Earnings Labs

Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN)

Q2 2020 Earnings Call· Thu, Aug 29, 2019

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Greetings and welcome to the Titan Machinery Incorporated Second Quarter Fiscal 2020 Earnings Conference Call. At this time all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. [Operator Instructions] Please note, this conference is being recorded. I will now turn the conference over to your host, John Mills, Manager Partner of ICR. Mr. Mills, you may begin.

John Mills

Analyst

Great, thank you. Good morning, everyone and welcome to the Titan Machinery second quarter fiscal 2020 earnings conference call. On the call today from the company are David Meyer, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; and Mark Kalvoda, Chief Financial Officer. By now, everyone should have access to the earnings release for the fiscal second quarter ended July 31, 2019, which went out this morning at approximately 6.45 a.m. Eastern Time. If you have not received the release, it is available on the Investor Relations page of Titan’s website at ir.titanmachinery.com. This call is being webcast and a replay will be available on the company’s website as well. In addition, we are providing a presentation to accompany today’s prepared remarks. You may access the presentation now by going to Titan’s website at ir.titanmachinery.com. The presentation is available directly below the webcast information in the middle of the page. You'll see on Slide 2 of the presentation our Safe Harbor statement. We would like to remind everyone that the prepared remarks contain forward-looking statements and management may make additional forward-looking statements in response to your questions. These statements do not guarantee future performance, and therefore, undue reliance should not be placed upon them. These forward-looking statements are based on current expectations of management and involve inherent risks and uncertainties, including those identified in the Risk Factors section of Titan’s most recently filed Annual Report on Form 10-K. These risk factors contain a more detailed discussion of the factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected in any forward-looking statements. Except as may be required by applicable law, Titan assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements that may be made in today’s release or call. Please note that during today’s call, we will discuss non-GAAP financial measures, including results on an adjusted basis. We believe these adjusted financial measures can facilitate a more complete analysis and greater transparency into Titan’s ongoing financial performance, particularly when comparing underlying results from period-to-period. We have included reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to their most directly comparable GAAP financial measures in today’s release. The call will last approximately 45 minutes. At the conclusion of our prepared remarks, we will open the call to take your questions. Now, I’d like to introduce the company’s Chairman and CEO, Mr. David Meyer. Go ahead, David.

David Meyer

Analyst

Thank you, John. Good morning, everyone. Welcome to our second quarter fiscal 2020 earnings conference call. On today’s call, I will provide a summary of our results and then an overview for each of our business segments. Mark will then review financial results for the second quarter of fiscal 2020 and conclude by reviewing our updated modeling assumptions for fiscal 2020. If you turn to Slide 3, you will see an overview of our second quarter financial results. Our second quarter revenue was $315 million with the adjusted pretax income of $9.1 million and adjusted earnings per diluted share of $0.31. We generated solid topline and bottom-line results during the fiscal second quarter by achieving healthy growth in our Agriculture and Construction segments despite challenging industry conditions that continue to persist. We are particularly pleased with strong continued increases at our higher margin parts and service businesses which grew double digits in the quarter. These results were slightly offset by our International segment which I will discuss shortly. I will now provide additional detail for our three operating segments consisting of our domestic Agriculture and Construction segments and our International segment. On Slide 4 is an overview of our domestic agriculture segment. As we pointed out on our Q1 earnings call, across most of our Ag footprint our farmer customers experience some abnormally late cold and wet spring. This caused the late plating and in some cases farmers elected a Preventive Plan Action. For the crops that didn’t get planted, some would find it less than ideal conditions which combined with reduced yield potential of late planted crops and the acres lost the midseason heavy rains, we anticipate lower overall corn and soybean yields. The good news is that most of the western corn belt fared better than the eastern…

Mark Kalvoda

Analyst

Thanks David. Turning to Slide 7, we generated total revenue of $315 million for the fiscal 2020 second quarter, an increase of 6% compared to last year. Our revenue increase was primarily the result of an increase in our Agriculture and Construction segments which increased 9.1% and 8.4% respectively. While the equipment category achieved double-digit revenue growth in each of these segments, the performance of our service business was the highlight of the quarter which grew 15.5% on a consolidated basis. Our parts revenues were up 6.7% and our rental and other revenue was down slightly compared to the same period last year. Rental and other revenue was down primarily due to a smaller average rental fleet which was offset by a slightly higher dollar utilization of 25.5% for the current quarter compared to 25.2% in the same period last year. We were pleased with the quarterly revenue increase in our parts and service businesses. Approximately 2% to 3% of the increase is from our AGRAM acquisition completed in the third quarter of last fiscal year with the balance of the revenue growth resulting from our increased focus in these areas and a customer fleet that is continuing to age. On Slide 8, our gross profit of $64 million for the quarter was an increase of 8.7% compared to the same period last year, primarily driven by higher revenues. Gross profit margin increased by 50 basis points to 20.3% versus the prior year period due primarily to a shift in gross profit mix toward a higher margin service business. Our operating expenses increased by $7.3 million to $55 million for the second quarter of fiscal 2020. The increase was primarily the result of higher International segment operating expenses resulting from our AGRAM acquisition, ERP transition costs incurred in the quarter…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question is from Steve Dyer, Craig-Hallum. Please proceed with your question.

Steve Dyer

Analyst

Thank you. Good morning, guys. So the strength in your Ag outlook going forward, I'm just kind of curious, obviously corn was well above $4 a bushel here for quite awhile or earlier this year. How much of the benefit you guys think you saw from that or is it just more that yields might not be as bad due to flooding as initially feared or, so what's driving that more optimistic outlook in Ag?

Mark Kalvoda

Analyst

Hi Steve, this is Mark. The outlook, the change in the outlook that we had, really just implies about flattish results for the back half of the year. It's really just the increases because of that - in that range is because we are up 9% in the first half of the year. It's just with those factors that you mentioned, know these frost dates, trade war, commodity prices, all of the above, all those variables and uncertainties out there in the industry, we’re leaving the back half of the year at flat and that's implied in that range of the 2% to 7%.

Steve Dyer

Analyst

Okay, got it. Service was really strong in the quarter, up 16% year-over-year. What drove that strength specifically, what are you seeing there?

David Meyer

Analyst

Well, it's Dave, Steve. So if you remember, last fall there was a long dried out harbors and some role demanding conditions. Crops were being combined [ph] wind in December it was frozen muddy snowing conditions. These conditions are tough on equipment and we've been putting some good parts into services work into that equipment to getting ready for not only the spring planting but also the harvest season we're continuing – we're working on com lines. So as indicated by our parts and service growth in the first half of the year, that's been a good plus for that. I think to look at, there's going to be probably a little bit less acres harvest, because of the problem in plant and some of that drowned-out, but our equipments, our fleet continues to age more hours and we're seeing just a lot of demand in our service departments as this fleet continues to get more hours and age on it.

Steve Dyer

Analyst

Okay. And then Dave, you've talked more recently about the M&A environment and your desire to sort of stoke that up again, balance sheet and inventories has come a long way. You guys are in a good spot. What's the thought there going forward given all the uncertainty with trade wars and everything?

David Meyer

Analyst

Well, I think there's some really nice deal or potential acquisitions. Owners are, they're getting aged; looking for succession solution. And so I think we want to take this opportunity right now and I think there's some good opportunities out there and we're really seeing that pick up. So I am going to spend a lot of time on that and also I think that's - long-term to be able to get in some good markets with large industry potential is going to be good for Titan, long-term.

Steve Dyer

Analyst

Got it. Okay, thanks guys.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Larry De Maria, William Blair. Please proceed with your question.

Larry De Maria

Analyst

Thanks. Good morning, everybody. Just going back to the point of looking for a flattish second half, you guys also made the point that farmers had sold some and when obviously markets surged earlier this year, and that they're going to get MF-2 payments, payments et cetera. So why have - is there just a conservative outlook into the second half given the uncertainties or are we not expecting farmers to allocate them their cash off the taxes into the end of the year?

David Meyer

Analyst

Well, I think, Larry, you really need to look at soybean prices right now. And I'd say with the current level of soybeans and they've been there for a while, they're probably losing money right now with these current prices. So it's going to be really difficult. It's a high percentage of our customers crops are soybeans in most of our markets, so that's really being hurt. So gradually [ph], yes, I think that was a real positive that late June or early July a lot of our growers emptied out their bins with all their carryover crop to be able to contract some of this year's crop, but I do think that's been offset somewhat by the soybean prices. And I think the biggest thing too is, there's going to be a big wait-and-see, so when is the first killing frost is going to hit and I think that's really weighing everybody right now and that's – so we really going to need to watch the weather through the month of September and that's going to make a big impact on yield, farmer income. It's kind of a make or break year this year. So I think there's a big wait-and-see not only with our growers but also with the Ag lenders out there.

Larry De Maria

Analyst

Okay, guess, I understand. And as we start to think about into next year, correct me if I'm wrong, but you guys are already starting to take orders and build an order book for planters into next year? So I'm kind of curious how an initial look on orders of the seasonal stuff that maybe would give a hint about what's going to happen next year or are shaping out?

David Meyer

Analyst

Yes, there's - even things are a little bit delayed this year. Yes, there's definitely porting [ph] going on, there is interest, all that activity for pre-sold business going into next year not only planters but also some of the high horsepower tractors and combines, all that stuff. But there again, I think a lot of the growers before they really pull the trigger on some of that, they're going to want to see what their yields are going to be this year, and if the crop reaches maturity.

Larry De Maria

Analyst

Okay. So it's not really enough to tell you directionally what's going on, but the [indiscernible] stuff is and whatnot is fairly to the point?

David Meyer

Analyst

The replacement of the band is real and with some of the technology and some of the productivity that's coming out right now, the customers, there's a big interest in the equipment out there. So, if fleet is getting aged and you need to get more hours on it, we've got a great planter with all the precision and stuff and some of the big planter bars. And people are excited. They just want to make sure that they're doing this hand-in-hand with their bankers and they know what their yields are and it fits their, basically their abilities to pay off the notes on those big equipment purchases.

Larry De Maria

Analyst

Got you. And if I could ask one final question. Farm progress is weak and now DO [ph] is giving way JD link [ph] for free for the next five years with all the new large Ag equipment. So just curious about the uptake that you guys have seen with the farmers hedge and climate engagement now that you guys are offering that. Are you seeing real uptake from that or is it wait-and-see and how are farmers kind of reacting to some of the data management things that are out there right now?

David Meyer

Analyst

Well, no, precision farming, those became mainstream with all our growers out there now. So there's a conversation about tractor combine or a planter that doesn't involve either precision or technology or digital, connectivity, all of the subjects. So case such as (ph) leading edge and technology out there right now, guidance systems for our tractors and combines, harvest combined [ph], it's a big combine feature. There's high speed precision planters with variable speed prescription capabilities, the industry leading the AFS Soil Command, which is real unique with the sensors are provided at even seabed. AIMS [ph] command and the raven hawk eye [ph] technology have the self-propelled sprayers. Our AFS Connect, all of that is providing that telematic connectivity. And then as you talked about the farmers edge, that's really an exciting offering, have the integrated digital platform for both their current and legacy equipment, you know that can bus functionality in the farmers edge, that's really attractive if you've got mixed fleet and legacy units, that'll make them all work. And you know, if you have farm progress too, you probably saw all the excitement on the introduction that AFS Connect Magnum tractor that flagship world crop tractor for Case IH, so yes that's definitely all this technology and the fact that case cited. So that's definitely - all this technology and the fact the replacement demand tied together, that's really driving the interests of our customers right now.

Larry De Maria

Analyst

Okay, thank you. Good luck, guys.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Mig Dobre, Baird. Please proceed with your question.

Mig Dobre

Analyst

Good morning, guys. David, I'm just looking for a little more perspective from you because there's so many cross currents here and I'm kind of wondering what you're hearing from your large farm customers. Like what's really driving purchase decisions and sentiment here? Is it that – is it commodity prices that they are focused on, is it these facilitation programs from the USDA, is it something else like technology? And I'm asking that because, I mean obviously, you're talking about higher commodity prices earlier in the summer, that situation changed pretty dramatically with the recent WASDE report. So I'm trying to understand if essentially we need to prepare ourselves for sort of a different environment going forward or if there are other factors here that might be supporting demand? Thanks.

David Meyer

Analyst

Well, I think the main factor is basically the customer’s needs moderate up-to-date reliable equipment right? And if they look at their cost probably of the equipment, they are going to find that they need to trade their equipment in three years cycles, maybe it’s a five-year cycle. We continue to be in a low interest rate environment. I think that's going to continue. We've been seeing good yield trends, but also the tax aspect of it. And we talked a little bit earlier about there was some pretty significant amounts of commodities I believe sold in late June or early July could potentially trigger some tax volumes that's going to lead it from them. So I think it's a combination of taxes and that the machinery and all that they need on their farm to get the job done. So these Market Facilitation Programs I think is going to be a shot at the arm, but it’s not that big in the whole scheme of things. So, I guess, we’re going to probably put them in order, its taxes, it’s the technology out there and what that's going to do for productivity and yield increases and all the commodity prices are going to weigh in and there is a little more bounce in all of our growers steps back in June/July when that corn was in that $4 range. The new technology and then definitely it’s a replacement demand. So I think there's a lot anticipation for the August 12th WASDE report out there and because I think many of our growers thought that the July USDA report did not reflect the total impact of preventive plant acres, the drowned out acres and the loss of yield potential from the late planting of crops. Not to mention the difficulty…

Mig Dobre

Analyst

No that was great color, and I would agree with you that healthy skepticism ought to be had at this point on that recent WASDE report. But as far as your outlook is concerned what I'm trying to understand here is, do you feel that given what’s happened with prices earlier in the year and the marketing that farmers might have done, do you have enough visibility in this flattish back half outlook or does your outlook embed some kind of recovery in commodity prices or other factors that we need to be aware of?

David Meyer

Analyst

I think we’re thinking that we don’t see anything that’s really going to drive soybean prices a lot higher right now or at least in the near-term I mean. So we’re not factoring that in. I think we did factor a little bit that hey there was a pretty good job shot in the arm – when corn got above $4 for a pretty good period of time they allowed not only selling the carryover crop plus also they locked in some of this year's crop. We did take that into consideration. We have to remember to is – we’re going out some really low industry numbers. So and look at the last four years, I mean this is like it has been wonderful out there. So to hit those industry numbers they could have been use to, I mean that’s not going to take a lot. So we think if those industry numbers based on some of the marketing activities that happened earlier in the year, all the continued yield trends. So barring, I guess we did not figure in –really early frost and but some type of normal the later frost is which we’ve been getting in the last few years. I think we feel really good about our numbers, but like I say we’re coming out of some really low industry numbers in the last two, three years and that's kind of what we’re basing it all out from.

Mig Dobre

Analyst

Okay, a couple more questions from me. I want talk a little bit about SG&A, it came in a little higher than we expected and I remember I think Mark mentioning that you guys were thinking SG&A would be relatively flattish sequentially Q2 versus Q1. So I'm wondering what the moving pieces were in a quarter if there were any inefficiencies related to ERP or anything else we need to be aware of and how do you think about SG&A for the full year?

Mark Kalvoda

Analyst

Yes, so I kind of mentioned some of the reasons or some of the items that affected the ERP for the quarter was higher this quarter than last quarter, but it's just kind of ramping up. There is nothing new expected there. There is about $1.7 million in the number. For that again as a reminder AGRAM was in - this year was not in. Last year in the second quarter we started seeing apples-to-apples in that third quarter. As far as, so we did say flat or I did mention relatively flat Q1/Q2 if you just look at the adjusted expenses, so that's excluding the ERP costs. It was about 52 million in the first quarter, 53 million here in the second quarter and just over 53 million in the second quarter. So it did come up a little bit, but I guess not to terribly bad. As we look forward, and this is where I indicated before there will be a rise sequentially here in third, fourth quarter just because of the higher level of activity and some of the seasonality that those quarters see. Call it a couple, $2 million to $3 million higher in those quarters, and if you look back it won't be as much of – and I am talking on an adjusted expense basis excluding those ERP items. But then if you look back to last year you won't see as much of a growth because you have AGRAM now in the prior year quarters.

Mig Dobre

Analyst

Got it, understood, lastly on inventory, you are talking about bringing that number down in the back half seasonally, that makes sense. I guess in your plan how do you contemplate exiting fiscal 2020 from an inventory standpoint? Maybe you can give us perspective year-over-year say exiting fiscal 2020 versus exiting fiscal 2019 that will be really helpful? Thank you.

Mark Kalvoda

Analyst

Yeah so I mentioned yeah we have hit our seasonal peak though we believe it was the best seasonal peak here at around $550 million. I think pulling that down we could take it down a good $100 million, $125 million and that would probably take us a little bit above last year and around $420 million last year. So of course this is excluding any acquisitions that may happen. So I think a little bit up maybe from last year, but down a good $100 million, $125 million from here. And maybe just a comment, the inventory here again especially domestically is very good. You can see that – some of that non-interest bearing inventory percentages with the lower expectations on international from a sales standpoint. We’re going to be monitoring those inventories closely as we adjust to those lower levels of revenue, but for the most part overall we’re sitting fine with inventory and yes expected to come down of course but it will probably a little bit more than where we ended the year last year.

Mig Dobre

Analyst

Excellent, thank you guys

Operator

Operator

Our final question is from Rick Nelson with Stephens. Please proceed with your question.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Hey guys Nick [indiscernible] on for Rick here. I’ll focus on the International segment. I know this segment typically fluctuates quarter-to-quarter and you had a strong positive comp in the first quarter followed up with the negative comp in the second. But can you just – can you talk through the back half of the year from an International perspective, any tailwind you might see and I know you listed quite a few headwinds but we talk about how you expect those to persist going through the back half of the year?

Mark Kalvoda

Analyst

Yes, so I think as we look in the back half of the year maybe just a little bit talking about the first half of the year and Dave mentioned some of this. But from a market standpoint Romania – had some very tough comps, Ukraine had some tough comps to last year that’s what drove some of that higher sales growth that same-store sales growth that you referred to in Q2 in particular. But those are two markets that we do expect both of those to moderate some going forward and Romania there was the weather that was impacting the small grains crop. The results of the no subvention funds we don’t see that changing so that headwind will be there. But the weather was more conducive to some of the low crops over there and some of the fall harvesting. So we do expect some of those headwinds to alleviate somewhat in Romania. And Ukraine just kind of had a slower start to the year and we do expect some improvement there as we move into the back half of the year. Germany it’s – was accretive last year we expected to be accretive this year, but it is starting out slow as well and not hitting its stride yet. Germany, I think just a little longer. We get passed the integration bringing them on. The better it is and the further we get away from some of those of poor drought conditions that we had at the end of last year that still affecting some of our customers ability or desire to purchase equipment this year. So the further we get away from that have some reasonable weather over there that will help that. That being said it's a difficult market I think for anybody to predict it is for us over there. And with the assumptions that we have out there with that 2% to 7% from a same-store sales standpoint it is relatively flat at this point for the back half of the year. Given some of these upticks here we expect to hit that. And we did have some particular good third quarter last year that will be hard to match, but we do expect some seasonal uptick here in Q3 versus what we just saw in Q2. So hopefully that helps some.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Sure I understand and then I guess taking that into consideration and the inventory positioning that you mentioned from an international perspective full year equipment margins on a consolidated basis. Do we still think that 11% is attainable or any fluctuations from potentially hitting that target?

Mark Kalvoda

Analyst

Yes, I think the 11% at this point is going to be tough given that we’re at about that year-to-date so far and 10.9 year-to-date in Q4 is generally a softer quarter. I do think fourth quarter is the quarter where we have opportunity to do better than last year. But I think all of that said and done I think we’ll probably end up somewhere in between where we end up last year at that 10.6 and that kind of 11% long-term, you know longer-term target if you will. So it's more likely we won't hit 11% but somewhere in between where we ended up last year in that 11%.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Great thank you very much very helpful guys.

Operator

Operator

We have reached the end of the question-and-answer session. I will now turn the call back over to David Meyer for closing remarks.

David Meyer

Analyst

Okay, thank you everybody for being on the call today and thanks for your interest in Titan Machinery and we look forward to update you on our progress on our next call. So have a good day everyone.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's conference you may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.