Earnings Labs

TPG Inc. (TPG)

Q4 2021 Earnings Call· Mon, Mar 28, 2022

$42.37

-1.30%

Key Takeaways · AI generated
AI summary not yet generated for this transcript. Generation in progress for older transcripts; check back soon, or browse the full transcript below.

Same-Day

+5.86%

1 Week

+5.79%

1 Month

-11.48%

vs S&P

-2.81%

Transcript

Operator

Operator

00:05 Good morning, and welcome to the TPG’s Fourth Quarter 2021 Earnings Conference Call. Currently all callers have been placed in a listen-only mode and following management's prepared remarks, the call will be opened up for your questions. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's call is being recorded. Please go to TPG IR website to obtain earnings materials. 00:48 I would now like to turn the call over to Gary Stein, Head of Investor Relations at TPG.

Gary Stein

Analyst

00:55 Great. Thank you, operator. Welcome to our fourth quarter of 2021 earnings call. Joining me this morning are: Jon Winkelried, Chief Executive Officer and Jack Weingart, our Chief Financial Officer. In addition, our Executive Chairman and Co-Founder, Jim Coulter and our President Todd Sisitsky are also here with us and will be available for the Q&A portion of this morning's call. 01:16 Before we begin, I'd like to remind you this call may include forward-looking statements, which do not guarantee future events or performance. Please refer to TPG’s earnings release and SEC filings for factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from these statements. TPG undertakes no obligation to revise or update any forward-looking statements except as required by law. 01:37 Within our discussion and earnings release, we are presenting GAAP measures, non-GAAP measures and pro forma GAAP and non-GAAP measures, reflecting the reorganization that was completed during 2021 and immediately prior to TPG’s IPO. We believe it is helpful for investors and analysts to understand the historic results through the lens of our go-forward structure and please refer to TPG’s earnings release for details on the pro forma financial information. 02:00 We will also be discussing certain non-GAAP measures on this call that management believes are relevant in assessing the financial performance of the business. These non-GAAP measures are reconciled to the nearest GAAP figures in TPG’s earnings release, which is available on the company's website. Please note that nothing on this call constitutes an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to purchase an interest in any TPG fund. 02:21 I'd now like to turn the call over to Jon Winkelried, Chief Executive Officer.

Jon Winkelried

Analyst

02:26 Thanks, Gary, and good morning to everyone. I'd like to thank you all for joining us for our first public investor call, since we completed our IPO on NASDAQ in January. Becoming a publicly listed company was a significant milestone for TPG, as we celebrate our 30th anniversary as an innovator in the alternative asset management industry. 02:48 During our prepared remarks, I'm going to touch on our strong performance for the fourth quarter and full-year of 2021, and then I'll discuss a few highlights across the five multi-product platforms that comprise TPG’s business. I'll then turn the call over to Jack to provide some more details on our financial results. After that I'll make some closing remarks and then we'll open up the call to take your questions. 03:11 Before I discuss our performance, I'd like to address the situation in Ukraine, which I'm sure continues to weigh heavily on all of you just as it does on us here at TPG. From a humanitarian perspective what we've all been watching unfold is truly heart wrenching on so many levels and we extend our thoughts to the courageous citizens of Ukraine. We are providing financial assistance through several charities on the ground in Ukraine and we are also encouraging all of our employees to do whatever they can to help. From a business perspective we have conducted a thorough review of all of our activities and we've confirmed the funds we manage have no direct investments in any Russia or Ukraine-based companies in addition, no Russian Institutional Investors or Sanctioned Russian Nationals or Limited Partners in any of TPG funds. 04:05 We finished 2021 with $114 billion of total assets under management, which increased 27% year-over-year. This growth was driven by a combination of strong investment performance and…

Jack Weingart

Analyst

14:39 Thanks, Jon and good morning everyone, I'm going to briefly walk through our financial results and highlight some of the more significant points regarding our fourth quarter and full-year financial performance. Our total assets under management grew from $90 billion at the end of 2020 to $114 billion at the end of ‘21. The drivers of this 27% increase during the year include $29 billion of value-creation from our underlying fund investments and over $20 billion from capital raises, partially offset by more than $25 billion of realizations as Jon alluded to. Then we returned to our fund investors throughout 2021. 15:19 Looking briefly at fee generating AUM, we had approximately $60 billion at the end of ’21, compared to $51 billion at the end of 2020. This 19% increase was driven primarily by the successful raising of nearly $9 billion in fee earning capital related to the Impact and growth platforms. As you may have noticed on Page 20 of our earnings presentation, we have provided some additional detail regarding the duration of our total and fee earning assets under management. 15:49 At the end of ’21 approximately 87% of our AUM and 85% of our fee earning AUM was in either perpetual or long dated funds with a duration at inception of 10-years or longer. In addition 75% of our fee earning AUM had a remaining duration of five or more years as of the end of 2021, with nearly 25% in vehicles with 10 or more years remaining. At year-end we also had $9.4 billion of AUM subject to fee earning growth, including nearly $7 billion of AUM not yet earning fees and $2.5 billion of fee earning AUM subject to fee rate step-ups in the future. 16:33 In total, we estimate the potential fee-related revenue…

Jon Winkelried

Analyst

23:33 Thanks, Jack. Before we take your questions, I wanted to touch on what we view as the most critical element of our strategy TPG’s culture. With our family office heritage and our West Coast roots, we maintain a flat organizational structure that fosters an entrepreneurial and inclusive environment and celebrates innovation, authenticity and a hands-on approach towards identifying solutions and building businesses. 23:58 As we talk about culture, I'd like to highlight TPG’s long-standing commitment to fostering strong ESG performance as a firm and in our investment practices. ESG is a core tenant of TPG’s culture and manifests itself in everything we do from Impact investing to building a responsible portfolio to advancing diversity and inclusivity within our organization, ecosystem and industry. Earlier this month TPG sponsored the Annual Women and Private Equity Summit for the six-year with 21 of our senior women representing the firm at this leading industry event. We believe our commitment to building a diverse equitable and inclusive culture improves the quality of our investments and our ability to build great companies. 24:42 Last month, we held the strategy off-site in the San Francisco for our senior business leaders. It was the first time we had been altogether in person since COVID and it reinforced the momentum we are feeling across the firm. We have started bringing our employees back into our offices around the world on a regular basis and the collective level of enthusiasm across the firm has been incredible. It's clear to me and other members of our leadership team that despite our extended period of time working away from the office, the culture TPG has never been stronger, we're extremely proud of our team for their exceptional performance during an unprecedented time in our professional careers, and we look forward to what we will accomplish as we move forward together at TPG. 25:21 With that, we'll open up the line for questions.

Operator

Operator

25:25 [Operator Instructions] We will take our first question from Craig Siegenthaler with Bank of America. Your line is now open.

Jon Winkelried

Analyst

25:46 Craig, you there, Craig?

Operator

Operator

25:52 Craig, Your line is now open. Please check the mute function on your phone.

Jon Winkelried

Analyst

26:01 Why don’t we go to the next question. Let’s see if we can get Craig back in the queue.

Operator

Operator

26:09 We will take our next question from Glenn Schorr with Evercore. Your line is now open.

Glenn Schorr

Analyst · Evercore. Your line is now open.

26:17 Hi, thanks very much. I heard you are standing firm on your broad fundraising objectives. I wanted to dig a little deeper into the like near-term say, this year we’ve seen a good pull down in rotation out of growth and rising rates that you mentioned and cracked from valuations. I think that might be a good thing for deploying capital. But I don't know if that slows realizations such that LP’s liquidity is gummed up. So can you just talk about the current fundraising environment growth in capital and how you weigh the puts and takes of all that?

Jack Weingart

Analyst · Evercore. Your line is now open.

26:57 Sure. Hey, Glenn, it’s Jack. Thanks for the question. Look, I think the fundraising, environment, let me start by saying what, over a longer arc we continue to believe that the very positive secular growth drivers for our industry remain intact. We think the growth of investable capital will continue, the allocations to alternatives across most pools of capital around the world will continue and the desire among the largest allocators to invest more capital with fewer managers, we think will certainly benefit firms like TPG. 27:33 In the short-term to answer your question, the industry is definitely experiencing some indigestion due to a few factors. You pointed to the slowdown in liquidity, and we certainly would expect that, I think as you heard from my comments; our liquidity, we have a substantial amount already locked in that will be closing over the coming quarters from sales that have already been signed. So, I think we will continue to be a stand out among the LPs in driving substantial liquidity from our portfolios. But for the industry, if choppy markets continue liquidity will likely slow down. There's also been faster deployment than expected across the industry, and there has been a bit of a numerator, denominator effect kicking in as many of you have written about with last year's strong alternative performance driving outsized gains in LPs alternative portfolios, and then this year's choppy market is driving a bit of a denominator effect with total assets going down on the margin. 28:35 So the result of all of that is a bit of indigestion in the market, but I will tell you we are in the market with many of our campaigns that I alluded to on the call. And as I said, we are seeing strong reception from our clients for our fundraising campaigns and we do expect to be successful across our fundraising efforts, but those dynamics that you alluded to in the market are definitely real.

Glenn Schorr

Analyst · Evercore. Your line is now open.

29:02 I hear you and I agree with on the long term, that's cool. Maybe one quick follow-up on the -- there is liquidity drive in all different parts of the market, and there’s some articles written recently on how the demand for private credit capital is in very high demand with the backup in rates? So, curious how you're thinking about, I know it hasn't been that long since our last conversation, but your build versus buy, what you're doing on the organic front to address some credit demands in the market and then how you're thinking about the backdrop? Is this a good thing or bad thing with the market shifts and your ability to maybe find a partner in the credit side?

Jon Winkelried

Analyst · Evercore. Your line is now open.

29:45 Glenn, it’s Jon. Thanks for the question. Look, I think at a high level, I don't think any of us have ever seen, sort of, the level of, kind of, evolution within our industry going on in terms of M&A activity, strategic activity across the board, and I think that with some of the forces that Jack described and forces that we've described before, I think that we find that the size and scale is continuing to matter more, being able to raise capital and source capital is -- I think is being ever more influenced by brand and strength of brand. And our LPs that we are close to, want to do more with us across a range of different products, and so I think that, that force is sort of affecting the industry more broadly and we were looking at some of the data, the other day I think over the -- from a decade of ‘09 to like 2018, there were something like four M&A deals done in our industry, and I think last year there were eight -- only -- there were eight I think last year only, and I think there's four or five already this year. 31:00 So, there's a lot of talk and a lot of dialog going on in the industry, and I think there were many managers across various strategies, including credit, but not exclusive to credit as you've already seen that are trying to see and trying to think about what the future looks like. That's, creating a lot of dialog and it's creating a lot of opportunity. So, we are -- as we discussed when we went through our IPO process, we think we're well positioned as sort of a strategic partner for a number of different types…

Glenn Schorr

Analyst · Evercore. Your line is now open.

34:25 Thank you for all that, Jon.

Operator

Operator

34:29 [Operator Instructions] And we will take our next question from Craig Siegenthaler with Bank of America. Your line is now open.

Craig Siegenthaler

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now open.

34:44 Great. Can you guys hear me, okay?

Jon Winkelried

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now open.

Yes. Loud and clear.

Craig Siegenthaler

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now open.

34:48 Hi, perfect, good. So good morning, everyone. Hope you all doing well?

Jon Winkelried

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now open.

34:52 Good morning.

Craig Siegenthaler

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now open.

34:53 My question is on the growth of value rotation that we're seeing. If the US equity markets go through a multi-year growth to value rotation, can you talk about how this will impact our business, but also remind us how private market investing is different than public market investing in some ways, less impacted by public market valuations?

Todd Sisitsky

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now open.

35:13 Great. Yes, thanks, Craig. It's Todd Sisitsky here. Thank you for the questions. You know, I think, first of all, you're right, we've been oriented as growth investors and transformational investors and I think I'll get to in a moment, but I think your point about the private market being somewhat different that the public markets is spot on. And we've been anticipating choppier markets and really a potential downturn now for several years and that expectation has really shaped our approach to investing and managing our portfolio. 35:46 So first, you know, the new investment front. Our expectation for a market reset and downturn is factored into the go-to-market strategy, the way that we source the new investments that we make. And for several years now, we've built multiple compression so an expectation that we will exit at a lower multiple than we acquired company into our financial model. And our expectation of this downturn has led us to be even more committed to our core strategy of investing only in those sectors and in those themes, so we have really strong conviction across the partnership, and we've got that angles and confidence in our strategies over a number of years. 36:25 And for us especially in late cycle, but really throughout our strategy, we focused on investing in secular sources of growth rather than cyclical growth, which we do think navigates very well through different economic environments. So you can see, for us, even with the choppiness of the past 12-month period and the COVID effect our broad portfolio grew, it's revenue at a rate of 35% versus 17% for the S&P 500 Total Return Index. And so the, you know, so really the sectors and themes we're investing behind in healthcare in cyber security and Climate…

Jim Coulter

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now open.

41:19 You know, that was well said, Todd. Craig having done this for a long time, it’s always been interesting to me how different the private market growth investing landscape is in the public market, best in landscape and to think indices in the public market investing world, we tend to think companies in our world. And as Todd pointed out where you get heard is if you have unexpected multiple compression, which is not what we're seeing in our underwriting. 41:47 Secondly, you’ve heard if you miss your numbers in our portfolio is performing very, very strong. And third, in some ways the public market is a robust competitor for us. The world we went through last year of very high access to public markets and SPAC activity in some ways was less attractive for us than the environment we're in now. In the intermediate term to long-term investing area that we're in, this is actually a better part of the cycle for us to invest in, and I think our LPs understand that and continue to support us as we delve into this very interesting market.

Craig Siegenthaler

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now open.

42:36 Hey, thanks for the comprehensive response there. Just a quick follow-up on inorganic growth corporate M&A, we just wanted to update in terms of how you're thinking about this, if anything, sort of, changed? And I was especially interested in the credit vertical and also retail distribution?

Jon Winkelried

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now open.

42:56 When you say it changed relative to what?

Craig Siegenthaler

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now open.

43:02 Your prior expectations for inorganic growth?

Jon Winkelried

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now open.

43:06 No, I don't think so, I mean, I think we're -- I would say if there is anything that may be changed is we're mindful of price, because the values in various parts of the market have been -- I would say frothy to a degree, it's for certain businesses at certain levels of scale or certain levels of development, everybody thinks they have really valuable thing, and so we're mindful of that as we look at opportunities. But I think again the important things for us, our quality of business, quality of partner and what we feel is an intelligent fit both by virtue of the nature of the business, as well as the team that people, we’re not buying something -- we wouldn't be buying something with an eye toward, you know, just having, sort of, some, kind of, independent subsidiaries somewhere, we'd be buying something that would become part of our overall franchise. And so we also are looking for as people who want to join us, but that would continue to be builders and building the business and so that's important to us. 44:31 I think that within the landscape of credit, as an example, obviously credit is not just one thing, there are sort of multiple aspects to what credit strategies do. And I think that we would over time also be looking to build a balanced approach to that in terms of the different, kind of, lines of business if you will. And so we may -- if we are able to do something in terms of an acquisition, as an example, we may do something that's a piece of that strategy to start with and then continue to build from there. So, but I don't think, I have anything more yet other than our intent to continue to build and diversify our franchise that we talked about during our IPO process, when we last talked about, this is still the same.

Craig Siegenthaler

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now open.

45:27 Thank you, Jon.

Jon Winkelried

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now open.

45:29 Thanks.

Operator

Operator

45:31 We will take our next question from Ken Worthington with J.P. Morgan. Your line is now open.

Ken Worthington

Analyst · J.P. Morgan. Your line is now open.

45:37 Hi, good morning. TPG has used structured products and other mechanisms to provide some downside protection to your fund returns. I guess, I wanted to better understand how that downside protection may be holding up in the current markets? And where I've struggled is with the degree of protection you're actually getting from these structures? So I was hoping you could help us on maybe the magnitude of the downside protection you've built in either from the proportion of your investments that utilize these structures? Or maybe another way would be if the markets down at certain percent, what sort of downside protection you think an overall portfolio might get from your utilization of this downside protection?

Jack Weingart

Analyst · J.P. Morgan. Your line is now open.

46:25 Ken, as you know in the growth equity market in this case differentiated from Venture. There is a wide usage of preferred stock structures. And also those preferred stocks have real teeth, because the businesses are at a point where they have achieved fundamental long-term value. I would say very high percentage of our growth equity investing is in preferred structures and increasingly as markets get choppy, those preferred’s are not only downside protection, but often have ratchets, super premiums or other things that provide not only downside protection, but upside even in a downside scenario, that's one of the innovations, we really have been leaders in, in the growth equity marketplace. How many not from venture, but instead from the structured world of private equity, we have always built that into our portfolio. I can give you today a absolute percentage as to what percent of the capital would be in that structure, but it is a very broad piece of our economic tool kit. And that is something you will also see us use even more aggressively going forward. 47:47 In moments like this, Ken, as companies go to the financing markets with uncertainty often they're wanting to avoid down rounds and that allows us to create very attractive structure transactions for the capital that they will need as they continue to grow.

Ken Worthington

Analyst · J.P. Morgan. Your line is now open.

48:07 Brilliant, thank you. And then just maybe briefly non-comp expense, I believe, was $36 million this quarter. Where there unusual items in 4Q or is that sort of OpEx, a good starting point for 1Q and beyond?

Jon Winkelried

Analyst · J.P. Morgan. Your line is now open.

48:25 Yes, I think it's a good starting point for 1Q and beyond. We are -- as you know, we've had to build substantial resources to support all the activities as a public company, and I think that's a good starting point for OpEx going forward.

Ken Worthington

Analyst · J.P. Morgan. Your line is now open.

48:40 Great. Thank you very much.

Ken Worthington

Analyst · J.P. Morgan. Your line is now open.

48:43 Thanks.

Operator

Operator

48:46 We will take our next question from Alex Blostein with Goldman Sachs. Your line is now open.

Alex Blostein

Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Your line is now open.

48:53 Hey guys, good morning. Thanks for taking the question as well. Maybe just building on some of the fundraising discuss from earlier some of your comments around private equity and sort of some of the indigestion in the marketplace are sort of consistent with how we've been looking at it as well? But curious if you are seeing any of the similar signs in terms of fundraising within other parts of private markets and if you could also give us a sense that within private equity by type of LP or geography, are you seeing any notable differences or is your common fairly broad-based?

Jon Winkelried

Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Your line is now open.

49:29 Sorry, Alex, you're saying just, kind of, drilling down on the characterization, I gave more by geography and type of LP?

Alex Blostein

Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Your line is now open.

49:39 Yes, exactly right. So the private equity broadly comment -- heard that lot unclear for the industry, but you guys generally expect your fundraising to be on track with what you've communicated during the IPO. But as kind of double-click into that geographies and LP types, so there are notable differences between different customer basis?

Jon Winkelried

Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Your line is now open.

49:58 Yes, that's a good question, Alex and I know you wrote somewhat extensively about this and I think we do a lot of your comments, but to your point, these dynamics are very different in different parts of the world and with different types of LPs. The most directly impacted by some of the, kind of, numerator, denominator, allocation target type math that I walk through or maybe a good example of the US State Pension Funds, who operate with a target for alternatives and although some of those targets are moving higher and there's been some publicity about that. Do they have to manage to a target pretty specifically? So -- and some of the -- maybe International pools of capital that are growing more rapidly and don't have quite as strict target to manage to or actually, we're seeing increasing allocations to our funds. 50:53 As we are in the market, we have some, who are more directly impacted by this. Re-upping with us for sure in some cases staying flat when they would have preferred to increase the amount of capital that we invest for them, but in the international pools of capital we're seeing in some cases, substantial increases in commitment sizes.

Alex Blostein

Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Your line is now open.

51:15 Great, that's really helpful color. Just pivoting to maybe some of the other growth initiatives we talked about in the past. I was hoping maybe we could zone in on Core Plus real estate, and when you guys are doing there with, especially with respect to opportunities to roll this product out to retail broadly, and any sort of timing of that would be would be helpful? Thanks.

Jon Winkelried

Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Your line is now open.

51:36 You know, I would make one more comment on the -- I left out you just sparked my thought process, Alex. But within the broad high net worth in retail landscape that whole universe of investors is still substantially under allocated to alternatives, and is not impacted by the, kind of, current formulaic numerator, denominator effect so we continue to see real opportunity to grow into that space.

Jim Coulter

Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Your line is now open.

52:01 And Alex, it's Jim. One thing I would add also is the learning’s of the last private equity cycle was that investors, who stepped back from their deployment actually led to some poor performance afterwards. So we're seeing our clients really work to continue deployment even with some of the ingestion learning from past cycles.

Jon Winkelried

Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Your line is now open.

52:28 Alex, on -- just moving to your example on real estate, I think, first of all very important business for us in terms of a driver of growth. We -- I think we talked about this around the IPO the momentum that we have with respect to that platform is very strong. I reviewed in my comments, obviously the types of returns we've generated there. And obviously that's led to us going through a meaningful period of scaling within our real estate platform and also the ability to leverage that performance into new product development. In terms of our progress on fundraising that's one area, as an example where I think we had highlighted, we were going to be in the market raising our fourth opportunistic fund, which was -- which is trapped for, and the progress there, I guess, let me just say has been excellent, and I think we'll be announcing relatively soon. I think a final close with respect to TRIP 4 and that's been excellent. 53:40 I think Jack may have mentioned in his comments that we have announced the final close on our first Core Plus strategy, which was I think -- I had mentioned to you before, a strategy where several of our LPs, who had success with us in the real estate business came to us and helped us basically launch into that part of the market, we closed $1.750 billion in our first Core Plus strategy and I think we mentioned that we had designed that we're after it's effectively after most of the capital is invested. We have an opportunity to work with our LPs to flip that into an open-ended fund structure. 54:22 One of the things that we've been doing recently is thinking through whether or not, that's…

Jim Coulter

Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Your line is now open.

56:40 I would add in that question of -- would the opportunities that be large enough is at least in my mind, very much answered. To give you a sense, Alex, we're little over six months into the close of that and fund and activity levels across our Climate investing have been in excess of $3.4 billion of total capital committed across our Rise platform and Co-Invest, and that's really accomplished while we were in the fundraising market. So indicative of very substantial opportunities to attractively deploy capital and grow that product base.

Jack Weingart

Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Your line is now open.

57:27 Sorry, again it's Jack. I want to go back to your OpEx question, because I don't want to indicate the 36 per quarter is what you should expect going forward in ’22. We do continue to invest in resources for the public company. We do expect that with COVID-related travel restrictions moving on, we are seeing an increase in travel expense. So I would guide you toward, kind of, go-forward quarterly OpEx in the low '50s.

Alex Blostein

Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Your line is now open.

58:03 Thanks everybody.

Operator

Operator

58:07 We will take our next question from Robert Lee with KBW. Your line is now open.

Robert Lee

Analyst · KBW. Your line is now open.

58:14 Great, good morning. Thanks for taking my questions and congratulations on your first public earnings call. Maybe going back to fundraising and deployment, so certainly appreciate the comments about fundraising environment. At the same time of those reason getting the spend I think of TREP 4, I guess, you know, maybe closing in the not too distant -- or having a close and not too distant future, may be growth deployment is maybe help these maybe growth six happening faster, kind of, feels like maybe some of your fundraising is being pulled potentially actually being pulled forward with this and versus, you know, maybe what you initially thought. If I just spend a word TPG 9, I mean, is that fair characterization, kind of, feels like something that are happening a bit faster?

Jack Weingart

Analyst · KBW. Your line is now open.

59:11 Yes, hey Rob it’s Jack. Let me, and we're not going to be giving substantial intra, kind of, quarter guidance as we go here, but obviously we'll be giving information as we close on capital raises that being said, this is our first quarter, I know, this is obviously our fundraising super cycle ahead of us is super important. So let me try to give you all a little bit more framework and little more information, kind of, campaign by campaign. I think you're the -- inference of your question is correct. So we are seeing a bit of a pull forward relative to our expectations. In fundraising in the context of what I mentioned was a strong demand that we're seeing from our clients for our funds. And as I mentioned in my comments, we have about 11 funds, we expect to be in the market with this year, and let me just walk through the most significant of those to give you more color. 60:04 On the real estate platform, we are currently oversubscribed on our next opportunistic fund TREP 4, Jon alluded to that. And we expect to hold our final close there in the second quarter and we'll obviously give an update at the end of the first quarter, about how much we've closed on as of then. And we expect to be at our hard cap there of $6.5 billion. We just had our final close last week as I mentioned on the Tech Plus, Core Plus product, which is an exciting expansion into -- of our real estate platform. 60:38 On the Impact side we expect to hold the final close for the Climate Fund in the second quarter at the hard cap of $7.2 billion and we recently launched our next broad-based impact fund Rise 3 with a target of $3 billion. On the capital platform, which you asked about we did launch TPG 9 Healthcare Partners 2 and the next Asia Fund in January as planned. On the capital -- on the TPG Capital side, TPG 9 and Healthcare Partners as you know are kind of joined at the hip. And those two, we haven't -- we have articulated to our LPs in aggregate target across those capital basis of $18.5 billion, you know, on the Asia side we launched with a target of $6 billion. 61:33 And we had planned across those businesses to hold first closes as you know from our IPO discussions more in the back half of the year. And I would say, given the pace of investing that we've been seeing. And given the demand we're seeing for the products. I would, currently expect that we hold first closes across all three of those products TPG 9 Healthcare Partners and Asia towards the end of the second quarter.

Robert Lee

Analyst · KBW. Your line is now open.

62:03 Super helpful. Thank you. And maybe a two follow-up and then I’ll -- maybe has the two-part the first check, if you could also just want to make sure I have the numbers right, your 2Q guidance on pre-tax DE was that 190 to 200, so I make sure I have the numbers right?

Jack Weingart

Analyst · KBW. Your line is now open.

62:22 That’s Q1.

Robert Lee

Analyst · KBW. Your line is now open.

62:25 Yes, sorry Q1, yes, yes, right.

Jack Weingart

Analyst · KBW. Your line is now open.

62:27 On pre-tax DE, yes.

Robert Lee

Analyst · KBW. Your line is now open.

62:31 Right. And then maybe more broadly, one of the, I guess, impacts of, you know, the warrant in Ukraine is more countries focusing on energy security, which necessarily in this day and it still means fossil fuels. So does that all impact as you think about your Rise and Impact funds at all impact? How you think about the opportunities that may evolve over the next couple of years is going to have to be more, more focus globally on secured domestic production or gas generation, have any impact of all, kind of, how you think the opportunities set?

Jon Winkelried

Analyst · KBW. Your line is now open.

63:22 Generally, I see it accelerating, a lot of our activity in the Climate area. Let me give you a few pieces of data around that. First of all, one of the big issues in Climate product evolution is what's known as a green premium. How much more expensive or in some cases less expensive it is to do Climate-friendly activity. Higher oil prices generally create very attractive shifts in the green premium and can accelerate projects and activities around Climate investing. The first of all, higher oil prices tend to help us. Secondly, as people focus on energy security and building into energy security they're doing so thinking about it with a green future in front of them. So if you were for example in Europe, not only are you worried about liquid natural gas, but you're looking beyond that the questions of how do we build our solar and other sustainable types of fuels and executions. So essentially, while there will be a lot of focus on fossil fuels are also be a focus on what are we doing next, and that will accelerate activities for green investing, we're seeing that very much in our pipeline. 64:51 And overall, we are also seeing very substantial investing in re-shoring of supply chains, so as people are thinking about battery investing or solar panel investing, there is a real movement towards moving that question of energy security closer into regions, you see that particularly in Europe, but also in the US, and that will drive substantial investment opportunities for us. So a lot of difficult things coming out of the Ukraine, there'll be a lot of near-term focus on fossil fuels, as there should be, but I think in many ways this will accelerate the activity that we're seeing in our pipeline to move to a green future.

Robert Lee

Analyst · KBW. Your line is now open.

65:36 Great. That's very helpful. Thank you -- thanks for taking my questions.

Jim Coulter

Analyst · KBW. Your line is now open.

65:40 Okay. Thanks, Rob.

Operator

Operator

65:43 We'll take our next question from Bill Katz with Citigroup. Your line is now open.

Bill Katz

Analyst · Citigroup. Your line is now open.

65:49 Okay. Good afternoon, everybody. Thanks for taking the question at this point. So first one maybe for Jack could unpack the guidance for the first quarter, I appreciate it around the revenues to $235 to 245? How much might be base versus transaction monitoring fees and for either the quarter just over or the upcoming quarter, are there any catch-up fees embedded in that guidance? Thank you.

Jon Winkelried

Analyst · Citigroup. Your line is now open.

66:15 Hey Bill. I would say the -- there is actually a little bit less -- I would say that the mix of management fees and transaction and monitoring fees is expected to be pretty consistent with what, I mean, what we experienced last year and what we expect to experience this year.

Jack Weingart

Analyst · Citigroup. Your line is now open.

66:43 On your second question, I don't think there are any material catch-up fees embedded in that Q1 guidance.

Bill Katz

Analyst · Citigroup. Your line is now open.

66:51 Great, thank you. I apologize for that. And then bigger question may have either you guys just in terms of funding markets, someone if you comment on that. And then as you, sort of, look into your downstream view with the portfolio companies. What are your company seeing in terms of economic slowdown as we look out over the next sort of three to nine months? Thank you.

Jon Winkelried

Analyst · Citigroup. Your line is now open.

67:14 Are you talking about funding markets? Bill, you're talking about financing markets?

Bill Katz

Analyst · Citigroup. Your line is now open.

67:17 Yes, funding markets for sure right as the ability to impact deployment? Thank you.

Todd Sisitsky

Analyst · Citigroup. Your line is now open.

67:23 Sure. But hey, it's Todd Sisitsky, I think you know, from our standpoint we have generally been very conservative on leverage and so our strategy as growth investors and transformation investors, sort of, necessitated being not, I can't remember the last time, we've actually taken the full amount of leverage offered by banks in some of these situations. We need the flexibility, we need the ability to put more money into our platforms, both equity and debt. And so despite the ample availability of debt over the last five to seven years, our overall net debt to EBITDA portfolio wide is below 4 times, which again is consistent with our strategy and our exposure. 68:10 I'd also say that again with a anxiety about the choppiness of the market for some number of years, you know, once we do acquire companies won't use -- when we use leverage and we have floating rate debt, we are typically hedging 75% to 85% of the rate exposure. So I think your comment, I mean, obviously interest rates are going to be increasing and that will factor and I think to the overall deal environment, I do think that our strategy is probably a bit insulated from the financial engineering type strategies that really require high availability of cheap leverage. And as a result, I think we feel pretty comfortable with where we said.

Bill Katz

Analyst · Citigroup. Your line is now open.

68:59 Thank you.

Todd Sisitsky

Analyst · Citigroup. Your line is now open.

69:02 Thanks, Bill.

Operator

Operator

69:04 Our next question from Brian Bedell with Deutsche Bank. Your line is now open.

Brian Bedell

Analyst · Deutsche Bank. Your line is now open.

69:10 Hi, good afternoon [Technical Difficulty] okay?

Jon Winkelried

Analyst · Deutsche Bank. Your line is now open.

69:13 You're breaking up, Ryan, like it’s hard to hear you.

Brian Bedell

Analyst · Deutsche Bank. Your line is now open.

69:17 Can you hear me better now.

Jon Winkelried

Analyst · Deutsche Bank. Your line is now open.

69:19 Yes. Yes.

Brian Bedell

Analyst · Deutsche Bank. Your line is now open.

69:20 Okay, great, great, thank you. I apologize, I had just step up the call for a few minutes. If I'm not sure if you answered this, but I did want to understand the infrastructure comments, I think that you made earlier Jon on the -- on looking at step outs to build the business. And I just wanted to understand if that was on the infrastructure side, is that largely part of an impact strategy overall, because you've mentioned obviously energy transition being a major role within that infrastructure? Or is that something that you're thinking about as a separate platform and then obviously, I guess, organic versus inorganic a possibility within that strategy?

Jon Winkelried

Analyst · Deutsche Bank. Your line is now open.

70:07 I think both organic and inorganic is a possibility within infrastructure and as with any acquisition, it would be where would you take it from where we began. There’s two areas that interest us greatly in the infrastructure area, where we also think we have some natural advantages. The first is related to Rise Climate and in the Tech revolution, what we've found is early on private equity was successful in data centers and towers, and then over time as those revolutions continued they moved into the infrastructure area. And so, having the knowledge, but having multiple pools of capital will be helpful in the Climate revolution, just as it was in the Tech revolution. So we have natural amounts of quite substantial deal flow and often that deal flow doesn't know if it's private equity or infrastructure. So having the opportunity to correct that deal flow and take advantage of our knowledge is as a natural for us. 71:09 The second area that I would point out, we have some advantages as digital infrastructure which is, as you know, one of the fastest growing parts of infrastructure and across what we've done in fiber and elsewhere. We have a strong track record there. So those two particular areas are the most interesting for us, and both of them are things we're thinking deeply about it.

Brian Bedell

Analyst · Deutsche Bank. Your line is now open.

71:32 And that's more in the near term or are we talking about sort of more of a multi-year vision starting fee next year?

Jon Winkelried

Analyst · Deutsche Bank. Your line is now open.

71:42 As with all our acquisition discussions, it’s hard to predict timing, but we're a business builders as you know, and these are clear areas that we would have advantages in building into or acquiring.

Brian Bedell

Analyst · Deutsche Bank. Your line is now open.

71:54 Yes. Okay, that makes sense. And then just a follow-up on retail strategy, obviously you're trying to certainly advance that how important is the credit platform or you're acquiring a credit platform to that retail strategy, if that ends up getting sort of postpone for a little while? If it's any issues in finding the right partner? Do you feel that you can really advance the retail strategy from a distribution angle given your product mix right now?

Jack Weingart

Analyst · Deutsche Bank. Your line is now open.

72:28 Yes, it's Jack. Let me touch on that. I don't think it's a problem if credit is -- and say our build into credit is somehow delayed, but you start by thinking about like our current product set is particularly relevant to the high-end of the high net worth market, and we are continuing to invest in building our brand among those high net worth investors. We're continuing to build our team to market to this channel directly at all levels, and we do without having a credit platform during this fundraising cycle that I described, we do expect to raise a greater percentage of our capital from this channel than we have in the past. To give you a sense, I think we have 15 separate campaigns planned across many banks and across almost every product that we have in the market. So we are putting real resources into building our brand and building into that channel. I agree with your -- the inference of your question, as we do continue to diversify our products Tech Plus on the real estate side, as we expand that product and expand into further real estate products and eventually into credit as well. I think we will have set up our brand in the channel to readily capitalize on those opportunities and those products will be applicable to a much broader set of retail investors.

Brian Bedell

Analyst · Deutsche Bank. Your line is now open.

73:53 Great, that's super helpful. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

74:00 We will take our next question from Michael Cyprys with Morgan Stanley.

Truman Cooper

Analyst · Morgan Stanley.

74:06 Hi, good morning. This is Truman here from Morgan Stanley standing in for Mike Cyprys, thanks for taking the question. I'm just going back to organic growth very quickly. You talked a little bit about infra as well as -- it's some other expansions. I just curious, what are the adjacencies do you think you could get into, say over the next three, five years? And just more generally, how do you think about where exactly you step out into and how meaningful could those step outs be over time?

Jim Coulter

Analyst · Morgan Stanley.

74:32 I think there's a lot of examples, if you look at our history, with the healthcare fund that we've attached to TPG Capital, that's been very successful, there’s a lot of demand for that. Not that many place is actually expressed, scale healthcare investing. Jon, I think mentioned this in passing, but another near-term opportunity, sort of, along the same lines even in the same sectors our life sciences fund. As part of building over many decades now this broad-based healthcare focus which is not just in TPG Capital, it’s in growth, it’s in TPG Asia. We have gotten into the flow of a lot of opportunities that are just earlier stage and really exciting opportunities that we feel very well equipped to evaluate and we want to create an opportunity, a liability stream, it's better suited to addressing that part of the market. 75:29 And frankly the pullback in the life sciences world creates an even more compelling opportunity from a new capital standpoint. So we have a great team that we’ve built around that. We have a lot of resources around the firm that are excited to be involved from investment community standpoint in the sourcing standpoint. And again, it's like a perfectly natural step out and one that be the LPs that we partner with as long as we have particularly around healthcare are very excited to be part of as well.

Jack Weingart

Analyst · Morgan Stanley.

75:58 Secondary, I would point out is Asia, where we have very substantial opportunity for expansion. And lastly, just a general comment, innovation is alive and well at TPG and the type of innovation you've seen over the last few years. And what you think, Jon, but my sense around the firm is it's not slowing down.

Jon Winkelried

Analyst · Morgan Stanley.

76:20 No there is, look, there is a -- people are constantly looking for ways of growing the franchise and growing your platforms and one of the things that we are trying to be thoughtful about is how to think about where to allocate resources to because in our view, one of the things that's important is that things either have to be very complementary to the ecosystem and therefore, drive that flywheel effect that we have, you know, Todd referenced the life sciences is a great example, because we're so deep in healthcare and we've actually done -- we've been successful in a number of cases in life sciences investing already that it provides the basis of which to build a meaningful credible step out opportunity, where we have a reason to win in the market. 77:13 The other thing that we focus on is, look not only this question of whether or not it completes the ecosystem, but also whether or not, it can scale or not. And so those are other things that we're mindful of as we think about, because ultimately to generate the kinds of economics we want to generate for the business and grow our business and our financial results. We also want to make sure that we can develop the scale, which implies ultimately sufficient margin. And so we focus on that as well, so when we talked about infra, as an example, that's a place where it links back into a couple of our businesses, but also is a very potentially scale of opportunity where we're already seeing opportunities, as an example, I think, as Jim had mentioned in energy transition, we're already seeing opportunities there and the question is how is cost of capital effect that? How is return profile of the pool of capital effect? How you stand up something on its own versus integrated and what you have? 78:12 Jim mentioned Asia as an example, we have a private equity business in Asia and I think over time, there are a number of different there are -- there is the potential for step outs and organic growth in Asia as a result of the same phenomenon that we've seen here developing in Asia as an example, we developed our tech adjacencies platform here, because we saw opportunities through our franchise that we're slightly different than traditional growth equity opportunities either in structure or in terms of deep minority or whatever the opportunity might have been. I think that we're still -- given the development of some of the markets around Asia, particularly outside of China, we see potential opportunities to do that, whether it's in Australia or in some cases, in India and Southeast Asia. So that's how we think -- that's just to give you a sense of our mindset in terms of how we approach these things. There's lots of innovation energy, we have to, kind of, meter it out and manage it in an appropriate way.

Truman Cooper

Analyst · Morgan Stanley.

79:19 That's great color. Thank you very much. And if I could just ask a quick follow-up on our capital return, how did you think about the 85% payout ratio versus say a fixed dividend with some of your peers do? And how that would allow you potentially to retain more capital for investment depreciates in the balance sheet like strategy you're trying to pursue?

Jack Weingart

Analyst · Morgan Stanley.

79:36 Yes, it's Jack. I think you hit on it right there. Right, we -- pro forma for the IPO as I mentioned, we've got $650 million of cash on the balance sheet. With retaining 15% of after-tax DE will continue to add to that balance sheet flexibility and we have relatively little debt. So as we sit here today and think about pursuing the growth opportunities that we've talked about, we believe we have plenty of capital, and as long as we feel that way, we believe the right answer is return capital to shareholders. So that will be – we continue to be our policy.

Truman Cooper

Analyst · Morgan Stanley.

80:10 That's great. Thank you very much.

Jack Weingart

Analyst · Morgan Stanley.

80:12 Okay, thanks.

Operator

Operator

80:14 And we will take our final question from Lucas Ruttan with Bank of Montreal. Your line is now open.

Lucas Ruttan

Analyst

80:22 Alright, thanks for taking my question. I wanted to get some more detail on deployment trends across your different investment platforms. Where are you seeing the best opportunities in terms of deployment? And also relative to the roughly $8 billion of capital you invested last quarter roughly where are you year-to-date versus that run rate? Thank you.

Jim Coulter

Analyst

80:46 Sure, I'll start with the -- just to sort of where we're seeing opportunities and again apologies if it sounds a bit repetitive. We've continued to I think find our best opportunities near is we have our strongest focus our strongest teamwork and hopefully you've gotten a sense from this, culturally we're very much oriented around themes, around sectors, around getting very deep and developing conviction across our investment committees in the opportunities that we have resources and ecosystems built up in and so for us, and I think, actually, it's worked out quite well, particularly in recent years as we've envision getting later in the cycle in terms of the investment strategy. 81:31 So for us, I'd say that we continue to see a lot of activity and a lot of interesting differentiated make a -- right opportunities in the broad worlds of technology, which would include both software, content, media and host of other sort of interesting areas in and around technology and healthcare, those are two, sort of, big sector areas. And of course within each one there is a lot of granularity as to what we're finding. Jon mentioned interesting opportunity that intersected two of our other sectors in Troon, which overlap both business services and consumer, which are important sectors for us as well. But it's thematically again I think we've continued to, sort of, lean-in, in the places where we have the most conviction and we feel like we have the best resources to continue to drive the growth in our companies and that has continued to generate the most attractive deal flow from our standpoint. And we continue to see to have very busy investment committees with a sense of, a lot of opportunity in front of us will be under three or four final pricings after we're done with the call today in fact.

Lucas Ruttan

Analyst

82:49 Thank you.

Jim Coulter

Analyst

82:52 Thanks.

Operator

Operator

82:53 This concludes the question-and-answer portion of today's call. I would now like to turn the call back over to Gary Stein for any additional or closing remarks.

Gary Stein

Analyst

83:01 Great. Thank you, operator. Thanks everyone for joining us today. We look forward to following up with you again next quarter.

Jack Weingart

Analyst

83:09 Thanks everyone.

Jon Winkelried

Analyst

83:10 Thanks everyone. Appreciate it.

Operator

Operator

83:14 This concludes today's TPG fourth quarter 2021 earnings conference call and webcast. You may disconnect your line at this time and have a wonderful day.