Earnings Labs

Thomson Reuters Corporation (TRI)

Q3 2025 Earnings Call· Tue, Nov 4, 2025

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, everyone, and welcome to the Thomson Reuters Third Quarter Earnings Call. Today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I'd like to turn the call over to Gary Bisbee, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Gary Bisbee

Operator

Thanks, Jenny. Good morning, and thank you for joining us today for our third quarter 2025 earnings call. I'm joined today by our CEO, Steve Hasker; and our CFO, Mike Eastwood, each of whom will discuss our results and take your questions following their remarks. [Operator Instructions]. Throughout today's presentation, when we compare performance period-on-period, we discuss revenue growth rates before currency as well as on an organic basis. We believe this provides the best basis to measure the underlying performance of the business. Today's presentation contains forward-looking statements and non-IFRS and other supplemental financial measures, which are discussed on this special note slide. Actual results may differ materially due to a number of risks and uncertainties discussed in reports and filings that we provide to regulatory agencies. You may access these documents on our website or by contacting our Investor Relations department. Let me now turn it over to Steve Hasker.

Stephen Hasker

Analyst · RBC

Thank you, Gary, and thanks to all of you for joining us today. Momentum continued in the third quarter with revenue in line and margins modestly ahead of our expectations. Total company organic revenues rose 7% with the Big 3 segments growing by 9%. In addition, healthy revenue flow-through, beneficial revenue mix and good cost discipline boosted margins, driving profit ahead of expectations. We are reaffirming our full year 2025 revenue and profit outlook, including our expectation for approximately 9% organic revenue growth for the Big 3 segments. For the full year, our total and organic revenue growth is trending closer to 3% and 7%, respectively, rather than the higher end of the ranges at 3.5% and 7.5% for 3 reasons that are unrelated to our AI innovation momentum. First, a slower ramp of commercial print volumes; secondly, several recent U.S. federal government cancellations and downgrades; and third, slightly softer bookings trends at corporates following internal sales organizational changes aimed at improving future cross-selling. We see these as temporary factors not related to our growing innovation and AI-driven momentum, which continues to build. This is best illustrated by our Legal Professionals segment accelerating to 9% organic revenue growth in the quarter, up from 8% in the first half of 2025 and 7% last year. And this is driven by continued Westlaw momentum and strong double-digit growth from both CoCounsel and Cocounsel drafting. Outside of legal, we continue to see double-digit growth from a number of key franchises, including SafeSend, Confirmation, Pagero, Indirect Tax and our international businesses to name a few. Looking to next year, we're updating our 2026 financial framework. We continue to expect organic revenue of 7.5% to 8%, including approximately 9.5% for the Big 3. And we now see larger year-over-year margin expansion and higher free cash…

Michael Eastwood

Analyst · RBC

Thanks, Steve. Thanks again for joining us today. As a reminder, I will talk through revenue growth before currency and on an organic basis. Let me start by discussing the third quarter revenue performance for our Big 3 segments. Organic revenue grew 9% in the third quarter, continuing the strong trend from recent periods. Legal Professionals organic revenue grew 9%, improving from 8% in the first half, driven primarily by Westlaw, CoCounsel, CoCounsel Drafting and our international businesses. Government grew 9% in the quarter. In our Corporate segment, organic revenues grew 9%. Recurring revenue grew 9%, while transactional rose 5%. Direct and Indirect Tax, Pagero, Practical Law and our international businesses were key contributors. Looking forward, the Corporate segment growth rate is likely to moderate in the fourth quarter due to the softer-than-planned bookings growth Steve mentioned. Tax & Accounting delivered another strong quarter with organic growth of 10%. Recurring and transactional revenues grew 9% and 12%, respectively. Our Latin America business, SafeSend, UltraTax and the Cloud Audit family of products were key drivers. Moving to Reuters News. Organic revenue rose 3% for the quarter, driven primarily by growth at the agency business and from the news agreement with the data and analytics business of LSEG. Reuters revenue included approximately $7 million of transactional generative AI content licensing revenue in the quarter compared to $8 million in the prior year quarter. Finally, Global Print revenues decreased 4% on an organic basis. On a consolidated basis, third quarter organic revenues increased 7%. At the end of Q3, the percent of our annualized contract value or ACV from products that are Gen AI-enabled was 24%, up from 22% last quarter. Turning to our profitability. Adjusted EBITDA for the Big 3 segments was $606 million, up 9% from the prior year period, with…

Gary Bisbee

Operator

Thanks. Jenny, we're ready to start the Q&A.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And our first question is going to come from Drew McReynolds from RBC.

Drew McReynolds

Analyst · RBC

Appreciate all the detail as usual. Two questions for me. I guess, first on the government and corporate headwinds. I guess the question is ultimately, what's kind of recurring into next year? And for corporates, I believe the organic revenue growth target is 9% to 11%. Just wondering how comfortable you still are with that? And then secondly, Steve, great kind of rundown essentially of the moat within Westlaw. I know it's early days on Agentic AI. Can you comment on the customer kind of reaction to what Agentic is doing from their perspective? And are they able in these first iterations to notice the difference between what you're offering and maybe some others that don't have the deep content access?

Stephen Hasker

Analyst · RBC

Yes. Drew, great questions. Let me start with Corporates, and then I'll ask Mike to supplement that. Then I'll go to government, then I'll go to Westlaw. So please be patient, but we'll work our way through these questions. So look, the Corporates sales softness is a bit frustrating because it's temporary and it's self-inflicted. So 2 points. One, we remain even more confident in the end market opportunity. We've said for a while that the TAM is the biggest opportunity for us in Corporates relative to the other segments. And it's the area in which we have the lowest penetration of our legal, tax and risk products. So we think it's our biggest opportunity. And our product set is, we think, pristine and well received by customers. And so we started to see glimpses of this promise last year, as you'll remember, with 10% growth. And underpinning that, we've seen a really nice escalation in our NPS scores across the segments and including in Corporates. But what we haven't seen is an uptick in cross-sell. So at the start of this year, we expanded our global account footprint, and we asked our salespeople to sell more than one product grouping. And I think in retrospect, we got a little ahead of our sort of commercial systems and our infrastructure in doing that. So we've left some of our salespeople, I think, a little disorganized relative to the opportunities and relative to where they were last year. So not up to our high standards. We're through this. We'll learn from it, and we'll be better for it. We've got no more changes in the pipeline and very confident in the 9% to 11% for next year. So that's on the Corporates side. Mike, what would you add to that before we go to government?

Michael Eastwood

Analyst · RBC

Terrific summary, Steve.

Stephen Hasker

Analyst · RBC

Okay. All right. So government -- so I'd say a couple of things. Our solutions in government, whether they be related to the legal side or the sort of law enforcement and risk side are very well aligned with the administration's agenda around efficiency and law enforcement. And we've seen good growth in state and local. And on a federal level, I think the teams have done a very good job this year in asserting the must-have status of our solutions. And so I think up until the end of the third quarter was so far so good. We had a couple of downgrades and cancellations at the end of the third quarter, which I think has us watching this one vigilantly. In the medium to long term, Drew, we are very confident in the value proposition, both the federal, state and local because tools like Westlaw Advantage and CoCounsel and our various tax solutions drive efficiencies for the government agencies. And of course, our law enforcement work through CLEAR and TRSS is very well aligned with the agenda of this administration, as I said. So medium to long term, we're confident about government, but it is a turbulent environment, and we just wanted to signal that. Unclear as to what it will look like for the next 12 months. But medium to longer term, we're very confident. So let me turn to Westlaw. So as you know, we put in the marketplace Westlaw Advantage, which is the first Deep Research and Agentic research product. The reaction has been very, very strong from customers as it has been to CoCounsel legal and the integration of those products. I'll give you the example of one customer that I've spent some time with that I think is emblematic of the broader environment. He is the managing partner of a major firm in New York City. He spent his career as a litigator and is well known as such. And he was describing how his career has been spent in conference rooms going back and forth with his colleagues and his partners, refining his arguments. Since he's had access to Westlaw Advantage, he is doing much more of that back and forth with our tool than he is with his partners. And so in the early going, there is a change to his behavior in terms of getting to the best, most refined arguments, anticipating the opponent's rebuttals and arguments and anticipating the likely judge's reaction. So we're very excited by the work that Mike Dane and Omar and others have done in developing this product, and we're going to keep investing behind it so that the verification and validation tools that I alluded to get better and better and the product itself gets richer and deeper. Mike, would you add anything there?

Michael Eastwood

Analyst · RBC

Nothing to add, Steve.

Stephen Hasker

Analyst · RBC

All right. Thanks, Drew. I hope that addresses the questions. .

Operator

Operator

And our next question is going to come from Vince Valentini from TD Cowen.

Vince Valentini

Analyst · TD Cowen

Can I just go back to the government for a second? I just want to make sure I'm clear on what the driver is. Is the government shutdown having an impact or these cancellations happened before that? And can you clarify, do you do work for ICE?

Michael Eastwood

Analyst · TD Cowen

Vince, in regards to the first question, the downgrades, cancellations occurred prior to the shutdown. The shutdown has very minimal impact on our monthly -- quarterly revenue based on what we know today. So this occurred prior to the government shutdown. Steve, do you want to address the ICE question?

Stephen Hasker

Analyst · TD Cowen

Yes. I mean we -- Vince, I won't go into the specifics of the work we do with various government agencies because it's subject to confidentiality clauses. But we do work with a number of departments on a range of law enforcement matters, and we do that consistent with our trust principles at all time.

Vince Valentini

Analyst · TD Cowen

Can I maybe rephrase it? Maybe I shouldn't have been so specific. Is there any chance that the government spending is being temporarily redirected and that's impacting some of the contracts with you and that will ebb and flow over time, but should come back? .

Stephen Hasker

Analyst · TD Cowen

It's a little -- I mean, I definitely think that this administration is putting much more emphasis on some things rather than others. And there is a sort of a process of adjustment to that, Vince. But as I said, in response to Drew's question, our tools achieve 2 things for government agencies. One is efficiency and the other is they are essential tools for law enforcement. So we're confident that our must-have status will be maintained and enhanced over time. But there is a level of turbulence as some programs get cut in this adjustment.

Michael Eastwood

Analyst · TD Cowen

Yes, Vince, we're continuing -- we'll continue to work with our federal customers on kind of 3 big areas: Efficiency, national security and fraud prevention. We are confident our tools and offerings will be able to support them midterm, long term.

Vince Valentini

Analyst · TD Cowen

I'm going to count that as one, Gary, I apologize, but it was 1a and 1b. Just the second question, you got a nice call out on the Amazon call last week on being one of their key customers for their transform product, they call it, they say Thomson Reuters has been able to manipulate 1.5 million lines of code per month 4x faster than they could with previous systems. I'm wondering, is this part of an initial effort to automate more of your internal cost structure and processes? And is there more of this to come over the next couple of years? And what could that potentially mean for future margins?

Stephen Hasker

Analyst · TD Cowen

Yes. Thanks, Vince. So we're determined to be on the forefront of this AI transformation in 2 ways. One, in terms of our product development, particularly in and around Agentic AI and Deep Research. And that's an example in the -- first example in the legal space with the launches back at ILTACON in August. Second example, ready to review and then in December, January, ready to advise in our Tax & Accounting, and we're excited about those. We were pleased to see the reference from Amazon. This relates to the internal application of AI and automation tools. So we are applying our own tools, so CoCounsel Legal and CoCounsel for Tax, Accounting and Audit to Norie Campbell's General Counsel team and also to Mike's finance, audit and accounting teams, and we're seeing really promising results from the application of our own tools. We're also, as Amazon alluded to, working with the best tools available to drive automation. I'll defer to Mike as to the sort of financial implications of this, Vince. But rest assured, we're going to be at the forefront in terms of automating everything we do with a singular goal of being able to scale faster and more efficiently and deliver better products and services to our customers.

Michael Eastwood

Analyst · TD Cowen

Yes, Vince, a few thoughts. As noted in my prepared remarks, we do anticipate some onetime investment in Q4 2025 to help us transform and increasingly automate how we work. To Steve's point, as we look into 2026, certainly, we view the example that you questioned and Steve addressed as opportunities to help us expand our EBITDA margin. It's one of the reasons why we were able today to expand our EBITDA margin expectations for 2026 by 100 basis points. We're not discussing guidance today beyond 2026, but I think these developments certainly are encouraging for the long term. Vince, while we have the mic, it might be helpful for everyone if I just clarify, when we say for 2026, increasing margin by 100 basis points, that will be 100 basis points off the actual result for fiscal year 2025. Just wanted to clarify that point.

Operator

Operator

And our next question is going to come from Jason Haas from Wells Fargo.

Jason Haas

Analyst · Wells Fargo

In the prepared remarks, you made a comment about seeing some incremental competition in AI assistant space. So I was curious if you could just unpack that comment a little bit more. What was meant by that exactly?

Stephen Hasker

Analyst · Wells Fargo

Yes. Jason, thanks for the question. So the point that I'm trying to make is that we are not seeing any additional competition in our core franchises. So that's legal research and legal know-how and the tax calculation engines, whether that's UltraTax, GoSystem tax or ONESOURCE. So those core franchises have the same competitive dynamics today as they did 12 months ago or 3 years ago. Where we have seen the entrance of new players is in the AI assistant space. Now that is a greenfield sort of white space opportunity for us. And it was the reason that we went out and acquired Casetext and then added Materia and the fantastic team from Materia on the top of that. So that's a white space opportunity for us around CoCounsel, and that's where we see the entry of new players. We're happy with where we sit in that marketplace. We've got some very aggressive product development plans. And I think most importantly, customers are responding well to CoCounsel and its various offerings. So I hope that clarifies.

Jason Haas

Analyst · Wells Fargo

That's very helpful. And then I wanted to follow up on the Tax & Accounting business. It looks like the organic constant currency growth decels from 11% to 10%. I know these are rounded numbers. But I was curious if you could comment on that. And then can you just talk about your confidence in that accelerating to the 11% to 13% organic growth that you expect in 2026.

Michael Eastwood

Analyst · Wells Fargo

Yes, Jason, we do have some fluctuations quarter-by-quarter within the Tax & Accounting professional business. We remain confident in delivering 11% for calendar year 2025. And then for 2026, as a reminder, our guidance is 11% to 13%. We work very closely with Elizabeth Beastrom and her team there. We have very strong confidence in delivering 11% to 13% for 2026. We referenced SafeSend in our prepared remarks, which was the acquisition in January of this year, which is performing incredibly well. We expect that to continue into 2026. Steve mentioned Materia, they're additive, which is the recent acquisitions that we did. So we remain quite confident, Jason, with Tax & Accounting professionals.

Stephen Hasker

Analyst · Wells Fargo

Yes. I would just supplement that the end market is a very healthy one. We start our synergy customer conferences down in Florida tomorrow. We're very much looking forward to that and getting excited about getting together with thousands of our customers in person. The Tax & Accounting and Audit spaces remain a very robust end market with a critical need, and that's shortages of talent. And so Jason, as we develop Ready to Review and Ready to Advise and continue to refine those propositions, we think that, that is going to meet or even exceed the needs of our customers, and that gives us confidence around the 11% to 13% going forward.

Operator

Operator

And our next question is going to come from Manav Patnaik from Barclays.

Manav Patnaik

Analyst · Barclays

Steve, I appreciate the slide with the data and the moats there because I think we've heard that as well. But to your earlier answer on the competition is more on the workflow side, and that's why you acquired Casetext, et cetera. Can you help us with any sense of sizing of workflow for you guys and the growth rates there? Because obviously, a lot of these legal tech companies are raising a lot of money at high valuations, citing higher growth rates. So just trying to get a sense of your business there.

Stephen Hasker

Analyst · Barclays

Yes. Manav, I mean, it's all a bit squishy at the moment, right? We sort of probably monitor the same source as you in terms of how competitors are performing and what sort of growth rates they're seeing, what their ARR levels are at the moment. And what I would tell you is that CoCounsel is at least on par or outpacing everybody else in terms of its size and its growth rate. So it is a competitive landscape insofar as there are lots of promises being made by lots of different new entrants. Where we differentiate ourselves is in the integration of our content and our expertise. So it's not only the content Westlaw, Practical Law and so forth, Checkpoint on the Tax & Accounting side. It's the expertise that 1,500 reference attorneys bring that are able to train the behaviors of an agent to produce a more accurate, more reliable outcome that is supported by pristine data privacy and protection. So a long way of saying, in the early going, we're at or outpacing the newer competitors. And we're very confident -- I hope not arrogant, but we're very confident about the sort of medium- to longer-term prospects given the assets that we bring to this competition. Mike, what would you add?

Michael Eastwood

Analyst · Barclays

That's a good summary.

Stephen Hasker

Analyst · Barclays

Okay. All right. I hope that helps.

Manav Patnaik

Analyst · Barclays

Yes, that was helpful. And I guess just on -- I just had one question on M&A. So I think we all get a sense of all the tuck-in type of deals that you guys are doing and probably that continues. But in the past, Steve, you've talked about potentially larger ones. So just trying to get an update on where the market is at. Is it valuation, timing, like just some more thoughts there.

Stephen Hasker

Analyst · Barclays

Yes. We're sort of happy -- we're very happy with the tuck-ins that we've done over the last couple of years. Each and every one of them in different ways has performed and been additive to the experience that we're providing in the Big 3. So we'll continue to look for those opportunities centered around our Big 3 segments. If we were to do something larger, it would be in the areas where we really see great promise. So areas like risk, fraud and compliance, building on CLEAR, the CLEAR data set and areas like IDT, Indirect Tax, and e-invoicing where Pagero is showing really good growth and growth that looks to be pretty considerably above some of the market comparables. And so those are the areas where we'd be prepared to go a bit bigger. I think at the moment, the assets that are of interest are still fully valued in the sort of portfolios in which they sit. So the question is, do we see a bit of an adjustment and some price that would allow us to create value for our shareholders, not just the exiting shareholders. And that's what we'll just continue to monitor and stay rigorous and disciplined around.

Michael Eastwood

Analyst · Barclays

Steve, in addition to indirect tax, risk, fraud and compliance, I would just add international. Certainly, we'll be very selective there as we've discussed in the past. But Adrian Fognini, who leads our international business, we are looking at a few potential assets internationally.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is going to come from George Tong from Goldman Sachs.

Keen Fai Tong

Analyst · Goldman Sachs

You're continuing to target 9% to 11% organic growth in Corporates next year. Can you elaborate on how achievable that growth is without any additional changes to the sales organization or the pace of cross-selling?

Michael Eastwood

Analyst · Goldman Sachs

Sure, George. Happy to start there. I think we've discussed with you and others in the past that Q4 is our largest quota period for a given year. That applies to Q4 2025 for Corporates. October net sales and bookings were quite encouraging, George. And if we look at our sales pipeline, coverage ratio for both the remainder of Q4 and also Q1 2026, once again, encouraging. Given that those changes have now been solidified and the focus is on execution, the way I think about it, George, a very simple formula. If you have great products and you have strong customer demand and you have a growing TAM, the likelihood of success is pretty damn good if you execute and have the right talent. I think you can check the boxes on each of those variables in the formula that I just mentioned there. So that gives me quite confidence. But if you look very tangibly, the October net sales and bookings, secondly, again, the November, December pipeline coverage and then also the Q1 pipeline coverage gives us confidence in achieving that 9% to 11% as we go into 2026, George.

Keen Fai Tong

Analyst · Goldman Sachs

Got it. Very helpful. And then can you talk a bit about your pricing strategy in light of the increasing value that you're providing with your AI products? So do you have plans for accelerated pricing increases, for example, in your multiyear contracts? And how overall do you expect pricing to evolve going forward?

Stephen Hasker

Analyst · Goldman Sachs

Yes, George, look, it's a great question, and it's one that we are very focused on, and we have some fairly vigorous debates amongst ourselves, particularly between the product folks and the commercial excellence folks and our salespeople. Our principle is price to value. So the extent to which we're driving significant efficiencies in the practice of law or in the practice of audit, tax & accounting, we want to make sure that our products and services are aligned to that. Just a reminder, we do not price on a per seat basis. So to the extent to which work is able to be done by fewer people, we will be a beneficiary of that, not a victim of that, if you like. And so it's a work in progress. I think in the early going, our pricing has proven to be competitive and is driving growth for us. It is profitable growth. I would say so far, so good. But this is one of those ones where we're just constantly looking for signals from the market and refining our approaches.

Michael Eastwood

Analyst · Goldman Sachs

Yes, George, I would just supplement. As we go into '26, I'm somewhat optimistic that we could have some additional opportunity over the spectrum.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is going to come from Aravinda Galappatthige from Canaccord Genuity.

Aravinda Galappatthige

Analyst · Canaccord Genuity

I wanted to discuss sort of the -- where we are in terms of the rate of innovation and product intensity. Obviously, we've seen a lot of activity from Thomson and even the industry in general. Is it fair to sort of characterize the present sort of position as sort of getting close to peak in terms of new product launches and so forth and sort of the next phase will be more about penetration. I mean, I'm trying to sort of connect that with sort of the underlying tone of margin expansion you're talking about. I know that you've been -- I think last disclosed number was about $200 million in incremental investments to sort of drive these growth opportunities. I'm trying to sort of assess whether we may be at sort of the crest of that. Any thoughts that you care to share on that front?

Stephen Hasker

Analyst · Canaccord Genuity

Yes, Aravinda. I'll start, and Mike may want to add. I obviously stay very close to David Wong and Joel Hron's product innovation plans and also our TR Ventures fund, who are looking across the landscape at different start-ups and also the sort of everything that our partners are doing. I would say -- you're going to see our rate of innovation accelerate and improve over the next few quarters and well into '26 and '27 based on that which we've previously invested in and that which is coming through the pipeline. What I think, though, will happen in the broader landscape, and it's hard to tell. So this is looking at a crystal ball, is that the rate of innovation for the highly specialized tools like ours that are trained on reservoirs of content and thousands of expertise will continue to improve. I think where things might flatten out is in the sort of general purpose horizontal tools. And certainly, our customers are starting to understand the difference. And so that, I think, will be one change in the sort of landscape. But again, I think anyone who will tell you they know exactly what's going to happen in this environment is probably slightly deluded.

Michael Eastwood

Analyst · Canaccord Genuity

Yes. Aravinda, a couple of points there. Please, please do not correlate our confidence in expanding our margin in 2026 with us investing less. We will invest over $200 million this calendar year '25 in AI, Gen AI. That will continue into 2026. We're able to expand our margins in 2026. One, you're aware of our operating leverage, but we have opportunity back to the prior questions to automate how we work. I think it was Vince who asked the question illustratively about the AWS reference. So we will continue to invest. And to Steve's point, the rate of innovation and intensity will continue. That $200 million plus will continue into 2026.

Aravinda Galappatthige

Analyst · Canaccord Genuity

And maybe my follow-up for Mike. I mean, on the last call, Mike, I think you talked about sort of your framework for capital allocation and how that potentially leaves $400 million to $500 million for buybacks. Obviously, given the movement in the stock, you've sort of shown the flexibility to step up beyond that. Should we sort of take that forward even in the -- going into '26 that notwithstanding that framework, you have the ability and the willingness to sort of step up in terms of your repurchase program?

Michael Eastwood

Analyst · Canaccord Genuity

Yes. I think, Aravinda, I would maintain the framework when you think about mid- to long term. But I think the key there is when we see the opportunity to step up, we will, which I think -- that was very tangible with our decision in mid-August to announce the $1 billion NCIB share buyback, which we completed at the end of October. We constantly discuss capital strategy, capital allocation with our Board. In our next Board meeting, we'll have the next discussion in regards to capital strategy, capital allocation. Could we step up? Again, possibly, no decision has been made there. So I would maintain the framework of the $400 million to $500 million. But also, I would kind of supplement that framework with our ability and willingness to step up when we deem appropriate. On the topic of capital allocation, I would just remind you, Aravinda, and others that as we go into the January board meeting, we will propose another 10% increase in our common dividend, which would be the fifth year consecutively on that.

Operator

Operator

And our next question is going to come from Maher Yaghi from Scotiabank.

Maher Yaghi

Analyst · Scotiabank

Great. Steve, you have very well articulated why Westlaw has a strong standing to benefit from AI. But can you tackle maybe how you see AI advances affecting your tax business? Do you believe that business has similar defensive capabilities to continue to gain market share as well as you're doing in legal? And the second question is the revenue acceleration you're expecting in 2026 versus 2025. I know it's maybe too early, but can you maybe just let us know which segment of the Big 3 you're expecting to see most of the acceleration coming from?

Stephen Hasker

Analyst · Scotiabank

I'll defer the second question to Mike. On the first one, yes, we're sort of equally excited about the application of AI, Agentic AI, Deep Research to our tax business as we are legal for a couple of reasons. So in terms of the end market, the tax & accounting profession does not need to undertake the same sort of magnitude of change management. So for example, many tax & accounting and audit engagements are not priced on a per hour basis and not on a billable hour. They are value-based. And so there's not that same business model hurdle to overcome that the legal profession is currently working its way through, firstly. Secondly, there is, as I said before, a pretty acute talent shortage that technology needs to address. So we actually think our tax & accounting customers are even more receptive to AI and technology in terms of improving their outputs and work and enabling, for example, tax professionals to automate the tax return process and move to more value-added advisory services for their clients and the technology enables that. So that's the first part. As we think about applying AI, particularly Agentic AI to our product set, the sort of narrative up until now is that generative AI doesn't do math. Well, our tax calculation engines do the math. And what the agents enable us to do is automate all of the shoulder activities. So the document ingestion, all of the preparation and then they work with the tax calculation engine, whether it's UltraTax, GoSystem Tax on ONESOURCE. And then they're able to do the follow-up, all of the calculation checks and the e-filing. And so that's really what Ready to Advise is. It's the addition of agents to our pre-existing tax calculation engine. And then Ready to Advise is the use of agents to find all of the opportunities for a tax & accounting professional to provide advisory services on more efficient tax strategies for their clients. And so we think that the AI will enable us to expand the role that we play in the success of the tax & accounting profession, enable them to get into more advisory services and achieve growth on that basis, while at the same time, overcoming this talent shortage. Mike, the question on revenue.

Michael Eastwood

Analyst · Scotiabank

Sure. In regards to 2026, just to remind everyone, we do have ranges for 2026 for each of our Big 3 segments. Legal for 2026 is 8% to 9%. Corporates is 9% to 11%. Tax & Accounting, 11% to 13%. Part of your question, Maher, is in regards to which segment would have the largest absolute growth. Tax & Accounting Professional, I believe, will have the largest absolute increase in organic growth rate for 2026 versus 2025. Just to reiterate those reasons; number one, the recent acquisitions of SafeSend, Additive and Materia will continue to scale for us. Next, Steve has mentioned Ready to Advise and Ready to Review, which are new launches for us. We consistently talk about our Latin America business, Domínio, which we remain quite optimistic about. Over the last 11 years, it's grown 20% CAGR over that time horizon. We expect that to continue. And then lastly, kind of underpinning UltraTax continues to perform well.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is going to come from Kevin McVeigh from UBS.

Kevin McVeigh

Analyst · UBS

Great. I think in the slide deck, you talked about AI-driven innovation, the momentum continuing. On the legal side, I guess, just the timing, like the Agentic launches you did over the summer of '25, are they already starting to kind of permeate the base? Or is that something that continues to scale over the back half of '25 and into '26. I guess I'm just trying to understand the sequencing of maybe things that have already been launched as opposed to things that were launched over the summer.

Michael Eastwood

Analyst · UBS

Yes, Kevin, really good question. Great timing there. For everyone's benefit, we launched those in mid-late August as part of ILTACON. We're already seeing the benefit, and we'll just see more penetration, Kevin, in Q4 and throughout 2026. I would call out each of our general managers within legal professionals that are really driving hard, which is indicative of the 9%. Aaron Rademacher, who is driving the small law firm; Liz Zimick in Mid-Law, Steve [indiscernible] with our largest firms. And then we have John Shatwell in Europe, which I think each of these segments, we're seeing progression already with the launches. And with the momentum we have with the launches of CoCounsel Legal, Westlaw Advantage, that will continue. October, we had another great month of sales. With these new product launches, we expect that to continue for the remainder of Q4 and then throughout 2026. So we're already reaping the benefits, Kevin.

Kevin McVeigh

Analyst · UBS

That's super helpful. And then just the comments on the Tax & Accounting. Is there any way to think about the experiences of maybe the Big 4 as opposed to maybe the top 10 and maybe mid-market as you think about the go-to-market motion with the enhanced product from a Gen AI perspective?

Michael Eastwood

Analyst · UBS

Yes. Kevin, just to remind everyone, the Big 4 and the next 3 largest firms, we call it the Global 7, they are included within our Corporates segment, not Tax & Accounting Professionals. But Steve, you may want to comment in regards to the different motion as you think about those G7 versus the remainder of Elizabeth's Tax & Accounting.

Stephen Hasker

Analyst · UBS

Yes. I mean what I would say is there's increasing similarity across the G7, as we call them, relative to the big 4. In other words, firms 5, 6 and 7 are very sophisticated, increasingly global and investing heavily in technology, and we think we'll be a beneficiary of that going forward. I think though the mix does change a little bit as you get to the sort of top of the ladder there in that they're more likely to take an API from us and build on the top of it versus take the sort of full end-to-end product. So the kinds of work we do in the go-to-market motion is slightly different, Kevin. But the opportunity, I think, is equally weighted across that customer base. And if you go all the way into the smaller firms, which Brian Wilson serves from a go-to-market perspective, he and his teams. They're ready for turnkey solutions that work, that are reliable and that build upon their existing tax calculation engine. And so there's a lot of receptivity at that end as well.

Operator

Operator

And our next question is going to come from Andrew Steinerman from JPMorgan.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst · JPMorgan

This is [indiscernible] on for Andrew. Most of my questions have been answered. So maybe I'll circle back on the government headwinds just to clarify. Am I correct in saying your updated guidance only contemplates cancellations that you saw at the end of the third quarter? And I guess maybe just to give us a little bit more comfort on the go forward. Could you maybe talk a little bit more about if those cancellations were driven by reductions in spending at certain departments you serve? Or was it layoffs? Just any color there would be great.

Michael Eastwood

Analyst · JPMorgan

Certainly, in regards to our forecast, we always contemplate what has occurred, plus we always look at the upcoming pipeline. So we have contemplated within our forecast any other activity that might transpire in Q4. So we believe that has been reflected already. And then in regards to the reasons for it, there's been a reduction in the actual spending levels in these agencies, which was the main driver.

Operator

Operator

And our next question is going to come from Stephanie Price from CIBC.

Stephanie Price

Analyst · CIBC

Just a few quick clarifications for me. Mike, I think you've kind of alluded to it for a few times in the call, but can you talk about the drivers that are causing the increase to the fiscal '26 EBITDA guide to 100 basis points versus 50 basis points prior. I think you mentioned some efficiencies, but anything else you wanted to add on there?

Michael Eastwood

Analyst · CIBC

I would say 2 -- Stephanie, 2 primary drivers. One is the operating leverage at roughly 7%, 7.5%. We generate about 110 basis points of natural operating leverage, which is sustained in our business. The second key factor is our focus on transforming and automate how we work. So if you take those 2, that would be more than 100 basis points, but leads to a third key factor, which relates to a question earlier, is we're continuing to make investments, and we'll continue to make investments wherever we see the returns are sufficient there. But the 2 key drivers of margin expansion, operating leverage and then our internal initiative to transform and automate how we work.

Stephanie Price

Analyst · CIBC

Perfect. And then for the Legal segment, organic growth accelerating quarter-over-quarter to 9%. I think in the prior question, you mentioned some new product launches. Just curious if there was anything else you wanted to call out there in terms of shifts in demand or adoption rates within Legal.

Michael Eastwood

Analyst · CIBC

I think the new product launches certainly help us significantly there. Retention rates continue to be very good within that business. Pricing is relatively stable there. Certainly, Stephanie, we always add talent as part of our operating mechanism. So I think those are the key drivers for us. Steve, you may want to add...

Stephen Hasker

Analyst · CIBC

The only thing I'd add is way back at our Investor Day a couple of years ago, where we started to talk about this AI journey, we did, at that time, speculate that the TAM in Legal would grow, and it would grow on a sustained basis. I think we're starting to see that. What we're starting to see is law firms wrestle with the idea of spending more on technology and potentially less on real estate and still trying to sort of work their way through the headcount implications. I think it's too early to sort of call that one way or another. But we're starting to see that TAM expand. And we think that, that's going to be a multiyear phenomenon and one that we plan to have the products and the propositions to fully benefit from.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is going to come from Doug Arthur from Huber Research.

Douglas Arthur

Analyst · Huber Research

Yes. I think most things have been covered. Steve, you mentioned the acute talent shortage issues in some of the big accounting firms. Is there a similar narrative in legal or not so much?

Stephen Hasker

Analyst · Huber Research

Not so much, Doug. It's -- as someone who started my career at PW as it was called then, Mike did the same. Kids are just not as enamored of the profession as they were in our day. And so whether it's the big accounting firms or the midsize or even the smaller shops, they're just having a really hard time getting talent in the door at the entry level and then going through the apprenticeship that's required. And it's an acute problem, and it's been growing for a number of years. If you look at the number of people who are getting qualified as CPAs, it has fallen dramatically in recent years. And all the while, the number of audits goes up, the complexity of audits goes up, the number of tax returns goes up, the complexity of those returns go up. And the advice that, that small, medium and large businesses need from their tax & accounting professionals intensifies. So the demand characteristics are really healthy. It's the supply of talent that's the problem. And that's where the technology has a really, I think, exciting and important role to play. And that's why we're investing heavily to meet or exceed those demands.

Operator

Operator

And our next question is going to come from Toni Kaplan from Morgan Stanley.

Toni Kaplan

Analyst · Morgan Stanley

Your large competitor in legal has talked about one of the benefits of its partnership with Harvey is increasing distribution. I was hoping you could talk about, Steve, how you're thinking about partnerships right now. You have the content, you have the AI capabilities. So it doesn't seem like you need to partner with others. But is there an advantage to doing that because of increasing distribution? Or is there a disadvantage of going that route?

Stephen Hasker

Analyst · Morgan Stanley

Toni, I won't comment on their approach. But what I will say is that we're very confident in our position of having CoCounsel for Legal, which is now fully integrated with our content and editorial expertise. So we don't see the need for partnerships, the likes of which one of our competitors has entered into or 2 of our competitors have entered into together. Where we are partnering is where there are point solutions, AI-driven point solutions, for example, in sort of the debt capital markets and its application to legal profession or in very, very specific area of the law, where we think an innovative team has developed a solution that can work in with CoCounsel. So we're keen to explore that ecosystem. But in terms of distribution, we obviously have the leading distribution in the industry at the moment. So we don't see a need there. But thanks for the question, Toni.

Gary Bisbee

Operator

All right. I think that brings us to the end of our time. So thanks, everybody. Have a good day.

Stephen Hasker

Analyst · RBC

Thank you.

Michael Eastwood

Analyst · RBC

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And this concludes today's call. We appreciate your participation. You may now disconnect.