Earnings Labs

Target Hospitality Corp. (TH)

Q4 2021 Earnings Call· Thu, Mar 10, 2022

$14.35

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning and welcome to the Target Hospitality's Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2021 Earnings Call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] Please note this event is being recorded. I'd now like to turn the conference over to Mark Schuck, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Mark Schuck

Analyst

Thank you. Good morning, everyone and welcome to Target Hospitality's fourth quarter and full year 2021 earnings call. The press release we issued this morning outlining our fourth quarter and full year results can be found in the Investor Section of our website. In addition, a replay of this call will be archived on our website for a limited time. Please note the cautionary language regarding forward-looking statements contained in the press release. The same language applies to statements made on today's conference call. This call will contain time sensitive information, as well as forward- looking statements, which are only accurate as of today, March 10, 2022. Target Hospitality expressly disclaims any obligation to update or amend the information contained in this conference call to reflect events or circumstances that may arise after today's date, except as required by applicable law. For a complete list of risks and uncertainties that may affect future performance, please refer to Target Hospitality's periodic filings with the SEC. We will discuss non-GAAP financial measures on today's call. Please refer to the table in our earnings release posted in the Investor Section of our website to find a reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures referenced in today's call and their corresponding GAAP measures. Leading the call today will be, Brad Archer, President and Chief Executive Officer; followed by Eric T. Kalamaras, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. After their prepared remarks, we'll be joined by Troy Schrenk, Chief Commercial Officer and open the call for questions. I'll now turn the call over to our Chief Executive Officer, Brad Archer.

Brad Archer

Analyst

Thanks Mark. Good morning, everyone and thank you for joining us on the call today. Before we get into our 2021 results, I want to briefly touch on the leadership transition announcement we made last week. It was important for us to ensure there was ample time to have a smooth and orderly transition. And as we said, I will continue to lead the company through the balance of 2022 and then transition into a strategic advisory role. I'm excited about Target's opportunity set and look forward to progressing its strategic initiatives in 2022 and ensuring business continuity through this transition. Now, I would like to look back at Target's significant 2021 accomplishments. Target's impressive 2021 results illustrate the strength of the company's operating position and commitment to our defined strategic initiatives. We entered 2021 with a goal to diversify our end markets, while significantly strengthening Target's balance sheet and operational flexibility. We accomplished these objectives with the deliberate actions we took to create an efficient operating structure, while simultaneously positioning the company to take advantage of improving demand fundamentals. Since year-end 2020, Target has experienced an over 47% increase in customer demand across its HFS segment. This illustrates the value our best-in-class customers find and allocating labor to Target's world-class network and premier service offerings. These attributes continue to sport an over 90% customer renewal rate, which we have enjoyed for many years. As Target's utilization and customer activity increases, we have matched this demand with minimal incremental capital and continue to benefit from the scale and efficiencies we have created within our operating structure. This network optimization creates an ideal scenario and maximizes the margin contribution from each additional utilized bed, supporting robust margins and significant cash generation. Additionally, our superior operational capabilities and unmatched hospitality solutions were…

Eric Kalamaras

Analyst

Thank you, Brad and good morning, everyone. In the fourth quarter, we experienced a continuation of the strengthening demand fundamentals, which benefited Target throughout 2021. Since year-end 2020, Target has experienced a 123% increase in customer demand for our premium modular accommodations and hospitality solutions. This impressive and sustained demand supported strong fourth quarter and full year 2021 financial results, which exceeded the high-end of our 2021 financial outlook. Full year 2021 total revenue was $291 million and adjusted EBITDA was approximately $119 million. For the year, we had discretionary cash flow of $93 million, representing an impressive 32% DCF yield, which illustrates the cash flow resiliency within our business and allows us to continue enhancing our operating flexibility as we move through 2022. Our Government segment produced quarterly revenue of approximately $47 million compared to $40 million in the same period last year. A significant increase is from an additional U.S. Government contract award executed in March, 2021, which contributed approximately $33 million of revenue in the fourth quarter. As a reminder Target's Government segment is supported by minimum revenue contracts, which are fully backed by the U.S. Government over their respective contract terms. Our HFS segment delivered fourth quarter revenue of $34 million compared to $24 million in the same period last year. This increase was driven by sustained momentum in customer demand for Target's premium service offerings, supported by strengthening commercial activity and economic demand. While Target has significantly grown its revenue and adjusted EBITDA over the past year, we have remained diligent and appropriately managing cost components across the organization. We take an active approach in managing our input costs and benefit from our service offering flexibility, which allows us to adjust primary cost components to mitigate pricing pressure. As such, our input costs have remained…

Brad Archer

Analyst

Thanks Eric. Target's 2021 results illustrate the benefits of Target's unique position as North America's leader in modular accommodation and hospitality solutions, while exemplifying our commitment to executing on our strategic objectives. These attributes allowed us to meet and exceed our customer's varying needs, while significantly enhancing Target's financial position in 2021. These accomplishments have created a tremendous amount of momentum as we enter 2022, which we will utilize to continue progressing our strategic growth initiatives. As we have stated, we'll remain focused on aligning our strategic growth with Target's existing core competencies, while preserving the strong financial position we have achieved. We believe this creates the optimal scenario to accelerate value creation for our shareholders there. I appreciate everyone joining us on the call today and thank you again for your interest in Target Hospitality. I will now pass the call back to the operator for Q&A.

Operator

Operator

We will now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] The first question comes from Stephen Gengaro with Stifel. Please go ahead.

Stephen Gengaro

Analyst

Thanks and good morning gentlemen.

Brad Archer

Analyst

Good morning, Stephen.

Stephen Gengaro

Analyst

And congrats Brad on your transition.

Brad Archer

Analyst

Thank you.

Stephen Gengaro

Analyst

The two things I wanted to ask you about -- I think first, your guidance, it seems to include an extension of the existing government contract, and I was just curious, based on what we had seen on the government website, it looks like that contract could be up to 50% larger. Is -- am I right, that your current guidance includes sort of an extension at the current size.

Eric Kalamaras

Analyst

Hi, Stephen. Good morning. It's Eric. Thanks to the question. It's a good question. So, as we have said, historically, when we entered the contract nearly a year ago, we expected this to continue to live on. And so, yeah, sure. We have always assumed that, that continues to live on at existing economics. And that's -- it's been underwriting assumption for some time now and not changing any thing as it relates to the 2022 outlook.

Stephen Gengaro

Analyst

Okay. Thanks. And is there a -- or do you envision, and I know it's probably hard to answer, but do you envision that on a per unit basis, the economics remain pretty similar?

Eric Kalamaras

Analyst

Look, here's what I would say. Look, the scope of the IDIQ is complex. It'll take some time to work through the economics of that. There are a variety of puts and takes that can be flexed in a number of ways, depending on what the customer ultimately desires at the end of the day. There are certainly a number of specs in the IDIQ. Look -- but that being considered, all that takes time to evaluate operationally and financially. But I think, for your purposes and frankly for our purposes, we've assumed that, that continues to move on similar economics.

Stephen Gengaro

Analyst

Okay.

Brad Archer

Analyst

Yeah. I mean, just a little bit the spread. I mean, we're highly confident in that moving forward, right? The piece that we're doing today, I think there's a variety of possible final contract terms when it comes to the expansion that's mentioned in the IDIQ, while we feel good about that. The needs there, it's listed in the IDIQ as well. We're in -- we're still in the middle of finalizing scopes, the potential for an expansion, but feel very good about the extension as it sits today, continuing to move forward.

Stephen Gengaro

Analyst

I understand. Thanks. And then just two others. One was, when we think about the -- just one more operational question. When we think about the puts and takes in the oil -- I guess, in the oil old project and in the government, but on the cost side and what you're seeing on the cost side versus what the margin profile looks like. And I honestly didn't run the -- I didn't divide the numbers up, but just kind of curious what -- how you're thinking about that and the impact it has on margins. I imagine scale helps offset some of that as you get busier, but I'm just curious what the puts and takes are there.

Brad Archer

Analyst

Yeah. Let me just touch a little bit on a higher level. When we look at labor, we've been able to maintain adequate staff to guess ratio. Definitely the labor market is tighter, but we've been very good about maintaining that. So, we're good there. And when we look at inflationary pressures and different things on food, and in that we are -- our volume, our scale of purchases, the menu flexibility we have at a operational level, really allows us -- I'm not going to tell you, in 2021 it didn't affect us some, but we've accounted for that. Those -- the inflationary pressures we've seen in 2021, we were able to mitigate very well. I think we'll continue to be able to do that in 2022. And I would tell you, they're accounted for as far as puts and -- I'll let Eric more touch on that.

Eric Kalamaras

Analyst

Sure. So, when we think about three component -- the three largest components of the cost of service pool, one will be labor. The other one will be food purchasing. And the other one -- the other -- last one will be utilities. Look, on food servicing -- and Brad touched on labor -- so let me hit on food servicing for a moment. We're one of the top 20 providers of food servicing in the country in terms of purchasers, right? So, we have massive scale and I don't think the marketplace necessarily appreciates that, but it's substantial scale. So, when we think about cost of servicing, and we think about it on a per unit basis heading into 2022, we expect that on a per unit basis to continue to come down, right, just partially as a function of occupancy, increasing at a relatively higher pace than we expect cost increase. We do expect to have some inflationary movement. However, we're able to ameliorate the substantial portion of that. So, as opposed to, the headline numbers, you're seeing of 79%, whether it be CPI or PPI, and we're talking low single digits, which would frankly not be drastically different than what we've seen in the past. So, we'll continue to monitor it, but I don't think we should look at anything that impacts margin degradation to that point. Now, when you look at things at the top line at a consolidated level for Target, just to bear this in mind, I think it's worth mentioning that we did have TCPL last year, right, included in 2021. And so, we won't have that carrying forward into 2022. So, at an aggregate level, you'll see a little bit of movement on the margin. Largely, it's a function now of having costless revenue last year. So, just bear that in mind. I think you know that, but just reminding you.

Stephen Gengaro

Analyst

Yes. I understand that. Okay. I'll stop there. I'll get back in line. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Scott Schneeberger with Oppenheimer. Please go ahead.

Scott Schneeberger

Analyst · Oppenheimer. Please go ahead.

Thank you very much. Good morning, everyone. I guess, I'd like to start on the government contract extension -- and kind of a two-part question. Could you discuss kind of the speed of the process leading up to now, and more importantly, the back part of this question is how do you envision the timeline going forward? It looks like there is some sort of expiration on the notice posted from a few weeks ago, tomorrow evening. So, how should we think about this as it to your customer and to you? Just to keep that in mind. Thank you.

Brad Archer

Analyst · Oppenheimer. Please go ahead.

Yeah. Scott, this is Brad. Good morning. For relevance purpose, this is very similar to the transition that occurred with our government services contract at the South Texas family residential center. So, while the process is kind of cumbersome and slow, we're -- it's not new to us and not atypical to how these things work. I think the biggest thing I would point everyone to is the sole source IDIQ that was kind of the gating issue. You needed that to happen first. I don't -- I can't remember the exact date maybe Mark does, but it should -- that 15-day notice period is coming up. So, once that happens, we're not sitting still, we've already been talking and negotiating contracts. So, look, I think here we're highly confident what will happen is we'll receive a 30-day extension to allow for all of us to finalize contracts. The hope would be that we could get that done in that 30-day extension. If not, it would be extended again. But the ultimate goal for everybody, based on that IDIQ, is to come out of here with the long-term contract, that's what's being awarded. It is just a function of the 15-day period and then finalizing the contract.

Scott Schneeberger

Analyst · Oppenheimer. Please go ahead.

Great. Thanks. And following up on that, still in the Government segment, the CapEx guide is lower this year than last year. Obviously, there was a lot of CapEx tied to the March contract last year and getting that up and going. What is embedded in the guidance for CapEx this year? Is it anticipating extension or is that not in, should we expect perhaps an update, if things develop favorably on that government contract with regard to what may be required for additional CapEx. Thank you.

Eric Kalamaras

Analyst · Oppenheimer. Please go ahead.

Sure. Sure. Good question. So, when we put out the guidance, we purposely termed it to be preliminary, because of the contract and negotiations that were going on. And the reason for that was when we think about the -- not only the extension opportunities, but the expansion opportunities, those can be meaningful. So, when we think about moving forward in 2022, just on a standalone basis, assuming the extension, a lot of that capital has already been assumed, right? We did a lot of that last year. It was a pretty big lift in the first half of last year. So, we've got a lot of that. So, what you're seeing from predominantly is some maintenance work that in the HFS side of the business. Now, as we move forward to the extent that there is a expansion opportunity, that capital could be meaningful and we'll come back and update that accordingly, just as we move through those discussions. As I mentioned before, there are a number of different permutations that the customer could ultimately desire over and above the IDIQ and so, that can have implications as it relates to capital spending.

Scott Schneeberger

Analyst · Oppenheimer. Please go ahead.

Great. Thanks. I appreciate that. One more for me. And it's going to be over in the Hospitality segment South. The -- in the overall company guidance, this is more -- you were asked on the cost side. This is more on the demand side, what's embedded in the guidance this year with regard to expected oil price over the course of the year, maybe rig count, labor per rig count. Just how are you thinking about that with this guidance at this point, obviously, oil prices and shell activity likely to be volatile here going forward?

Eric Kalamaras

Analyst · Oppenheimer. Please go ahead.

Sure. Good question. So the -- let me give you a little bit of context. Just so you have an understanding before I get in the meat of your question. So, when we think about -- when we think about the outlook and we think about it as related to commodity pricing, we don't think about it as being as linear as perhaps what you're thinking. We think about it in terms of an overall construct of pricing scenarios over the year, right? So, when we put the budget together and evaluate the business plan, we were looking at pricing and you're looking at utilization trends and occupancy rates that typically exhibits something in the -- call it, $65 to $70 type area. And that's what we were basing our occupancy levels on. And part of the reason for that is because we tend to see about a quarter to four-month lag from increasing permit levels. Okay? That's partly the rationale behind that. Not expecting necessarily to see, two months later crude prices that would of peaked to $130 a barrel. That being said in 2021, we saw consistent gains throughout the entire year, right? It was a lot of -- it was front half weighted, coming out of still some COVID residual hangover, but we saw nice positive movement there. We continued to expect to see that this year. And look, we'll see good solid double-digit year-over-year, quarterly revenue growth, again, and that's what's going to be embedded in the numbers. A lot of that's going to be weighted in the first half, but we expect that to continue all through the year. I think what you're seeing now, with the current marketplace, we'll wait and see what producers and companies ultimately do. They've continued to stick with their development plans, which is fine. But look, this may -- maybe the current environment we see is more helpful to that and pushes things further the right faster than we expect it, but that's not what we are assuming.

Brad Archer

Analyst · Oppenheimer. Please go ahead.

Yeah. And just one thing to add to that, and Eric's right. What we're not hearing from our customers right now, still early, that going to start adding a whole bunch of rigs. A lot of ours are the bigger -- you bigger, EMP companies. I would just tell you if that happens in the back half of the year, it takes a little time for it to trickle down to us. But if it does, the way we built out our network, especially in the Permian basin, we're setting in a really good seat to capture that business. We're already doing business with those folks. So, if that comes, we'd update it, but -- and if it comes at the back of the year, I think, we end up getting a lift from that because we're already setting with the contracts that would actually go out and start to do some of that drilling. But today, we're not seeing that.

Scott Schneeberger

Analyst · Oppenheimer. Please go ahead.

Great. Appreciate the perspective guys. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Greg Gibas with Northland Securities. Please go ahead.

Greg Gibas

Analyst · Northland Securities. Please go ahead.

Hey, good morning, Brad and Eric. Congrats on the quarter and thanks for taking the questions. I guess, first -- apologize if I missed this, but what are you expecting -- you mentioned government represented 54% of 2021 revenue. What's kind of implied in your guidance for 2022 in terms of the split between government versus energy.

Eric Kalamaras

Analyst · Northland Securities. Please go ahead.

Yeah. It would -- Greg, thanks for the question. It would be exactly the same. We've assumed a lot of those the structures for the government, just continue to roll while we continue to expect positive movement on the energy side, which you would think would tilt that mix. The reality is though we didn't have a full quarter of the government new contract last year, right? So, we have to impute another quarter of that. When you look at it on a relative basis, those things actually closed offset each other. And so you'd expect it to be in that 54%, 55% level. Now, to the extent we get the expansion that obviously will shift that mix, obviously towards the government side. However, we'll have to wait and see what that looks like, if and when that comes.

Greg Gibas

Analyst · Northland Securities. Please go ahead.

Right. That's helpful. And I guess, I apologize also if I missed this. But relating to the government contract, you remain pretty confident that it'll be settled, but are you expecting that to happen by the end of this month or are you anticipating a 30-day or month delay?

Brad Archer

Analyst · Northland Securities. Please go ahead.

So, we're definitely anticipating a 30-day extension. Everything rolls as it is today. And within that 30 days, the hope is all of us finalized that contract that we've been working on.

Greg Gibas

Analyst · Northland Securities. Please go ahead.

Got it. Thanks for clarifying. And I guess, last one for me, just relating to -- your general thoughts on refinancing your existing debt, how much of a priority is that and kind of timing related.

Eric Kalamaras

Analyst · Northland Securities. Please go ahead.

Sure. Great question. We look at that -- we've looked at that for some time. And I think we're in a spot now to be able to execute on that to the extent -- to the market is available to us and to the extent it fits within our strategic objectives. Right now, the high yield market is not cooperated, just given some of the macro backdrops that we've seen over the past number of weeks, but we will continue to evaluate that. And we'll look to do things that are certainly favorable to where the current rate is on the notes. And so, certainly, top of mind for us, but we want to do that on balance with our entire strategic objective as well. And so, that will just -- so not only is it an economic decision, it's also a decision strategically.

Greg Gibas

Analyst · Northland Securities. Please go ahead.

Okay. Great. Thanks very much.

Operator

Operator

And we have a follow-up from Stephen Gengaro with Stifel. Please go ahead.

Stephen Gengaro

Analyst

Thanks for taking the follow-up. So, two quick ones, just to follow-up. When -- this gets back to the balance sheet question, but I understand the leverage ratio, but looking at the strong free cash flow -- the very strong free cash flow generation. How do you think about the balance between the debt reduction and returning more cash to shareholders given sort of the outlook, the CapEx and what looks like a lot of visibility from the government work?

Eric Kalamaras

Analyst

Stephen, I'm not surprised you asked that question. I suspected you may. Look, we -- as you know, we've maxed out all our prepayable debt, and so that's obviously the genesis part of the question here. Look all options that remain on the table to maximize value for Target all the time, right? So, there are certainly some options that are better than others. Look, we have positioned the company, though, over the past couple of years, to begin to the end of the stages of really being able to pursue growth on our terms and do it actively and evaluating a variety of opportunities that really fit nicely with our core competencies. And so, we want to continue to pursue that path, right? And so, we'll always look at opportunities to return capital back. I think to the extent that some of our other strategic opportunities don't develop for one reason or another, perhaps direct shareholder return opportunities come more to the forefront of the table, but all things remain viable at this point. But like I said, there are some better opportunities to grow shareholder value for the long-term than others. And so, I wouldn't consider those to be the highest priority right now.

Stephen Gengaro

Analyst

Thank you. And then just one follow-on for me. As -- I'm trying to think how to ask it. But when we think about -- and when I talk to the companies in the oil patch, they clearly have some constraints on their business, right, whether it's frac sand or truck drivers or just labor in general. And they're kind of growing through it. But I'm curious how you guys are thinking about -- what's the impact of a tight labor market for the oil companies, both service and E&P sort of the demand for your services? And what's -- how does that -- how is your competitive position sort of impact that when you take those things into consideration? Is it better or worse for you when the labor market is that tight? And I believe you've said in the past, it's kind of a sort of a selling point for the operators to stay in Target facilities, but kind of curious on your updated views there.

Unknown Company Representative

Analyst

Yeah. Almost 30 years in the business me. And I can tell you in the past, when it's a tight labor market and they're fighting for the truck driver or the frac can or any of the oil and gas folks that are in the field, it's better for us. We offer a superior product. We're not the cheapest, but they're willing to pay for it when it's part of their hiring package. And if it helps them retain their employee, it becomes even more of a benefit in a tighter labor market than it is just on regular course of business. So, it's not that we like for them to be in the pain, but this is not a bad thing for our business.

Stephen Gengaro

Analyst

Great. Thank you for the color.

Unknown Company Representative

Analyst

Absolutely.

Operator

Operator

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Brad Archer for any closing remarks.

Brad Archer

Analyst

Thanks for joining the call today. And we look forward to talking with you all again next quarter. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You I'll disconnect.