Earnings Labs

Teck Resources Limited (TECK)

Q3 2025 Earnings Call· Wed, Oct 22, 2025

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to Teck Resources Limited's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Release Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question and answer session. This conference call is being recorded on Wednesday, October 22, 2025. I would now like to turn the conference over to Emma Chapman, Vice President, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Emma Chapman

Management

Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us for Teck Resources Limited's third quarter 2025 conference call. Today's call contains forward-looking statements. Actual results may vary due to various risks and uncertainties. Teck Resources Limited does not assume the obligation to update any forward-looking statements. Please refer to Slide two for the assumptions underlying our forward-looking statements. We will reference non-GAAP measures throughout this presentation. Explanations and reconciliations are in our MD&A and the latest press release on our website. On today's call, Jonathan Price, our CEO, will provide third quarter 2025 highlights. Crystal Prystai, our CFO, will follow with further details on the quarter. Jonathan will then wrap up with closing remarks and an opportunity for Q&A. Over to you, Jonathan.

Jonathan Price

Management

Thank you, Emma, and good morning, everyone. Starting with highlights from our third quarter 2025 results on Slide four. The most significant highlight of the quarter was our September 8 announcement of a merger of equals agreement with Anglo American. This is a unique opportunity to create a global leader in critical minerals and a top five copper producer, and I could not be more excited about it. Particularly about the substantial value creation that could be generated. Anglo Tech will have an industry-leading portfolio with more than 1,200,000 tons of annual copper production underpinned by six world-class copper assets and outstanding future growth optionality. This will make Anglo Tech one of the world's leading investable copper opportunities. Offering both scale and quality with over 70% copper exposure. This transformative combination will unlock significant value for shareholders through compelling adjacencies generated by integrating the resources and infrastructure of QB and neighboring Coahuasi and through meaningful corporate synergies. Anglo Tech will work with stakeholders to optimize the value of the adjacencies. We expect to produce 175,000 tons of incremental copper and generate an annual average underlying EBITDA uplift of at least $1.4 billion per year for at least twenty years on a 100% basis. Working together as Anglo Tech will materially de-risk and accelerate our ability to realize this value opportunity. With aligned incentives on both the QB and Coyoacci sites, over $800 million recurring annual synergies have also been identified, and we expect approximately 80% of that to be achieved by the end of the second year following completion. In addition, the combined company is expected to have a strong balance sheet supported by a larger, more diversified asset and cash flow base including premium iron ore and zinc. Anglo Tech's scale and balance sheet will expand the opportunity set…

Crystal Prystai

Management

Thanks, Jonathan. Good morning, everyone. I will start with our third quarter 2025 financial performance on Slide seven. Our adjusted EBITDA increased by 18% in the quarter compared to a year ago to $1.2 billion driven by higher base metals prices, byproduct revenues, and significantly lower copper smelter processing charges as well as strong performance across our established operations, most significantly in our zinc business. Red Dog zinc sales and another profitable quarter from Trail Operations drove an increase in our adjusted EBITDA although this was partially offset by higher operating costs at QB. And while we completed $144 million of share buybacks in July, we have not executed share buybacks since July 25 and will not be permitted to execute further buybacks through the closing of our proposed merger with Anglo American. Importantly, we will continue to return cash to shareholders through our annual base dividend of $0.50 per share which is paid quarterly. Slide eight summarizes the key drivers of our financial performance in the third quarter compared to the same period in 2024. Our adjusted EBITDA increased by $185 million to $1.2 billion. In Q3, we realized higher copper and zinc prices as well as higher byproduct revenue. Lower smelter processing charges, and an increase in sales volumes. This was partially offset by an increase in royalties at Red Dog, due to strong profitability and higher operating costs at QB. Our Q3 2024 EBITDA was impacted by a post-tax impairment charge on Trail operations. Now looking at each of our reporting segments in greater detail and starting with copper on slide nine. In the third quarter, gross profit before depreciation and amortization from our copper segment improved 23% to $740 million compared with the same period last year, primarily due to higher base metals prices and lower…

Jonathan Price

Management

Thanks, Crystal. Looking forward on Slide 13, our priorities are disciplined execution across our operations and projects, and on progressing our transformative merger of equals with Anglo American. We are advancing approvals for the transaction, and both Anglo American and Teck Resources Limited strongly believe it is a significant value creation opportunity for our respective shareholders and stakeholders. At the same time, we are laser-focused on delivering against our operational guidance provided following completion of the comprehensive operational review. This includes continuing to progress the QB action plan and the necessary work on QB's tailings management facility to complete the ramp-up of the operation. At QB, there are multiple paths to value and significant upside potential beyond our current guidance, and we aim to realize the full value of this Tier one asset. Finally, our Highland Valley mine life extension project to extend production from a core asset to 2046 has moved into the execution phase and we are progressing early works. Turning to the outlook for QB on slide 14. Significant work has been undertaken to improve sand drainage times and complete the TMF development work. We have started the implementation of the new cyclone technology in one of the cyclone stations and we are seeing positive early results. We have finished the construction of the new paddock designs, we are also seeing improvements in sand drainage. Collectively, these results give us confidence that we are on the right track to finding solutions to improve sand drainage. We currently expect to be well-positioned to catch up on the construction of the sand dam and we aim to install the permanent infrastructure that will hydraulically deposit tailings and sand, replacing the current mechanical process by 2026. This will allow us to push QB to run at steady state from 2027…

Operator

Operator

Certainly. To join the question queue, The first question comes from Liam Fitzpatrick with Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.

Liam Fitzpatrick

Analyst

Good morning, Jonathan sorry, good afternoon. Depends where you're based. Jonathan and team, I've got two questions. The first one is just on the deal. And whether any preliminary discussions have started with Glencore. Over the JV of the two assets? And if not, any rough guidance on when that could begin? And the second question, just on the guidance or the updated guidance for 2025, it looks like you're tracking towards the low end across unit cost guidance and CapEx guidance. Just wanted to check if that's the case or whether there's something we should be looking out for in Q4. Thank you.

Jonathan Price

Management

Thanks, Liam. It is indeed morning here in Vancouver. So Starting with your first question just on the QB Koyawasi synergies. Of course, with this being structured as a friendly deal, ourselves and Anglo American, it did give us significant ability to understand the capability of both assets and comprehensively assess the potential opportunities that could be generated from cooperation both through the and, of course, through the extensive infrastructure. As we've said, much of that value comes from the processing of the higher grades softer Coahuasi ore through the QB plant and it's a very capital way to add low-cost production into the combined portfolio. These synergies of course were also reviewed and validated by external advisers in order for them to be published. So there's a good deal of rigor that's been put around that. But, you know, we think this will be the benefit to significant benefit of the owners of QB and of Koyoasi and we expect all parties to be motivated to work together to generate this value for their shareholders. And of course, much of that work in terms of the commercial agreements and the structure of the agreements going forward remains ahead of us. But as I said, we think this is a compelling opportunity, and we do expect all shareholders to be engaged here to capture that value for their shareholders. Crystal, maybe if you just like to comment on Liam's second question in terms of where we're trending on guidance.

Crystal Prystai

Management

Yeah. Sure. Hi, Liam. Good morning. Just in the context of CapEx first, I think the guidance range remains reasonable as we look at where we're trending with our growth capital as we, you know, continue to progress the MyLife extension. Program through the fourth quarter. I'd expect a come in within that range. Similarly, on the capitalized stripping side of things. And then on the sustaining capital side, of the guidance, we are obviously continuing to progress the work on the TMF and expect that spending to continue into the fourth quarter. So I would suggest you continue to use a midpoint on the aspects. Similarly on unit costs for the copper business, I would I would expect us to come in towards the middle of the range. I wouldn't use the low point. And for Zinc, I think you're probably it's probably reasonable to be using somewhere between the low and the mid-case just based on where we're tracking there. But there isn't anything, there isn't anything anomalous in those numbers.

Liam Fitzpatrick

Analyst

Okay. Jonathan, if I could briefly follow-up just point taken, Reed, the discussions are ahead of you. Should we be thinking that the discussions will get going post-deal completion? Which is well into next year? Or is the plan to begin those earlier?

Jonathan Price

Management

Look, there's nothing that requires the deal to be completed to enable discussions between QB and Coyoacci. I mean, I think over the past couple of months since the announcement of the merger of equals with Anglo American. We've clearly surfaced the value here that's available to all of the owners of both QB and Coyoacci, and I think that creates a good platform for engagement.

Liam Fitzpatrick

Analyst

Okay. Thank you. Thanks, Liam.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Myles Allsop with UBS. Please go ahead.

Myles Allsop

Analyst · UBS. Please go ahead.

Great. Thank you. Maybe just bring up slightly on Liam's question first on QB Colossae. I presume that all shareholders need to agree to the joint venture to be able to execute if Glencore or another shareholder gets difficult they you can't force them into a joint venture.

Jonathan Price

Management

No. There's no way of forcing anybody into a joint venture. I think it will require the agreement of all parties. Of course, Coahuasi is an incorporated entity. So unlike QB, is unincorporated where Teck Resources Limited is clearly the operator and takes the lead. Koyoasi has to engage as a consolidated entity. We've said before, we think there's a significant advantage from the cross-ownership that will be created through this merger of equals with 60% of QB being owned by Anglo Tech and 44% of Coyoacci being owned by Anglo Tech, and we consider that to be a significant de-risking and accelerating factor. In capturing these synergies. Over time. But again, I've just said, all shareholders of both assets should be highly motivated to work together to capture what we think is significant new value for our shareholders.

Myles Allsop

Analyst · UBS. Please go ahead.

Yes, and it wasn't that long ago, so I was quite excited about it. Could you just on QB, where should we think normal like I guess it's hypothetical now that in when production normalizes in 2027, 2028, where will unit costs normalize? What's your best guess? Is it the $1.15 or $1.52 What's the kind of new norm based on your current best guess?

Jonathan Price

Management

So Miles, there is no structural change to the asset based on the guidance we've previously given for QB. Of course, there's the impact of inflation that is across the whole of the industry. At the moment. So we would expect that to develop over time. But structurally, as we've said, we see the asset capable of performing at the levels that we'd used previously to define unit cost guidance. And I think that's probably the best indication I can give you at this stage.

Myles Allsop

Analyst · UBS. Please go ahead.

All the original normalized unit cost when you did the feasibility and stuff?

Jonathan Price

Management

So we were using $1.40 to $1.60 US dollars per pound previously. Obviously, that's predicated on the plant running at full capacity on hitting the design recovery rates on the full production of molybdenum and of course operating the port through our shiploader, which is a situation we expect to return to in the first quarter of next year. And of course, as I mentioned before, they are unescalated numbers as in they don't reflect the impact of inflation over the coming years.

Myles Allsop

Analyst · UBS. Please go ahead.

Yeah. Cool. That's clear. Thank you.

Jonathan Price

Management

Thanks, Miles.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Anita Sarney with CIBC. Please go ahead.

Anita Sarney

Analyst · CIBC. Please go ahead.

Good morning, Jonathan and team. Thanks for taking my question. The first one, just I just wanted to see if you could give us some more color in terms of the improvement in sand drainage rates. Could you quantify that? And I think previously, was like we're taking about seven days for the sand to drain. Is that has that improved from could you quantify it in the number of days?

Jonathan Price

Management

Hi, Anita. Thanks for the question. I'll hand this over to Dale. We won't quantify that, but I can get Dale to give a description of the work that's ongoing and some of the progress that we have seen. Particularly in the underlying drivers of sand drainage. Thank you very much, Jonathan, and thank you for the question.

Dale

Analyst · CIBC. Please go ahead.

I think as Jonathan mentioned earlier, we've made a few changes to the operations since our startup in October. One, we have started the replacement of Cyclone technology, and with that we are starting to see improvements in sand drainage in the paddocks. And that at the same time, as was changing some of our operational practices and design of paddocks as well. And those together are indicating some good initial results. But it's still too early to tell in terms of what magnitude of improvement is. Other than we're on the right track, and that's giving us some confidence on the path we're going forward. So that's where we sit today.

Jonathan Price

Management

I would say, Anita, of course, awesome opportunity to see this up close in weeks' time with far more detail around the work that's ongoing and how we see this developing.

Anita Sarney

Analyst · CIBC. Please go ahead.

Yeah. I'm I will be attending the tour. And then my second question is with respect to the mill product rates. I think previously you talked about well, I can't remember off the top of my head, but the utilization and the availability, could you put it in context of what you seen over up October? October to date in terms of when you provided the guidance for Q3 results, yeah, I think it was I don't want to say incorrectly, but I think it was, like 61% availability or and 70% utilization. But can you just tell us what the old one was and what you've seen to date in October?

Jonathan Price

Management

Yeah. So year-to-date, when we communicated a couple of weeks ago, we'd seen 87% availability in the mill, but only 70% utilization because of the constraints put on the mill by the downtime associated with the TMF since starting up. In early October, we've seen very good availabilities. I won't quantify that right now, but very strong.

Anita Sarney

Analyst · CIBC. Please go ahead.

Okay. And then am I correct in thinking when you're looking at the 87 in the 70, you should be multiplying those to get to your total capacity. Is that correct?

Jonathan Price

Management

No. It doesn't quite work like that. I mean, the utilization is a function ultimately of that availability. But we were only able to utilize the mill 70% of the time. Ultimately, you don't need to multiply the two things.

Anita Sarney

Analyst · CIBC. Please go ahead.

Okay. Alright. Thank you. Thanks very much for clarifying that.

Jonathan Price

Management

Thanks very much.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Lars van Wunder with Bank of America Securities. Please go ahead.

Lars van Wunder

Analyst · Bank of America Securities. Please go ahead.

Thank you very much, operator. Good morning, Jonathan, and Crystal. Thank you for today's update. If I could come back to the merger, could I ask to what extent Teck Resources Limited and or Anglo American have engaged with Investment Canada on the transaction? Is there any indication that moving the combined head office is sufficient? And then just a follow-up to that, if you could address what you would perceive as sort of the bottleneck an antitrust and other approval point of view once the vote is done? Thank you very much.

Jonathan Price

Management

Yeah. Thanks, Lawson. Thanks for those questions. Look, we are engaging on an ongoing and collaborative basis with the Canadian government here. Those discussions have been frequent and productive. As we've said, we've put forward what we believe to be a very strong and comprehensive package of commitments to Canada in particular. You know, as you note, a key element of that is Anglo Tech having its headquarters in Canada in perpetuity, and that's in addition to the significant capital spending commitments we've made of $4.5 billion over five years and other assurances and meaningful undertakings associated with the activities of the new company. So those conversations are ongoing and we're very pleased in the way that they're unfolding at the moment. We don't see a particular bottleneck here Lawson, necessarily. You know, we'll work through the shareholder vote, of course, in early December. We'll continue in parallel to work with the Canadian government under the Investment Canada Act. And, of course, then this week, we will complete all of our filings related to antitrust and competition regulators globally. Of course, then those processes will unfold in due course. So now a lot of activity going on a lot of engagements underway, and, you know, we hope to continue that in a very productive and to the extent possible expedited fashion.

Lars van Wunder

Analyst · Bank of America Securities. Please go ahead.

Okay. Thanks very much, Thanks, Lawson.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Chris Lipponen with Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Chris Lipponen

Analyst · Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Thanks, operator. Hi, Jonathan. Thanks for taking my question. Just wanted to follow-up another question on the QB Kalawasi synergies. The shareholder vote is going to be on December 9, but at that time, we won't know whether the JV is certainly going to happen. We won't know what the economic split would be between Teck Resources Limited, Anglo, and your partners in those assets. And obviously, that JV is a big component of this deal. And my first question would be, whether you think it's a compelling merger even if you cannot get that JV done. I understand that it's compelling from all parties involved, under the assumption that that JV doesn't happen, it's just still a very good deal for Teck Resources Limited. That's my first question.

Jonathan Price

Management

Yeah. Thanks for that, Chris. So look. Absolutely. I mean, you know, we think the creation of this, this new company, the fifth largest copper producer in the world, sixth world-class assets, 1,200,000 tons of annual copper production, a company of both scale and quality. We expect this to trade very, very well in equity markets. In addition to that, of course, we've got the $800 million of synergies that we will work through coming through the corporate combination, coming from marketing, coming from procurement. In addition to that, of course, Teck Resources Limited shareholders will gain access to synergies being created through the agreement that Anglo American has put in place with Codelco for Los Bronces Andina. Etcetera. There are lots of sources of value creation here. We do think that the QB Koyoasi, of course, is a very meaningful component of the value creation here. And as I mentioned before, I would expect all of the owners of both QB and Koyoasi to be highly motivated on behalf of their shareholders to work collaboratively to capture that value that's ahead of us.

Chris Lipponen

Analyst · Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Right. That makes sense. Then in terms of a framework for how you value the split of the economics in that JV, have you had discussions with partners regarding just generally how to think about that? Because each partner is going to want to maximize their cap for the economics. I would that's going to be a sticking point. You think about the framework to value to each partner involved? Thank you.

Jonathan Price

Management

So that is to be worked out, Chris. That is part of the commercial agreements we have ahead of us. Of course, again, with Anglo Tech, at 60% of QB and Anglo Tech at 44% of Coyoacci, you can see a win-win. There on both sides of this transaction. We will get into the nuts and bolts of this in the period ahead of us. But, again, I would expect all owners of both to be highly motivated to capture this value on behalf of their shareholders.

Chris Lipponen

Analyst · Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Got it. Thanks, Jonathan. Good luck.

Jonathan Price

Management

Thank you very much, Chris.

Operator

Operator

There being no further questions, I will now pass the call back to Jonathan for closing remarks. Please go ahead.

Jonathan Price

Management

Thank you, operator, and thanks again to everyone for joining us today. As mentioned, we look forward to seeing many of you at our QB site visit and to many others joining us via webcast on November three. Wish you all a good day. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. You may disconnect your lines. Thank you for participating and have a great day.