gracia Martore

Management

Ed, let me address those two. On the depreciation line actually, as I mentioned in our prepared remarks, that line was impacted this quarter by some accelerated depreciation related to some plant consolidations that we've done in a couple of places. So I think if you look at the assumption that we made at the midyear media review for depreciation expense, I think that is a good number to look at for the full year. With regard to interest expense, if in the absence of us doing anything on the share repurchase front or anything on the acquisition or divestiture front in the second half, you're absolutely right. We would anticipate that interest expense would be lower in the second half. But again, as always, that will be a function of the level of share repurchases that we do, as well as any opportunities we have on the acquisition/disposition front.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Karl Choi - Merrill Lynch. Karl Choi - Merrill Lynch : Gracia, I just want to clarify the $9 million that you mentioned, was it related to both severance and accelerated depreciation or just accelerated depreciation?

Gracia Martore

Management

No, it was related to both severance and accelerated depreciation. Karl Choi - Merrill Lynch : Related to that, could give us how the headcount changed at the end of the quarter, year over year?

Gracia Martore

Management

Yes, our headcount in total for our operating divisions was probably down in the mid single-digit range year over year. We would anticipate that we will continue to look at our operations and all of our expenses in light of the challenged revenue environment we are currently in. You may see additional redundancy costs, as they call them in the UK or severance costs, in some future quarters. But that is what we did in the second quarter.

Craig Dubow

President

Just for note, this is something that we do on an ongoing basis. We are always sizing this and each of the divisions has done, I think, a Herculean job despite the challenges that we've seen through this tough economic time. Karl Choi - Merrill Lynch : There were some press reports about maybe Federated may step up spending in the second half of the year. Just wondered if you have seen anything like that?

Gracia Martore

Management

Actually I think our folks are meeting with the Macy's folks today. So we will have a better handle on that after lunch.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Paul Ginocchio - Deutsche Bank. Paul Ginocchio - Deutsche Bank : Gracia, don’t comps get a little easier as we go into the third quarter? Are July trends looking better or do you think that easier comps make trends improve from here? Thanks.

Gracia Martore

Management

That is a little tough to say at this point. The first week of the quarter is impacted by July Fourth, and that can have various impacts. I would say we are looking at a bit of a mixed bag so far, I don't think we've seen anything demonstrably better or demonstrably worse than what we've seen in the last few months. But you're absolutely right, the comparisons in some areas do get a little bit easier. I would also say on the USA Today front as you saw, June was a nice positive month for them. But if you recall last year we saw that same kind of impact. Starting out in the third quarter they are probably a little bit softer but then as they look at the end of the third quarter they are very, very encouraged by what they are seeing. So month to month it is a bit volatile. Ad placements are being placed very close to the end date, and so we will just have to keep you updated in our monthly reports.

Craig Dubow

President

The only other add to that Paul, would be on the broadcast side from political, and Gracia noted that. Really the big headwind that we are going to run into as we go into this back half and certainly Q4 is going to be the most significant, but she mentioned over $19 million of that certainly being within Q3. So it is something we are looking at obviously; there are other opportunities that are coming on the political side. But needless to say, we need to note that, as well.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from James Goss - Barrington Research. James Goss - Barrington Research : Gannett's economic crystal ball has historically been pretty good due to its many touch points. I was wondering if using that you could look at the intensifying softness in the principal classified categories – auto, real estate and employment -- and your sense of how these trends are going to play out. It seems like real estate is the toughest one in terms of the intensification but some additional color on that score.

Craig Dubow

President

You're absolutely right, Jim. I mean, real estate compared to where we were last year is virtually a 180, and that is what is so problematic. Obviously that has other impacts as we then look across retail, other outlets from furniture; I mean, all the things that are directly in line with either the resale or the new development of new product in the real estate side. So each of those are impacted. I think the critical point to really note and I will get back to the categories in a second, really has to do with the regionality of this and the impact. That is why Gracia went through really those comparisons that she did. But just to emphasize how strongly regional this is in the West and Southeast in particular. In addition to that the next category of biggest concern certainly falls in that of employment and how far that has continued to fall. We are seeing a bit different then as you look across the pond at the UK, obviously some positive notes there. Again, the continuation on the auto side, certainly for the domestic community newspapers here, as well as in the UK continues to be a concern. That is more in an overall basis across the businesses. James Goss - Barrington Research : Craig, a related thing. Are you concerned that the sub-prime issue extends to the better loans and that keeps this intensification in place for longer than you'd like?

Craig Dubow

President

Well obviously we are paying very close attention to everything that is being reported, but at this point, no, we are holding as steady as we can with everything from our view. We will just have to wait and see.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Craig Huber - Lehman Brothers. Craig Huber - Lehman Brothers : I wanted to focus if we could on retail store advertising. Roughly first half of the year retail is 43% overall advertising. The biggest change we are seeing here, down 7% year over year adjusting for currency in both May and June. Just looking back at monthly data over the last 15 years that is the worst fall-off the company has seen. Can you just talk a little bit further about why that category right now is falling off at such an accelerated rate here?

Gracia Martore

Management

Certainly, Craig. With regard to department store advertising and the consolidations that have gone on there as well as some of the newer marketing strategies that I would say based on some of the retail sales numbers I've seen, you have to question whether those are working or not by some of these folks, have had an impact on the department store category. We will see how that comes and turns in the back half of the year. We will just have to see how that all plays out. Then as Craig mentioned in some of the other categories that had been traditionally stronger for us, the furniture and some of those other kind of home improvement areas, clearly we see some direct correlation to the softness in those categories against the housing slump that we are seeing most severely in those four states that I alluded to earlier. I think the positives, though, that we need to also focus in on are the tremendous efforts that Sue Clark-Johnson and the community newspaper division are doing with regard to their audience based selling strategies and looking to garner more advertising from some of those small to medium-sized advertisers in the communities we serve. We are just beginning to see some of the fruits of those initiatives. So it is very early in that process. But I think that those are going to be real positives for us into the end of this year and certainly in the years to come. So we are going to have to deal with the retail spending issues of the big department stores. We are going to have to deal with some of the cyclical headwinds that we are feeling. But we feel good about a number of the initiatives that we have going on, particularly geared to those smaller to medium-sized advertisers.

Craig Dubow

President

Additionally, the other thing that we are also watching very closely, although it is very early, is some of the outlets that had been predominately involved with Internet, online or other type of platform selling have taken an example from Apple, and the number of new retail outlets that they have created and the success they are having. When you start tracking a number of those companies that have moved in that direction, there is some very interesting touch points with the consumer and somewhat of a shift from what Gracia had noted in the very beginning from a number of companies that certainly from a CMO perspective may be looking or re-looking at some of the plans that had originally been put out there. But from our perspective we are keeping a very close eye on this and a whole series of things that relate to that as we look at this category. Craig Huber - Lehman Brothers : As a follow-on can you just give us a little sense in those four states in particular for the quarter how much retail was down here in the US? Also you mentioned some of these marketing strategies, the dollars are moving elsewhere; can you tell us where are they going? Internet, direct mail, broadcasting? Where are these all going or are they just evaporating? Thank you.

Gracia Martore

Management

I'm not sure I follow you on the last part of your question with regard to retail. Craig Huber - Lehman Brothers : These other marketing strategies that you are alluding to where some of the ad dollars are going to; where exactly do you think they are going in some of your markets? Or do you think the overall budgets are coming down for local retailers?

Gracia Martore

Management

I think in some cases those dollars are not being spent. If fewer houses are being sold, particularly in those four markets, furniture sales are impacted by that. I think we've seen that across those four states in some of the numbers that we've seen out of the furniture store categories. Other pieces, as well that we've talked about in the past on, for instance, the auto category clearly impacted. So I think it is a combination of spending that is just not being done, as well as some spending that marketers and companies are experimenting clearly with a variety of different initiatives. Whether they will be successful and as well, the various initiatives that we are putting together to address those, we feel as though we are going to be a very strong player on all those platforms. So if those dollars are morphing to other platforms, we will be there through a variety of other things we are doing to capture some of those dollars.

Craig Dubow

President

Those were the real keys that as we've been moving along certainly in time here, Sue has been diligent in really bringing the sales group to speed and going from the more linear sale that we had truly to this multiplatform opportunity. So that's where we are. Craig Huber - Lehman Brothers : I'm sorry, do you have the number on those four states on how much retail is down, please? Thank you.

Gracia Martore

Management

I don't have it handy, but we will call you after. Jeff will give you a holler after the call.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from John Janedis - Wachovia. John Janedis - Wachovia : Can you talk about some of the options with CareerBuilder? Are there any scenarios where your partners there can put the assets, allowing you to increase the stake to as much as 100%?

Gracia Martore

Management

John, you'd probably have to chat with our partners, but I can tell you that certainly within the agreements that we have in place there is the right for any one of the partners to sell their share, but we would have the right to match any offer they would have for their shares. That would be true in the case of McClatchy or true in the case of Tribune. I haven't heard any news out of Tribune that they are interested in selling their CareerBuilder share. They seem to be pretty happy with it, as are we. So yes, there are certainly some scenarios under which we could increase our exposure to CareerBuilder.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Lisa Monaco - Morgan Stanley. Lisa Monaco - Morgan Stanley : Just following up on the retail question. Gracia, could you just outline for us what the top three or four retail categories are right now? I imagine department stores are still up there, and kind of roughly what percentage of total retail sales they account for? Secondly on share repurchases, given the stock price performance I'm surprised you didn't buy back more shares in the quarter, given that you didn't in the first quarter. Can you just give us an update in terms of how you're thinking of uses of free cash flow?

Gracia Martore

Management

Sure. On the categories that we have contained in our local numbers and looking at the domestic community newspapers, department stores, and any in the department store category, we include both the traditional department stores as well as the Targets, the Wal-Marts, the Kmarts of the world. That was in the high teens in terms of its percentage of revenue in the second quarter, and it was down that category again in the domestic community newspapers, was down about 9 or 10%. Furniture is another significant category, about 9% of revenues on the local side in the second quarter. Again, these are all percentages of local. That was, again, down in the 9% to 10% range. Consumer electronics, grocery, down, both of them in the 5% range, one down 3%, one down in the high single-digits. Financial also down, a category that is about 5%, down in the double-digit range. So those would be some of the bigger categories. But one bright spot was telecom, which is about 9% of local revenues, and it was up in the high single-digits. With regard to share repurchases, clearly we stepped up our activity in the second quarter as you can see the level of repurchases in the second quarter versus the first quarter. That is something that obviously as we saw the stock price and where it was, we felt that we wanted to step up our activities. We will just have to see where things go in the third and fourth quarters, but we will I think continue to be active in Gannett stock and continue to be a good dividend payer. We have some decisions there coming up in our board meeting next week and then we will continue to look at acquisition opportunities, nothing substantial on the plate right now in that area, but looking at some small acquisitions that look, could be very potentially very interesting. Lisa Monaco - Morgan Stanley : On CareerBuilder the revenue growth figure I think it was 16%. Is that a pro forma figure? Because I think we're cycling through the loss of some of the Knight-Ridder papers or does that reflect the loss?

Gracia Martore

Management

No. That is a reported number, not a pro forma number.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Alexia Quadrani - Bear Stearns. Alexia Quadrani - Bear Stearns : Following up on your commentary about use of cash, I didn't hear any mention of potentially buying anymore newspaper properties and with the Connecticut purchase off the table at least for now, is that something that you would no longer consider unless maybe the retail environment gets better or is that still market by market?

Craig Dubow

President

No.

Gracia Martore

Management

I think I said that it would also depend on acquisitions and dispositions. The acquisitions would include acquisitions in our traditional space or in the digital space. I think Connecticut was a great example of our willingness in a particular opportunity where we had a great potential to cluster a couple of newspapers with some others we own that we are more than pleased to step out at the right price to buy something like that. So no, we would still be amenable to buying properties in our traditional spaces of broadcast or newspapers and also the digital space. Alexia Quadrani - Bear Stearns : On the Newsquest business, you've done a great job on the cost side but any sense of what the normalized top line growth we should expect longer-term in that business?

Gracia Martore

Management

It is a little early to say right now; we are just going to have to see how that market plays out. We are just right now appreciating the fact that they have done a superb job on the expense side. We are beginning as we said, to see some traction on the employment classified and continue to see traction on the real estate side. So we just are looking to see continuous improvement there on the revenue picture. Too early to say where we ultimately think it can go.

Craig Dubow

President

Yes, we shall see. There is a key point here, and as we've been saying with Paul Davidson and our management team there, we believe they've done just a terrific job in the restructure. Certainly we are very well positioned. But the key that we already had mentioned, Alexia, really happened in the employment and real estate areas. I guess we can say London was probably a bit of an anomaly because it never did completely slow down to the degree that we are seeing here in the U.S., and those prices frankly are kind of amazing. But needless to say, this is very early in this but we are well, well positioned.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Fred Searby - JP Morgan. Fred Searby - JP Morgan : I just wondered if you could break out what the growth was on the Internet, newspaper Internet operations overall and whether you're seeing a deceleration there? Secondly in some of your better markets if you've done this exercise it would be great, just thinking about if you strip out real estate and the collateral impact on help wanted, and retail to a lesser degree in some of the markets we have favorable demographic trends and we are seeing growth, a couple years ago like Arizona, what do you think it would be? Thanks.

Gracia Martore

Management

I will try to answer that second part of the question. To be honest with you, Fred, we slice and dice things in a variety of ways, but we really haven't tried to forecast what it would look like absent the slump in those particular markets on any specific basis. Obviously, as we said, the real estate slowdown in those markets is having an impact across all the categories and what we know is that last year these were among our very best markets. We had real estate up 30%, 40%, 50% in some of those markets. Clearly that has been somewhat reversed this year. Hard for us to try to do that analysis in a substantially meaningful way and I'm not sure we want our folks spending their time doing that as much as we want them spending their time going out and finding the advertising dollars from those communities. I'm sorry, your first question Fred? Fred Searby - JP Morgan : I didn't see the newspaper Internet operations, if you broke that out what percent of revenues and what the growth was. Are you seeing a deceleration there? I assume you are, given the classified impact on the Internet, as well.

Gracia Martore

Management

Very definitely I would imagine that all of us are seeing the impact of reduced employment spending and auto spending on the print side impacting our online numbers. Classified online revenues still represent about 50% of our domestic community newspaper online revenues. So when those categories are impacted, the total overall online number is going to be impacted. That being said, what we are very pleased about is the growth that we are seeing in the retail categories in online in our community newspapers. Those numbers have increased very, very nicely as we have focused more of our efforts there. We've used Planet Discover and a variety of other initiatives to really hone in those opportunities. So you're absolutely right, they are impacted by the slowdown in the classified categories. Fred Searby - JP Morgan : Can you break out what percent?

Gracia Martore

Management

To be honest with you I don't have it available here, but Jeff, again, will call you after the call.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Dan Jenkins - State of Wisconsin. Dan Jenkins - State of Wisconsin : I did want to ask if you could expand a little bit on Point Roll. You mentioned revenues were up 33% there, if you could talk a little bit more about what is going on with that and what you see the opportunity with that.

Craig Dubow

President

We are thrilled with what Chris and the group is doing. Certainly I think you are seeing the extreme opportunities that are being provided. We have really expanded the client base. That has gone very, very well this past half, anyway. As we go forward a couple of the new initiatives that they are working on that would appear to have some promise will really fall into the political side. They have established a new platform that are being presented to certainly the political agencies and the candidates themselves for a one-stop shop in how they can serve from flash as well as full motion video within that type of environment. We are very excited with what that is bringing to the company. Again, it is on the small side, but where it is going with the kind of increases are extremely healthy.

Gracia Martore

Management

Adding on to what Craig said, in March Point Roll announced with AOL a two-year strategic alliance where they are going to be providing AOL with rich media formats and AOL will become Point Roll's preferred portal partner. So a lot of positive things going on as Craig said, at Point Roll, and not only is the top line benefiting, but the bottom line is up nicely, as well. I think we just have time for one more question.

Operator

Operator

Your final question comes from Ursula Moran - Bear Stearns. Ursula Moran - Bear Stearns : My lucky day. I apologize if this is not of general interest, and I am happy to take it offline if it is not, but Yahoo's call yesterday, they spent a lot of time talking about the newspaper business and the things that they hope to accomplish with the newspaper association. I am not sure if you are in that and I wondered if you could comment on it if you are a participant.

Craig Dubow

President

No, at this point we are not. We have said on a number of occasions that we are continuing to look at the opportunities. We think it is very early on yet in that overall establishment in that space for our commitment. A couple of the key things, and we have said this on a number of occasions now, we are most interested in understanding the total governance of what that opportunity will be overall so that we can get a better handle then on creating the revenue potentials and opportunities. Obviously that platform or a similar platform is really what is in question here. As I said, our opportunity right now is that we are continuing our conversations and will continue those with all of the parties involved from other companies, as well. We think there is a lot of opportunity as we go forward with it and want to be positioned that way.

Operator

Operator

I will now turn the conference back over to Ms. Martore.

Gracia Martore

Management

Thanks very much for joining us this morning. If you have any additional questions, please feel free to call Jeff Heinz at 703-854-6917 or me at extension 6918. Have a great day.