Earnings Labs

Trex Company, Inc. (TREX)

Q3 2016 Earnings Call· Tue, Nov 8, 2016

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to the Trex Company Third Quarter 2016 Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Please note, this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Jon Friedman. Please go ahead.

Jon Friedman - MBS Value Partners

Management

Thank you, everyone, for joining us today. With us on the call are Jim Cline, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Bryan Fairbanks, Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Joining Jim and Bryan will be Bill Gupp, Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary, as well as other members of Trex's management team. The company issued a press release yesterday after market close, containing financial results for the third quarter of 2016. This release is available on the company's website. The conference call is also being webcasted on the Investor Relations page of the company's website where it will be available for 30 days. I'd now like to turn the call over to Bill Gupp. Bill?

William R. Gupp - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Thank you, Jon. Before we begin, let me remind everyone that statements on this call regarding the company's expected future performance and conditions constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of Federal Securities Law. These statements are subject to certain risk and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements. For a discussion of such risk and uncertainties, please see our most recent Form 10-K and Form 10-Qs, as well as our 1933 and other 1934 Act filings with the SEC. The company expressly disclaims any obligation to update or revise publicly any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. With that introduction, I will turn the call over to Jim Cline.

James E. Cline - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Thank you, Bill, and good morning, everyone. We appreciate your participation in today's call to discuss our third quarter operating and financial results and our business outlook. As you've seen from our earnings release yesterday, 2016 has been an outstanding year for Trex, and the third quarter represented another period in which we report very strong year-on-year comparisons across all operating metrics. Total revenue increased 13% to a record $106 million in the third quarter, and trailing 12 months' revenues were up 11%. This strong showing underscores the strength of the Trex brand. The Trex brand strength is driven by our ability to capture a greater share of the growing composite decking and railing market. In fact, our analytics confirm that consumer recognition of the Trex name has never been higher. The Trex brand is closely associated with the exact attributes it represents, namely highly designed outdoor living products that retain their luster with minimal maintenance, enhance the resale value of residential property, and are manufactured with 95% recycled material. We're very proud to announce that our company received The Home Depot Environmental Vendor of the Year Award. The award recognizes Trex's leadership in the environmental stewardship in addition to our circular economic model where Trex takes plastic waste from Home Depot stores, which contributes to the finished product that is sold in stores. We continue to roll out programs that strengthen our brand relationships with consumers and the trade. For example, Trex Online provides homeowners the tools to design, price and order samples for their dream decks as well as to locate recommended TrexPro contractors and retailers in their areas. This enables us to assist the consumer throughout the sales process from design to installation. We have seen an overwhelming increase in the retailers, contractors and other partners who…

Bryan Horix Fairbanks - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Thank you, Jim, and good morning, everyone. As Jim mentioned, this was an excellent quarter for Trex in which we achieved record sales, grew significant margin expansion and reported substantial year-over-year growth in earnings per share. Net sales for the third quarter were $106.2 million, an increase of 13% over the prior year. Our revenue growth was primarily driven by higher volumes in our core decking and railing business, reflecting Trex's brand strength and continued ability to outpace industry growth rates. Similar to the first half of the year, the impact of our specialty materials business on third quarter revenue was negligible, as low virgin poly prices continued to be a headwind in developing that business line. Strong gross margin comparisons in the third quarter were driven by several positive factors, in line with the elements that contributed to gross margin expansion in the past two quarters, namely reduced raw material cost, execution of our manufacturing cost improvement initiatives, and increased capacity utilization. Our reported gross margin was negatively impacted by a non-cash legacy warranty reserve charge of $9.8 million. This relates to the surface flaking issue that affected a small portion of products produced at our Nevada plant before 2007. To put the charge in perspective, we spent $4.2 million year-to-date against our operating cash flows of $82 million year-to-date. This warranty spending is down 21% from the same period prior year. During 2015, we spent $7.2 million, which was down 19% from the prior year against total operating cash flow of $63 million. The cash effect of this charge and the existing reserve will be incurred over the next 15 plus years. Gross margin increased 460 basis points in the third quarter to 28.2%. On an adjusted basis, excluding the warranty reserve, gross margin expanded by 820 basis…

James E. Cline - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Thank you, Bryan. Third quarter operating results put us on track for record results in 2016. This reflects the strength of this Trex brand for positive dynamics of our market and the tremendous efficiency in our manufacturing and organizational infrastructure. We expect the fourth quarter revenue to be approximately $93 million or 4% ahead of the prior year. As you may recall, in 2015, we reported an exceptional weather-driven revenue growth of 20% above 2014. At this guidance level, our 2016 annual sales will be up by over 8%. This increase includes the effect of the significant reduction in purchases and resale of excess recycled polyethylene year-over-year. We do not expect a further year-over-year reduction of recycled polyethylene sales to occur in 2017. We expect our gross margin will continue to benefit from lower input costs, cost savings and modestly higher capacity utilization in the fourth quarter. We see several important revenue growth drivers for Trex, as we look ahead to 2017 beyond. First, market research firms project mid-single-digit growth for the North American composite decking and railing market over the next several years. We are confident that Trex will be able to continue to grow at a faster rate than market, given our leadership position and brand equity. Second, we expect to see additional market growth from conversion to composites from wood. Initial metric shows the advertising and marketing campaigns we launched in the second quarter of this year to highlight the aesthetics, performance and sustainability benefits of Trex versus wood are resonating with both trade and consumers. Conversion is a major opportunity for Trex, as every 1% of market share we take from wood correlates to an additional $50 million of revenue for us. Third, we expect our sales growth outside of North America to significantly outpace North American sales gains in 2017, as our brand recognition continues to build and we grow our relationships with retailers. Fourth, new product development remains a priority. During our distributor and sales meeting, we shared one product in development with our sales and distribution team. It is a high-performance product that will be focused on the top end of the market with outstanding aesthetics and performance. Based on the reaction from our distribution partners and sales team, we're confident that it will receive excellent market response in the niche market it addresses when it is introduced. We also consider potential acquisitions as part of our long-term growth strategy, and we continue to evaluate opportunities to leverage the strength of the Trex brand by adding complementary products to our portfolio. Finally, we expect to continue to achieve meaningful operating leverage in the periods ahead, thanks to the potential to increase capacity utilization, our ongoing cost savings initiatives, and continuous improvements in operational efficiency. At this point, operator, I'd like to open the call up for questions.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. Our first question comes from Keith Hughes of SunTrust. Please go ahead.

Keith Hughes - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc.

Analyst · SunTrust. Please go ahead

Thank you. Couple of questions. I guess first on raw material cost, you had most of those staying positive coming up in the fourth quarter. Would those positives start to fade in 2017 and roughly what quarter would that start to happen?

Bryan Horix Fairbanks - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Yeah, so raw material costs, we've clearly seen a benefit from it this year. We would expect to see a declining incremental benefit from those poly improvements as we move into 2017.

James E. Cline - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Yeah, and Keith, it will begin in the first quarter. It will be a minor impact on the first quarter, growing primarily through the third quarter.

Keith Hughes - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc.

Analyst · SunTrust. Please go ahead

Okay. And are there any signs of inflation that you're going to potentially have to deal with the 2017?

James E. Cline - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Nothing that we have seen.

Keith Hughes - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc.

Analyst · SunTrust. Please go ahead

Okay. And production rates in the fourth quarter, how will they compare to what we saw in the fourth quarter of prior year?

Bryan Horix Fairbanks - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

We should be seeing production rates up about 10% on a year-over-year basis.

Keith Hughes - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc.

Analyst · SunTrust. Please go ahead

10%. Are you doing that in response to pre-buy for the next season or what's driving them?

Bryan Horix Fairbanks - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Yeah, two things. First, the increased guidance for the quarter and, second, to get our year-end inventory back to more of a normalized level. Last year, our finished goods inventory did finish below what we considered optimum to service the marketplace. So we'll be getting that more to a normalized level.

Keith Hughes - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc.

Analyst · SunTrust. Please go ahead

Okay. And I guess, finally you had highlighted one new product. When will that be launched formally into the market? And then also I know there're some private label products that have been – there is some bidding going on. Any update you can give us on that.

James E. Cline - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Yeah. We haven't identified the launch date for that product. We wanted to provide our distribution partners the opportunity to see what we're working on, and we will announce that closer to the time when we see the introduction will take place. We have no final information from our major retail partners with regard to the lineup of the products for 2017, so I can't give you an update on that.

Keith Hughes - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc.

Analyst · SunTrust. Please go ahead

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Alex Rygiel of FBR. Please go ahead. Alex J. Rygiel - FBR Capital Markets & Co.: Good morning. Very nice quarter.

James E. Cline - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Thank you. Alex J. Rygiel - FBR Capital Markets & Co.: Jim and Bryan, can you give us a little bit more direction on thinking about incremental margins in 2017? Clearly in 2015, you were sort of around the mid-45% range, this year 95%, but we're going to sort of walk back towards something that's a more normalized rate. If you could kind of try to guide us a little bit better on that, it would be gratefully appreciated.

Bryan Horix Fairbanks - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Yeah. It's fair to say that we will walk back to more of a normalized rate next year. We will see the normal rate of improvements in capacity utilization, internal improvements in our operational efficiency and other cost saving projects. And then as we talked about earlier, there will still be some year-over-year improvements in raw material cost, but not as great as what we're seeing in 2016 calendar year. Alex J. Rygiel - FBR Capital Markets & Co.: Okay. And as it relates to SG&A, sometimes it's up a little bit in the fourth quarter from the third quarter, sometimes it's down a little bit. It sounds like you're going to have less branding expense in the fourth quarter. Could the SG&A dollars be down in the fourth quarter from the third quarter?

Bryan Horix Fairbanks - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

I wouldn't expect them to be down significantly. I think if you look at it on a full-year basis, we'll be looking at SG&A in line or just slightly ahead from a percentage of revenue basis due primarily to management compensation, higher R&D spending and a full-year increase in branding spending. Alex J. Rygiel - FBR Capital Markets & Co.: And then lastly, your Trex Online has started to give you some unique insight into the consumer in how active they are. Any update there on some of the data you've collected in and what the consumer is telling you?

Bryan Horix Fairbanks - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Yes. So we have seen a very strong feedback from our customers online. A couple of things that we do look at are the number of people that come online and look at it. But more importantly, we want to understand what are the buying behaviors of those consumers. So we do have certain sections of the website where we try to capture that stronger interest in buying and use that as a lead for the organization. We've got a cost calculator, so customers are able to understand what the cost of the Trex material would be. They have the ability to find a dealer or a contractor on the website, and they also have the ability to buy samples. So these are all strong indicators of somebody that has more than a passing interest in our Trex products and those numbers are up significantly on a year-over-year basis. Total visits to our website are up over 30% year-to-date. So for the size of the company we are, the type of volume that we bring in, we're very pleased with that type of continued interest and the effectiveness of our marketing campaigns. Alex J. Rygiel - FBR Capital Markets & Co.: Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Al Kaschalk of Wedbush Securities. Please go ahead.

Al Kaschalk - Wedbush Securities, Inc.

Analyst · Wedbush Securities. Please go ahead

Hey, guys. Can you hear me, okay?

James E. Cline - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Yes.

Bryan Horix Fairbanks - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Good morning.

Al Kaschalk - Wedbush Securities, Inc.

Analyst · Wedbush Securities. Please go ahead

Okay. Sorry about that. I want to focus on one area in particular and that's the operating environment. In particular, I think historically you said not so much to focus on capacity utilization or that was sort of a metric that you weren't having us look at, but clearly, there's some benefit that's going on with the volume that's going through. So can you help us where are you at in terms of utilization and where do we expect that to go?

Bryan Horix Fairbanks - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Yeah, we still don't believe capacity utilization is a particularly good indicator for modeling purposes because of the continuous improvement driven through operations as well as the capital investments we are making. That being said, we are running more of the capacity that we have on an annualized basis due to the growth, but the incremental margin because of these other changes is still a better way to look at the business.

Al Kaschalk - Wedbush Securities, Inc.

Analyst · Wedbush Securities. Please go ahead

Okay. But according to the prior question, we should see that step down in terms of 2017?

Bryan Horix Fairbanks - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

We will be providing guidance for 2017, as we come out with our year-end call.

Al Kaschalk - Wedbush Securities, Inc.

Analyst · Wedbush Securities. Please go ahead

All right.

Bryan Horix Fairbanks - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

But certainly, the incremental margins you've seen in 2016 will not be ongoing in 2017. We do expect it will become a more normalized incremental margin. If you go back over the last several years, I think we've ranged primarily between the low 40%s and, I think, as high as maybe 50%.

Al Kaschalk - Wedbush Securities, Inc.

Analyst · Wedbush Securities. Please go ahead

Okay. All right. And then second, it sounds like you have some good traction on the marketing spend in the online category. It sounds like there is more growth coming from the Pro channel. So maybe just some comment there in terms of where that is in terms of mix of business in relative to 2017 to 2016, I would imagine you expect the percentage to be higher. So maybe just some commentary on that part of the business because I assume that comes at a lower price point.

Bryan Horix Fairbanks - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Yeah. Our growth in the business is pretty well balanced between the Pro channel and the major retailers. We still run between 25% and 30% of our business with the major retailers. It's a great business for us. The margins are similar between the two categories, not dramatically different from one versus the other.

Al Kaschalk - Wedbush Securities, Inc.

Analyst · Wedbush Securities. Please go ahead

Okay. That's all I have. Thank you.

James E. Cline - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Thanks, Al.

Bryan Horix Fairbanks - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from John Baugh of Stifel. Please go ahead. John Baugh - Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.: Thank you. Good morning. And congratulations on a great quarter and year-to-date. If I could ask were there any price adjustments on the product lines for next year coming out of the distributor meeting. And I might assume that's a deck board product that's the niche thing at the high end.

Bryan Horix Fairbanks - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

We didn't announce any new cost increases for next year. It doesn't mean that there won't be any, but we haven't announced anything to the market. John Baugh - Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.: On the deck board, is it a deck board, the new product?

James E. Cline - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Yeah. Basically, it is the deck board where we also introduced a renaming of our aluminum railing line. Our Reveal line has been rebranded as Signature and we've introduced additional options with that such as curved rail as well as lighting application. John Baugh - Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.: Okay. And it sounds like, Jim, you mentioned, I think, the volume of railing decking were the primary drivers, but it also sounds like international is helping. I'm just curious lighting license to revenue on furniture sales, whatever, how much other categories other than decking and railing are helping or assisting revenue growth?

James E. Cline - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Certainly, we have a broad line. You mentioned the licensing agreement. They're doing extremely well, but they're relatively low contributors from a sales dollar impact. We also have the lighting, we have the hidden fasteners, the elevations. All of those are growing, but certainly the core product offering, decking and railing, is the workhorse that's driving the majority of the sales. John Baugh - Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.: Okay. And the lowered CapEx, you mentioned, pushing out some projects as well as coming in below budget. Anything more granular there.

Bryan Horix Fairbanks - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Yeah. I do give you an idea of a cost saving-type project we're doing. Often we're looking at what opportunities we have to in-source the finished good item or manufacturing and internally use product that we previously purchased on the outside. These projects are moving the needle on cost and we expect it to continue to in 2017. A good example, Jim mentioned, we're rebranding our aluminum railing line from Reveal to Signature. We're in the process of in-sourcing that to Trex. We've been working with a very capable supplier over the past years, but given the growth of the business, we thought it prudent to bring that production inside where we're able to control the output on a daily basis. We've got other projects like this in the pipeline. We'll continue to execute them as we move forward.

James E. Cline - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

The other thing, John, is we have focus and awful lot of energy on certain R&D projects that consumes people's time, makes them unavailable for certain projects. In addition, while we've been expanding, our engineering support staff hasn't expanded as quickly as we probably should have, and therefore keeping up with those projects is a little bit more difficult. John Baugh - Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.: Okay. And my last question was just around marketing. And you mentioned the online traffic as a metric. Are there any other metrics you're looking? You mentioned, I think brand awareness is at a record. I'm just curious in your mind, how the campaign to attack wood market share has gone year-to-date and what numbers you're looking at to measure the effectiveness of it? Thank you.

James E. Cline - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Yeah. We've basically seen people being driven to the website in a specific area that relates to transition from wood to composites. And we are also getting input from other retail accounts that give us feedback on what's happening with their wood business versus what's happening with their composite business. And so basically, we draw a correlation between all of those factors to make the determination of how we're seeing the improvement, but I think the most impactful for us has been the number of people being driven to that specific area in our website and how long they spend in that area of the website. John Baugh - Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.: Thank you. Good luck.

James E. Cline - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Thank you.

Bryan Horix Fairbanks - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Jim Barrett of C.L.K. & Associates. Please go ahead. Jim Barrett - C.L. King & Associates, Inc.: Good morning, everyone.

James E. Cline - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Good morning, Jim. Jim Barrett - C.L. King & Associates, Inc.: Jim, a question for you. Given the success of the advertising campaign against treated wood, are you expecting to materially increase your advertising against wood in 2017?

James E. Cline - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Certainly. We expect to see an expansion of the advertising in that specific portion of the campaign, but what we've been able to do in the past and been very successful is find ways where we can be more impactful with a minimal amount of expanded spending on the branding, but, yes, short story is yes, we're going to spend more money on that, and we'll spend more money in branding overall year-over-year. Jim Barrett - C.L. King & Associates, Inc.: I see. And Bryan, a question for you. The inventory charge, based upon your current trends in terms of claims and the cost per claim, is this likely to be the last inventory charge we see for the next two years to three years or how should we look at that and how should – can you update us on what you're seeing in very recent trends? I certainly see what's in the Qs and the Ks, but I want to get a recent update.

Bryan Horix Fairbanks - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Yeah, sure. So we do a annual deep dive review into the claim spending and number of claims that are coming in that's done between us and external actuary. We pulled together a number of different assumptions based off of our knowledge of what's happening in the market, what's happening with cost and number of claims that have come in. In 2016, the claim rate came in slightly higher than what we were expecting. And that resulted in us taking a charge. Those are based off of the best assumptions that we have available to us, and the expectation is that that covers for the future liabilities. But again, we'll be looking at it regularly as we go forward. If those assumptions changes, potentially the reserve could change.

James E. Cline - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

One thing, I think, that's interesting, Jim, is when I look at this reserve, if you look at the spending against the reserve over the last several years, it is been declining quite nicely and the backlog of claims has not been increasing. So it's one of those things where you get a number of claims coming in. It represents a potential future obligation. We're obliged to recognize that and record those additional expenses, but the million dollar question is when will these be paid out and will they in fact be paid out at all? We have a number of open cases that are probably more than three years old where people have just not come back to complete the transaction necessary to do the repairs and this has been an ongoing issue. We've tried sending letters. We made phone calls, but for whatever reason people get into the process of doing these, they just don't continue. So while we have done a number of these reserve adjustments and the spend is going to overall be greater than we expected, the implications on our cash flow are really fairly modest. The numbers that Bryan provided you before, I believe, are all pre-tax numbers and of course when that spending takes place, it's after tax. So on a $9 million – let's call it, a $10 million reserve spread over 15 years on an after-tax basis, it's a relatively minor impact year-over-year. Jim Barrett - C.L. King & Associates, Inc.: Understood. And thank you, both.

James E. Cline - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Thank you.

Bryan Horix Fairbanks - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Michael Conti of Sidoti. Please go ahead. Michael F. Conti - Sidoti & Co. LLC: Hey, good morning.

James E. Cline - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Good morning, Michael. Michael F. Conti - Sidoti & Co. LLC: Yeah, just on the gross margin expansion, can you just quantify for us each driver, how much it contributed to the overall expansion?

Bryan Horix Fairbanks - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Yeah, approximately 50% of the gains were through lower raw material cost and other cost saving initiatives, while the remaining 50% was capacity utilization and other operating efficiencies. So very similar to what we've seen during the first two quarters of the year. Michael F. Conti - Sidoti & Co. LLC: And that's on the adjusted number?

Bryan Horix Fairbanks - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

That's correct. Michael F. Conti - Sidoti & Co. LLC: Okay. And then you mentioned you expect to anniversary on consuming lower-priced resin in the first quarter of next year, but what if resin prices were to increase from these levels, would that be a short-term impact to gross margin? And then, if so, what can help offset that?

Bryan Horix Fairbanks - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

As I mentioned, we do have continuing cost initiatives in place, so would it affect the amount of it? Clearly, yes if we were to see poly prices go up rather than continue at the level it is today, but we don't see any indicators in the market right now that would tell us that we should be seeing increases through 2017. Michael F. Conti - Sidoti & Co. LLC: Got it.

James E. Cline - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

The other thing to remember is we do buy recycled material, and recycled material does not change as quickly and as significantly as virgin polyethylene. So while you could see an increase of virgin polyethylene in the next several months, we wouldn't expect to see much of any impact for probably five months or six months after that if we saw anything. We've been very effective at going to new vendors and being able to contain the cost increases on poly quite effectively over the last eight years. Michael F. Conti - Sidoti & Co. LLC: Got it. Okay. And then on the international side you mentioned how you expect that to outpace North America growth, but can you just give us an idea on the product mix on the international side, if it's more weighted against the good, better or best?

Bryan Horix Fairbanks - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

It's really a split bag. It's probably focused more on the top end of the product category, but we are seeing more traction starting to occur at the opening price point. Michael F. Conti - Sidoti & Co. LLC: Got it. Okay. And then just a comment on your priorities for free cash flow. How should we be thinking about what Trex looks like in 2017 as free cash flow continues to ramp up here and then as you benefit from additional market share gain?

Bryan Horix Fairbanks - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Yeah. First priority would be internal growth opportunities through capital spending. Our second priority would be strategic acquisitions, Jim mentioned in his comments. And then the third would be share buybacks. We've bought back $173 million worth of shares over the past three years. We have an open program for an additional 1.6 million shares through the end of the year. Michael F. Conti - Sidoti & Co. LLC: Got it. Thanks, and good luck.

Bryan Horix Fairbanks - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Morris Ajzenman of Griffin Securities. Please go ahead.

Morris B. Ajzenman - Griffin Securities, Inc.

Analyst · Griffin Securities. Please go ahead

Good morning, guys.

James E. Cline - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Good morning, Morris.

Morris B. Ajzenman - Griffin Securities, Inc.

Analyst · Griffin Securities. Please go ahead

Hey, just a follow-up on international sales. Based on the momentum you have there, how many years down the road would it be rather soon or several years down the road where it will become significant of an amount where you'd just have to break it out?

James E. Cline - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Yeah. Morris, my guess is it will be a few years before we see a requirement to split that out. One of the reasons is a very strong growth in the North American market that basically is helping to hold that percentage down below the 10% level. Again, the North American sales is the real workhorse here, but we do see nice incremental sales occurring internationally and we're very pleased with what we saw in 2016 thus far.

Morris B. Ajzenman - Griffin Securities, Inc.

Analyst · Griffin Securities. Please go ahead

Okay. Switching gears, over the last handful of years, you've always – you had highlighted in the past increased penetration with dealers, et cetera, et cetera. How is that playing out this year and is there any initiative going forward to increase that or are you comfortable where you stand currently?

James E. Cline - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Yeah, I think what we've seen is a greater, greater expansion there of the number of dealers, but not so much. Just the number it's – the amount that each dealer is buying. So we're getting a little bit better concentration with dealers who are only partially Trex. They are growing a little bit stronger and that's enabled us to see a good growth at this point. Going forward, we'd expect really more of the same of that, where we see more, more sales going through the dealers that we have as opposed to an expansion of the number of dealers.

Morris B. Ajzenman - Griffin Securities, Inc.

Analyst · Griffin Securities. Please go ahead

Last question. Do you have any new data on market share, as it relates to your share of composites or the composite share of the entire industry?

James E. Cline - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

The most recent report we have from Principia was the 2014 report. We expect that they will issue a 2016 report sometime in the first half of 2017.

Morris B. Ajzenman - Griffin Securities, Inc.

Analyst · Griffin Securities. Please go ahead

Thank you.

James E. Cline - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is a follow-up question from Keith Hughes of SunTrust. Please go ahead. Mr. Hughes, your line is open.

Keith Hughes - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc.

Analyst · SunTrust. Please go ahead. Mr. Hughes, your line is open

Can you hear me now?

James E. Cline - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Yes, Keith.

Keith Hughes - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc.

Analyst · SunTrust. Please go ahead. Mr. Hughes, your line is open

Okay, sorry about that. I had a bad connection. The question is about raw material. Raw materials have always been kind of a – just a side story on track. This year, it's really helped you out. Has the raw material market changed – and I'm speaking of poly here – versus four years to five years ago, and just any kind of flavor for what the – if there's been structural changes in the volume.

James E. Cline - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Yeah. I think there has been a couple of things that have changed, Keith. One is we made a conscious decision, as a company, to cut back on the amount of polyethylene that we buy. In prior years, we would buy a lot more polyethylene knowing that part of that would need to be recycled. The margins that we were trading on with that were very, very small and got to the point where it was questionable whether or not we could consistently make money on those sales. So we terminated that buying activity. The other thing that occurred is we always had longer term agreements, one-year to two-year agreements with suppliers. When the price was going up, we had a gentlemen's agreement that we would pay them a little bit more money. When the prices started going down, they were supposed to agree to a reduction, but a number of them failed to remember that portion of the equation. So what we've done is we've modified the way we do business with them. We've changed it to typically a quarterly pricing. In some cases, it's a monthly pricing. And we aren't jerking the price up and down, trying to aggravate our suppliers, but certainly we want to be fair to both the company and the supplier. The combination of those two certainly has had an impact on the way that we generate our cost and the savings that we've realized over the last year.

Keith Hughes - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc.

Analyst · SunTrust. Please go ahead. Mr. Hughes, your line is open

Okay. Thank you.

James E. Cline - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

You bet.

Operator

Operator

And our next question is another follow-up from Al Kaschalk of Wedbush Securities. Please go ahead.

Al Kaschalk - Wedbush Securities, Inc.

Analyst · Wedbush Securities. Please go ahead

Jim and Bryan, can you comment, I think you said earlier there has been little investment on the pellet side of the business and new opportunities. Is that – how much revenue in the quarter and what's the prospects here near term for that business given where prices in the market are?

James E. Cline - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Yeah, the revenue the past quarter has been minimal. It is a line of sales that we believe over time we will be able to, even at these depressed prices, be able to participate in. But we believe that we probably won't see anything materially happening on that for at least six months.

Al Kaschalk - Wedbush Securities, Inc.

Analyst · Wedbush Securities. Please go ahead

And Jim, is that clearly just a function of price and therefore the economics of recycled product, for lack of better word?

James E. Cline - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

I think it's two things. Price is certainly one of them, but the other is supplying the type of product that we believe the market would be willing to buy in this environment. So we are working on development of some of those products that we believe will be able to drive that market to where we originally thought, albeit at a much slower price point.

Al Kaschalk - Wedbush Securities, Inc.

Analyst · Wedbush Securities. Please go ahead

Okay. Thanks a lot. Good luck.

James E. Cline - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is a follow-up from Michael Conti of Sidoti. Please go ahead. Michael F. Conti - Sidoti & Co. LLC: Yeah. Bryan, what's the breakout between volume and price for the quarter?

Bryan Horix Fairbanks - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

There really wasn't any price in the quarter. We did have little bit higher sales incentives, primarily through improved performance from the channel along the lines of the sales growth that we've been seeing. So, that offset any of the year-over-year pricing. Michael F. Conti - Sidoti & Co. LLC: Got it. Okay. And then I guess historically when you guys approached any price increase, your cost of (47:44) just inflation plus adder for you guys?

Bryan Horix Fairbanks - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

I wouldn't necessarily say that that would always be the case. We look at the market. We look at each one of our product lines, understand where its best fit is, are we at the most competitive price level possible in the marketplace with the Trex brand. So I wouldn't necessarily say it's directly related to inflation. It's more about the market where we see that we can have the greatest benefit for growth for the company and profitability. Michael F. Conti - Sidoti & Co. LLC: Perfect, thanks.

Operator

Operator

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to management for any closing remarks.

James E. Cline - Trex Co., Inc.

Management

Well, thank you, everyone, for joining us today. This was an outstanding quarter for Trex. Our year-to-date sales and income are records for the company. We look forward to discussing our full-year results in the first quarter of next year with you. Thank you, and have a good Thanksgiving.

Operator

Operator

This conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.