Earnings Labs

Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME)

Q1 2024 Earnings Call· Mon, May 13, 2024

$9.18

-0.16%

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Transcript

Millicent T.

Operator

Good evening, good morning, and welcome to Tencent Music Entertainment Group's First Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. I'm Millicent T., Head of IR. We announced our quarterly financial results today before the U.S. market opened. An earnings release is now available on our IR website and via Newswire services. Today, you'll hear from Mr. Kar Shun Pang, our Executive Chairman; and Mr. Ross Liang, our CEO, who will share an overview of our company strategies and business updates. And then Ms. Shirley Hu, our CFO, will discuss our financial results before we open the call for questions. Before we continue, I refer you to our safe harbor statement in our earnings release, which applies to this call as we make forward-looking statements. Please note that the company will discuss non-IFRS measures today, which are more thoroughly explained and reconciled to the most comparable measures reported under IFRS in the company's earnings release and filings with the SEC. [Operator Instructions] And please be advised that today's call is being recorded. With that, I'm pleased to turn the call over to Kar Shun, Executive Chairman of TME. Kashan?

Kar Shun Pang

Analyst

Thank you, Melissa. Hello, everyone, and thank you for joining our call today. 2024 is off to a great start. Strong execution of our dual-engine content and platform strategy is yielding impressive results and pushing vitality industry-wide. In the first quarter, the number of music-paying users increased to $113.5 million, totaling 43% of the overall growth in online music revenues. Our high-quality growth strategy also drove a robust net profit margin expansion. Subscriber growth in this quarter significantly exceeded our expectations, which in a quarterly historic high of 6.8 million net adds was more, we maintained the ARPPU at a healthy level. All the achievements demonstrate our keen understanding of users' needs and our neck for anticipating and meeting their demands operationally. As you have seen in our earnings release, supported by our strong fundamentals, we are very pleased to announce an annual cash dividend policy and USD 210 million in cash dividends for the year of 2023. On top of our ongoing buyback program, this reflects our confidence in future growth and commitment to sharing our success with shareholders. Next, I would like to share an overview of this quarter's content development efforts. Through a balanced combination of copyright music and original content, we enable users to discover the latest and trendiest content and enjoy a superior experience on our platform. Let me go over a few highlights. First, we renewed and reinforced the partnership with record labels to broaden our music library's comprehensiveness and popularity. Our innovative value-added features and promotion services expand from licensing, further unlocking the value of music content industry-wide. We renewed our cooperation with Time Fengjun Entertainment, featuring 30-day head start benefits on new songs and adding Dolby Atmos upgrades for popular groups like TFBOYS and Tintin Times. We also expanded our agreement with…

Liang Zhu

Analyst

Thank you, Kar shun. Hello, everyone. Strong execution once again resulted in solid online music growth, record high net subscriber rates, steady ARPPU, and [indiscernible], all reflect this robust performance. Our efforts to attract and retain users were the driving force behind it, utilizing our extensive industry experience and prelease insights into users and content. We are laser-focused on anticipating and meeting users' needs with enhanced experiences on the 200 minicar journeys. First, I want to talk about user retention. We have taken a multipronged approach to engaging users through constant innovation of transiting features. I will walk you through a few examples. Our new AITC applications make music discovery more fun, engaging, and accommodating. In the first quarter, we launched a large audio model that increases promotion accuracy, helping users discover more high-quality music content. Initial results show that the live-streaming share of promoted songs increased notably following the models released. We also tested an AI system that supports tax and vice rating for a more customized search experience as well as an AI playlist assistant to curate playlists, a key personal music site that strengthens users' stickiness. Recently, we introduced an indicative rewards program. Users can exchange the points they earn for benefits such as trail, subscriptions, digital aircons, and personalized privileges. While enhancing user experience, the program also opens new avenues for commercialization for the future. Ongoing platform upgrades continue to reinforce our products here. This quarter, we introduced a light listing mode, [indiscernible] to facilitate a small leasing experience in low bandwidth environments. Our enhancements allow greater interface customization driving increased user adoption of our platform players. Beyond the leasing experience, we captivate users with a variety of interactive activities, including same-song gas, contract subscriber budgets, and more. These interactive filters not only boasted strong streaming…

Min Hu

Analyst

Thank you, Ross, and greetings to everyone. I will now turn to our financial results. Our success in effective monetization for music services and operational efficiency management continues to need to do financial results in the first quarter of 2024. IFRS's net profit increased by 28% year-over-year to RMB 1.5 billion, and net profit rose by 24% to RMB 1.8 billion. Our total revenues were RMB 6.8 billion, down by 3% year-over-year. Our online music services achieved significant revenue growth, which largely offset the decline in revenue from social entertainment and other services. In the first quarter of 2024, our online music revenues increased by 43% to RMB 5 billion on a year-over-year basis. This surge was driven by the strong expansion of our music subscription and the growth in the advertising business, supplemented by an increase in revenues from offline performances. Music subscription revenues in the first quarter reached RMB 3.6 billion, marking a 39% increase year-over-year and a 6% rise sequentially. Our refined operation and effective pricing strategy enabled us to achieve higher-than-expected growth in music subscribers while maintaining a healthy monthly ARPU. Monthly ARPPU was 10.6%, up from 9.2% in the same period last year. Taking the difference in the number of days into consideration, our monthly ARPPU would have remained relatively stable sequentially. The number of online music-paying users was $113.5 million, representing a 20% increase year-over-year and a record-breaking quarterly net adds of 6.8 million users. Our enriched content offerings and enhanced member privileges such as dubious upgrades have made our products more attractive and improve user stickiness. Advertising revenue also had a strong year-over-year growth primarily due to the growth in ad-supported advertising. We upgraded our incentive ad experience and provided more attractive and active futures to our users, which helped the improvement in…

Millicent T.

Operator

Thank you, Shirley. [Operator Instructions] And the first question comes from the line of Alicia Yap from Citigroup.

Alicis a Yap

Analyst

Congratulations on the solid results. My question is for the 2024 outlook. So after achieving a strong set of results, especially with record-high quarterly net adds, what should we be expecting for the net add trend for the second quarter and also the ARPPU trend for the second quarter and also the rest of the year? And any comment on the overall growth rate expectation for the total online music revenue?

Liang Zhu

Analyst

Okay. Thank you so much, Alicia, for your questions. For the full year of 2024, our online music and subscription revenue are well on track, and the profitability is also expected to be slightly better than previously anticipated. So for the subscription side, I think that we are pleased to see that in Q1, the net ads is really quickly exceeding our expectations. So it really gives us a really strong start for this year. Therefore, we are confident that the total net adds for 2024 will exceed our initial projections indicating to be a total greater than the year of 2022 and yet slightly slower than last year, which is 2023. But on the other hand, we remain really committed in the healthy long-term growth of our business. So on a full-year ARPPU side, we expect it to continue to expand year-over-year, although at the moment, I think a more modest growth rate compared to 2023. To recap, I think last year's rapid year-over-year growth was primarily due to the scale-back of the discount. So based on last year's healthy ARPPU level and the benefits of some of the operational optimization to be introduced throughout this year, we expect a slight ARPPU growth in the second half of this year when compared to the first half. However, we will remain unchanged and confident in long-term ARPPU expansion potential, supported by our experience in user education and also a variety of operational strategies. A couple of points that I would like to add should be we have better than expected Q1 which is primarily due to a couple of reasons. First of all, I think Q1 is typically the peak season for the entire year, especially due to the Chinese New Year. So users are more willing to pay for the entertainment. And secondly, we are also expanding effective promotional activities, which attract more high-potential users. So we food multichannel promotions across different areas, and we significantly drive the good growth of our user base. But I think that as we communicated and seen in the 2023 patent, I think rolling offers strong seasonality, and the net adds should return to more normalized and sustainable levels over the next few quarters. So besides the subscription business, I think that for the loan subscription business, we also had a strong start in Q1 this year, and we expect growth to be solid in the remainder of this year as we continue to innovate the advertising products and expand the merchandise sales with labels and artists as well.

Millicent T.

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Alex Poon from Morgan Stanley.

Chun Poon

Analyst

Congratulations management on a very strong quarter. My question is related to gross margin. In Q1, while we had negative seasonality for both advertising and social entertainment, we still expanded the gross margin significantly sequentially from 38% to almost 41%. Can management share how the revenue and cost structure have changed on a sequential basis? And how should we think about gross margin in the rest of 2024?

Min Hu

Analyst

The gross margin is 4.9% in Q1 increased by 7.8% year-over-year, an increase of 2.6% quarter-over-quarter. There are several reasons as follows. The first music subscriber revenues and advertising revenues have significant growth. Second, we have made significant efforts and investments in the milk industry and have built relationships with labels and artists. Additionally, we focused on ROCE to manage content costs more efficiently. Our online music revenues growth ratio was higher than the net gross ratio of content cost. Third, we gradually ramp up our self-owned content, which is a positive impact on our gross margin. Fourth, even with the live stream revenue decrease, we optimized the live streaming revenue sharing strategy. The live streaming revenue sharing ratio decreased and revenue and advertisement revenue on the leasing platform increased all above the benefit of our gross margin. Our gross margin has improved for 8 consecutive quarters. Looking forward to Q2, we expect subscription revenue and advertisement revenue will continue to be healthy growth. On the cost side, we expect our in-house made contract will have a positive impact on gross margins continually, and we will continue to increase our operational faces and monitor each cost item for model. We expect our gross margin will increase in Q2 continually and look forward in the second half of 2024, we expect our gross margin will also increase.

Millicent T.

Operator

And the next question comes from Goldman Sachs Lincoln Kong.

Lincoln Kong

Analyst

Congrats on the strong quarter. So my question is about online music services, specifically advertising. So could management comment on what you have seen in terms of advance in the first quarter and into the second quarter? And by a different format, so what are the new aerating format company thinks to implement? And any [indiscernible].

Min Hu

Analyst

[Interpreted] Thank you very much. Thanks for your question. Indeed, for the advertisement service in Q1, we have a very strong growth. And I think in Q2, we're going to maintain such a strong growth. You know that we are not expanding our subscriber base. But I think the key challenge for the advertisement is how we're going to elaborate on the traffic of the non-subscribers. So you can say that we see the traffic from the nonsubscribers continue to go down because we are now having more subscribers. That is way up for us. We need to continue to optimize the solution we provided to the advertisers and making sure we can also provide a very attractive interest package to continue to operate and optimize the traffic operation. You can see that the start from the year of 2023, we already registered a very good performance regarding the advertisement business. Well, regarding what we're going to do for this year. I think for this year, we're going to maintain a more stable growth for the advertisement business. At least from what I can see from Q4 to Q1 of this year, we have a very strong growth. Especially, we have the key revenue contributor coming from the e-commerce, the gaming industry, the content, information, and the faster consumption industry and especially due to the income, they are launching the large-scale promotional activities during the new Chinese year. So we're opening to say that in Q1 of this year, we also have very good growth coming from the e-commerce channel regarding the advertisement business. We're talking about the Q2 of 2024. I think the key events we're going to have in Q2 would be the 6 shopping festivals online. In that way, we're going to leverage this great occasion to…

Millicent T.

Operator

And the next question from Lei Zhang, Bank of America.

Lei Zhang

Analyst

[Interpreted] My question is mainly regarding the margin trend, especially the sales and marketing trend. I consider we have our Q-on-Q control on the sales and marketing best to maintain the MAU sequentially largely stable. So how should we look at the driver and the overall sales and marketing and the margin trend in the following quarters?

Min Hu

Analyst

[Interpreted] Thank you very much. Thanks for your question. Just in our private sensor, we also mentioned about the GP margin. Actually, for our GP margin, we registered a significant growth matter on a Y-o-Y or MOM basis. That should be a very solid baseline for our performance. I do believe in the near future, we're going to continue to grow this. And in Q1 of this year, talking about the marketing expenses, it was ever going down Y-o-Y and MOM basis. When talking about the seasonalities of the marketing expenses, in Q1 of this year is transitionally considered as a low season of the marketing events because the majority of the brand rementions and promotion activities being conducted in Q4 of each year. So about in Q1, we launched less marketing events. But I can say that our platform or should I say, the monetization of our music platform continues to be improved. And also with the well-established mobile management and assets in place, we do accept we're going to extend the more marketing expenses in order to regain the traffic for our channels. Where at the same time, we're also going to reduce the marketing expenses in the channel upside streaming. Well, my second point is regarding the content, especially the self-commissioned who self-develop the content. This is going to serve as a key driver for our future business. So we're going to make a good investment for content promotion. So we foresee in Q2 of this year, the marketing expenses will rise, but overly speaking, the marketing expenses for 2024 for the full year would be in line with what we saw last year in 2023. So coming next, let me comment on G&A and expenses, and essentially the investment we made on the team. And actually,…

Millicent T.

Operator

And the next question from Macquarie, Ellie Jiang.

Ellie Jiang

Analyst

Congrats on great results. It's been very great to see the improvements in our music paying conversion. So if you compare the existing users versus the newly acquired users, just wondering can management shed some light on the average pricing gaps between these 2 cohorts. Also, during the opening remarks, management shared some very exciting AI and powered initiatives that have been driving better user engagement. Just wondering anything you can share on the recent trends for next month's retention and whether there could be more operating leverage for higher customers kind of lifetime value down the road.

Min Hu

Analyst

[Interpreted] Thanks for the question. Regarding the existing customer, yes, indeed, for the existing customer or the user, we do have a very high retention rate because many of them are our long-term users, and if we're going to convert them, that means they just continue to renew our service. So mechanistic in the conversion rate of our existing users would be very high. Well, for the newly acquired users, as we mentioned just now, in order to engage those users we provide some discounts and some promotional activities even if we are already scaling back the discount, but actually, the conversion rate of the new users will go in line with our promotional activities and sometimes it's subject to the change of the promotional activity time line. The second part of our question is regarding how AI can empower user retention. I have to say that the large model indeed helped to ground the retention. But let's be clear first. For the music platform, the recommendation system was based on the newer network model, and it is different from the large language model we're talking about today. But generously speaking, I do believe as we're having those great models and by introducing the large set of parameters into our existing platform, we will be able to continue to improve the recommendation capacity and search capacity. As you can see from our actual operationals, that can help us to continue to grow and optimize the US retention. So indeed, by leveraging those caring technologies, our overall retention rates improved. Actually, when you talk about large models and generated technology. In Q1 of this year, we also launched the open-source of self-developed minicam video model drives, which has already seen very positive feedback from the open-related. And something that we're truly proud of is that we also newly introduced a large model, we call it audit model. This auto model can help to distinguish the coordination as we can to standard sense based on the characteristics of the auto. And this is also a very good result that has been harvested from the [indiscernible]. Well, regarding the content creation, we have already received a very good result from artificial intelligence-generated models, no matter from the user scale or from the revenue of the users, we are foreseeing very good progress demand. In that way, it can actually facilitate the users of identifying new music and new songs and new content. Another milestone I have to mention in Q1 of this year was we are working with Tencent AI and introduced the first music generation model for music. It is through this model, we're working with Shanghai National Orchestra to organize the ever-first AI in-commerce concept in China. Besides that, we are also keeping an eye on the seeding models in the industry, one is solar and another one is BIL, and we're exploring those new models to see how they can fit into our platform.

Millicent T.

Operator

And then next question comes from Fang from Mizuho.

Wei Fang

Analyst

I want to double-click on the offline concerts, right? So we see pretty good coming back last year and so far this year. Just wondering if management can help remind us your position and your strategy for this segment. And also, what are the business models there other than sponsored advertising?

Liang Zhu

Analyst

Okay. Thank you so much for your questions. And basically, I think 2023 is a big year for the live performance businesses. And we are also seeing that we will continue to trend in this year. But definitely, it's going to be normalized and will not have such a big growth when compared to last year's performances. I think from the TME point of view, we have different pillars of strategy in order to support our overall strategies. First of all, we are committed to build our own IP, for example, the TMEA music festivals and also the war ceremony. This year is going to be the 5th year of us, and we have already we see a lot of very good results from our partnerships as well. We are focusing on not just bringing the local artists, but also the international artists to our state as well. Besides our own IP music festival, we also came up and also helped to organize and produce top-tier artist Life2 as well in China and also in Southeast Asia that we have successfully launched it out in the year 2023, and we are continuing to do that. And the last one, which is we will continue besides the top-tier assets, we will be focusing on building some of the smaller stages, for example, Lifehouse events for the Tencent musicians, which will help us to incubate a lot of younger generation of new musicians in order to continue to improve through the life performance event. Besides the strategy, the different types of concepts that we are organizing, we will have different business models as well. First of all, we have the ticketing. We can also have the advertising sponsorship model. And as we have mentioned before, we are also working on the fans-based economy like the merchandise and all these kinds of things that we are working on. We will also continue to collaborate on our life event, not just offline, but together with online, with different pervades with our Super VIP plan as well. So we have an exciting journey that we are looking forward, and we will continue to pull in more resources in order to grow the life performance business in TME.

Millicent T.

Operator

Okay. In the interest of time, we take the last question from Thomas Chong, Jefferies.

Thomas Chong

Analyst

My question is about our new initiative, such as long-form modia, IoT, can management comment about our thoughts about the outlook in these areas? And my second question is about our long-term target. Given we have talked about our 2024 outlook on the top line and the bottom line, can management comment on how we should emission TME in 3 to 5 years' time down the world.

Min Hu

Analyst

[Interpreted] Thanks for your question. Regarding the loan for holding, from the business strategy perspective, it's going to complement to our existing online music savings. It will help us to get to the needs of the diversified customer especially including the users from different entities. So that's the reason we will not continue to introduce the top content and the new content in the market. Essentially, we do see some very good performance in the [indiscernible]. And the second point is we're going to keep a very close aboration with [ Santen ]Group, especially with open. I do believe in Q2 of this year, the key events we're going to say in the robot for release of the second phase. If that is to be successfully rolled out, I do believe and it's also to help us to continue to improve the user retention for the loan portfolio.

Kar Shun Pang

Analyst

I think for the entire overall strategy of an entire company, I think that we are right now on a really good pace in driving the online user services in a really good form. So we will do it going to be one by one for example to continue to improve the overall subscribers and also our ARPPU as well. But at the same time, this is the core that most of our company, I think, is very important is we have to continue to build our content ecosystem, which ensures that we will have a good coverage of all of these libraries that we should have. And also, we will continue to pull in more resources in doing content, and coproductions. Deciding that, we will also extend our footprint, not just locally, but we also can do some of the international development, for example, according to not just the business side of the platform side, but also the content side as well. So I think that is definitely going to be a lot of interesting and exciting projects ahead. I think from our company's point of view, I think we definitely is not just doing a 100-meter sprint. We are doing a marathon. So I think that we should strike a balance. At the same time, we continue to have a quarter-by-quarter growth. And at the end of the day, we will be focusing on the long-term sustainable development of the entire group. And we are ensuring that we are going to have to ensure to drive good investor returns to all our investors as well. So we would like to share our success not just doing business well, but also ensuring that we have a good dividend policy and also we continue to have our share buyback program at the right moment. Okay. I think that's it for today.

Millicent T.

Operator

Thank you, everyone, for joining us today. If you have any further questions, please feel free to contact our IR team. This concludes today's call, and thank you so much again, and look forward to speaking to you next quarter.

Liang Zhu

Analyst

Okay. Thank you very much. Thank you.

Millicent T.

Operator

Thank you. Bye. [Portions of this transcript that are marked [Interpreted] were spoken by an interpreter present on the live call.]