Operator
Operator
(Operator Instructions) Welcome to the PNM Resources conference call. I would now like to introduce your host for today’s conference, Ms. Gina Jacobi, Director of Investor Relations.
TXNM Energy, Inc. (TXNM)
Q1 2010 Earnings Call· Fri, May 7, 2010
$58.91
-0.11%
Same-Day
+5.51%
1 Week
+7.74%
1 Month
-4.53%
vs S&P
+0.16%
Operator
Operator
(Operator Instructions) Welcome to the PNM Resources conference call. I would now like to introduce your host for today’s conference, Ms. Gina Jacobi, Director of Investor Relations.
Gina Jacobi
Management
Thank you everyone for joining us this morning for a discussion of the company's first quarter 2010 earnings. Please note that the presentation and accompanying materials for this conference call and supporting documents are available on the PNM Resources website at www.pnmresources.com. Joining me today are PNM Resources CEO, Pat Collawn, and Chuck Eldred our Chief Financial Officer, as well as several members of our executive management team. Before I turn the call over to Pat I need to remind you that some of the information provided this morning should be considered forward looking statements pursuant to the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. We caution you that all of the forward looking statements are based upon current expectations and estimates, and that PNM Resources assumes no obligation to update the information. For a detailed discussion of factors affecting PNM Resources results, please refer to our current and future annual reports on Form 10-K and the quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, as well as other current and future reports on Form 8-K filed with the SEC. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Pat.
Pat Collawn
CEO
I’m going to start on slide four this morning. As you see, earlier this morning we reported our first quarter results and our ongoing earnings of $0.06 per diluted share compared with $0.10 a year ago. However, if you adjust last year’s earnings to exclude the $0.08 contribution of the PNM gas operations we had an improvement in 2010, the $0.06 versus $0.02 without gas in 2009. Our GAAP earnings are down reflecting an unrealized mark to market loss on economic hedges of $17.9 million at First Choice Power. Last year’s gas results also reflect the one time gain of the sale of the gas operations. As stated in our news release, our first quarter results were driven primarily by the performance of First Choice Power which contributed $0.11 to ongoing earnings. First Choice’s improvement primarily is a result of significantly reduced bad debt expense. I’ll go into more detail about First Choice in a moment. Weather also contributed to our earnings this quarter at PNM, TNMP and First Choice Power all of which benefited significantly from colder weather this year compared with 2009. Let me highlight the first quarter. We’re starting to see some signals of modest improvement in our economies in Texas and New Mexico. We did see a sign that customers are at least willing to spend a little more than they have in the past. Heating degree days in Texas and New Mexico were up substantially and customers responded by turning up their thermostats. On the regulatory front, we continue to make progress in both New Mexico and in Texas and we saw strong performance from First Choice Power and their results more than offset the weak market prices we continue to see in ERCOT which negatively affected Optim Energy. Let me turn to slide five…
Chuck Eldred
Chief Financial Officer
As we mentioned in this morning’s new release, we earned $0.06, we’re down $0.04 from last year, that includes the $0.08 of the earnings from our gas operation which we sold early last year. If you exclude that $0.08 our first quarter earnings were actually up $0.04 from last year and that’s largely due to colder weather, reduced bad debt expense at First Choice Power and the slight load growth in both New Mexico and Texas. Turning to the individual business units on slide 11, this lists the major drivers of our quarter over quarter improvement in our regulated businesses. Let’s start with PNM, this year the New Mexico utility reported ongoing earnings of $0.02 per share while last year the utility essentially broke even. Implementation of our first phase of rate relief which went into effect on July 1 of last year added $0.03 to the utilities earnings. Colder weather contributed another $0.02 as heating degree days in New Mexico were up 22% from last year. Lastly, normalized load growth of 1.6% added another $0.01 of earnings. Partially offsetting the favorable drivers were $0.04 of increased outage and maintenance costs at Four Corners and San Juan, and $0.01 of higher pension and retiree medical costs. At TNMP earnings were flat quarter over quarter. The implementation and new rates on September 1 of last year added $0.01 to earnings. Additionally, normalized load growth and colder weather each contributed $0.01. This past quarter Texas weather ranked as the 9th coldest in over a hundred years. Offsetting the favorable drivers were high interest costs which reduced earnings by $0.02. The increase in TNMP interest expense is fully recovered in rates, however, it should be noted that a recovery is usage based so we’ll see this as ancillary under recover in the shoulder…
Pat Collawn
CEO
If you look at slide 14 this is the list of 2010 objectives we presented to you at the February call. I’m pleased to say the first quarter resulted in progress on two significant fronts and they are noted in the green print on the slide. First, as I mentioned we filed the transmission cost of service proposal for TNMP and received staff and ALJ approvals. This rate proposal is on the May 14th PUCT agenda for consideration. Second, on March 9th Moody’s revised its outlook on the company to stable from negative. This followed a similar move by S&P in December. Today all three rating agencies have stable outlooks recorded for the company. We’ll go through this slide every quarter and I look forward to reporting continued progress on our checklist. This concludes the presentation portion of the call. Operation we can start the Q&A session if there are any questions.
Operator
Operator
(Operator Instructions) Your first question comes from Brian Russo – Ladenburg Thalmann Brian Russo – Ladenburg Thalmann: I think previously your guidance assumed flat growth, low growth at the utilities but it looks like growth is slightly exceeding your expectations but you retained your guidance. I’m wondering are there some offsets elsewhere that we should be aware of.
Pat Collawn
CEO
Our guidance had anticipated some growth in Q1 even though it was flat for the entire year given that the first quarter in 2009 was the quarter that was extremely anemic, so that’s one thing. We also expect a little more demand response associated with the fact that the second phase of our rate increase went into effect in April so there’s a price increase there. And we true up our fuel clause in July so if we’re under recovered at all you could see a bump in prices. We also have several industrial customers that have said they’re going to shut down some of their operations in New Mexico and while that’s only a small piece of our load that’s going to be happening later in the year. It’s just a little too early to also tell I think if that growth in usage is sustainable. Brian Russo – Ladenburg Thalmann: We should just continue to assume flat year over year growth for the rest of the year?
Pat Collawn
CEO
Yes. Brian Russo – Ladenburg Thalmann: Elaborate on your comment earlier that this upcoming PNM electric rate case is the most complex case in your history.
Pat Collawn
CEO
It’s going to be switching from an historic test year to a future test year. That has not been done in New Mexico so that alone makes it very complicated. Our prices are currently set on a rate base in March 2008 so obviously there’s a lot of regulatory lag plus going into the future. We also need to propose a solution to energy efficiency and the lost margins on that I mentioned that the solution we have in place right now is the commission will allow us to earn $0.01 on lost margin and we filed our tariffs for that but in this case we need what’s called a permanent solution to that issue. You’ll see that in there so we’re dealing with that at the same time. Brian Russo – Ladenburg Thalmann: I don’t want to jump the gun on the rate case filing but it seems like you’re going to have a rather impressive accumulating rate base from March 2008 that would basically lead to a high double digit rate increase request and I’m just wondering if you had any thoughts on that and maybe the reaction from consumers and interveners.
Pat Collawn
CEO
Obviously we’ll make our filing on June 1 so I don’t want to jump the gun talking about it. I will say that we are well aware of other rate cases being filed and filing strategies and reactions and we’re going to take that into account when we do our filing. Brian Russo – Ladenburg Thalmann: Could you remind me the 100% solar renewable plan how much is that total cost?
Pat Collawn
CEO
The 100% solar renewable plan that we filed $270 million. Brian Russo – Ladenburg Thalmann: How much were your emission sales in 2009 for the full year?
Pat Collawn
CEO
I don’t know off the top of my head. Brian Russo – Ladenburg Thalmann: On Optim, are you completely unhedged in 2011?
Pat Collawn
CEO
We haven’t disclosed for 2011 yet.
Chuck Eldred
Chief Financial Officer
We still continue to take long positions but we’re about 60% hedged for 2010 and 2011 we’re still working through hedging strategies particularly with Twin Oaks which we haven’t begun to disclose our positions there. We’re not completely unhedged but we’re not fully hedged by any means. Part of that is because we continue to remain in a long position anticipating the gas prices to be a little bit higher than where they are today.
Pat Collawn
CEO
We don’t have the emissions sales right in front of us so we will get Gina to call you back with that number.
Operator
Operator
Your next question comes from Edward Heyn – Catapult Edward Heyn – Catapult: On Optim, you highlighted that commercial optimization was up; can you give a little more color on what exactly that is?
Chuck Eldred
Chief Financial Officer
We’ve tried to point out the way you dispatch the power to the markets and dealing with ancillary services and also some down balancing of Twin Oaks where we can take that plant down and actually buy power in the market and sell that power. There’s some things that we’re able to do to optimize those assets. It’s allowed for us to beat the balancing market and do better than what would be market prices would normally reflect. Edward Heyn – Catapult: Do you guys have a number of what on a per megawatt hour basis your margins were for First Choice in the first quarter?
Chuck Eldred
Chief Financial Officer
We haven’t provided that.
Pat Collawn
CEO
We haven’t disclosed that. Edward Heyn – Catapult: Is it safe to say that they were above what you’re; I think you’re assuming in your guidance that they go back to long term rates.
Chuck Eldred
Chief Financial Officer
When you get the 10-Q you’ll see the details in there if you back out the economic hedges you’ll get a pretty good idea. It’s safe to say they were higher than what was anticipated. We still continue to see this downward trend we saw and talked about last year about a 20% decrease. We still anticipate the competitiveness in that market to support that kind of trend but certainly we are seeing margins to be slightly higher the first quarter. Edward Heyn – Catapult: For bad debt and for margin the rubber hits the road as you get into the more meaty summer season?
Chuck Eldred
Chief Financial Officer
Yes, that’s why we’re being hesitant to say much more than we’re certainly doing well for the first quarter but we have the summer months anticipating to see what happens.
Pat Collawn
CEO
I think you’re starting to see the competitors be more aggressive on their pricing which is going to continue to put pressure on those margins.
Operator
Operator
I’m showing no further questions at this time.
Pat Collawn
CEO
I think everyone is probably focused on the broader market today and our upcoming rate case so thank you all for taking the time to join us this morning. As we said, we’re on track for a June 1 rate filing at PNM and Gina and her team will get that out in a news release and post it on the web and be prepared to answer any questions. Thank you all and have a good weekend.