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Travere Therapeutics, Inc. (TVTX)

Q4 2023 Earnings Call· Fri, Feb 16, 2024

$41.12

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day and welcome to the Travere Therapeutics Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023 Financial Results and Corporate Update Conference Call. Today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I would like to turn the conference call over to Anne Crotteau. Please go ahead, ma'am.

Anne Crotteau

Management

Thanks, Jenny. Good afternoon and welcome to Travere Therapeutics fourth quarter and full year 2023 financial results and corporate update call. Thank you all for joining. Today's call will be led by our President and Chief Executive Officer, Dr. Eric Dube. Eric will be joined in the prepared remarks by Dr. Jula Inrig, our Chief Medical Officer; Peter Heerma, our Chief Commercial Officer; and Chris Cline, our Chief Financial Officer; Dr. Bill Rote, Senior Vice President of Research and Development, will join up for the Q&A session. Before we begin, I'd like to remind everyone that statements made during this call regarding matters that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements within the Safe Harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of performance. They involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and assumptions that may cause actual results, performance and achievements to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the statement. Please see the forward-looking statement disclaimer on the company's press release issued earlier today as well as the Risk Factors section in our Form 10-Q and 10-K filed with the SEC. In addition, any forward-looking statements represent our views only as of the date such statements are made, February 15, 2024 and Travere specifically disclaims any obligation to update such statements to reflect future information, events or circumstances. With that, let me now turn the call over to Eric. Eric?

Eric Dube

Management

Thank you, Anne and welcome, everyone. 2023 was a year of many great achievements for Travere as we work towards our goal of breaking down barriers and treating rare diseases with historically little innovation. At the start of 2023, we gained the first approval from our pipeline, delivering sparsentan or FILSPARI, as the first and only non-immunosuppressive treatment option for people living with IgA nephropathy or IgAN. For decades, people living with IgAN, most of whom are diagnosed in their 20s and 30s and on average face kidney failure in 10 years had limited treatment options. We are proud to help lead the growing evolution of the treatment paradigm that we believe will ultimately see patients get diagnosed and initiate treatment earlier and where physicians will ultimately utilize FILSPARI as a foundational treatment with its superior proteinuria reduction and accrual of kidney preservation benefit. Following the grant of accelerated approval, our team quickly initiated our comprehensive commercial launch plan and worked throughout the year to lay a strong foundation for FILSPARI uptake. I am very pleased with our results. We continue to make substantial progress in physician demand, payer coverage and revenue, the key aspects of the launch. Of note, FILSPARI is the only recent launch in the rare kidney space that has seen consistent growth in demand each quarter in its first year and we saw a meaningful inflection in net product sales to close out 2023. Last year, we encountered a challenge in our pursuit of a better outlook for the FSGS community. Specifically, the DUPLEX study of sparsentan in FSGS did not achieve the results we had hoped. And following our FDA engagement, it was clear we would not be in a position to submit an sNDA at that time based on the DUPLEX results alone. I…

Jula Inrig

Management

Thank you, Eric and good afternoon. I'm very pleased with the progress made on our clinical and medical affairs initiatives in 2023. With our achievements last year, we are well positioned to ultimately deliver two new treatment standards in rare diseases with limited options available. As for FILSPARI, we completed the 2-year double-blind dosing periods for our studies in FSGS and IgAN. It's important to highlight that our studies are the only ones in the space that use a maximally optimized active comparator, setting the bar highest in the field. The results which clearly demonstrated robust proteinuria reduction and preservation of kidney function in IgAN were simultaneously presented as late-breaker presentations at ASN and published in world-renowned medical journal, the Lancet and New England Journal of Medicine. Following those data presentations, we have received positive feedback from nephrologists about the foundational role that FILSPARI can play in long-term kidney function preservation for patients with IgA nephropathy. What is resonated with nephrologists is that FILSPARI is the only approved non-immunosuppressive treatment for IgAN and it's the only molecule that works by simultaneously blocking the 2 key pathogenic pathways in the kidney. Endothelin-I and angiotensin II, that both work together to drive damage and kidney function loss. FILSPARI dual mechanism of action is critical to inhibiting the damaging pathways in the kidney in order to achieve sustained proteinuria reduction and long-term kidney function preservation that accrues over time. Unlike intermittent therapies which may have short-term benefits on kidney function, FILSPARI demonstrated a long-term accrual of benefit on eGFR. In the PROTECT study at 1 year, there was a 1.7 mill per minute favorable effect on absolute eGFR with FILSPARI compared to maximize titrate irbesartan. And that benefit increased to 3.7 mill per minute greater eGFR at 2 years. Importantly, the rate of…

Peter Heerma

Management

Thank you, Jula. Looking back on 2023, we made robust progress on what we have outlined during our launch call in February last year. [Indiscernible] as the future foundational care for patients at risk of rapid progression through educating our nephrology targets, securing broad access and ensuring a positive initial FILSPARI experience for patients and physicians. And I'm really proud on the progress our commercial team has made in the past year, especially while adapting to the initial promotional restrictions that come with accelerated approval and an unexpected advance program for liver monitoring. By the end of 2023, we reached 5,700 nephrologists with our sales team in regular face-to-face educational interactions that is 95% of our target base of 6,000 nephrologists that we believe treat about 85% of the addressable IgAN patients in the U.S. These efforts resulted in strong and steadily increasing demand with increasing breadth and depths of prescribing nephrologists. In particular, in the fourth quarter, we built strong momentum for FILSPARI demand and I couldn't be more pleased with how we ended the year. It was encouraging to see further growth in new patient start forms or PSFs after ASN Kidney Week, where the confirmatory PROTECT study results were presented and published. Importantly, we also received further validation of the FILSPARI profile from [indiscernible] leaders which was evidenced by an increase in key opinion leader prescribers. We ended the fourth quarter with 459 new PSFs which demonstrated quarter-over-quarter growth for each period in 2023. In fact, this is the first recent rare nephrology product that has shown a continuation of growth in demand during each period of the first -- in the first year of launch. In total, we received more than 1,450 patient start forms in 2023 which clearly indicates FILSPARI is helping fill a significant…

Chris Cline

Management

Thank you, Peter and good afternoon, everyone. Following our fourth quarter results, we are in a strong financial position. From an operational perspective, we continue to grow revenues and we have focused our investments on the ongoing launch of FILSPARI and IgA nephropathy and the advancement of our Phase III pegtibatinase program. For the fourth quarter of 2023, net product sales were $39.9 million compared to $25.8 million for the same period in 2022. The increase is attributable to growth in net product sales from the ongoing launch of FILSPARI and IgA nephropathy. During the quarter, we also recognized $5.1 million of license and collaboration revenue which results in $45.1 million in total revenue reported for the period compared to $29.3 million in the same period in 2022. Research and development expenses for the fourth quarter of 2023 were $59.7 million compared to $58.1 million for the same period in 2022. The difference is largely attributable to the continued advancement of our pegtibatinase clinical program, partially offset by reduced investment in our FILSPARI Phase III programs following the readouts from the 2-year endpoints. On a non-GAAP adjusted basis, R&D expenses were $55.3 million for the fourth quarter of 2023 compared to $52 million for the same period in 2022. Selling, general and administrative expenses for the fourth quarter of 2023 were $63.6 million compared to $57.1 million for the same period in 2022. The difference is largely attributable to the commercial launch-related activities following the accelerated approval of FILSPARI in February of 2023. On a non-GAAP adjusted basis, SG&A expenses were $49.7 million for the fourth quarter of 2023 compared to $44.3 million for the same period in 2022. During the fourth quarter, we recognized $11.4 million in restructuring fees related to this strategic reorganization that was announced in December.…

Eric Dube

Management

Thanks, Chris. We are entering a new phase of growth for Travere. Our organization is well positioned with a strong financial foundation to continue advancing FILSPARI and pegtibatinase as potential future treatment standards for their respective rare kidney and metabolic disorders. Moreover, these global markets collectively are projected to exceed $10 billion in the coming years. Our unrelenting drive is based on our desire to deliver life-changing therapies to people affected by IgAN, HCU and potentially FSGS, who historically have had little to no innovation for their condition. We see near-term and long-term growth through the following: the continued strong execution of our FILSPARI launch, the expected conditional approval of sparsentan in the EU and full approval of FILSPARI for IgAN in the U.S. with potential broader labeling, updated IgAN treatment guidelines and further data generation to reach the growing number of patients in need of a better therapy. Finally, I'm particularly excited about the advancement of our development program for pegdibatenase as the only potential disease-modifying therapy in a market that is expected to grow meaningfully over time. This year, we look forward to raising awareness of HCU and enrolling the Phase III HARMONY study with a goal of achieving top line data in 2026. Let me now turn the call over to Anne to open up the lines for Q&A. Anne?

Anne Crotteau

Management

Thank you, Eric. We can now open the line-up for Q&A. Jenny.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We will now take the first question from the line of Joseph Schwartz from Leerink Partners.

Joseph Schwartz

Analyst

I guess I'll ask on FILSPARI, how much does the higher hurdle that FILSPARI had in the PROTECT trial seem to resonate with the prescribing community. Do they appreciate that patients in the control arm were so well managed. Does this impress them? Or do you have more education to do in order for them to appreciate FILSPARI's relative to performance and protect?

Eric Dube

Management

Joe, thanks so much for the question. Peter, why don't I turn that over to you and perhaps you can also comment on what we saw coming out of ASN where there was much more discussion about the PROTECT trial and trial design.

Peter Heerma

Management

Yes, I have to take that question, Joe. I would say the conversations I have had with physicians and I think that's also being in the line with the market results that we saw. But if we outline the study design of PROTECT and the understanding of like an active control arm is understood. There's really like great appreciation for the -- for the very robust results that we have. And we have highlighted earlier in the call, like 1.7 mill per minute per year improvement. And then in the second year, it is actually 3.7 mill per minute per year. So an accumulation of benefit over time. And I think that is something that the physicians if they understand design really speak highly of.

Eric Dube

Management

Jula, is there anything that you'd like to comment from your team's engagement with thought leaders on that trial design and the high bar?

Jula Inrig

Management

Yes. I think it does take some education because all the other trials are comparing to a not fully optimized standard which we know historically 50% and really all the other trials aren't [indiscernible] we have a higher hurdle. And so when they initially see the comparison in the slopes, most of which they don't look at in their clinical practice, it takes some education to look at the benefit and then also the accrual of benefits that we can see. We only did a 2-year snapshot but you know that if you have a benefit that's better in year 2 versus year 1, then that's going to continue to improve year-over-year. That does take some time but they get it once they spend some time with the data and the information.

Eric Dube

Management

And I think this is going to be a very important part of why we're eager to have full approval and a label that will allow us to talk about that long-term benefit and how the trial design really does help explain why we see such great results throughout the 2 years.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is going to come from Greg Harrison from Bank of America.

Greg Harrison

Analyst

Just thinking through the IgAN treatment landscape. And when it comes to comparing different treatment options, especially in light of recent data, is it fair to say that the focus for investors should be on the eGFR benefit? Or is there a better way to think about it?

Eric Dube

Management

Greg, thanks so much for the question. I think the very short answer is no. But I'm going to let Jula talk a bit more about what she as a nephrologist and what she's hearing from thought leaders about the evolving treatment landscape and the importance of eGFR and proteinuria. Jula?

Jula Inrig

Management

First, I'll start with proteinuria and eGFR, both matter for how we take care of patients but I'll highlight that proteinuria is really critical for nephrologists for patients and for regulators for evaluating and looking at risk as well as response to treatment over time. As the proteinuria changes can occur more quickly versus the eGFR changes require many years to show effect. And I would say, importantly, multiple data sets show a strong correlation between proteinuria reductions over time and risk of kidney failure, that's why it's an approvable endpoint for accelerated approval. And we also know that we need to get patients as close to normal as possible. When you look at the rate -- still remain at risk if they got 0.44 grams per day. So getting patients closer to normal with regards to proteinuria is very important [indiscernible] we saw 1 in 3 patients on FILSPARI and PROTECT, achieve complete remission of proteinuria. And so far [indiscernible] both reductions in proteinuria and eGFR preservation that accrues overtime. So I think all those are important factors to take into consideration.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is going to come from Anupam Rama from JPMorgan.

Anupam Rama

Analyst

And a little bit more of a kind of an acute question as we think about FILSPARI in the first quarter. Any guidance about how we should be thinking about payer reauthorizations and any seasonality considerations in the quarter?

Eric Dube

Management

Anupam, thanks for the question. Let me just first say that Peter's team has done a really great job starting the year strongly and we've seen good performance. Peter, why don't I turn it over to you to talk a bit more about what we expect to see in those dynamics for Q1, recognizing that we've not and will not be providing guidance. But I think certainly, Peter can talk about some of those dynamics in more detail. Peter?

Peter Heerma

Management

Yes, happy to Eric. Yes, as I mentioned earlier, I think the -- across the 3 core fundamentals of launching a product that we made really substantial progress and in particular like ASN, I think, really allowed for building that momentum we saw like an increase of prescriptions, in particular, from thought leaders. But we also saw like a good progress in our -- getting patients on paid product. And I think across the fundamentals, we see that the continuation of progress in the first 6 weeks of this year as well. I think to your more specific question, like what is the insurance reset and reauthorization criteria, we move for the gross to net in the first quarter. While this is the first year we launched FILSPARI, so that's going to be a new learning. So we don't know that yet. But if I look at the fundamentals, I'm really pleased with the progress we have been making.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is going to come from Tyler Van Buren from TD Cowen.

Tyler Van Buren

Analyst

So as part of the sNDA submission by the end of the first quarter for the full approval of FILSPARI and IgAN. Does that include a request to have the black box and revs warning removed? And if so, can you describe to us how you supported that request?

Eric Dube

Management

So thanks so much for the question, Tyler. Jula, why don't I first turn to you to talk about the data that we've seen from a safety standpoint. And then, Bill, certainly, you can add what we're thinking in terms of engagement with FDA during the sNDA process.

Jula Inrig

Management

So I want to highlight that across our development program and first year commercial launch including patients who we've had in some of our trials on treatment for after 10 years, we have had several cases -- several cases [ph]. Now I do note that there isn't historic for press removal of [indiscernible] but we certainly are going to advocate for the best process for patients which may [indiscernible] comment further on our process.

William Rote

Analyst

Yes. With the -- the anniversary of the approval, we will be submitting our first annual REMS update which we'll highlight the data that we've collected around liver safety and we'll also be submitting the sNDA this quarter which will give the full 2-year data in the PROTECT study. Both of those give us a launching point to begin the dialogue around the potential modification of the REMS program. At the end of the day, we need to start this dialogue. We don't know what the FDA's response will be but it's really important for us to have the data that we have now and to begin the conversation and these interactions with the agency.

Operator

Operator

And our next question will come from Carter Gould from Barclays.

Carter Gould

Analyst

A lot of mentions of momentum and inflection on the call there. The new start form increase was somewhat more modest. I guess I'm trying to understand is that sort of mid-single-digit increase in new start farms probably a fair characterization of what we should expect going forward until those inflection points that Peter mentioned sort of hit, it does seem like those are back-end weighted. Any color or commentary would be appreciated.

Eric Dube

Management

Carter, thanks so much for the question. I'd say that Peter can speak to some of the qualitative and directional approach that we expect to see throughout the year for both patient start forms and demand. We will not be providing guidance on those for the year but we certainly do expect to see a strong year of our performance, particularly in revenue. But Peter, why don't you talk in a bit more detail about what we can expect to see moving forward.

Peter Heerma

Management

Yes. Thanks, Carter, for the question. I think it's the characterization that you have to take it into context of a prescriber base that had very low innovation in the last 30 to 40 years. And so I think the adaptation, it takes time to educate the broad community and get to the prescriber base. And within that context, I think the growth that we're showing in Q4 and basically in every quarter in the first year, I think what I called out earlier is that this is the first recent [indiscernible] where you see that continue growth. I think that is something that is the data we expect this year. The guidelines to be updated that is a good momentum to show continuation of growth in patient start forms and more importantly, ultimately in revenue as well. So, I think I understand your question but I think you have to bring that into consideration with an audience that is maybe not used to that much innovation and really requires education. And with the experience that they are gaining and that's what we are seeing right now is the best advocate for further use and further prescription. And that's where we are right now. So I think in the first year, the plans to have the continued growth that we saw, I'm really pleased with.

Operator

Operator

Our next caller is going to be Maury Raycroft from Jefferies.

Maury Raycroft

Analyst

For the EU, you initially had filed for conditional approval and it sounds like that's what you're expecting this quarter but then you submitted the 2-year data to the EU which led to the clock stop. So is it possible that you could get full approval in the EU? I guess is there any possibility for that? Or will it still be conditional and has EMA provided any feedback after reviewing your 2-year data?

Eric Dube

Management

Maury, thanks so much for the question. Bill, I will pass that over to you.

William Rote

Analyst

Sure. Well, we remain optimistic about the positive CHMP decision that will be made this first quarter. The 2-year data, I think, was helpful for the EMA in making their decision because it essentially removes the regulatory risk associated with their equivalent of accelerated approval. There wasn't a discussion of potential full approval and there are aspects of the data package that they don't have yet. The full tables figures and listings weren't provided more of a top line look at the 2-year data. So I wouldn't expect a full approval with this round.

Maury Raycroft

Analyst

Got it. And has EMA provided any feedback after seeing the 2-year data that they've seen?

William Rote

Analyst

No. There wasn't an opportunity in the process for feedback from that at this point in time, I'm sure we'll have dialogue as we go towards full approval.

Operator

Operator

Our next person is going to be Tim Lugo from William Blair.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

This is John [ph] on for Tim. So just wondering if you have any sense on if the agency might require an ADCOM to discuss conversion to full approval. And as a follow-up, if you have any sense on the last date that you might be informed that ADCOM might be required?

Eric Dube

Management

John, thanks for the questions, Bill. I'll pass that back to you.

William Rote

Analyst

Sure. I don't think that this is the type of regulatory decision where the agency would seek advice from an advisory committee. I think the data is quite clear. So there isn't a need to go out to additional external experts to help interpret trial results. And I think also there isn't a controversial aspect for this. So I don't anticipate that the agency will panel an advisory committee. Certainly, if they do, we will be ready. Your -- the second part of your question was the timing. Generally, the agency will let sponsors know within 60 days of submission, whether or not they're going to have an ADCOM or not. So if we submit in the first quarter by mid- to late second quarter, we will know whether or not we're going to be going for an ADCOM.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is going to come from Liisa Bayko from Evercore ISI.

Liisa Bayko

Analyst

Do you have any more color on when the new guidelines will be released?

Eric Dube

Management

Jula?

Jula Inrig

Management

We know they're working on it now but I can't provide more color other than we were anticipating potentially this quarter and that means they would be finalized later in the year but we know it's in the works.

Liisa Bayko

Analyst

Okay. You mentioned compliance rates were good. And can you speak to kind of where you are with compliance? And also can you describe growth from that for the year? Like what kind of average for the year should you be thinking about or when would normalize? Any color there would be helpful.

Eric Dube

Management

Sure. Peter, I'll turn that over to you.

Peter Heerma

Management

I'll take the question on the compliance and Chris, maybe you can take the gross to net earn. So on the compliance rate, like if you look at [indiscernible] for chronic disease without a [indiscernible] method disease, overall compliance rates are not very high. What we see with FILSPARI so far, it is actually really high. It's higher than what we anticipated, especially when you also have a REMS program with monitoring that requires monthly liver testing. So far, we see very strong compliance rates. I think it keeps also to the experience patients are having. And that's for the first time, they actually see that be in control to the target levels. And I think you have to take into consideration like a lot of those patients, they feel that they're losing. I mean, over the course of their disease, they hear every time from their physician that they're not yet on the target. And I think now with FILSPARI, they feel like, hey, you know what, we are able to reach the target and I think that is motivating patients to continue to use the product and supply I think we see also high compliance rates.

Chris Cline

Management

And Liisa, just on the gross to nets, we've been pleased with how we've seen things meet our expectations of having a mid- to high teens gross to net. The other thing that I would say is for 1Q with the rest of the year, we may see that be a little bit higher as we have some of our other products in the past. But overall for the year, we would expect it to remain in that mid- to high teens level.

Liisa Bayko

Analyst

Okay. And then can you comment at all on like how many patients were on kind of exiting 2023 on FILSPARI?

Eric Dube

Management

So we've not provided guidance for any KPIs on a number of treated patients. I think Peter can talk about directionally what we were seeing as we ended the year. But Liisa, we're going to continue to provide updates on PSFs on payer coverage and on revenue at this point in the launch. Peter, you want to provide anything further to this question?

Peter Heerma

Management

I think that's right. As I mentioned earlier, I think we're making robust progress on all the fundamentals, including the pull-through getting patients on base product. I think the process is well within benchmarks which you would expect from rare disease products. And so I think we will see that continuation and it will be reflected by revenue as well to Eric's point.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is going to come from Vamil Divan from Guggenheim.

Vamil Divan

Analyst

Great. Maybe just a couple of follow-ups on the payer side. So I think, Peter, I think you mentioned your prepared remarks that the payers are -- they're sort of acting generally consistent with the label in terms of the patients that they're reimbursing therapy for. I'm curious if maybe you can just give a little more detail there in terms of when they're deviating from the label sort of what issues, if any, are they sort of raising? And then the second question I have is more around the full approval, assuming you get that sort of later in this year, would you expect sort of a sort of immediate change in sort of payer behavior on that? Or is that something we'll have to wait until sort of the 2024 -- 2025 cycle starts up in terms of formulary status or authorizations.

Eric Dube

Management

All right. Peter, I'll hand those over to you.

Peter Heerma

Management

Yes. With regards to authorization criteria. I mean there's always certain effects that the payer is expecting to see -- and so I think where we are is that especially in the beginning when we got the label and the label was kind of safe on patients with rapid progression of disease with regards to proteinuria states like generally 1.5. When we are seeing that players in most of the authorization criteria refer to the label but also refer to the clinical guidelines and that has lower proteinuria targets. So that allows for a broader use. And that's why to my earlier point in the call with a further lowering of the proteinuria targets within the legal lines [ph], a company is like a broad label fulfills powering that would allow them also for a broader patient population that is eligible for paid products.

Eric Dube

Management

And then, Peter, what is your comment on the question around full approval and how payers will respond with full approval and how quickly they might be able to review.

Peter Heerma

Management

Yes. So I think it speaks a little bit to what I said with a further lowering of proteinuria target and then also a broader label, whether it's no restriction in proteinuria that authorization criteria on a threshold of proteinuria may disappear. And so that allows for a broader patient population. I think that's one aspect. I think another aspect is -- and I think your question may have been referring to like the evolving competitive landscape as well with new competition coming in. I think the lead time that we have and the strong base that we have in formularies provides a very strong position, especially since we have like the highest standard for study design. I mean this is the only study that has active comparator which is basically the gold standards how a payer is evaluating new products. So I think we are in a strong position with regards to lead time as well as study deciding how payers are evaluating that evolving landscape.

Operator

Operator

And our next question is going to come from Alex Thompson from Stifel.

Alex Thompson

Analyst

I want to pivot a little bit to pay the bad news here. Maybe could you talk a little bit about the HARMONY study through the expectations around enrolling 70 patients or at least up to 70 patients based on your experience with the Phase I/II, how well identified are these patients? If this is a 12-week primary endpoint of the top line is the 2026 readout conservative at this point? Or how are you thinking about that?

Eric Dube

Management

Alex, thanks so much for the question and also for the focus on the pegtibatinase program. Jula, I'll turn that one over to you.

Jula Inrig

Management

So thanks. We think this is an exciting trial design that focuses on changes in total home 15, not just at 6 to 12 weeks but also looking at durability of effect. So it is a 24-week study and then patients roll over to our open label which is able to look at diet liberalization. And to your point, we are looking to recruit 70 patients from more sites than we did for COMPOSE. It's about 50 sites overall which will give us top line data in 2026. And while we have started the trial and we do have a list of patients who are excited to participate. We are intentionally moderating our enrollment initially to ensure we have a good experience for the sites and patients and also proper training at some of these sites to -- some of which are research naive and then also to ensure our CMC scale up to support the full study as well as commercialization.

Eric Dube

Management

So I think perhaps if you can comment on the enrollment period before for screening that it helps explain why the time line may be a bit longer than what people would typically say for this type of trial.

Jula Inrig

Management

Yes. So because it is a 6-month trial, plus we have a 10-week run-in period where patients get screened to make sure they qualify as well as standardize their diet and that's really to try and optimize our chance of success that patients have understand the trial that they need to keep their diet table which clearly is going to impact your endpoint. We want to maximize our chance for success at the end. So it's a bit longer than what you first stated.

Eric Dube

Management

Yes. And we'll certainly look to move swiftly on this but we -- for all of the reasons that you've explained, we've been very thoughtful around the time lines that we've put out there. Alex, the only other thing that I would mention that we -- that gives us confidence in the enrollment is that as we see increased awareness within this community, there are more and more patients that are being identified and we would absolutely expect that there will be a growth in the number of patients identified, diagnosed in the overall market growth. So this is something that we believe will certainly be a tailwind for us with the HARMONY trial and even more so as we look to reach these patients once we have approval.

Alex Thompson

Analyst

And I guess, how many patients do you feel like you need to enroll to feel confident in powering if it's not 70.

Eric Dube

Management

Bill, why don't you talk about the powering but I can say we absolutely are confident in finding these patients. I think we've been able to help in thinking through where these patients are, with sites, et cetera. So I think Jula's team has done a really great job of ensuring how we can enable success in the HARMONY trial. And I think, Bill, you can talk about a high level of the powering.

William Rote

Analyst

Yes. No, certainly and I appreciate the question. We’re very confident in the powering of the study. And recall in Jula's initial remarks, she mentioned the 67% reduction in total homocystine that was observed in Phase II. So with that level of efficacy, even with a significant diminution in the treatment effect or a reduction in the overall total sample size which we don't anticipate. We certainly are in a good place to still achieve the endpoint. So I'm confident that we'll get there.

Eric Dube

Management

Jenny, can we move to the next question, please?

Operator

Operator

Yes, we have Mohit Bansal [ph]. Can you hear me?

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Just wanted to understand. I mean I know you don't provide the patient count. But if I look at the average number of patient forms, coming from second quarter to third quarter and then third quarter to fourth quarter, it seems like there's a 57% increase but then there's a substantial increase in revenue. So is this because you are converting a lot more of those patient form into paid patients? Or is there a stocking in part involved here? Can you help us understand that? And then last -- second question is on the price increase, I think you took a price increase in January, should we expect some benefit in 2024 due to that price increase?

Eric Dube

Management

Okay. Thanks so much for the question. Peter, I will turn that over to you.

Peter Heerma

Management

Yes. So thanks Mohit for that question. So as I mentioned, like one of the core fundamentals is making sure that patient forms transition ultimately to patients on products and in particular bases on paid products or you continue to increase the revenue. And I think what you saw in this quarter is that we made robust progress in particular, also in the pocket of patients that we described in the earlier quarter that required some additional handholding and education with regards to the REMS loss I think -- as I mentioned, like the patient REMS certification within the first 14 days has increased quite substantially and that allow patients to go through the process and get to base product more quickly. So good progress there. To Eric's earlier point, we don't provide further details on how many patients we have on product. But I think that transition from patients to our form ultimately get paid product, we made significant progress. On the second question with regards to price and price increase, indeed, we had a price increase in the beginning of the year. Now that we have the confirmatory data and you see that proteinuria reduction -- the robust proteinuria reduction provides longer-term eGFR and getting preservation as well. So we thought it was justified to have a price increase for this year.

Eric Dube

Management

And maybe just one final thing, Mohit, for your question on inventory. That has been stable, so there has been no pattern of stocking. So I think Peter is absolutely right. We expected to see a greater inflection in revenue as our teams are able to help those patients through the process. You would imagine that, that is going to continue that trend this year with faster growth in revenues than perhaps what we see in patient start forms but we'll certainly apprise you how we're doing at the end of Q1.

Operator

Operator

And our next question is going to come from [indiscernible] from Citi.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

I had one on FSGS. Just curious if there were any recent updates with regard to the work that I believe the FDA is doing in collaboration with you on defining some of the optimal endpoints for FSGS, whether there's some variations of the eGFR slope endpoint that may be more appropriate based on some of the data cuts that you're exploring? And then secondly, on the broader landscape in IgAN, just wondering, obviously, there's been a lot of visibility around some of the newer mechanisms, anti-B-cell mechanisms. Wondering whether FILSPARI, given the position is the conditional therapy, may benefit from a combo study using the B-cell modulators on top of FILSPARI at a future point.

Eric Dube

Management

Great. Thank you for the questions. And Jula, I will turn those over to you.

Jula Inrig

Management

So thanks. As far as FSGS, we are continuing to do our processes with our data and external data sets, putting our trial into historical context. With regards to the FDA, this is a partnership with [indiscernible] which is a patient organization with academics and the FDA. And it's called Parasol [ph]. There's a website it's public and it's really to redefine the endpoints. And what they've recently announced is they're really looking at alternative proteinuria-based endpoints to help enable the regulatory pathways for FSGS. We plan to reengage the FDA following their final analysis and decision on what those endpoints should be under this Parasol Group [ph] and they're targeting ASN for that time line?. And then your second question is around some of the newer agents and how FILSPARI should be placed. And I think it's really going to be an exciting few years for IgA nephropathy patients in some of these new therapies most of which target different parts of the injury cascade contributing to IgAN and hopefully, they'll become available outside the context of a clinical trial but we're a few years away from that. But I would add that all additional immunomodulating agents are being used on top of standard of care foundational treatment. And that's where FILSPARI plays a foundational role because it targets the injury in the kidney and the response to the [indiscernible] deposition and protects against further damage. And really, we're really aligned with the KOLs. You need to target 2 things ongoing damage in the kidney with foundational treatment. And to your point, you could potentially add another agent that targets upstream pathways but that's additive. As far as other trials I think it's important to realize that every other trial is studying a new agent on top of standard of care and many of those trials now because of FILSPARI superiority over ACEs and ARBs they're being allowed as part of the foundational standard of care. So we will get data over time from these trials as they read out about the combination and them being used together.

Eric Dube

Management

And we certainly are interested in that combination and generating additional data. I'm very proud of Jula's team, where we do have 2 ongoing studies looking at the combination of FILSPARI plus SGLT2. So I think some of the few combination studies that have yet been initiated, we would expect that, that could potentially increase as other therapies are actually approved.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is going to come from Ed Arce from H.C. Wainwright.

Ed Arce

Analyst

A couple of quick questions for me. Firstly, with regards to the sNDA later this quarter for FILSPARI for approval, just wondering if you could confirm the length of the review period that you would expect 6 or 8 months or would that roll into sometime next year. And then secondly, as I look at the PSFs quarter-over-quarter so far in last year and as those growth rates moderate a bit. I'm wondering if you can discuss some of the 2 inflection points that have been mentioned before later this year, the legal guidelines and the upcoming data analysis from ongoing trials especially the SGLT2 combo. What impact -- and I guess this is a question more for Peter. But what sort of subjectively, what impact would you expect those to have on treating physicians as they get more experience with the drug.

Eric Dube

Management

Thanks for the question. Bill, why don't you take the regulatory question and then Peter, you can take the PSF outlook question.

William Rote

Analyst

Yes. We expect to have priority review out of for this sNDA that will be consistent with how the agency treated a predecessor that went just recently before us. In that case, it would be a 6-month review, so you'd have a Q3 decision. If we were a standard review, it would take until the end of the year. So in either case, we have a decision this year. I'll pass over to Peter for the rest of your question.

Peter Heerma

Management

Yes. Thanks for that question. I think there is really 2 elements that I would like to point you to with regards to the evolving landscape, with regards to the KDIGO guidelines as well as a broader label? And what would that mean for the potential for patient start forms in the future. I think there's 2 core elements. One is the urgency to treat or better the urgency to change with further emphasis has to go lower proteinuria, as a level of [indiscernible] is still not where you need to be. I think last year, the RADAR data got published from the U.K., it's more of [indiscernible] data and it shows that even with the proteinuria of 0.9, those patients actually have doubled progress to end-stage kidney disease compared to patients that had a proteinuria level of in average of 0.44. I think this kind of data and then reinforcement in the guidelines further amplifies the urgency to change for those physicians and change that foundation that is currently ACE and ARBs and replace it with a much more efficacy treatment [indiscernible] and just to recall, I mean, the proteinuria benefit that FILSPARI had after 9 months was threefold [indiscernible] but after 2 years, it was actually tenfold. So I think that is an important aspect. So the urgency to change, I think, is one aspect. The second one is really it allows for a broader patient population. And what we have highlighted earlier is that we said at launch, we expect to have an addressable patient population for FILSPARI between 30,000 and 50,000, we think with the broadening of the label as well as further highlights of the guidelines to go to a lower proteinuria target. We think there is up to 70,000 addressable patients for FILSPARI. I think those are the 2 core aspects I want to highlight with regards to the evolving landscape and what it means for the addressable patient population and potentially patient for FILSPARI.

Eric Dube

Management

Thank you, Peter. Jula, is there anything that you'd like to add?

Jula Inrig

Management

Yes. Thanks. I think we have a couple of inflection points and Peter nicely highlighted KDIGO to treat patients earlier and diagnose them earlier. And then the SGLT2 combination, we know that combination therapy is going to be important in the future. So we think those are 2 things. But the third thing that I want to point out is with regards to the earlier treatment, we have a trial called SPARTAN, where we utilized FILSPARI early after they first get diagnosed and the RAS naive. We presented some of that data at ASN and it shows earlier, we see an 80% reduction in proteinuria most of the patients getting into complete remission and no change in eGFR over 36. That trial has been continuing. We'll have additional data on that over the years. But I think that's an additional point as far as treating patients earlier in their disease course.

Eric Dube

Management

Yes. Thank you, Peter and Jula. Maybe if we just take a step back for a moment, if we put ourselves towards the end of 2024 and you assume that we have a full approval with a potential broader label just as the KDIGO guidelines could potentially lower the target and really increase the dynamism in the treatment of patients with IgA nephropathy, we really will be at the right place at the right time. And if you think about also all of the clinical experience that physicians are getting with FILSPARI, there's one thing that we know from this launch and hearing from physicians and their patients who are on FILSPARI. It is a very rapid and consistent reduction in proteinuria. We believe that we'll be in the right place at the right time. And I think our goal is to make sure that we continue to expand for new physicians to be able to get that clinical experience and we believe that positions us very strongly for future growth.

Operator

Operator

And our next question is going to come from Laura Chico from Wedbush Securities.

Laura Chico

Analyst

I'd like to shift gears and ask one on pegtibatinase. And Eric, your comments there about kind of the phenomena we see with orphan disease and the expansion of patient populations over time. I apologize if I missed this but do you plan to keep a patient registry with respect to HCU. And kind of related to that, would you be able to disclose an identified patient number as you're going along?

Eric Dube

Management

Great question, Laura. Yes, we do have a registry and we do continue -- we plan to continue that. We think that, that's an incredibly important source of information for the community. And it's really a great question around sharing patient information or identification. It's certainly something we know others have done, we'll be looking at the potential for us to be able to do that as well. I can't commit to it today but absolutely something that our team is looking at.

Operator

Operator

And this will conclude the question-and-answer session of today's conference call. I'll hand the call back over to Anne. Please go ahead.

Anne Crotteau

Management

Great. Thank you, Jenny and everyone, for joining us for our fourth quarter and full year 2023 financial results call. We look forward to providing additional updates on our progress. Have a great rest of your day.

Operator

Operator

And this concludes our call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.