Earnings Labs

Titan International, Inc. (TWI)

Q1 2018 Earnings Call· Fri, May 4, 2018

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the Titan International Inc. First Quarter 2018 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]. As a reminder, certain statements made in this conference call are considered forward-looking statements for the purpose of the Safe Harbor provisions under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and reflect the company's or management's intentions, hopes, beliefs, expectations or predictions of the future. The company's actual results may differ materially from the intentions, hopes, beliefs, expectations and predictions contemplated in these forward-looking statements as a result of various factors, including those discussed in the company's latest Form 10-K and Form 10-Q filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. In addition, to today's remarks may refer to non-GAAP financial measures, which are intended to supplement, but not be a substitute for, the most directly comparable GAAP measures. The earnings release, which accompanies today's call contains financial and other quantitative information to be discussed today as well as the reconciliation of the non-GAAP measures to the most comparable GAAP measures and is available within the Investor Relations section on the company's website. Please note, today's call is being recorded. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Mr. Paul Reitz, Titan's President and CEO.

Paul Reitz

President and CEO

Good morning, and thanks for joining us today. I'll start by going through some highlights on our business, then I'll turn it over to Todd Shoot, our Vice President of Investor Relations and Treasurer to have him run through the financial aspects, and then we'll conclude by taking your questions. I do want to start by noting that Amy Evans, our Chief Accounting Officer, is also on the call as she has assumed the role of Interim CFO. As noted in the 8-K filed a few weeks ago, Titan's board has decided to not renew our prior CFO's contract that ran through the end of the year and was up for renewal in June. Since making that announcement, as noted in the 8-K filed last night, our prior CFO has separated from the company. As we stated previously, we are in the process of executing out our CFO succession plan and we'll update every and when appropriate. We've had discussions with our accounting firms and after coming off a good, clean the year-end close, we are definitely confident in the financial team that we have in place to continue to perform at a high level. Also, along with that similar lines, we've been talking quite a bit about our ongoing system initiatives to upgrade our IT global platform, and I do want to update everyone and state that we've hired 2 executive level IT folks to complement our existing team, which will help ensure we continue the momentum of this important project. So I do want to start off today's call by updating everybody on that, and then do want to point out the reference to the 8-Ks that have been filed a couple of weeks ago and last night for further information. All right, let's move on and get…

Todd Shoot

Management

Okay. Thanks, Paul. First, a reminder that the results we are about to review were presented in a news release issued yesterday afternoon and are discussed more fully in our Form 10-Q, which was also filed yesterday. And as Paul referenced, there is also an 8-K that was filed in reference to our new Interim CFO, Amy Evans. I will begin by talking about our income statement, which was very positive this quarter. Net sales for the first quarter of 2018 were $425 million, this was up 19% or almost $68 million from a year ago. This is our fifth consecutive quarter with year-over-year double-digit increases. And as a review of these prior periods, these year-over-year increases were beginning back in the first quarter of last year with an 11% growth year-over-year, 10% in the second quarter of last year, 21% in the third quarter, 22% during the fourth quarter and the previously mentioned 19% growth in the current quarter. That's an average growth each character of nearly 17% during that entire period. For the current quarter, the net sales were higher in all segments when compared to the same quarter last year. Overall, net sales volume was up 12% with higher volume across both our Ag and our moving construction segments. Favorable price mix added 4% to net sales, while favorable currency translation added another 3%. As Paul referenced earlier, our moving construction segment experienced the biggest increase in net sales of more than $53 million or 39%. This is on the heels of a $43 million, 35% year-over-year improvement in the fourth quarter within that moving construction segment. Our agricultural segment was up 8%, while the Consumer segment was up 3% when compared to last year. Moving on to gross profit margin. We reported gross profit for the…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. And our first question comes from Steve Volkman of Jefferies.

Stephen Volkmann

Analyst · Jefferies

So stronger quarter than I expected here, Paul, and I guess, I'm trying to just think about how to triangulate the rest of the year. So maybe I'll start by just saying, was there anything in this first quarter on the cost side, maybe, that was sort of temporary some sense, and not going to be sustainable? And obviously, where I'm coming from here is that if you just annualize the first quarter, you get a number of quite a bit above your previous guided range, but then we just heard that the guided range stands. So it sort of implies from this iteration going forward, and I guess I'm curious why that would happen.

James Froisland

Analyst · Jefferies

Right, right. Let's first, by just looking at the difference between the price of the back half of the year. The deceleration comes naturally in our business from the shutdown and the kind of the vacation periods that you're going to experience in July with the shutdown and August with European vacation time. Then you get the back half of Q4 where you typically start seeing that the holidays have an impact, obviously, the latter part of December then, of course, over Thanksgiving. Last year for us is a little bit different where as you enter 2018, you start to build enough some inventory levels with your OEM customers in the Q4 '17 for '18. So kind of looking at the back half of the year. We don't have that visibility yet for '19, and so we kind of look at the back half of the year being impacted by seasonality and looking at the information that we have today, and really coming up with that conclusion of staying within our previously issued guidance. I think as we get -- it's probably not going to be until Q3 until we really know what Q4 goes, it depends what the OEMs were doing for 2019. But you are -- have that seasonality that the impact significantly both of those periods and again, that just happens naturally. That will once again be the case in 2018. So as you look at the front half of the year, to answer the first part of your question, we had some favorable trends in the first quarter driven by volume, as both Todd and I mentioned in the queue states as well. So as we increase our volume levels we're really getting good throughput through our plans, efficiencies have kicked up to a much better…

Stephen Volkmann

Analyst · Jefferies

Okay. That's helpful. Was there anything in the price cost, you mentioned it was positive in the first quarter, is there anything in the sort of the way there contracts play out over the year or maybe inventory levels or something that might cause that price cost to be less positive in the second quarter, for example?

Paul Reitz

President and CEO

I don't think we have enough information on that. And now, I guess, the way we look at the forecast is just neutral. We believe with what we know today and where our costs are obviously, we tracked our cost and every component we buy closely, and we know what we're going to be buying in that as we look down the road as far as we can. And right now, we're basically looking at a world that's fairly neutral.

Stephen Volkmann

Analyst · Jefferies

Okay. And then my final one, I'll pass it on, is I was surprised on the SG&A side, obviously, you guys kept that under good control, as you said in your prepared remarks. How should we think about that going forward? Does it sort of hold at this dollar level or was that sort of abnormally low?

Paul Reitz

President and CEO

Well, I look at SG&A almost like you look at a plan. I mean, you have your fixed and you got your variables, except I would say, in SG&A, we are all there is no specially truly fix, and that's one of the things we're working to address with our system upgrades in data hold initiatives really about getting some of that what we have to declare now is a fixed SG&A cost really getting that into more of the variable model where we can control that better. So for us, like Todd mentioned, the variable part of our SG&A is going to be in legal and professional and in 2017, I will say it wasn't our strongest year on that side of the equation. Now I wish I could tell you, and I could control all the legal cost, I like our attorneys, Mike and Jerry are doing a great job, but at times, they got to go spend some money, and so there are their in-depth variable component of legal that is just tough to predict. I do believe, as we sit here today, that legal will be better than what it was last year, but that's tough to predict. Professional it's moving in the right direction. We've taken some measures to reduce our professional fees, and I believe that will continue to be moving in a positive direction. So the rest of the business, Steve, I mean, we are working hard as a company to control and I mean, where SG&A went in the next couple of years was just too high. We, as a company, with our gross margins, can operate in a world of 11% to 12% SG&A. So that's why we're doing this IT initiative, it's really to leverage our company and get away from that operating decentralized business units that have infrastructure in all the locations and really find a way to drive that SG&A consistently down into levels where with our gross margin, we start slowing a lot more to the bottom line. So we do believe we got a good forecast for the year and SG&A being down from last year. This year, this quarter, was very good, like Todd mentioned, with legal, professional. So I would give us a little bit of area of flexibility on the SG&A for legal and professional top possibly sway depending on some events. But as a company, we are very focused on SG&A keeping it at these levels.

Todd Shoot

Management

Steve, just as a reminder, we, I think what we had each of previously was 10% to 10.5% of sales for SG&A and R&D together. So that should be still in that range.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Joe Mondillo of Sidoti & Company.

Joseph Mondillo

Analyst · Sidoti & Company

I wanted to ask about Jim's departure. I was under the understanding that he was to stick around until the end of this year, give you guys some time to find a replacement, but it seems like he left a much more abruptly. What exactly happened there? And then more importantly, just that -- he was really manning the SG&A in part of the restructuring with SG&A and all that? Does that slow down or hamper this year's ability to sort of fully do as much you were planning on in terms of SG&A?

Paul Reitz

President and CEO

I mean, when it comes to SG&A, in every company, your CFO is ultimately the leader of that expense but we got 7,000 good people around the world that really the ones out there running the businesses. So I had no concern with Jim leaving and the impact it will have on SG&A, that's between my business leaders of the people on my team and the direction that we're working together. So not worried at all about his impact on SG&A. Clearly, we have the right support and infrastructure in place with Todd and Amy that are on the call today, but going beyond that with the rest of the financial team to continue to monitor SG&A and drive the right decisions. But the separation announcement that came out yesterday with the -- our prior CFO separating from the company. You're right, we did file an 8-K a few weeks earlier, and it had a different timetable. Really, all I can say is that he had separate that from the company, but from Titan's perspective, we are, again, very confident, the team we have in place. I mean,, with the global business and the financial reporting requirements of a public company, it's done by a lot of people. And Amy has been with a company now for a while, and she's been through the close. We've definitely been talking with our accountants about this CFO transition. They remain very comfortable and confident as those are Board of Directors. We will -- as we said a few weeks ago, we will be ongoing in the CFO search process. One of the things that we've done as a company is we've created a Chicago-based office, I certainly believe, and I know for a fact, that will allow us to attract the right candidates to Titan. The challenges we have in the past is our location has limited the point of potential candidates. Clearly, we're in a different position now as we are going about that CFO search process and as a company. I mean, so I take our location in our company, and it's a much different environment. So I do not anticipate at all that we'll have a hard time attracting a very good highly skilled person for that position. But I do want to say, and give Amy a chance to introduce herself here in a minute, I mean, we do have a good team already in place, and Amy has been leading that charge already. Amy do you want to take a minute and introduce yourself to the group. If you can give your background, that would be great.

Unidentified Company Representative

Analyst · Sidoti & Company

Good morning, everyone. As Paul said, I have been here for a couple of months, I started in the beginning of March, and I'm really happy to be part of the Titan's team. I, as most of you whose seen the press release, I've got a very broad, diverse background, a lot of multinational corporations, both Fortune 500s and private. I started my career in the PPA, started at Price Waterhouse as an auditor. My most recent experience was an adviser to the executive leadership team at cycle. And prior to that, I was interim Senior Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer at RR Donnelley. Then prior to that, I have worked at other large, multinational corporation, I was at [indiscernible] Consulting, Agency Finance, Sara Lee, I did is take that opportunity international, which was a nonprofit organization. So I've had a lot of experience, leading diverse, as I said, diverse multinational teams, and I'm really excited to be onboard here at Titan. I see a lot of growth and opportunity and nothing but forward movement. So the close went really smoothly, and I expect that we have things under control and new but exciting challenges ahead of us. So with that, Paul, if you want to make any further comments?

Paul Reitz

President and CEO

I appreciate that, Amy, that was good to give everybody your background and introduction. So Joe, I'll kick it back to you see and see if you got additional questions.

Joseph Mondillo

Analyst · Sidoti & Company

No, that was informative. I wanted to ask now into the business side the gross margins. The incremental margin expansion at the Ag segment relative to the construction was quite strong compared to the revenue growth, the margin expansion was quite strong at Ag. Just wondering sort of what different dynamics are driving the Ag margins in the first quarter relative to construction?

Paul Reitz

President and CEO

Well, for us, it is a different product mix in Ag being more North America-centric when you look at Ag. And the primarily locations that we produced our Ag products are not quite at the same utilization levels as where we produced some of the Earthmoving/Construction products. So there still the opportunity to increase the margin as we continued to drive more leverage at wares we do have location that are running, that's very, very high capacity levels, utilization levels, and really getting the higher levels of pull through and the margin on Earthmoving/Construction. So it's kind of a product mix within the Titan universe and where we produced products and kind of dog demand levels. So -- and as we all know, too, Ag is just a -- just hit a different point that are moving construction where Ag is really bifurcated between some of the smaller products, which do have less margin and are really been driving a lot of the growth last couple of years and large Ag still continues to lag behind. So for us, it's somewhat of a mixed, it's particular to Titan where we produce products and kind of how our plants are being utilized based upon the different segment.

Joseph Mondillo

Analyst · Sidoti & Company

So Todd, certainly highlighted, in terms of gross margin expansion [indiscernible] absorption, cost capacity utilization, in terms of you talking about certain regions, especially North America, are those North America plants running at higher utilization rates. So every little bit of volume, you're just getting that much more gross margin and maybe compared to mining and construction, it's not as much, is that what your sort of referring to?

Paul Reitz

President and CEO

In the plant in North America, I mean, they were up -- last year and obviously the years before they're running at a much lower level of utilization, whereas the earthmoving structure and operations, more European based, we're already are running at higher levels. So you get a bigger pop in Ag regions, excuse me, in the Ag plants into North America regions because they're going from a lower level of utilization of to improving situation. So you really yet more room for gain.

Joseph Mondillo

Analyst · Sidoti & Company

And in terms of product mix, at both segments, Ag and construction, you can take one each by its own, where are we to fill you look at the last 5 to 7 years, where are we in terms of the cycle within the product mix? Are we still very close to the bottom in terms of small versus large? And again, Ag is different than construction, but I'm just curious how much more upside we have in terms of a mix and driving those margins going forward, over the next several years?

Paul Reitz

President and CEO

Oh, yes, I think we've got a lot of upside there. Our businesses are tooled up and really ready to run in both sites of the fence, so both small and large. So I think we sit on a global perspective in a unique manage point with that. The problem with that though it is we are tooled up a lot of large products. So if OEMs be jumping Titan is there to take care of it. So if you look at our utilization rates, the large Ag is still is at a much lower level. And so what I was referencing earlier as part of the differential between when you gain ground, you're going to get a bigger pop in North America as we start getting more of that large Ag going through there. And so I believe if you look at the 30-year trend lines, the large Ag is still well below just the normalized trendline. So there is just inherently a gap that, even if that's just sales backups and amortization, that will really help out our plant's operation and obviously, our gross margin. So I sit here today and think there's definitely a lot of upside that eventually has to happen. It's large Ag, we're watching it, we kind of wait for that moment where farmer income in commodity prices and everything comes together, and you get a bigger buying cycle than what you're seeing. I think you're seeing a good stable replacement cycle right now, like you're seeing inventory channels improve, you're using definite the higher horsepower inventory starting to move at good prices, but it's not that big pop that still, really, at some point, exist just by looking at the trendlines over the 30-year history. So for us, yes, there's a lot of potential still sitting on the table for our business to grow stronger as large Ag jumps back up.

Joseph Mondillo

Analyst · Sidoti & Company

All right. And in terms of the SG&A expense is just going back to that. ERP investments, where are we in terms of the time line there? It is upfront related investments with the ERP system, is that going to potentially bump up SG&A at all in the near term in terms of your expectations?

Paul Reitz

President and CEO

The run rate you [indiscernible] the first quarter of this year is going to be basically the runway we have going forward. We are moving forward as aggressive as we can with that project. But it is cloud-based. So you save a lot on the CapEx, the infrastructure of making those investments upfront. As we go forward, we're breaking this down into phases over a couple of years, so I don't expect that all change SG&A significantly. As we are going to be successful this project, so we're not going to overtax our resources at Titan in doing so. So the first pages of the project is really to get our financial reporting teams are more efficient, have a global consolidated start of accounts that allows our back-office to really streamline their clothes but also analysis to get information more efficiently onto the management teams, and that's how we look at the first phase then we start going out to our plans. We'll start here in North America with 1 plant then move to the next one. So this isn't going to be a big bomb that we're going to drop on anybody, and if we find ourselves in that position then we're just going to address our time line. So I'm not comfortable with the run rate on SG&A, very comfortable still with the team we have in place and the project moving forward. But again, my mission statement to the organization as we are doing this to set the tone right majority from infrastructure-wise, become a more efficient organization to be less decentralized. But the last thing I'm going to do is screw the whole thing up by trying to go too fast. So that's just not [indiscernible] that I believe it's going to happen, Joe. So we're going to do this the right way, and I think the cost is on Q1 will be pretty similar, moving forward.

Joseph Mondillo

Analyst · Sidoti & Company

Okay, perfect. And asked question for me, on the operating -- the other income line, below the operating income line, you break that out in the Q. And in the other income line within out of that, there was about a $5 million number of income, that frees up EPS a little bit, what exactly was that? And I'm assuming it's maybe one time, but if there's anything ongoing?

Todd Shoot

Management

Yes, Joe. I can answer that, it is one-time. There is a arbitration award that's in there. We are under obligation to give that information confidential. So we really won't be expanding on that anymore from what we've said there, but that is a onetime benefit. If you look at our run rate for other income, it's typically between $11 million and $12 million, $12.5 million over the next 2 to 3 years, and that's a -- if you take that and break it down by quarter, that's probably what would expect for the remainder of the year.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Larry De Maria of William Blair.

Lawrence De Maria

Analyst · William Blair

A few things. Just stay with the European implementation for a second, it sounds like you're obviously, you guys got a plan to space it in. For a call, that was a pricey domain. So just curious, how if at all, if at all, things are changing time line changes, implementation changes and if there's somebody else is not running that implementation?

Paul Reitz

President and CEO

Yes, there is. And so my responsibility to the organization is that once we announced that CFO succession plan, as both and [indiscernible] by the board and I need to make sure that, that's exactly what you're referencing to take place. So we needed to have the right people in place to ensure the project is going to be successful, and we did that. In the last month, we've hired 2 highly skilled IT professionals into our Chicago office, working in conjunction with the teams that we already have in Quincy, and it's going to be right where we left off, definitely feel confident with that. So with the people that will be leading that project are already onboard, already part of the Titan team and expect that to be a smooth transition.

Unidentified Company Representative

Analyst · William Blair

Larry, I'm sorry, this is Amy. I will add that I have been very active in the IT, the ERP rollout, so I will be there involved in it as well.

Lawrence De Maria

Analyst · William Blair

Okay. Also, as it relates to the supply chain, obviously, you guys have probably more about inflation than getting access to keeping this [indiscernible] going, but curious about maybe more upstream, what you're hearing and your concerns are related to OT and you supply to because they may have other issues that can throw things down. So how are you thinking about maybe upstream in your ability, you might have the ability to supply them but what you're hearing in terms of slowdowns and availability and because that could, obviously, fall back to you guys?

Paul Reitz

President and CEO

Yes, it's a good question, Larry. For us, because we're such a large -- we use so much deal, we use so many components, I don't want to say I don't worry, but we feel very confident that our supply chain will be interrupted by capacity. What I probably see as more information concerned with the OEMs is actually the logistical side of it. Right now getting traders hooked up and getting people to move the trailers is causing some bottlenecks. And that's probably what we're seeing more on our docs and our business is just the way trailers hooked up. And so you look at the about a product as OEMs are moving, they obviously have access to some of the finest logistical operators in the world, but it's a concern. There's a shortage of skilled professional truck drivers out there that the new laws and regulations in place, everybody's kind of fighting for these lanes depending on the location and geographic location where you're trying to move the products. But kind of goats supply chain a little bit, more looking at it from logistics, it's something that we are starting to see everybody fighting harder just to move products. So that does impact the supply chain, if you're trying to get raw materials in what you're referencing. But I think on the overall supply chain, everybody's kind of ramped up production a little bit. We've seen the companies in North America where they can't quite to meet all of the supply, there's been enough import still coming into the market that I don't see anything in 2018 that's going to cause that supply-side interruption, it's more just getting products moving around that is more of a concern.

Lawrence De Maria

Analyst · William Blair

Okay. So does that mean you see some pushed out lead times because of that now? And to what kind of level, I'm curious?

Paul Reitz

President and CEO

At this point, it's not necessarily push out lead times, but it's just -- it's a fight to get the traders. So I think what you need to see happen is you need to get more available trucks to move products. And so that needs to happen somehow, someway, either get more people into the profession, you look at getting more efficient where you're able to move product more effectively what you've got. I was talking to some folks yesterday that are in the business, in the trucking business, and it is they got a lot of traders right now that are parked, they're trying to find people. So right now, I don't see necessarily impacting lead times, but it is -- its arrays, and so you always want to make sure that they are still running in that race in that race doesn't stop moving, which is not the case right now. Definitely, there's still moving, but it's at times, you see the product sitting there that little bit of extra time kind of wait for something, but I don't -- I think everybody has enough cushion built into the supply chain that I don't see impacting lead times and delivery to customers yet.

Lawrence De Maria

Analyst · William Blair

Okay. And then two last questions. You mentioned the lack I'm targets you are on track to hit those, can you remind us what they are and how we think about kind of the growth in Lat Am? Number 1. And secondly, in respect to, obviously, you don't want to do Russian put option, can you, I don't know if it's even possible to book in some of the financials around that? Or even discuss to you is there likely to have a major capital structure change at all? Just what some of the theories that rest is possible?

Paul Reitz

President and CEO

As far as Brazil, what we said is goals down there, we still do continue moving forward with the growth despite the challenging market conditions. So as we are planning out 2018, we definitely saw some trends to start the year that were going to be highlighted as concerns, and we've all seen it and the numbers that we reported as far as industry-wide tractor sales. For us, we've had a lot of confidence in our team, as I stated. And so our forecast for 2018 was still to grow, which considering where that market was in 2017, the exceptional year ahead, producing growth again in 2018 was what we believe the very good result for our team. Again, considering coming off 2017 and where the market was in 2018. As far as a Russian put option goes, definitely it's something that's very important to the board, to myself, we spent a lot of time on it, we believe we have a team there that is moving in the right direction. The overhang cost by the put option, I'd love to be able to sit here at today and completely remove it all. But it will say is the options that we do have are either restructure it, that's the obvious one, you issue equity or you pay them off in cash. At this point, those are the options. We just are not at a point where we can talk any further about it. Certainly, we will as soon as we can, Larry.

Operator

Operator

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the call back over to Mr. Reitz for any closing remarks.

Paul Reitz

President and CEO

I certainly appreciate everybody's time today, I look forward to talking to you again next quarter. Thank you.