Earnings Labs

Turning Point Brands, Inc. (TPB)

Q4 2021 Earnings Call· Tue, Feb 22, 2022

$77.66

-2.78%

Key Takeaways · AI generated
AI summary not yet generated for this transcript. Generation in progress for older transcripts; check back soon, or browse the full transcript below.

Same-Day

+5.69%

1 Week

+1.00%

1 Month

+1.84%

vs S&P

-4.49%

Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning and welcome to the Turning Point Brands Fourth Quarter 2021 Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. [Operator Instructions] After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Please note that this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Louie Reformina, Chief Financial Officer. Please go ahead.

Louie Reformina

Analyst

Thank you. Good morning, everyone. This is Louie Reformina, our Chief Financial Officer. Joining me are Turning Point Brands’ President and CEO, Yavor Efremov; and Graham Purdy, Chief Operating Officer. This morning we issued a news release covering our fourth quarter results. This release is located in the IR section of our website at www.turningpointbrands.com. There is also a presentation we will be reviewing [ph] on the call available on the site. Now turning to Page 1, in this call we will discuss our consolidated and segment operating results and provide our perspective on our progress against our strategic plans. As is customary, I direct your attention to the discussion of forward-looking and cautionary statements in today’s press release and the risk factors in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. On the call today, we will reference certain non-GAAP financial measures. These measures and reconciliations to GAAP can be found in today’s earnings release, along with reasons why management believes that they provide useful information. Turning the slide over, I would now like to introduce our new CEO, Yavor Efremov.

Yavor Efremov

Analyst

Thank you, Louie. I would like to this brief so we can allow for more time on Q&A. First, I would like to state how excited I am about the opportunity to lead Turning Point Brands. I joined the Board in July 2021 and spent most of July, August and September working in different segments of the company in frontline capacity either as a [indiscernible] or a trainee, depending on the position. I started with two weeks working in different departments of our MST plant in Dresden, Tennessee followed by another week on the production side on the line in Louisville. I can tell all about MST and how exactly it is made because some of the product result in Q4 was made by me. That was followed by a week of seeking [ph] and packaging in our fulfillment center in Louisville. Then I spent one week in Florida as a sales rep trainee in the second week and then was on my own as a sales rep with my own van visiting stores and doing the job of a TSM. I then proceeded to spend a few days in each of our Miami and LA offices. Given the nature of the work there, Undercover Boss was not a good format, but I did meet with each and every employee in those locations individually and spent time understanding what they do and how they do it. It goes without saying that I have spent also a ton of time with management, board members, in reviewing the company's financial performance and current position. Throughout that time, I have witnessed a business that is already performing very well and has significant potential for continued organic and inorganic growth, which is also the answer as to why I took the job. We are…

Louie Reformina

Analyst

Thank you, Yavor. Turning to Page 3, which is our consolidated segment overview, Q4 sales were in line with the previous year at $105 million with strong Zig-Zag and Stoker's growth offset by decline in NewGen. This is above the previous guidance of $93 million to $103 million without performance relative to our expectations in each segment led by Zig-Zag. Adjusted gross margin was down 170 basis points year-over-year or down 100 basis points without the consolidation of TPB Canada. This was primarily due to product mix within Zig-Zag and $2 million of inventory write downs and reserves in NewGen. Adjusted EBITDA was down $2 million year-over-year, primarily due to the inventory write down and the increased freight expenses from PACT Act implementation. Turning now to Page 4, Zig-Zag products. Zig-Zag sales grew 13.6% year-over-year to $46.1 million with 12.2% from volume and 1.4% from price mix. Growth would have been 3% without consolidation of TPB Canada. Adjusted [indiscernible] for COVID-related headwind in our Wraps business growth would have been much stronger. Wraps revenue for Q4 was consistent with our average in the first three quarters of the year. On a year-over-year basis Wraps was down 70% due to a $5 million headwind from a COVID-related back-order fill in the fourth quarter of 2020. During the quarter, we introduced Zig-Zag Natural Leaf wraps in limited markets and reintroduced Zig-Zag Hemp wraps and expect those products to be tailwinds for us as they ramp in 2022. Our U.S. Papers & E-commerce business was up 28% year-over-year driven by more than a doubling of e-commerce and paper cones sales. E-commerce was up 2.5 times and now 3% of sub-segment with strong growth expected in 2022. As an anecdote, our accessory sales through e-commerce which was nonexistent two years ago, touched $1 million…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from Vivien Azer from Cowen. Please go ahead.

Vivien Azer

Analyst

Thank you. Good morning, and congratulations on the new role. My first question, please, is on the comment more about your M&A philosophy. I appreciate kind of the rationale for large scale M&A, but I was hoping you could kind of square that with some of the historical minority stakes that the company has taken specifically around cannabis. Are we meant to understand that perhaps cannabis is less of a priority or pending legislative catalysts? How do we square those two concepts? Thanks.

Yavor Efremov

Analyst

Yes so, cannabis is evolving quite rapidly in multiple directions. At this stage, I think it's pretty hard to pick a winner. There's quite a few contenders, if you will, and no clear contender will come out of this. So going out and putting a lot of money on brands that existed yesterday and were fashionable yesterday and then today have gone, to me is a risky way to deploy shareholders capital. That being said, some of our portfolio I think would perform quite well in a fully legalized cannabis situation. So to the extent cannabis ever gets legalized, if we were in a position where our existing assets are well developed and strong, I think we'll be exactly where we need to be. That being said, I will say, look, and I'll never say never, if we see something that is attractive and large and meets all the criteria, specifically around size and control and cash flow, I think we're going to be taking a hard look. But I think the best thing we can do in terms of kind of addressing the potential legalization of cannabis is to invest in our current brands, and invest heavily and make sure that they are perceived as the number one kind of leading brands in whatever category they are in.

Vivien Azer

Analyst

I understand. That's helpful. Thank you. And my second question is on the ERP implementation, obviously, that's not a simple endeavor to undertake, and certainly can drive some lumpiness in your results. Louie, is it fair to understand that there shouldn't be any really disruption to your business in the first quarter, given that you're still in the planning phases, and any kind of inventory movements and adjustments that you guys will be making to build safety stock around an ERP implementation would be more back half loaded? Any other color would be helpful, too. Thanks.

Louie Reformina

Analyst

Yes, I think that's fair. I mean, we're early in the process. As Yavor mentioned, we're still in the scoping phases, so we don't expect implementations to really begin until late in the year and even at that we're at the beginning stages of the implementation.

Vivien Azer

Analyst

Okay, fair enough. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Susan Anderson from B. Riley. Please go ahead.

Susan Anderson

Analyst

Hi, good morning. Nice job on the quarter. I was wondering for Zig-Zag the growth for this year that you're guiding to, maybe if you could just break out volume versus pricing expectations and then also the major drivers there such as are there going to be new products or market share gains or industry growth?

Graham Purdy

Analyst

Yes, let me, for Zig-Zag I mean, we're looking mostly to drive our growth through bindings. So it's a combination, we got a number of new products that we are launching in the market. We mentioned Natural Leaf, the reintroduction of Wraps and the reintroduction of our cigars products. So we expect those to be big drivers for growth and we expect to see market share gains, especially as we continue to increase our penetration in the alternative channel.

Yavor Efremov

Analyst

And look, this is just, this is Yavor, just to add to what Louie was saying, as I mentioned in my prepared remarks before, we are looking to invest more in kind of pushing the Zig-Zag brand out, the Zig-Zag Studios and other initiatives of that site. It will also take a little bit of time to take hold, obviously they don’t happen overnight, but we like the brand, we like where we are and we think that the best thing we can do is to continue to invest behind Zig-Zag and building out Zig-Zag. And specific to the question, if you think of the price volume mix, one of the things that are encouraging about Zig-Zag is the vast majority of gains are coming from volume. We're not taking price there in any way that's material.

Susan Anderson

Analyst

Got it, that's helpful. And then did you guys say, I think you said that Zig-Zag Wraps were going to be delayed in the first quarter, did you say how much that was?

Graham Purdy

Analyst

No what we mentioned was on the Wraps side there was a bit of a pull forward and as we model out the year, we mentioned in Q2 of last year, we had a pull forward from Q3 into Q2 due to a trade inventory load that impacted the quarter, $2 million in Q2, so that will be a tough headwind but it is a tailwind for us in Q3 this year.

Susan Anderson

Analyst

Got it, okay. And then lastly, I guess just on the last mile network, I guess, when do you guys expect to have that fully complete?

Yavor Efremov

Analyst

Look, it's tough to say complete, we're working very hard on it. I'll try to give you a little bit of insight baseball, we started preparing the PACT Act. As soon as it came out, we ran a number of tests, starting in I think, April, May of last year. So we've been testing our network ever since. The only way to run a full test is to effectively shift all of our shipping off of carriers we were using at the time, which would have been prohibitively expensive, essentially, we would have been taking the hit we're taking now much earlier and kind of for no reason. So we've been doing this for over a year, well for a year now. We're built out quite well, we're continuing to build out obviously, we're continuing to talk to the big shippers as well. It's difficult to give you a kind of 100% completion date, because most of the last mile is done by individual local carriers. So that's a much harder thing to come along. I think I'm happy with the progress we've made, highlighted vape a lot as kind of the long-term potential. I understand how that is obviously not a great place to be right now, but I do believe over time it's going to work out. So all I can tell you is, we're working very hard on it. We're very focused, and I'm spending a lot of time on vape. I've been to Miami three times this year. So whenever I've been there three times, I'm going back there in two weeks. We're spending a lot of time on it. We are focused on it. I don't know if we'll ever get to a full 100% of each and every corner of the United States, but we're sure as hell pushing to get as close to that as we can.

Susan Anderson

Analyst

Great, very helpful. Thanks so much. Good luck this year.

Yavor Efremov

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Eric Des Lauriers from Craig-Hallum. Please go ahead.

Eric Des Lauriers

Analyst

Great. Thanks for taking my questions and congrats on a great quarter here.

Yavor Efremov

Analyst

Thank you.

Eric Des Lauriers

Analyst

I was hoping you could expand a bit more on CLIPPER's, alternative distribution share. And then just give us a bit more color on that relationship with you guys and sort of how you're looking to leverage that to get into more alternative channels? Thanks.

Graham Purdy

Analyst

Yes, so I mean, it's a great opportunity for us because if you go to the head shops and dispensaries you'll find CLIPPER Lighters. So they've got very strong presence in the alternative channel, where we with Zig-Zag are underrepresented. So it's a great selling point for us. We now have a essentially a must carry item in the alternative channel that we can kind of piggyback with Zig-Zag. On the flip side, they've got very limited presence in the convenience stores where most lighters are sold in the United States. So that is a huge opportunity for us to be able to take what we think is a great product into our kind of our strength, which is the C-store, the measure channel.

Yavor Efremov

Analyst

And just to add to that, it's Yavor, the thing about CLIPPER is obviously it’s a leading brand. They have found ways to beat their largest competitor in selling in their home market and we're very excited about partnering with them. Keep in mind we get, I wouldn’t say inundated but pretty much inundated with offers from people to distribute their stuff through our network. Obviously, we have a strong sales force and bold digital and brick and mortar. So we're omni channel. We declined about 99% of the offers to distribute stuff. But this was one where it made so much sense because it was the right partner. They're good people to deal with, easy relationship and we look forward to success there.

Eric Des Lauriers

Analyst

Okay, I appreciate the color. And then on the cigars and hemp, I guess cigars and wraps outlook here, understanding that there's a bit of kind of volatility quarter-to-quarter last year that won't necessarily repeat this year, but if you can kind of just take a step back maybe this is more of a year-to-year than a quarter-to-quarter type question here, but can you just kind of help us understand what type of ramp we should expect in cigars and wraps now that you guys have that IP under your belt, and you're looking to get these products out here, just a bit of a, help us frame the sort of ramp in the cigars and wraps? Thank you.

Louie Reformina

Analyst

Sure, I mean there's two separate parts there. I'll take the wraps questions and will let Graham answer the cigar piece of it. So on the wraps side, in the growth really, in the game, the category overall is growing. And then within wraps, we've got two new products, one of which is a natural leaf wraps that we're pretty excited about. It's double digit percentage of the market today and we're not, we're underrepresented right now. We expect our Natural Leaf product to ramp through the year. We've also got a hemp wraps product that we reintroduced under the Zig-Zag brand late last year that we expect to ramp for us as well.

Graham Purdy

Analyst

Yes, hey, it is Graham. With respect to the cigar business, you've got a tale of two cities there. So you've got the marginalized tobacco leaf or the HTL cigars. The units of back deal that we did last year, I think positions us well in the HTL cigar business. When you look at where sort of the action energy is with cigars it is in the Natural Leaf segment. As I'd mentioned on the last call, our plan is to launch at the end of this quarter, natural leaf cigars under this exact brand. So we're pretty excited about sort of the energy that natural leaf has, you know, Louie mentioned natural leaf wraps and then the complement with natural leaf cigars. So we're pretty excited about sort of building out our natural leaf portfolio, as we think about Q2 and beyond.

Louie Reformina

Analyst

Yes, I think overall, when you think about kind of Zig-Zag, what we've been doing over the last couple of years is, really increasing the addressable markets that we're playing in and cigars being the largest addressable market within the cannabis accessories portfolio. And CLIPPER is just another edition of that the extent of kind of the opportunities that we have in front of us.

Eric Des Lauriers

Analyst

So that's all very helpful. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And your next question comes from Gaurav Jain from Barclays. Please go ahead.

Gaurav Jain

Analyst

Hi, good morning. Thanks a lot. I have a few questions here. So number one is, Yavor on your plan to make TPB into a much larger company, your stock is trading at 10 times the approximately and the free cash flow is about $50 million. So how do you use either your equity or free cash flow to become a much bigger company?

YavorEfremov

Analyst

Yes, look I think you use the combination of both and you have it, it is going to be very much dependent on the target and on the deal structure. It has been done before. I've done it before. I did it at Liberty when the vehicle Liberty used to acquire Formula One at that time had about $1 billion of cash and acquired an $8 billion after. So how does that happen? With a lot of structuring and some outside investment and I am also talking to investors. So it is possible to buy somebody who is much bigger than yourself. Are we setting our sights that high for our first acquisition? We are not going to say no if it showed up. At the same time, I would interpret my comments primarily to mean that we're out of the small minority investment business. Again, never say never. But our preference will be hundreds of millions and above and all of that with the proper structuring, with some outside capital should be doable. Again, depends on the target, depends on the situation, depends on the structure. But I'm not a stranger to complex structuring. I've done it before. I'm not a stranger to raising capital from outside investors. I've done it twice in size. I raised $1.5 billion for Formula One. I raised $2 billion in cash for Charter and that's from calling people, showing them a proper structure, showing them a target explaining the strategy. It's not easy. It doesn't happen overnight. But it can be done fairly quickly, with the right target and the right structure.

Gaurav Jain

Analyst

Sure, and which industries would be your focus? Would it be tobacco? Would it be cannabis and cannabis I guess, to Vivian's question, you almost are downplaying it, or it could be something like I just read today that Standard General has acquired a media company. So could it be completely outside of how we think about turning point ramps?

Yavor Efremov

Analyst

I would say all of the above. We don’t want to preclude an opportunity. I can tell you that it's highly unlikely that you would see us investing in space tourism. There are areas that are going to be completely outside of our scope. Anything we buy is kind of the only point to make us larger and more diversified, and enhance our balance sheet and therefore, to me, that means decent cash flow; there's a growth story, what we believe is going to be a growth story behind it. We need to bring something more than just, hey, we can find capital for you, in it. So, there's got to be some logic to it that makes sense. And above all, the way I do my job is, that job number one continues to be running the business. There’s no cadence [ph] or exceptions to that rule. Job number two is capital allocation. So, I will allocate capital in a way that drives value to shareholders. And if that happens to be in tobacco or someplace else, so be it, so long as it is value driven to shareholders. Again, our preference would be to diversify. So, the bar for tobacco is going to be higher in terms of the multiple that we’re willing to pay. But again, if it checks out all the boxes that will result in plantations.

Gaurav Jain

Analyst

Sure. And if I were to look at the prior acquisitions of Turning Point Brands and this NewGen segment, which was built through acquisition, so its performance has been quite sketchy, and I would argue that it has actually led to the destruction of a lot of shareholder value. So, before you embark on your M&A strategy, would you look to unwind some of these past transactions or shut down some of the businesses which are loss making, get a higher stock price and multiple, which will then also help you to do some deals?

Yavor Efremov

Analyst

Sure. So, let me explain this in two parts, if you will. There are for any company or us, I have done M&A for 20 years, I have seen a lot of companies do M&A, nobody has 100% batting average that I know of. There are people who tell that they have it, and if you actually dig into it, you see that, that’s not quite true. So, when it comes to unwinding or undoing something that’s already been done, I want to differentiate between situations where we're experiencing temporary headwinds, which are severe to your point, which I agree with in situations where, there's just no future in which an asset recovers. So let me talk about Vape a little bit, because obviously it's on everybody's mind. To my mind and that's the analogy I've given internally, the Vape industry, which is why our NewGen segment is, is a little bit like a harbor that's being beaten by a storm. And there's a lot of ships in the harbor, they are the big, solid, well run, well managed ships, anything that describes our Vape operation. Like I said, I've spent a lot of time in Miami. That's where the management team for that group sits. I think they're doing an outstanding job given the situation they're in. But like any other ship inside the harbor that's being beaten by a storm, they are taking damage, there's no question about it. But I do believe that when the storm is over and at some point it is going to be over, the ships that remain are going to be a handful and they're going to be in a very good position in an industry that's not going anywhere. Whether we like it or not, vaping is here to stay in…

Gaurav Jain

Analyst

Thanks a lot, Yavor. And if I could just sneak in one last quick question. So share buybacks are now off the table?

Yavor Efremov

Analyst

I wouldn't say that they are off the table. I wouldn't say that they are completely kind of -- we were not going to be pressing the gas pedal all the way down, nor are we taking our foot off the gas pedal. I think we will maintain flexibility to do what we view as appropriate, but we certainly are not saying never on the buyback.

Gaurav Jain

Analyst

Thanks a lot.

Yavor Efremov

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And there are no further questions at this time. I will turn the call back over to the presenters for closing remarks.

Louie Reformina

Analyst

Thank you, everyone, and we'll see you next time on our next call.

Graham Purdy

Analyst

Thank you

Yavor Efremov

Analyst

Thank you

Operator

Operator

This concludes this conference call. You may now disconnect.