Alberto Griselli
Analyst · JPMorgan
Sorry, Marcelo, I was in mute. So when we look at the guidance, basically, this has been elaborated -- our budget has been elaborated a few months ago when the situation was a bit easier on inflation, specifically on the other elements we are sort of aligned in terms of ForEx and GDP growth. But since the guidance has been issued basically today, over the last week, we've been working with more -- with assumption on inflation that are in line with the current trends, the one that we are seeing now. Of course, there is a lot of volatility of inflation. A few weeks ago, we were below 5. Now we are below 5. So we need to deal with this. We are used to deal with this since we operate in Brazil for a long time. But basically, the main difference was inflation when we prepared the budget and we updated this on more actual numbers as we issued the guidance today or yesterday night. When it comes to prepaid, so our performance are basically driven by a number of factors. The first one is related to the migration of customers from prepaid to control. So this is part of our strategy. And of course, this drain revenues from one side to move in a accretive way on the other side. So the benefits of doing this is that the revenue becomes a larger revenue in postpaid and our ability to monetize postpaid and control is better than in prepaid. Then there is another factor that is basically related to everybody, every -- ourselves and our competitors perform this strategy. So if you look at the recharge market as a whole, it's decreasing over time. And so this is decreasing as the market. So this is the context where we operate. In our case, in the fourth quarter, we have a tougher comparative base because in the same quarter of the previous year, we were issuing a price update from BRL 15 to BRL 17, so this is explained the intensitive of the decline for the last quarter. And just anticipating a bit, also the first quarter of this year, it's a tougher competitive basis versus the first quarter of last year, because this year, for example, we have Carnival in March, and this tends to reduce the number of available days for recharge. Having said that, we have been working for a while now on revamp or turnaround of our prepaid business. We launched a new offer, a new communication campaign as you probably remember, last year. And so we are working across the board on the offer, on the communication and on the channel and our own customer base to increase the performance of prepaid going forward. This takes some time, but our commercial team is fully focused on that.